Dunelm has reported total sales growth of 6.2% and LFL of 5.0% for 2Q, comprising in-store LFL of 1.2% and online LFL of 32%. This compares with 2Q 2018/19 in-store and online LFLs of +5.7% and +37.9%. It has also reported Gross Margin up by 110bps against +190bps in the corresponding quarter.
Companies: Dunelm Group plc
We are introducing our Best Ideas for 2019 and also review the performance of last year’s picks. We suggest ten solidly financed stocks with good business dynamics that ought to be considered for core portfolio holdings and six UK domestically focused stocks that our analysts believe should perform strongly in the event that uncertainties unwind. We also introduce a new style of research from N+1 Singer which presents a Company’s dynamics and metrics in a clear and concise manner and concentrate
Companies: BCA CLIN CLG CBP DNLM EAH STU FCRM FUTR GTLY INS GLE NICL SPR TRI RWS
Dunelm Group (DNLM LN) Positive performance puts paid to previous problems – shares to rise | Liontrust Asset Management (LIO LN) Good flows but uncertainty prompts caution | N Brown Group (BWNG LN) Unchanged FY EPS but Product sales weak. FCF/DPS hit by more PPI | Renold (RNO LN) H1 trading in line, FY19 expectations reiterated
Companies: DNLM LIO BWNG RNO
Dunelm’s new CEO is taking steps to address recent underperformance and build the core brand. These include closing or selling the loss-making Worldstores (WS) businesses; developing a new web platform and introduction of ‘click and collect’; and launching a marketing campaign to raise the brand profile and acquire new customers. Assuming plans are executed successfully, we see upside to consensus forecasts.
Advanced Medical Solutions (AMS LN) Interims mixed | Dunelm Group (DNLM LN) Positive strategic update and multi-channel progress report | Findel (FDL LN) Positive take-aways from Xmas press show | Goals Soccer Centres (GOAL LN) Overcoming H1 setbacks to start H2 strongly | Medica Group (MGP LN) Buying opportunity in structural growth market leader | ReNeuron Group (RENE LN) AGM update highlights development progress & licensing discussions | Ten Entertainment Group (TEG LN) Resilient H1 with pos
Companies: AMS DNLM STU GOAL MGP RENE TEG
Dunelm Group (DNLM LN) Resilient Q4 sales but heatwave means higher Sale stock (4% d/grade) | Liontrust Asset Management (LIO LN) FuM +9% in Q1, forecasts unchanged | Mobile Streams (MOS LN) Full year update | ReNeuron Group (RENE LN) In-line FY results highlight hRPC deal & upcoming Phase III start in Stroke | Xaar (XAR LN) Joint investment with Stratasys in newly formed Xaar 3D Ltd
Companies: DNLM LIO MOS RENE XAR
See what's trending this week...
Dunelm Group (DNLM LN) Kiddicare - competitor closures and sales transfer | Harwood Wealth (HW/ LN) Interims in line, returns from consolidation continue |
Companies: Dunelm Group plc (DNLM:LON)Harwood Wealth Management (HW.:LON)
After an unscheduled warning in May, guidance prudently baked in a continuation of weak end-market demand and consensus EPS reduced by 7%/9% in FY18/FY19 respectively. It would be premature to say this was purely weather-led, but John Lewis weekly data certainly supports this argument. Either way, tough conditions are forcing capacity out of what is still a highly fragmented market with share up for grabs. Mothercare’s downsizing highlights this and Dunelm’s ambitions for Kiddicare are likely to
Best Ideas - 2018 H1 Review
Companies: SAA VP/ GLE AFRN IOM HSP CVSG EKF PMGR RLM AVG SOG DNLM SFR YU/ CBP VRNA
Bioquell (BQE LN) Disposal of final non-core asset | Dunelm (DNLM LN) Friday’s downgrade disappointing but not a fundamental concern | First Derivatives (FDP LN) Upgrading EPS estimates by 7-8% | IDOX (IDOX LN) Interim trading update, closure of Digital and new CEO
Companies: BQE DNLM FDP IDOX
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Dunelm Group plc.
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After a stellar period of trading through the various stages of Covid 19 restrictions, and easings, ScS
has reported a step-back in trading momentum in recent weeks. We await to see if the slower
trading is temporary, reflective of a change in Christmas shopping patterns, or of a more permanent
basis. We leave forecasts unchanged, looking for CPTP of £13.7m and EPS of 26.5p (both IFRS 16
compliant), as such the stock trades on an undemanding EV/EBITDA multiple of 4x for FY22 and 3.4x
Companies: ScS Group plc
Marks & Spencer ("M&S") has developed a ‘building the brands’ component to its overall strategy to transform and so improve its Clothing & Home ("C&H") performance. To date the most notable development in this complementary work to its core brand improvement has been the acquisition of Jaeger, which is now going through the gears of positive change. Alongside wholesale and exclusive collaborations, M&S has now announced that it is acquiring a 25% stake in ‘Nobody's Child’, a fast-growing respons
Companies: Marks and Spencer Group plc
easyJet’s FY21 results correspond to the market’s anticipations as the preliminary figures were communicated previously. Despite the worsening COVID-19 situation in Europe, the group seems upbeat on its capacity forecast for the next FY. Too early to judge whether it is too optimistic as all depends upon the development of the new Omicron variant.
Companies: easyJet plc
STU’s integrated online retail/credit model performed well in H1, even with well-documented headwinds in late Q2. EBITDA margin in the traditionally quieter half was >14%. As outlined in the June CMD, Studio has a clear growth strategy capable of driving EPS to c100p in 3-5 years. However, new customer recruitment has softened short term. On top of cost headwinds, PBT guidance has reduced by c£6m and we have downgraded estimates across all years.
Companies: Studio Retail Group plc
Motorpoint’s interim results for the 6 months to 30th September are record breaking and reflect very well
on the Group’s ability to traverse what remain unusual and volatile market conditions. Whilst said
conditions have undoubtedly supported sales in the nearly new market, availability has been a challenge
which has brought to the fore Motorpoint’s flexible, agile and brand agnostic model, in our view. With H1
22 sales and margin strongly ahead, we are upgrading our FY22 CPTP forecast by c22
Companies: Motorpoint Group Plc
One Media iP (OMiP) has released a robust FY21E trading update, with Adj EBITDA of £1.65m; slightly below our forecast of £1.8m, owing to it taking a little longer to deploy cash raised on acquisitions of new royalty assets, and adverse foreign exchange movements. The company ended the period with £0.7m of net cash (vs our forecast of £0.3m of net debt), leaving further financial resources available for acquisitions heading into FY22E. Applying a conservative 8x Net Publisher Share (NPS) multipl
Companies: One Media iP Group PLC
Companies: Loungers Plc
Compass reported in line FY21 results and a weaker-than-consensus FY22 margin guidance due to short-term headwinds. The expected alleviation of these negatives in H2 22 and the cost reduction programmes should support a nearly-full recovery of margin in FY23. As a result, the FY22 consensus should come in lower but the FY23 consensus should be more optimistic.
Companies: Compass Group PLC
M&B’s has announced a strong closure to FY20/21. The adjusted EPS came in much ahead of both our and market consensus. The publican has also made a good start to FY21/22, with 2.7% lfl growth (vs same period in FY19). In the coming few quarters, we expect M&B to perform ahead of close competitors, in turn gaining market share. Positive stock recommendation is maintained on the UK-based publican.
Companies: Mitchells & Butlers plc
Pendragon has released a trading update today increasing its guidance for FY21 underlying PBT from £70m to approximately £80m. The Group attributes this lower than expected shortfall in the supply of new vehicles in the first two months of Q4 2021. Performance has also been supported by a strong GPPU because of a higher mix of premium vehicles sold. We have increased our FY21 forecasts of underlying PBT by 14.1% to £80.2m. We leave our FY22 and FY23 forecasts unchanged at this stage. Whilst we t
Companies: Pendragon PLC
Companies: Topps Tiles Plc
During the challenges of Covid, N Brown has taken the opportunity to accelerate its transformation programme. Strategic change was augmented by the FY2021 £100m equity raise, which alongside strong underlying cash generation sees the Group with a now comfortable balance sheet, with £80.8m of core net cash and all debt securitised against customer receivables. Management has again reiterated medium term targets for 7% annual Product sales growth and a 14% Group EBITDA margin, from which we take c
Companies: N Brown Group plc
Exactly one year ago, the FTSE 100 closed at 5,862, having fallen 100 points on the day, the lowest point since mid-May 2020, due in part, to the strength of sterling vs US$ at $1.34. One year on, the FTSE 100 has risen to 7,119, a rise of 21%, it remains 7% below the peak in January 2020. From an international viewpoint, US and European markets continue to trade at record highs. The US Federal Reserve is close to withdrawing some of its economic support this year as inflation picks up and the e
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Companies: Air Partner plc
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