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Strong medium term recovery prospects
- Published:
06 Aug 2020 -
Author:
Greg Poulton -
Pages:
3 -
The FY20 results report that after a challenging H1, the Group’s performance had started to improve, with a substantial increase in order inflow. This was disrupted by the impact of COVID-19, which impeded operations towards the end of FY20. Despite this, EBITDA (postIFRS 16) of £4.6m was broadly in line with pre-COVID-19 guidance (c.£5m). Given continued economic uncertainty, guidance is still withdrawn. Whilst valuation is challenging in the absence of forecasts, if management can deliver a recovery in earnings to historic levels, we believe the current valuation looks undemanding. We see no reason why the improving trajectory of the business should not resume once the economy is on a more stable footing. Indeed, trading has started to improve, with revenue expected to return to pre-COVID-19 levels in Q2, and medium term prospects are positive.