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23 Aug 2023
First Take: Cohort - Contract win continues momentum
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First Take: Cohort - Contract win continues momentum
Cohort plc (CHRT:LON) | 1,250 450 3.0% | Mkt Cap: 587.3m
- Published:
23 Aug 2023 -
Author:
Ben Bourne | Saul Larthe -
Pages:
4 -
SEA wins another significant contract
The Systems Engineering & Assessment (SEA) subsidiary, part of the Sensors and Effectors segment, has been awarded a 32-month contract to the value of £17.5m for a major defence programme.
The contract is with a UK customer to provide a Communications System which further underpins the order book (FY23A £329m).
Our view
The encouraging contract win underpins our existing forecasts and enhances visibility – no change to Group estimates. The prelims in July signalled FY24 order cover at >90% of consensus revenue (vs. 85% INVe).
This is another significant win for SEA (awarded a £26.2m contract in May) and enhances visibility on future revenues; FY24E-26E Group revenue of £187m - £201m and Sensors and Effectors segment revenue of £96.5m - £103.4m.
Next catalyst: The DSEI show on 12th-15th September.
Valuation
The increasing threat of wider global conflict supports defence spending and is driving demand for Cohort’s niche products and services. The Group stands out as a long-term beneficiary with exceptional visibility.
Cohort is attractively valued in the shrunken listed defence sector; the shares are trading at a discount on a FY24E P/E of 13.2x and EV/EBITDA of 7.5x compared to the NTM 5-year averages of 14x and 10x.