Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Van Elle. We currently have 23 research reports from 3 professional analysts.
Avast, global cybersecurity provider with 435m users worldwide. In 2017, the Group's Adjusted Billings was $811 million, Adjusted Revenue was $780 million, Adjusted Cash EBITDA was $451 million. Seeking to raise $200m. Due in May | Vivo Energy—retailer and marketer of Shell-branded fuels and lubricants in Africa, Due in May. 100% secondary sell-down of existing Shares by Selling Shareholders, No new Money. Pricing TBA | Gore Street Energy Storage Fund—Seeking to raise £100m for the purposes of investment in a diversified portfolio of utility scale energy storage projects. Due 03 May.
Companies: ACP IXI EKT VANL DAL GLOO MTPH ERIS SYM LVCG
We have completed another refresh of our value style screen, first established as of 12 May 2015. As usual the screen selected the 25 stocks exhibiting the most extreme value characteristics from our universe, and we have chosen 10 stocks to focus on. Since the last refresh, two days before the last general election, which resulted in a hung parliament, the screen has performed a little better than the small-cap index with our focus stocks outperforming by about 500bps. The weighting to UK consumer stocks noted last time detracted from performance, which came as little surprise given our cautious stance, much discussed in our other strategy work this year. One might have expected more consumer exposure in the refreshed screen given this year’s severe underperformance, but it appears forecasts have been similarly downgraded, keeping much of the sector outside our value criteria
Companies: AUG EHG GOAL MMH RTHM SDY TEF VANL
Not to be the last contractor to report the impact of Carillion's downfall, Van Elle has today said it may not recover the funds.
Companies: Van Elle
Topic of the quarter: It’s alive! Infrastructure and assets in general have traditionally been built to provide a fixed service and are maintained and renovated to a fixed schedule – dead and dumb. Technology will completely change this. Sensors and wireless networks have the potential to allow assets to ‘talk’ to us. These living, smart assets will be able to tell us when they need maintenance, how efficient they are being and provide the data that will directly influence their construction, availability and use. The implications for construction costs through to operating costs and the ability to service changing user needs are very significant. The Support Services, Construction and Technology sectors need to work together to maximise this potential, recognise and harness the power of data, and invest in and embrace change. These are daunting challenges in highly competitive markets where politics play a role, different skill sets (that are currently in short supply) are needed and shareholders are looking over management's shoulders. However, the prize for those companies who get it right is significant, and the risk from not changing much greater. There are positive early signs with Crossrail providing tangible examples of Smart Infrastructure using innovative sensors.
Companies: FOUR DSCV BOOT CLL CNCT FCRM LOK PPH RNWH STAF UTW WATR VANL WYG
Victoria (VCP): Acquisition of Keraben Grupo (BUY) | Premaitha* (NIPT): Litigation update (CORP) | Best of the Best (BOTB): In-line interim trading update (BUY) | Savannah Resources* (SAV): Further drilling results from the Mina do Barroso lithium project (CORP) | ScS (SCS): AGM update (BUY) | dotDigital* (DOTD): Acquisition (CORP) | Van Elle (VANL): Clarity needed (BUY)
Companies: YGEN BOTB SAV SCS DOTD VANL
Belluscura— Provider of premium medical devices at value prices to address part of the global unmet need for affordable, premium quality medical devices. Raising £7.5m to £10m. Offer TBA. Due early Dec Ten Lifestyle Hldgs - Technology-enabled lifestyle and travel platform providing trusted concierge services to the world's wealthy. Net revenue increased from £20m in the year ended 31 August 2015 to £33m in the year ended 31 August 2017, a compound annual growth rate of 29%. Offer TBA, expected 27 Nov 2017. Miriad Advertising—Global video advertising company incorporated in 2015 and is engaged in the development of native invideo advertising . 2016 rev £0.7m and £7.3m operating loss. Offer TBA Keystone Law Group— full service law firm with over 250 self-employed lawyers . Due 27 Nov. Raising £10m at 160p. Mkt Cap £50m. Revenue of £25.6 million and EBITDA of £2.1 million. In FYJan17. Beeks Financial Cloud -niche cloud computing and connectivity provider for automated (algorithmic) trading in Forex and Futures financial products . Raising £7m. Mkt Cap c.£24.5m. Due 27 Nov. FYJun17 rev £4m. Profitable at operating level. City Pub Group - owner and operator of an estate of 34 premium pubs across Southern England. £30m raise. Consistent track record of strong revenue and EBITDA growth, with a three year CAGR from FY14 to FY16 of 34.9% and 44.8% respectively, and an EBITDA margin of 14.7% in FY16. Due late Nov. Offer raising £46.6m at 170p with market cap £96m. OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c.£50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m. OG Graphite, brownfield development-stage graphite company focused on the reactivation of its wholly-owned Kearney natural flake graphite mine and mill located 280 km north of Toronto, Canada. Offer TBA, expected mid November.
Companies: HMI BREE FIF BOTB DOTD BSE VANL TLY MTPH
See what's trending this week...
Highlights this quarter: Economics: Generally, the data points to modest growth continuing, with a more positive trend in PMI surveys suggesting decent m manufacturing momentum over the next six months. Currency weakness continues to be a double-edged sword for U K manufacturers, with exporters gaining competitiveness while input prices have risen. There has recently been a divergence of sterling’s performance against the euro and the USD. Those in commodity or competitive product areas may well have seen margin erosion, while many in intermediary goods have already passed on price increases to their customers. With low unemployment, the prospect of tighter labour markets post-Brexit and public sector pay caps starting to come off also signals the potential for some labour inflation, long absent from the UK industrial scene. Topic of the quarter: We believe that powerful macro and sectoral pressures will drive further significant changes to the manufacturing supply chain over the next few years. We investigate some of these pressures, with the move to outsource suppliers to low- cost centres, like China, now seeing a slight reverse flow with some restoring to shorten complex and often inflexible supply chains. We see systems technology facilitating greater supply-chain control and efficiency. Brexit will present challenges to the UK supply chain with price and time to market barriers likely to rise, presenting challenges to the UK’s highly integrated and time-sensitive supply chain. Slick distribution infrastructure and greater information sharing with suppliers are likely to prove winning strategies in optimising logistics and gaining stock efficiencies. Sector valuation: The industrials sector has continued to exhibit strength, with small-cap industrials outperforming by 2 % on last year and larger cap industrials by 17%. Currency and improving economic data have been a positive for the sector. While some other sectors have seen a pick-up in profit warnings over recent months, industrial technology companies have announced generally positive or in-line trading updates that have helped to drive the small-cap Industrials to an EV EBITDA of 8.4x and a P/E of 16.7x with the traditional small-cap discount narrowing.
Companies: SIXH DSCV AXS AMPH ALU AEP AVG CAPD CAR FENR FLO GINV GHH HDD IOF MPE RE/ RNO RBN SOLI SOM SCE TRI VANL VEL ZAM TRT
We have refreshed our quality style screen for the first time since its inception in February this year. As before, the screen selects the 25 stocks exhibiting the highest quality characteristics according to our criteria from our universe of approx. 500 stocks and we have chosen 10 stocks to focus on. Since inception the screen has significantly outperformed the main small-cap index and marginally outperformed the microcap index. There was notable volatility around the UK general election, which is interesting as quality would usually be seen as a defensive style in large-caps. As expected, turnover of constituents is modest with only 9 leavers and joiners despite the extended time-scale since inception. We will refresh again in five to six months’ time.
Companies: WIL GHT AVON CHH ZYT DOTD MAB1 GTLY FCRM VANL
See what's trending this week...
Since our first quarterly at the end of 2015, 12 of the 59 companies we included in our valuation tables have been bid for. Given those tables were simply designed to show the range of companies present within the sector, not a hit-list of undervalued opportunities, the fact that 20% of them have been taken over is worth looking at in more detail. At a time when warnings and share price collapses from the likes of Interserve, Carillion, MITIE, DX and Capita and Serco have dominated newsflow, it should be remembered that the sector is broad and highly varied both in terms of business model and performance. If the troubles of a minority of the sector drag down wider valuations then the evidence is that there is an army of potential bidders (reinforced by the weakness of sterling) ready to take advantage.
Companies: FOUR DSCV BOOT CLL CMS CNCT FCRM LOK PPH RNWH STAF UTW WATR VANL WYG SVCA
STM* (STM): Emerging growth and solid recurring revenue (CORP) | Iofina* (IOF): Production expansion – IO#7 construction (CORP) | Cambridge Cognition* (COG): Funding award (CORP) | InnovaDerma* (IDP): Strong FY 2017 results (CORP) | Flowtech Fluidpower* (FLO): Interim results on track for FY expectations (CORP) | Minds + Machines* (MMX): Building on strong foundations (CORP) | Van Elle (VANL): Q1 has been encouraging (BUY)
Companies: STM IOF COG IDP FLO MMX VANL
SpringfieldProperties—Scottish housebuilder. Intention to float. Offer TBA “Our turnover exceeded £100 million for the first time this year and now we employ around 500 people. This IPO is the next step in our growth.” | Warehouse REIT - The Company will invest in a diversified portfolio of UK warehouse assets located in urban areas. The Company is targeting a dividend yield of 5.5p equivalent to a yield of 5.5 percent. for the year ending 31 March 2019. Issue price 100p. Offer TBA. Due 20 Sep | OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c. £50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m. | People’s Investment Trust—Objective of sustainable wealth creation. Also to list on the Social Stock Exchange. Targeting £125m raise on 17 Oct. No performance fees or executive bonuses in order to focus on long term rather than short term performance. | Charter Court Financial Services Group—Intention to float. Specialist lender serving the UK residential mortgage market. The net mortgage loan book stood at £4.4 billion as at 30 June 2017 growing at a compound annual growth rate of 92 percent since 31 December 2014. Part vendor sale and £20m primary raise. | ContourGlobal LP—Report on Bloomberg that the thermal energy power generator is considering a London listing. | Hipgnosis Songs Fund investment Company offering pure-play exposure to Songs and associated musical intellectual property rights. Offer raising £200m at 100p. The Company has decided to extend the closing date for the Placing, Offer for Subscription and Intermediaries Offer to 1 August 2017. The Company may bring forward this closing date at any time. Admission 15 September 2017
Companies: PEG VENN APGN STM PTSG VANL FLO OCI MIDW
See what was trending this week...
The AIM market turned twenty-two in June and it is fair to say it has had its fair share of difficultiesH1 2017 saw a further net loss of constituents and we ask what will the rest of 2017 hold in store. Arguably the stability of the UK government, Brexit and the shift in global monetary policy will be the biggest themes for the remainder of the year.
Companies: IDP PEG AMYT SOU EVRH TST VANL W7L G4M
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Van Elle. We currently have 23 research reports from 3 professional analysts.
|29Jan19 13:50||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|16Jan19 07:00||RNS||Half-year Report|
|10Dec18 07:00||RNS||Half Year Trading Update|
|19Oct18 13:11||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|18Sep18 16:55||RNS||Result of AGM|
|31Aug18 10:34||RNS||Holding(s) in Company|
|13Aug18 13:00||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
Wey Education plc is a UK-based educational group delivering online education services in the UK and around the world. The tragic loss of its Executive Chairman towards the end of last year has necessitated a refocusing of Wey’s strategy, the details of which were announced in early February. Under the Chairmanship of Barrie Whipp, and led by CEO Jacqueline Daniell, the Group is now set to be more focused and streamlined around its existing businesses of InterHigh and Academy21. Coupled with a revised sales and marketing campaign, Wey is seeking to capitalise on the growing demand for online-based education, alongside targeted overseas opportunities to be achieved from the UK. Although there is a material rebasing of our estimates, we believe near-term forecast risk significantly reduces with potential, certainly in 2020E, towards the upside. Our DCF valuation conservatively sees fair value at 35p.
Companies: Wey Education
Roses are red – markets are blue! The rally since the start of the year resumed this week, after a pull-back last week. The FTSE 100 has risen due to the weakness of sterling and the impact on its dollar-earning constituents. More domestically-oriented indices have also risen but lagged more recently. The latest Brexit twist is due later with a statement to Parliament on the negotiations. Company news continue to dominate the morning headlines and amendment votes the evening ones. In Share News & Views we comment on DCC, EU Supply* FireAngel*, Location Sciences*, Northbridge* and NWF.
Companies: AOR APC BONH BMS CTG CRPR DMTR ESC EUSP FDM FA/ LSAI NKTN PCF SNX TCN VRE W7L
United Oil & Gas (UOG.L) an oil and gas exploration and development company brought to the Official List (Standard Segment) in July 2017 by way of a reverse takeover of Senterra Energy plc. No capital to be raised, expected market cap of £17m and expected 28 Feb Techniplas –global producer and support services company providing highly engineered and technically complex components, making the supply chain to original equipment manufacturers more efficient. FYDec17 rev $515m.
Companies: NMRP PGD KDR CER CLIN NBB MLVN RENX BAGR D4T4
We are introducing our Best Ideas for 2019 and also review the performance of last year’s picks. We suggest ten solidly financed stocks with good business dynamics that ought to be considered for core portfolio holdings and six UK domestically focused stocks that our analysts believe should perform strongly in the event that uncertainties unwind. We also introduce a new style of research from N+1 Singer which presents a Company’s dynamics and metrics in a clear and concise manner and concentrates on the pivotal issues affecting that Company and an investment decision.
Companies: BCA CLIN CLG CBP DNLM EAH FDL FCRM FUTR GTLY INS GLE NICL SDL SPR TRI
The market has not faced quite so many conflicting challenges for a number of years, whether related to global geopolitics, trade wars, ongoing Eurozone issues or the “will they, won’t they” saga of Brexit. In our Best Ideas, we sought to highlight stocks that present investors with interesting opportunities following recent market moves. Those stocks, we believe, warrant investor attention, in many cases for uncorrelated or stockspecific reasons, regardless of the near-to-medium term market direction. These stocks, in general, represent attractive and well-managed businesses or assets, with share price catalysts and where valuations or recent stock performance provide investors with a good entry point.
Companies: 7DIG ABBY AMS ANX ARS ATYM AVON BLVN PIER CGS CAML CALL CSRT TIDE DTG DEMG ELM EMR FPO FST GTLY GENL GRI GEEC HDY HMI HAYD HEAD HILS HTG HUR IBPO IOG INDI JHD JOG KEYS KCT KGH LAM MACF MOD MKLW OXIG PCA PARK PMO RBW RMM REDD RSW RNO RKH RBGP ROR SUS SCPA SHG SOLG TWD TRAK TRI VNET VTC ZTF
Avingtrans’ subsidiary, Hayward Tyler, has been awarded a material aftermarket contract from Vattenfall in Sweden for critical parts and components to help extend the life of the Forsmark nuclear power station. These parts will replace original equipment supplied by Hayward Tyler in the early 1980s. The contract is worth over £10m, with delivery expected to be broadly evenly split across FY2021 and FY2022. We have made no changes to our estimates, as contributions from the new contract begin after our current forecast horizon. However we are encouraged by the increasing momentum at Hayward Tyler since its acquisition by Avingtrans. We also see good potential for the business to win further contracts in nuclear life extension, given its installed base of original equipment within nuclear plants around the world. Avingtrans shares remain on undemanding EV/EBITDA multiples (8.3x FY19 and 7.1x FY20), with interim results scheduled for 27th February.
MLVN’s update this morning shows that the business is on track to deliver a major turnaround YoY, with sales doubled and a significant move from a £0.7m loss in the prior year to our forecast c.£0.4m PBTA in FY2018E. This encouraging outcome reflects good momentum which built further in the second half, a successful re-set of the Singapore business (where MLVN made a highly complementary acquisition), a strong showing in London, and a successful acquisition in Manchester in 07/18. Malaysia appears to have stabilised, and with a clear strategy is expected to make progress in due course. Demand for MLVN’s professional education services remains strong, and the company has received top ratings from global accounting and professional services bodies. With a good start to bookings in 2019, we see further major progress in the current year (tripling of PBTA).
Companies: Malvern International
This Investment Research Paper addresses the issue of renewable power generation in the UK and in mainland Europe, which – after the deep-seated financial crisis of 2008/09 and the ensuing recession – now has better prospects of achieving critical mass. It also considers investment perspectives.
Companies: OPM AVO AJB AGY ARBB AVCT DISH BUR CLIG CSH DNL DPP GTLY GDR HAYD KOOV MCL MUR NSF OXB PCA RE/ REDX STX SCE SIXH TRX TON VAL VTA W7L
The AGM update points to a change in the business mix, with weaker microelectronics demand, particularly in China, partly offset by better-than-expected growth in subsea fibre couplers. 2H order books and demand profile signals a stronger 2H. The change results in a less rich margin mix and prompts us to downgrade 2019 EPS by 11.6%. We reduce our price target by a similar amount from 1,675p to 1,475p, pointing to a 2020 P/E of 22x. We anticipate that the shares will react to this disappointing statement but believe that the group’s fundamental attractions remain, but may need confirmation of a stronger level of microelectronics demand to restore outperformance.
Companies: Gooch & Housego
RA International shares have fallen significantly since December 2018 when it announced that several contracts were delayed into early 2019 and stated that revenue and profits for FY18E are expected to be “slightly behind market expectations”. We thus reduced our FY18E revenue and profit forecasts by c10% to reflect these contract timing differences. We left 2019 and 2020 forecasts unchanged given the extensive level of bidding activity undertaken during the year (doubling to cUS$400m between the June 2018 float and September 2018 interims alone) and reference to increased revenue backlog in the trading update. The fundamentals remain intact with RA positioned to win more larger scale contracts with existing and new customers.
Companies: RA International
The group’s trading update, covering the past four months, points to the group trading in line. Overall, most market conditions remain similar to the first half. Once again, the weaker UK automotive market has been mentioned, although this is a small exposure in the group’s globally growing automotive customer base. With 70% of sales overseas, Brexit risks are relatively limited and manageable. We maintain existing forecasts and point out the recent market weakness has severely derated the shares to a discount to its peer group – where we see good value. The trading update should provide some reassurance and the rally in the share price should continue.
UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) – Corporate – Resumption of Test Production at HH-1 | Croma Security Solutions Group (CSSG) – Corporate – H1 trading update / Strategy for growth | Ascent Resources (AST) – Corporate – Board Changes
Companies: UKOG CSSG AST
Low & Bonar announced a fully underwritten £54m placing and open offer (c £50m net) alongside FY18 results. The new equity funding goes a long way towards resolving balance sheet net debt constraints and allows the relatively new management team to execute its updated strategic plan. Our revised estimates incorporate the funding effects, more gradual EBIT margin recovery and reset dividends in line with the stated policy.
Companies: Low & Bonar
Trifast has a released a good tr ading update for the 4.5 months to 13 February with tr ading in line with the Group’s expectations and confidence in the future from new business wins. We make no change to forecasts but b elieve our numbers are well underpinned with some upward press ure and we believe the market shoul d progressively recognise this and re-rate the shares so we reiterate our buy rating.
Xpediator’s pre-close trading update said that revenues and profits are both inline with market expectations. Top-line growth was significantly ahead, rising 54% y-o-y to c.£179m (c.1% ahead of ED estimate), while profits have more than doubled to c.£7.1m. The uplift to revenues has been driven by organic growth, most notably in Freight Forwarding (Baltics and Balkans), Pall-Ex Romania, and Affinity. Plus, there were benefits from the acquisition of ISL and Anglia Forwarding in 2018, and Regional Express in late 2017.