We upgraded N Brown to Buy 5 weeks ago and Autumn trading conditions since then have been favourable. With execution risk beginning to moderate, unseasonal weather is the single biggest risk, so growth in the clothing market in Sept is clearly supportive. Comps now weaken in Oct/Nov. N Brown has thus far failed to deliver its ambitious growth plan and FY’16E PBT is 5% below FY’13A, driven partly by lower EBIT margins (-160bps) vs. a core objective to lift them. The P/E also sits at a c25% sector ....
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Potential upside far outweighs potential downside
- Published:
01 Oct 2015 -
Author:
Matthew McEachran -
Pages:
4 -
We upgraded N Brown to Buy 5 weeks ago and Autumn trading conditions since then have been favourable. With execution risk beginning to moderate, unseasonal weather is the single biggest risk, so growth in the clothing market in Sept is clearly supportive. Comps now weaken in Oct/Nov. N Brown has thus far failed to deliver its ambitious growth plan and FY’16E PBT is 5% below FY’13A, driven partly by lower EBIT margins (-160bps) vs. a core objective to lift them. The P/E also sits at a c25% sector ....