Companies: GHH IOM BBB
Full-year results were better than our forecasts, with PBT £0.8m better than expected, albeit showing a 35% decline following the effects of COVID shutdowns etc. Cash generation was also better than expected, resulting in net bank debt of £6.5m, a £7.8m reduction. No change to trading forecasts, with lower net debt. With maintained earnings, we also maintain our 1,100p price target based on a 32.3x P/E for FY21E, with the high P/E offering limited scope for further expansion, though today’s results should be taken well.
Companies: Gooch & Housego PLC
Gooch & Housego (GHH): Corp
The group’s brief year-end trading update was encouraging, with trading for the year slightly ahead of expectations. The order book overall is slightly ahead on constant currency. Cash collection appears to have been better in H2 than expected. In the current year, we look for some operational drop through from higher revenue in A&D, Lifesciences and Telecoms, plus some operational streamlining gains. No change to FY20 PBT forecasts and we reintroduce FY21 forecasts, with a price target of 1100p.
Arcontech (ARC): Corp Solid FY20 results give a strong foundation for growth | Avacta (AVCT): Corp SARS-CoV-2 antigen test – manufacturing expansion | Gooch & Housego (GHH): Corp Trading update – H2 trading improves as expected
Companies: ARC AVCT GHH
Circassia Group (CIR): Corp | Gooch & Housego (GHH): Corp | Intercede (IGP): Corp | Quartix (QTX): Corp
Companies: GHH IGP QTX
Interim results were in line with previously reduced expectations, illustrating lower levels of demand in the Industrial division and some effects of COVID-19 in Q2. Profitability was affected by reduced overhead recovery and a lower mix of high margin industrial lasers as well as R&D expensed in the A&D division. No change to 2020 forecasts, with an uptick expected in H2, backed by a solid order book. While the current year P/E looks high at 35x, we anticipate a good profit recovery will make the rating look more attractive in FY 2021.
Amino Technologies (AMO): Corp | Elecosoft (ELCO): Corp | Gooch & Housego (GHH): Corp | Ideagen (IDEA): Corp | Intercede (IGP): Corp
Companies: AMO ELCO GHH IDEA IGP
The group has provided an update for trading in the six months to March, with the recent COVID-19 issues expected to have a material impact on short-term trading. Trading for FY 2020 is expected to be H2 weighted with more resilient performances in A&D and lifesciences. The group has a strong order book, with some orders in EU and US being pushed back in the near term. We reduce revenues by 10%, which has a drop through impact of 42% on profits and EPS. We also place our FY 2021 forecasts and price target under review until the picture becomes a little clearer. The longer-term attractions and strengths of the business remain unchanged, with a robust balance sheet and the ability to bounce back.
US & German manufacturing PMI hits lowest readings since 2009, UK manufacturing PMI heads below 50, BorgWarner expects material financial impact from customer production halts
Companies: AVON CGS HAYD HEAD HILS JHD RNO SCPA TWD TRI ZTF SOM GHH
Japanese PMI falls to lowest level since 2009, GE Aviation cuts 10% of workforce, Kone downgrades 2020 outlook
Companies: CGS HAYD HEAD HILS JHD OXIG RSW RNO TWD ZTF SOM GHH
Airbus secures €15bn credit facility but partially restarts production in France & Spain, Cummins suspends production and FY20 guidance as customers shutdown
Companies: CGS HAYD HEAD HTG OXIG RSW RNO ROR TWD TRI ZTF GHH
US building permits fall in Feb missing estimates, Scania to temporarily stop European production from next week, JCB halts production across 9 UK plants
Companies: CGS HEAD HILS JHD OXIG RSW SCPA TRI SOM GHH
German sentiment posts largest fall since 1991, US non-residential construction backlog rose in Jan, Daimler suspends European production for (initial) 2 weeks
Companies: CGS JHD OXIG RSW RNO SCPA TRI ZTF SOM GHH
New York Empire State Manufacturing Index falls to lowest reading since 2009, Boeing reports need for short-term funding as S&P downgrades rating to BBB
Companies: CGS HAYD HILS RNO SCPA TWD TRI ZTF SOM GHH
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Boohoo has delivered strong results over the peak trading period for the four months ended 31 December 2020. Group revenue is +40% YOY, with robust growth seen across all brands and regions. The Agenda for Change programme is progressing at pace, demonstrating the Group’s commitment to setting a new standard for ethical supply chains in the fashion industry.
Companies: boohoo group Plc
Today's news & views, plus announcements from JET, PSN, SONG, HWDN, MSLH, PAGE, WMH, ASC, BGO, CUSN, CAY
Companies: Bango plc (BGO:LON)Persimmon Plc (PSN:LON)
Although 2020 will probably go down in history as one of the most challenging years experienced during our lifetime, it will also likely be chronicled as one of the best years for the recognition and appreciation of science. As we entered 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic was in its infancy. However, it rapidly evolved through the exponential rise in infections and mortality globally. Much has been achieved during the past 12 months in the fight against COVID-19, but, as we enter 2021, there are considerable concerns about the emergence of a mutant version of the virus and the second wave that we are now facing.
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN PHP RECI STX SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
A positive Y/E trading update from Portmeirion this morning with the full year outcome comfortably ahead of market expectations. There is a c7% revenue beat vs our forecast which flows through to us upgrading our FY20 PBT from £0.2m to £1.2m - a highly pleasing outcome in the context of our deep value/recovery/new management thesis. The outperformance was led by the UK/USA where trading proved robust in H2 despite lockdown due to strong online momentum. We keep our outer year profit forecasts unchanged at this stage given the CV19/macro backdrop, but understand current trading is positive with both factories open and the order-book healthy. Management is fully focused on executing the strategic growth plan outlined at the time of the June’20 fund raise and we expect a fuller update at the March finals. Overall, today’s update is a step in the right direction in building confidence in the growth / online plan and should be well received by investors
Companies: Portmeirion Group PLC
Residential for rent developer and manager Watkin Jones today posted FY 2020 results, in which profits, cash and dividend beat our estimates by c. 4 - 5%. We have maintained our FY 2021E forecasts and introduced estimates for FY 2022E. Our growth assumptions are supported by further evidence in the statement of a revival in forward funding by institutional investors for both the Group’s build-to-rent and student accommodation developments. A new strategy is aimed to trial the private residential sales division more to affordable housing, in line with WJ’s low-risk, capital-light model.
Companies: Watkin Jones Plc
Recent news has been positive. Notably, the Group announced a ground-breaking £27.5m contract award with a new OEM customer in mid-September. Trading has been more resilient than we expected at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, demonstrated by the positive full year pre-close update issued today. Revenue for the year to 31 December (£2m) is in-line with our forecast but gross cash is better, by c.£250k. Operational developments continue apace, and reflecting a healthy pipeline and expanding workforce, a dedicated HR executive has been hired. Confidence in the medium-term demand for the Group’s products has improved with recent contract wins; management now believes its Knowsley factory, when fully built-out, will be able to generate £75m of revenue each year against £50m, previously. Our estimates are unchanged pending the full May statement but with a stronger medium-term outlook, we lift our valuation to 65p from 57p.
Companies: Surface Transforms plc
Victoria has issued a trading update highlighting that the strong performance it announced in H1 has continued, with the Group achieving record revenue and operating profit for Q3 to end December. Group revenue was ahead by more than 10% in Q3, in part due the acquisition of the business and assets of Ascot in February 2020. We see the statement as reenforcing the positive messages made at the time of the interim results at the end of November that demonstrated the resilience of the Group. Performance is benefiting from strategic investment in logistics and service in 2019, operational efficiencies, consumers focusing on refurbishing their homes and maintained production and deliveries to satisfy demand. As in November, there will be a UK lockdown impact in Q4, albeit the Board believes Victoria is well placed to meet this headwind. We have no formal forecasts and will initiate In due course.
Companies: Victoria PLC
Cenkos Securities plc has terminated coverage of RA International Group Plc. Our previous recommendation (BUY) and forecasts can no longer be relied upon.
Please contact Cenkos for further information.
Companies: RA International Group Plc
Accrol has delivered strong H1 results, with underlying EBITDA +69% YOY driven by stronger than expected gross margins as mix benefits continue to come through. We maintain earnings forecasts for now, albeit believe these to be well underpinned by margin improvements, synergies and growth. We believe Accrol is well positioned to emerge as a £35-40m EBITDA business over the medium term, in what we see as an exciting period for the Group.
Companies: Accrol Group Holdings plc
Tern plc* (TERN.L, 7.1p/£23.5m) Portfolio update: Strong business momentum (12.01.21) | Audioboom plc* (BOOM.L, 276p/£43.3m) Expanded content network (15.01.21)
Companies: Tern Plc (TERN:LON)Audioboom Group PLC (BOOM:LON)
Boohoo has announced meaningful progress in its Agenda for Change Programme, to deliver long lasting change to its supply chain and business practices. Sir Brian Leveson PC has been appointed to provide independent oversight of the programme, with KPMG engaged to provide additional resource, expertise and independence, working alongside the Group’s internal responsible sourcing and compliance team, as well as with external supply chain audit specialists Bureau Veritas and Verisio. We believe the calibre of the appointments reflects the Group’s unwavering commitment to implementing in full, and with complete transparency, all recommendations of the Independent Review.
We initiate on Portmeirion and argue that it is in a better position than the current market valuation suggests. It has delivered a resilient first half and, following a strategy reset under the new CEO, it has much more enhanced capabilities with an improving model and profit outlook. Furthermore, Portmeirion is well funded with no balance sheet concerns. The shares trade on low spot multiples of 10x FY21 P/E with and 5x EV/EBITDA with a 9% FCF yield. A SOTP analysis based on peer/corporate deal metrics shows fair value towards 650p. Patient deep value investors should take a much closer look.
The impacts of COVID-19 on trading were visible in the H121 outturn but management actions resulted in an improved net cash position at the period end. Walker Greenbank will be renamed the Sanderson Design Group as part of a wider strategic improvement programme. Noting a solid start to H2 so far, management’s messaging is rightly still cautious about the market outlook but it is encouraging to see the combination of close operational control and strategic improvement are running in parallel.
Companies: Sanderson Design Group PLC
Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on De La Rue (DLAR) and Walker Greenbank (WGB). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for these companies. All forecasts should now be considered redundant.
Trackwise has announced a placing and open offer, potentially raising up to £12.0m (gross). This is to fund a new manufacturing facility that is expected to quadruple IHT production capacity. The additional capacity is required to support the up to £38m electric vehicle (EV) contract announced in September and potential volume orders from electro-surgical catheter manufacturers and aerospace OEMs and suppliers.
Companies: Trackwise Designs Plc