5 FTSE equities to add to your portfolio in October.
Macros: Indices and Markets
The quarter enjoyed the ongoing recovery in revenue margins and net provision releases further boosted by a portion of the announced tax gains. The question is not at what pace profitability will recover but instead at what pace will it normalise? In the meantime, the group is accumulating excess capital that will be returned to shareholders.
Companies: Lloyds Banking Group plc
The group made a strong start with net interest margin recovery and loan provision recoveries, thus enabling management to upgrade its guidance for the year. The £1bn tax credit expected in Q3 will be the icing on the cake. In that context, we suspect that the cautious stance on future capital distribution only aims at not upsetting the regulator.
The lockdowns continued to weigh on the top-line performance, but the state’s supporting measures have proven so successful that the quarter enjoyed provision recoveries and the cost of risk is expected to almost fully normalise as soon as this year. However, 2021 will remain a transitory year as the top-line is expected to recover only progressively.
Looking Ahead At The Next Week
Today's news & views, plus announcements from AZN, LLOY, WEIR, TATE, GFTU, INCE, DELT, SOLG, HYVE
Companies: LLOY SOLG INCE
Today's news & views, plus announcements from LLOY, POG, FRAS, PETS, SPR, WHI, FKE, RLE
Companies: Lloyds Banking Group plc (LLOY:LON)Real Estate Investors plc (RLE:LON)
The current crisis is definitely unprecedented. Like most of its peers, not only did the group not make any extra provisions related to the pandemic but it released some provisions following an update to its macroeconomic scenario. The group also managed to mitigate the rate cut impact and generate 60bp of capital ahead of next year’s headwinds.
As expected, the quarter saw a sharp increase in loan impairments. However, one can wonder if the increase was not capped by the group’s willingness to keep its results afloat. Management’s downbeat guidance in terms of revenue recovery potential and cost reduction does not bode well as regards the group’s future credit loss absorption capacity.
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Palace Capital has released a good trading update of for the 6 months to 30 September. The Group has achieved good progress both across the portfolio and in sales achieved at Hudson Quarter. With cash reserves rising, the Group continues to look for value creative opportunities to recycle capital which should realise value for shareholders. Buy
Companies: Palace Capital plc
We see the UK Government’s Net Zero Strategy as being overall helpful but not especially definitive. Amongst our coverage group, Drax Group (DRX LN) and Velocys (VLS LN) benefit from the Humberside CCS cluster prioritisation and Velocys from SAF support. The amount of renewables is likely to boost the need for flexibility solutions where Drax, Gore Street (GSF LN) and SIMEC Atlantis (SAE LN) can benefit. Hydrogen companies ITM (ITM LN) and Powerhouse Energy (PHE LN) are likely to find support. T
Companies: ADN DRX GSF ITM NESF PHE SAE SIT STRLNG TLG VLS
The third quarter continued to enjoy record CIB revenues and loan provision recoveries. Consensus expectations have now largely aligned with our projections, thus leaving limited upside potential in our view.
Companies: Barclays PLC
Non-Standard Finance (‘NSF’), one of the leading providers of unsecured credit to UK adults, published interim results for the half year to 30 June 2021 on 28 September. Overall, these showed a significantly lower loss before tax due to improved operational performance and lower below the line charges. The group also reported that current trading was ahead of plan primarily due to strong collections performance. Discussions with the FCA regarding the redress programme for guarantor loans custome
Companies: Non-Standard Finance Plc
NextEnergy Solar Fund’s investment in NextPower III opens up geographic opportunities in Latin America, Asia and other parts of Europe much earlier than could have been delivered by direct project investment. Additionally, the JV announcement with energy storage system (ESS) developer Eelpower is also an attractive way to accelerate portfolio diversity as well as opening up the door to further asset growth. By working with partners experienced in different geographies and the energy storage segm
Companies: Nextenergy Solar Fund
What’s new: Tatton’s interims trading update confirm it has “delivered strong growth in all its key metrics during the period including revenue, profits and assets under management” (AUM). It is “trading in line with expectations”.
Companies: Tatton Asset Management Plc
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What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?
Devolver Digital to join AIM, an award-winning digital video games publisher and developer in the indie games space. Recently awarded indie 'Publisher of the Year 2021' by GamesIndustry.biz. Offer TBA. Due early Nov.
Life Science REIT to join AIM raising up to £100m. This will be the first London listed real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on UK life science properties providing investors with exposure
Companies: SYS1 ARE SO4 SNG TMG TMT OHG IDE KIBO MRL
AuM pushed on in Q2, hitting £10.8bn – including the acquisition of the Verbatim funds (+13% in H1 organic only). Crucially, net inflows have remained strong through the whole of H1 at £109m avg pcm. This flow momentum underpins an encouraging outlook, both near and medium-term. We leave our forecasts unchanged although note risk to the upside heading into H2. We will review our model again at the Interims. Given the pace of growth and scale of opportunity from already established relationships,
Gore Street’s trading update confirms expectations of a strong trading environment for batteries in both the GB and Irish markets. Driven principally by high gas prices creating electricity market volatility and with tight capacity margins likely to remain, we see the company continuing to generate excess cash returns in this financial year at least.
Companies: Gore Street Energy Storage Fund PLC
Currently, Gore Street Energy Storage Fund (GSF) primarily relies on revenue from frequency response services, including Dynamic Containment (DC), to estimate near-term returns. The dislocation in the UK power market has led to a sharp rise in returns available from energy arbitrage leaving GSF’s assets well placed to benefit from this increased volatility. In September, those of GSF’s GB storage assets that participated in the actively-traded GB power markets generated revenues that were signif
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What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?
Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL ; TSXV: AXL) , the oil and gas exploration and production company, has conditionally raised approximately £8.8m and is due to complete its dual listing on AIM on 25 Oct. Market cap c£13.1m.
Devolver Digital to join AIM, an award-winning digital video games publisher and developer in the indie games space. Recently awarded indie 'Publisher of the Year 2021' by GamesIndustry.biz.
Companies: ZYT CIC DMTR GILD LMS MMAG PYC SMRT SBI
Companies: Chrysalis Investments Limited
Today's news & views, plus announcements from BHP, MGGT, RIO, BWY, MONY, BGO, YOU, AVAP, PCA & SOLG.
Companies: AVAP BGO RIO SOLG
TMT Investments PLC have provided a portfoloio update. We have published research on this which is attached and a snapshot of the research is below.
The venture capital company investing in high-growth technology companies has moved one step closer to its first IPO driven exit. In a portfolio update announced this week TMT noted that its portfolio company Backblaze, Inc. publicly filed with the SEC on 18 October 2021. TMT currently holds a 9.97% interest in Backblaze, Inc. (pre its expected fun
Companies: TMT Investments
Companies: Shaftesbury PLC