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The group posted record, albeit partly unsustainable, quarterly results, supported by the trading activities, interest rates and ongoing provision recoveries. Although the coming quarters will see some normalisation, these results enabled the company to reiterate its full-year RoTE guidance.
Companies: Barclays PLC
The announced accident is not good advertising but belongs to an operating risk which is covered (and remunerated) with dedicated equity. We see no reason to over-interpret the block sale that followed the announcement. Based on the past correlation, we believe that the rapid rise in US rates should be strongly supportive for the stock. The recent share price underperformance provides a strong Buy opportunity in our view.
The quarterly performance was boosted by net provision releases and tax gains which partly offset seasonally lower revenues. Management did not commit to any precise guidance but reiterated its confidence in the group’s ability to maintain the RoTE above 10% over the medium term.
Mr Staley’s shock departure should not prove too disruptive for the group, in our view, as he leaves the group in good shape and in preferred hands.
The third quarter continued to enjoy record CIB revenues and loan provision recoveries. Consensus expectations have now largely aligned with our projections, thus leaving limited upside potential in our view.
The quarter enjoyed stronger-than-expected provision releases and a partial reversal of the first quarter negative equity adjustments, whereas the DTA remeasurement offset ongoing restructuring charges.
Like many other UK banks, the earnings surprise was offset by negative equity adjustments. The top line continued to enjoy supportive CIB activities which offset the ongoing impact of the pandemic on the consumer finance business. The earnings surprise could have proved to be stronger if the group had decided to recover all the excess provisioning.
The lockdowns’ impact on consumer spending was mitigated by robust mortgage activity and, above all, strong investment banking businesses supported by ongoing supportive market conditions and market share gains in both FICC and equities. This year, the extent of the profitability recovery will largely depend on the pace at which the cost of risk will normalise.
As expected following the US banks’ releases, Barclays’ third quarter results saw a sharp reduction in provisions build-up while the emergence of delinquencies has been delayed by the State’s supporting measures. Management continues to expect a reduction in the cost of risk next year. It remains to be seen if this guidance is capable of withstanding new lockdowns or a no-deal Brexit.
The group continued to opportunistically take advantage of its CIB division’s performance to front-load pending credit losses. The third quarter should mark the beginning of a normalisation in the revenue mix and the cost of risk assuming no change in the macro-economic scenario retained by the group.
The strong CIB performance enabled the group to build up reserves in anticipation of the COVID-19 impact with relatively limited damage. Last but not least, management does not expect the first quarter impairments to repeat at the same level over the next three quarters, forecasting full-year credit charges significantly below the level returned by EBA’s stress tests.
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Weekly round-up of AIM-listed healthcare news.
Venture Life Group, GENinCode, Kromek, Alliance Pharma, Polarean Imaging, Benchmark Holdings, Ondine Biomedical, Verici Dx, Faron Pharmaceuticals, Avacta Group, Abingdon Health, Open Orphan, Belluscura, Hutchmed (China), Oxford Biodynamics
Companies: ANIC RUA CREO GENI HEIQ IHC IXI IUG OPTI SBTX VAL VLG
Argentex Group (“AGFX” or the “Group”) is a regulated, commercial FX specialist, offering a range of service-led and technology-enabled FX products to corporate, institutional and HNW clients. The Group’s core business has a strong growth track record and we expect a normalising market environment post-COVID to support organic growth within this. Additionally, we see attractive opportunities across its newly launched platform with a range of technology-enabled products as well as its continuing
Companies: Argentex Group Plc
Singer Capital Markets
Companies: H&T Group plc
Urban Logistics REIT (“ULR”) has delivered a solid FY22 performance – deploying capital apace and driving strong returns through active asset management. Earnings and dividend are both in line vs SCMe. EPRA NAV is 190p (+7% vs SCMe); as yield compression came as a bonus. Caution is being exercised in deploying remaining capital, which impacts FY23e earnings only. We upgrade EPRA NAV by 14-20% incorporating some (but not all) recent yield compression. We increase our Target Price to 210p (FY23e E
Companies: Urban Logistics REIT plc
Companies: D4T4 NTQ FEN IOG PMG SAV SCE
Mercia Asset Management reported FY22 results, with a significant uplift in adj. operating profit to £8.4m, driven by strong management fee margins of >2% on stable FuM as well as strong finance income during the year. Group AuM has grown to >£1bn post period end, driven by fundraises across the Northern VCTs. The Group is well set to achieve its Mercia 20:20 Vision, with ~£27m (~46%) of its cumulative three-year PBT target delivered in year one. We increase our adj. EBITDA forecasts by 1-26% on
Companies: Mercia Asset Management PLC
Companies: Real Estate Investors plc
1 July 2022
Status of this Note and Disclaimer
This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectives
Companies: VTU ADME ARCM LVCG MANO NMT PGH SLE
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN)C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Another well delivers flow rate above expectations – The RCS-1 well was flow tested at oil rates of up 1,872 bbl/d (936 bbl/d net to Arrow) of 30 API crude from the C7B sands. The zone was tested for 33 hours at an average oil rate of 1,076 bbl/d (538 bbl/d net to Arrow) with no formation water. Production will start next week at ~1,000 bbl/d (500 bbl/d net) in order to mini
Companies: UKOG TXP SQZ BLOK AOI 88E ZPHR GPRK GPRK CEG AXL
Augmentum Fintech has delivered a strong finish to FY22, with NAV per share up 19% YoY and +9% HoH to 155.2p, driven by both investments and positive fair value changes across the majority of its portfolio companies. The 23% IRR since IPO is above the Group’s 20% Internal Target Return, demonstrating overall attractive investment performance. Post-period end The Group has invested £4.0m in new portfolio company Kenbi and the £43m proceeds from the sale of its stake in ii strengthens AUGM’s cash
Companies: Augmentum Fintech
Marlowe delivered an impressive set of FY22A results, with underlying organic revenue growth of 9%, Adj EBITDA margins up 240bps to 18.6%, and Adj EBITDA of £54.4m (ahead of our £50.7m forecast). We make minor updates to our FY23E forecasts (Adj Diluted EPS increases 1% to 49.6p) and release new FY24E forecasts. Given the strength of Marlowe's business model, its defensive nature (non-discretionary products and services; 85%+ recurring revenue), the group's continued positive momentum (including
Companies: Marlowe Plc
Dish of the day
Visum Technologies has joined the AQSE Growth Market. The Company's business is to own and operate an "on-ride" video and photographic camera system that it sells and/or licenses to customers (being theme parks, ride manufacturers, souvenir imaging providers, and other leisure operators).
No Leavers Today.
What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?
Immediate acquisitions (IME.L) is to re-join AIM via a Reverse Takeover of Fiinu Holdings Limited. Once complete the Compan
Companies: VAST TSTL 7DIG AHT CMX JADE
Further to its strategic review, Palace Capital intends to focus on becoming an ESG driven, regional office market specialist. To that end the company has announced a new £46.5m property disposal programme including its entire industrial property portfolio with the proceeds to be reinvested into the office sector. Palace Capital has also announced a buyback for up to 5% of its shares and continues to review its cost base. The outcome of the strategic review is to sharpen the focus on themes mana
Companies: Palace Capital plc
The final decision on CRB III (see below) on streaming revenues is positive for Songwriters, Music publishing and Hipgnosis (SONG). The decision will result in addition revenues being paid to SONG over the coming periods. We view the ruling as positive and evidence of a continuing shift in the understanding of the value of a Songwriter’s contribution to a hit record and the willingness of industry stakeholders to recognise it. YTD SONG has de-rated significantly and currently trades on a 23.8% d
Companies: Hipgnosis Songs Fund Limited Shs GBP
Stocks in focus this week are Personal Group, Johnson Service Group, Capita and Mears
Companies: Personal Group Holdings Plc