Today's news & views, plus announcements from BATS, GRI, HAS, NEX, RAT, QQ., BRK, PURP, POLR & CAY.
Companies: British American Tobacco p.l.c.
The H1 results (in line with expectations) were led by New Category growth (up by +50%) and the partial recovery from the pandemic impact. We see the outlook as good, with annual sales revised upwards and even though margins may be challenged by increased New Category investments. This is definitely good for the long term, but could be (unfairly) misinterpreted by the market at the moment.
Today's news & views, plus announcements from ICP, BATS, OXIG, PAG, NCC, OTMP, XPD, PPC
Companies: BATS OTMP XPD
Strong trading update with upgraded FY21 revenue growth target (+5% vs. +3-5% previously) and strong confidence in the New Generation Products development.
Good full-year results, which beat top- and bottom-line expectations. However, the FY21 cautious guidance weighs on the stock today.
H1 combustible resilience and surprising improvement in the New Categories unit (vapour, THP, modern oral). We continue to be positive on the stock.
FY20 guidance cut mainly due to a slowdown in emerging markets. This is rather disappointing as we were more confident in the operational resilience of the group.
In an industry that remains resilient during the COVID-19 crisis, BAT joins the virus vaccine race, (paradoxally) boosting its ESG credentials.
BAT held its CMD on 18/03/2020. No change in our confidence following the event. The company continues to show strength in its combustible activity vs. the industry and, while the New Categories business has been showing some weaknesses lately (US slowdown, regulations), we still believe that it will be the growth driver in the future. At the moment, it seems that BAT is succeeding in offsetting the vapour slowdown with its ability to transfer smokers to premium cigarettes. The FY20 outlook is u
BAT reported FY19 results close to the consensus and our estimates given it had provided an update in late November. No surprises in the FY20 outlook either, while FCF remains resilient. No change in the New Category products revenue target (£5bn in 2023/24), which is quite reassuring in the current destabilised environment.
Despite the warning of a slowdown in the New Category products, the company has continued to show strength in its combustible activity (highly positive in the US too). The “warning” concerning the FY New Category sales doesn’t imply a significant revision in our estimates. All the group level guidance was reiterated. It seems that BAT is succeeding in offsetting the vapour slowdown with its ability to transfer smokers to premium cigarettes. Our Buy recommendation is maintained.
While Altria’s results at the beginning of the week did not reassure, BAT reported pleasing H1 results. The numbers were in line with the group’s guidance and beat consensus estimates on the major metrics. While the cigarette volume fell, the strong pricing drove up the top-line and profitability.
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The market (and FDEV) is projecting an ambitious step-change in financial performance in FY 22 and FY23. Investors however may recall that Elite Odyssey updates have been delayed. For a variety of reasons, we believe there is some residual risk of disappointment here. Hence, we prefer to sit on the side-lines. Buy
Companies: Frontier Developments Plc
Mixed feelings following the Q3 results: the maintained FY margin guidance reassured in the current inflationary environment, but the Q3 volume decline raises questions about the trade-off between pricing and volumes.
Companies: Unilever PLC
Zytronic’s pre-close update confirms a considerable turnaround in performance in H2. Whilst partially flagged in the September update, the full year outturn is better than expected, driven by a significant improvement in sales (+44% H2 versus H1) and careful cost control. Operating profit of £0.5m is comfortably ahead of our break-even forecast and net cash of £9.2m is £1m ahead. Although mindful of industry supply chain issues, we consider the recent run rate a sensible guide for FY22 and intro
Companies: Zytronic plc
Companies: MJ Gleeson PLC
Tungsten West (TUN.L) has joined AIM. Tungsten West is the 100% owner and operator of the historical Hemerdon tungsten and tin mine located near Plymouth in southern Devon. Hemerdon represents the world's third largest tungsten mineral resource, with a JORC (2012) compliant Mineral Resource Estimate of approximately 325Mt at 0.12 WO3. Capital raised on Admission: £39m. Anticipated Mkt Cap: £106.2m.
Future Metals NL (ASX:FME, FME.L) (formerly named Red Emperor Resources NL) had joined AIM
Companies: SOLI RBD ALU ATQT BBI CWR DRV ORCP WATR
Companies: Accrol Group Holdings plc
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What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?
Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL ; TSXV: AXL) , the oil and gas exploration and production company, has conditionally raised approximately £8.8m and is due to complete its dual listing on AIM on 25 Oct. Market cap c£13.1m.
Devolver Digital to join AIM, an award-winning digital video games publisher and developer in the indie games space. Recently awarded indie 'Publisher of the Year 2021' by GamesIndustry.biz.
Companies: ZYT CIC DMTR GILD LMS MMAG PYC SMRT SBI
Accrol has issued a trading update confirming that cost pressures both from input and distribution costs has intensified over recent weeks echoing trends we have seen in other industries. Revenue pressures have also built as fulfilment becomes more challenging. These headwinds are reflected in our downgrade to EPS forecasts of 37.4% and 18.3% in FY22E and FY23E respectively. Over the long term we continue to believe Accrol is a strategically important asset with a key position in a resilient mar
Solid State is a manufacturer of computing, power and communications products, and value added supplier of electronic components. This morning, the group has released a robust update covering the six-month period to 30 September 2021, with the Willow and Active Silicon acquisitions performing ahead of management expectations. The order book as at the end of September stood at a record level of £61.5m, an increase of 48% since the beginning of the financial year and leading to the Board's confide
Companies: Solid State plc
Publication of international factory list: Today’s publication of the Group’s international factory list meets its pledge for full supply chain transparency within 12 months of the Independent Review into its supply chain, published by Alison Levitt QC in September 2020. The list details c.1,100 factories following an extensive mapping and audition exercise that was begun in 2020. The Group has also announced its intention to sign the International Accord for Health and Safety. This is a legally
Companies: boohoo group Plc
Shoe Zone’s accelerated digital strategy and defined store rationalisation programme, alongside decisive action on cost control and cash preservation, means the Group is emerging from the pandemic as a leaner, stronger and more resilient business. Robust cash generation means we expect the Group to be debt free and able to reinstate its dividend in the current year.
Companies: Shoe Zone PLC
Victoria has issued a positive half-year trading update that confirms underlying profit before tax for FY2022E will be ahead of consensus market expectations. Against a background of strong consumer demand for its flooring products, the first half has seen record operating earnings. Management expect this demand picture to continue into next year and beyond with the added support from the high level of housing transactions which is a good lead indicator of future refurbishment activity. Septembe
Companies: Victoria PLC
discoverIE’s trading update confirmed that performance in H122 was ahead of board expectations, with organic revenue growth of 15% y-o-y and 8% versus the pre-COVID H120. Despite supply chain challenges, the company maintained gross margins. Q222 order intake continued in the same strong vein as H221 and Q122, resulting in a record order book entering H222 and driving a small upgrade to our FY22 and FY23 forecasts.
Companies: discoverIE Group PLC
The group has announced an encouraging half-year update, with a strong increase in revenues profits and order book seen. Unsurprisingly, there have been some supply chain challenges, although these have also resulted in customers placing longer-term orders thus giving the group better visibility as well as necessitating higher levels of stocking. Management indicates it is confident of achieving market FY expectations, with the potential for some upside in H2 dependant on component supply chain
Hermès published consensus-beating results. All business lines and all geographical regions experienced a better-than-expected quarter. Unlike its industry peer, which recorded softer growth in Asia due to the COVID-19-related restrictions, Hermès reached 29% of sales growth in Asia, mainly driven by China.
While we had been worried that the Chinese government’s ambition for wealth redistribution would hold back luxury spending, Hermès has proved with solid figures that, even though the growth
Companies: Hermes International SCA (RMS:EPA)Hermes International SCA (RMS:PAR)