AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN)C; Target Price: £0.50: Successful US$100 mm bond raise opens new horizons – PetroTal has raised ~US$100 mm through a 3 year senior bond issue with a fixed coupon of 12% per year and a borrowing limit of US$125 mm. ~US$20 mm will be used to repay the US$16.6 mm derivative liabilities to Petroperu (formalized in November) and the US$2.9 mm government pandemic loan, while US$20 mm are earmarked to make acquisitions. The balance will be invested in the Bretana field to accelerate production, along with funds to secure a hedging programme. We had incorporated the bond issue in our forecasts that are based on a US$100 mm capex programme for 2021. The programme includes a total of four new producing wells and one disposal well. Drilling is expected to restart in March. With ~11.5 mbbl/d production in 2021 increasing to >16 mbbl/d (we assume cautiously 15 mbbl/d) in 2022, we continue to forecast respectively ~US$90 mm and US$170 mm operating cash flow (pre finance costs) in 2021 and 2022. This implies EV/DACF multiples of 2.2x in 2021 and 0.6x in 2022. There are multiple sources of upside that the company will now pursue: (i) The 3P reserves at Bretana represent ~100% upside to the 2P case. (ii) The Constitucion prospect (70 mmbbl) on Block 107 is expected to be drilled in 1Q22 or 2Q22. A success at Constitucion would also derisk larger prospects on the licence. (iii) PetroTal has also identified a total of ~115 mmbbl prospective resources at various prospects and leads on Block 95. Valeura Energy (VLU LN/VLE CN)C: Initiating Coverage - Valeura is a Toronto and London listed ~US$40 mm market cap cash shell. The firm holds ~US$31 mm in cash and, in 1Q21, is expected to complete the divestment of its legacy producing asset for US$15 mm in cash. Valeura’s management team is very well-rounded with diverse transaction and operational experience and commercial acumen. The company attracted Equinor as a 50/50 partner for its deep gas Turkish assets where Valeura operated the drilling of multiple wells. Valeura is now looking to leverage its ~US$45 mm pro forma cash and listed equity to make acquisitions of undervalued assets or companies with producing assets and exploration upside within Eastern Europe, North Africa and the Middle East. Valeura is differentiated from other acquirers on three other counts. (i) It offers quality equity paper listed on the LSE main market and the TSX that can be used as a currency. (ii) It holds much more cash than many other shells. This is important because private equity sellers will require a degree of cash consideration alongside shares. Holding cash rather than having to rely on the market to access cash reduces execution risk. It also allows Valeura to target larger transactions combining the cash on the balance sheet with funds from other sources including debt and potentially further equity raises, depending on value accretion. (iii) Valeura’s shares trade near cash value which ought to result in fewer arguments regarding relative value. Wentworth Resources (WEN LN)C; Target price: £0.40: Looking beyond the 2P reserves: proved developed reserves up by ~50% - The gross field YE20 2P reserves of 445.3 bcf at Mnazi Bay are unchanged compared to YE19 when adjusted for 2020 production. However, the field’s gross proved developed reserves at YE20 of 191 bcf have increased ~50% year on year. Adding back 23 bcf of production in 2020 suggests 87 bcf has been converted from proved undeveloped reserves to the developed category. This derisking of proved reserves reflects the lower sands being put in production, as these reserves had been previously classified as “behind pipe”. The independent auditor’s after tax NPV10-15 of US$98-117 mm for Wentworth’s interest in the field represent 2.5-3.0x the current EV of the company. The shares continue to trade at EV/DACF multiples of 2.9x in 2021 and 2.2x in 2022. IN OTHER NEWS ________________________________________ AMERICAS Alvopetro (ALV CN): Production update in Brazil - January sales averaged 1,923 boe/d. Maha Energy (MAHA-A SS): Reserves update and FY21 outlook – At YE20, the company held ~45 mmbbl of oil and 20 bcf of natural gas of 2P reserves in Brazil, USA and Oman. Maha also holds ~22 mmbbl contingent resources in Oman. Maha expects to produce 4.0-5.0 mboe/d in 2021 with US$26 mm capex. Parex Resources (PXT CN): Reserves update in Colombia – 4Q20 production was 46,642 boe/d. Parex held 194 mmboe of 2P reserves at YE20 (-2% vs YE19). ASIA PACIFIC Jadestone Energy (JSE LN): Trading update in Australia/Vietnam and New Zealand – Jadestone had net cash of US$82.0 mm at YE20. The completion of the acquisition of the New Zealand asset is expected to take place in 1H21. EUROPE ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Upsized Equity raise – ADX is raising A$3 mm of new equity from its shareholders at a price of A$0.006 per share. In addition, participating shareholders will be granted one option for every two subscribed shares to acquire new shares at a strike price of A$0.08 per share. Aker BP (AKERBP NO): 4Q20 results – 4Q20 production in Norway was 223.1 mboe/d, with US$1.73 bn capex for FY20. YE20 net debt was US$3.6 bn. FY21 production guidance has been set at 210-220 mboe/d with total capital spend of USD 2.2-2.3 bn. The company anticipates a dividend for 2021 of US$450 mm (up from US$425 mm in 2020). BP (BP LN): 4Q20 results – Adjusted net profit for 4Q20 was US$115 mm. FY20 production was 3,473 mboe/d with US$12 bn capex. The organic reserves replacement ratio was 78% for the year. Including acquisitions and divestments, the total reserves replacement ratio was -5%. DNO (DNO NO): Discovery in Norway – DNO has made a 45-70 mmboe discovery at the Røver Nord prospect in the Norwegian North Sea license PL923 in which the Company holds a 20% WI. EnQuest (ENQ LN): Acquisition of UK assets – EnQuest is acquiring 26.69% WI in Golden Eagle from Suncor. The transaction adds production of ~10 mboepd, ~18 mmbbl of net 2P reserves and ~5 mmbbl of net 2C resources. FY21 opex for the acquired asset is ~US$5/boe. The effective date of the transaction is 01/01/2021. The initial consideration is US$325 mm, with an additional contingent consideration of up to US$50 mm depending on oil price. EnQuest plans to finance the transaction through a combination of a new secured debt facility and an equity raise of up to US$50 mm. FY20 production was 59,116 boe/d with capex of ~US$130 mm. Gross production at Kraken was 37,518 bbl/d. YE20 net debt was US$1,280 mm. FY21 production is expected to be between 46,000 boe/d and 52,000 boe/d; Kraken gross production is expected to be between 30,000 bbl/d and 35,000 bbl/d. Lundin Energy (LUNE SS): Dry hole in Norway – The 7219/11-1 exploration well on the Bask prospect in production licence 533B was dry. OKEA Energy (OKEA NO): 4Q20 results – 4Q20 production in Norway was 16,171 boe/d. At YE20, OKEA held NOK2,400 mm in debt and had NOK 871 mm in cash. OKEA expects go produce 15.5-16.5 mboe/d in 2021 with NOK0.6-0/7 bn. OMV (OMV AG): 4Q20 results – 4Q20 production was 472 mboe/d. The company expects to produce 480 mboe/d in 2021 with cape of US$2.7 bn. Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B LN): 4Q20 results – Shell reported 4Q20 adjusted net earnings of US$0.4 bn with production of 3,371 mboe/d and FY20 capex of US$18 bn. FY21 production guidance has been set at 3,300 3,500 mboe/d. 1Q21 dividend has been increased by 4% from 4Q20 to US$0.1735 per share. FORMER SOVIET UNION Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): Operational update in Kazakhstan – The company currently produces 1.2-1.5 mbbl/d. Domestic oil prices in Kazakhstan are currently only US$6/bbl. Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG LN): Operating update and reserves downgrade Kazakstan – FY20 sales volumes were 21,514 boe/d. Net debt is expected not to exceed US$1.1 bn at YE20. YE20 2P reserves are estimated at 39 mmboe (down 91 mmboe compared to YE19). The revisions in reserves are mainly due to the downgrade of reserves attributed to the development of the Biyski-Afoninski West & North-West reservoirs to the contingent resources category. FY21 production guidance has been set at 17,000 boe/d, corresponding to a sales volume of 16,000 boe/d. MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA BP (BP LN): Divesting assets in Oman – BP is selling a 20% participating interest in Oman’s Block 61 to PTTEP for US$2.6 bn. Following completion of the sale, BP will remain operator of the block, holding a 40% interest. United Oil & Gas (UOG LN): Trading update – FY20 WI in Egypt production was 2,195 boe/d. At YE20, the company held US$2.1 mm in cash. 1H21 production in Egypt is forecast to average between 2,300 and 2,500 boe/d for 1H21 with US$5.3 mm capex. SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Seplat Petroleum (SEPL LN): Update in Nigeria – Seplat ‘s Joint Venture, the ANOH Gas Processing Company, has raised US$260 mm in debt to fund the completion of its ANOH Gas Processing Plant. Construction cost is now expected to be no more than US$650 mm, inclusive of financing costs and taxes, below the original projected cost of US$700 mm. EVENTS TO WATCH NEXT WEEK ________________________________________ 09/02/2021: Tethys Oil (TETY SS) – 4Q20 results 11/02/2021: DNO (DNO ASA) – 4Q20 results 11/02/2021: Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B LN) – Strategy day
Companies: NOG CASP RDSA ADX AKERBP ALV BP/ DNO ENQ JSE LUNE MAHAA OMV PXT TAL SEPL WEN
AMERICAS 88 Energy (88E LN/AU): Farm out in Alaska – 88 Energy is selling 50% WI in the Peregrine project to Alaska Peregrine Development Company (APDC). in return, APDC will contribute US$11.3 mm towards the cost of the Merlin-1 well (estimated gross cost US$12.6 mm). APDC is a special purpose investment vehicle organized for Project Peregrine. Its members are a consortium of private US entities. Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)C: PSC contract in Trinidad renewed and Resources update – The company has entered into a new PSC for the Goudron Block with Heritage. The contract is valid until 30 June 2030. 2P reserves on the company’s licences are estimated at 1.3 mmbbl. In addition, the company is estimated to have 7.5 mmbbl contingent resources in Trinidad and Suriname, excluding the Saffron discovery. The company’s base programme for 2021 will include (1) the drilling of the Saffron well with up to 7 production follow-on wells on success; (2) an EWT at Weg Naar Zee in Suriname in February 2021 followed by up to 6 development wells; and (3) up to 2 exploration wells on the South West Peninsula of Trinidad. The programme is expected to cost US$20 mm. An accelerated programme (US$35 mm capex) would include 8 further Saffron wells in Trinidad, 3 further Weg Naar Zee wells and one exploration well in the SWP. Echo Energy (ECHO LN): Update in Argentina – Production in Santa Cruz from 1 January to 17 November 2020 was 1,990 boe/d. Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN/CN): Drilling results in Trinidad – The Cascadura Deep-1 well encountered natural gas pay totalling ~1,315 net feet in four unique thrust sheets in the Herrera sands. This includes 308 net feet in two previously untested Herrera thrust sheets located below the sands observed in the Cascadura-1ST1 well. While the well was originally planned to be drilled to a total depth of 10,600 feet, the gas sands encountered in the deepest sheet proved difficult to manage, and the decision was made to cease drilling at a depth of 8,303 feet to preserve the substantial pay section encountered in the well. ASIA PACIFIC Jadestone Energy (JSE LN): Trading update – Group production from January to November was11,356 bbl/d. FY20 production guidance remains 11,000–12,500 bbl/d. At the end of November Jadestone held net cash of US$82.6 mm. The Maari acquisition is now expected to close in 1H21 rather than by YE20 as previously anticipated as a result of delays caused by COVID-19 and New Zealand’s recent general election. EUROPE Providence Resources (PVR LN) and Lansdowne Oil & Gas (LOGP LN): Farm out in Ireland – Providence and Lansdowne are farming out 50% WI in Baryroe to SpotOn. In return SpotOn will provide a non-recourse loan to Providence and Lansdowne for their share of the development cost. The funding will incur a blended average annual interest rate of less than 8% through the repayment period which will be repayable from SEL 1/11 production cashflow. SpotOn is entitled to 80% of the net production cashflow from SEL 1/11 until the debt is repaid. UK Oil & Gas (UKOG LN): Consent for UK project refused - Surrey County Council has refused planning consent for the company's 100% owned Loxley-1/1z Portland gas appraisal project. FORMER SOVIET UNION Block Energy (BLOE LN): Raising new equity – Block has raised ~£5.3 mm of new equity priced at £0.03 per share (almost a 30% discount to the previous day close). Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): Update in Kazakhstan – The MJF field is currently producing at rates between 1,300 and 1,550 bbl/d. A consistent flow of oil has not been established at Deep Well A8 and the company had another stuck pipe at the Deep Well A5. The result of the acid treatments at Deep Well A6 have to date have been inconclusive. The domestic oil prices in Kazakhstan are only US$6/bbl. MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA Genel Energy (GENL LN): Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP LN), ShaMaran Petroleum (SNM CN): Payment in Kurdistan – Genel, ShaMaran and Gulf Keystone have received respectively net payments of US$10.3 mm, US$7.5 mm and US$5.44 mm from the Kurdistan Regional Government for oil sales for the month of October 2020. TransGlobe Energy (TGL LN/CN): Restructuring of Egypt Licences - The West Gharib, West Bakr, and North West Gharib concessions will be merged into the Merged Concession with a new 15-year development term and a 5-year extension option. Cost recovery terms are being improved and the production sharing terms will be scaled to oil price. The increased cash flows is expected to fund new investments in incremental recovery projects. Near-term operational netbacks are estimated to increase by respectively US$5-7/bbl at US$40/bbl (Brent), US$7-9/bbl at US$50/bbl and US$9-11/bbl at US$60/bbl. The company has estimated that the new terms increase the company’s risked economic contingent resources (best case) by 59.1 mmbbl. In return TransGlobe will make an initial equalization payment of US$15 mm and a bonus payment of US$1 mm on ratification. There will be five further annual equalization payments of US$10 mm each being made over five years. United Oil & Gas (UOG LN): Operational update in Egypt – WI production from Abu Sennan is on target to exceed previous guidance of 2,300 boe/d for 2H20. SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas: Licence update in Namibia- Four new Petroleum Exploration Licenses have been agreed on the company’s existing offshore blocks, leading to the expansion of its acreage position. The new licences cover approximately 28,593 km2, with over 2.362 Billion BOE of prospective P50 resources. FAR Limited (FAR AU): Woodside Petroleum pre-empts divestment in Senegal – Woodside is pre-empting the sale by FAR to ONGC of its interest in the Rufisque, Sangomar and Sangomar Deep assets.
Companies: CASP BPC SNM TXP UKOG 88E GENL JSE TGL
Lansdowne Oil & Gas*, Providence Resources (LOGP LN, PVR LN): Barryroe Farm-out confirmed | Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): Operational challenges at Deep Well 5 affecting gross production | Enwell Energy (ENW LN): Mekhediviska-Golotvshinska licence extension confirmed | Genel Energy (GENL LN): Government payments for oil sales | Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP LN): KRG pays US$7.5m for October sales
Companies: LOGP CASP ENW GENL GKP
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price US$20 per share: Drilling at CPO-5 has started - The 3Q20 operating update did not contain any surprises, with overall production increasing by 5% vs the previous quarter, reflecting higher sales in Brazil, Argentina and Chile. Importantly, gross production at Llanos-34 is back to 60 mbbl/d with some work-over backlog and development drilling having restarted. Overall net production (across all of GeoPark’s assets) was 40 mboe/d at the end of September and FY20 production guidance of 40-42 mboe/d has been reiterated (2H20 capex guidance of US$25-35 mm). Drilling at CPO-5 (GeoPark WI: 30%) has now commenced with the Indico-2 appraisal well. With the Indico-1 well still producing 5,169 bbl/d since first oil in December 2018, Indico-2 could add 60% to CPO-5 overall production by YE20 in a success case. GeoPark will publish its 2021 capex budget on 4 November. We view this as an important event as this will provide further visibility on a very exciting drilling programme with 5-7 wells at CPO-5 and 1-2 wells in Ecuador. The exploration program for 2021 will likely test the continuity of the Guadalupe play encountered on Llanos-34 into CPO-5. Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; Target price SEK75.00 per share: Initiating coverage - Tethys Oil is a well-funded, dividend-paying, Sweden listed US$160 mm market cap E&P with ~25 mmbbl 2P reserves in Oman and ~10 mbbl/d WI production. The company stands apart from its peers in three principal ways: (1) It has achieved “textbook” execution, turning what was initially a small uncommercial onshore discovery on a tiny portion of Blocks 3&4 into a large field that has already produced ~100 mmbbl with a further ~120 mmbbl 3P reserves. (2) The production is very cash generative even at US$40/bbl. At US$45/bbl, even at the currently OPEC constrained production rate, operating cashflow funds all development plus some exploration activities and allows Tethys to pay a 5% dividend. (3) Tethys is conservatively run with US$60 mm in cash and no debt. Historically, the story was about steady y-on-y production, reserves and dividend growth. While these features are still present, an investment in Tethys now also offers diverse exposure to high impact exploration with drilling activities on recently acquired onshore blocks expected to start before YE20. Our target price of SEK75 per share reflects ReNAV and implies over 70% upside. IN OTHER NEWS ________________________________________ AMERICAS Alvopetro (ALV CN): Production update in Brazil – 3Q20 sales were 1,764 boe/d at the Caburé Project. Maha Energy (MAHA-A SS): Production and capex guidance update – FY20 production (mostly in Brazil) is expected to stand at 3,700–4,000 boe/d (4,000-5,000 boe/d previously). The FY20 capex budget increased by US$8.7 mm to US$24 mm. YE20 production is expected to be 5,200 – 5,700 boe/d. Pantheon Resources (PANR LN): Resources update in Alaska – The Kuparuk formation at the Talitha project is estimated to contain 1.4 billion bbl of oil in place (OIP) and a Prospective Resource of 341 mmbbl as a most likely case. Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN): Discovery in Trinidad – The Chinook well encountered 589 net feet of gas pay in three unique thrust sheets in the Herrera sands. Additional natural gas pay of ~20 net feet was encountered in the shallower Cruse formation. Completion and testing of the well is expected to be undertaken in 1Q21. Trinity Exploration and Production (TRIN LN): 3Q20 operational update in Trinidad – 3Q20 production was 3,135 bbl/d. The company held US$22.2 mm in cash as at 30 September. FY20 production guidance remains 3,100-3,300 bbl/d. EUROPE Aker Bp (AKERBP NO): 3Q20 update in Norway – Aker BP produced 201.6 mboe/d in 3Q20. The FY20 production guidance of 205-220 mboe/d is reiterated. UK Oil & Gas (UKOG LN), Angus Energy (ANG LN) and Egdon Resources (EDR LN): Onshore UK licence relinquished – Long-reach/shallow wells at the Holmwood prospects are neither technically viable nor economically feasible. The licence has been relinquished. FORMER SOVIET UNION Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): Operating update in Kazakhstan – Production at the MJF structure averaged ~1,340 bbl/d. The completion of maintenance activities, the return to production of Well 141 and the installation of a pump at Well 151 are expected to increase production capacity to 2,200 - 2,500 bbl/d. Enwell Energy (ENW LN): Ukraine update – 3Q20 production in Ukraine was 4,629 boe/d. The company held US$55.7 mm in cash at the end of September. SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Kosmos Energy (KOS US/ LN): RBL Redetermination – Kosmos’ RBL credit facility has been redetermined with US$1.32 billion, a reduction of US$130 mm from the previous drawn amount of US$1.45 billion. Repayment of the reduction in borrowing base will be made from available liquidity in 4Q20. EVENTS TO WATCH NEXT WEEK ________________________________________ 20/10/2020: Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN) - Webinar
Companies: TXP ALV AKERBP CASP GPRK KOS MAHAA PANR TETY TETY UKOG
Serica Energy (SQZ) – Upbeat operations update | Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): BNG continues to produce in line with guidance | ADM Energy (ADME LN): 14th lifting confirmed at Aje, offshore Nigeria
Companies: SQZ CASP ADME
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price NOK23.00 per share: Boosting returns in Gabon, gearing for exploration - BW Energy, the operator of the Dussafu licence is reviewing the development concept of Hibiscus and Ruche with a jack-up conversion instead of a new build wellhead platform. Overall, this could reduce the break-even of the project from US$30/bbl to US$25/bbl, reflecting the current low cost of barges. The operator now estimates that the project would achieve an IRR of 15% at US$30/bbl (US$35/bbl previously). Pending more visibility on the new development plan, gross capex could be 20% lower than the previously anticipated US$400 mm. The development is expected to restart in 4Q20. Net to Panoro’s 7.5% WI, the potential net savings would represent ~US$6 mm, almost ~8% of the current market cap. Given Panoro’s high cost of capital, this could be material as Panoro could redeploy the freed-up capital on other initiatives. Panoro shares trade in line with our 2P NAV of ~NOK10 per share that does not factor in the potential lower capex in Gabon. In addition, Panoro continues to offer near term diversified and high impact exploration upside with an aggregate unrisked value for the programme of almost NOK30 per share (~3x the current share price). An enhanced balance sheet with lower development cost in Gabon provides additional fire power to the exploration drilling activities. The Salloum West appraisal well (unrisked NAV of >NOK3 per share) is expected to be drilled in 1Q21. Subject to completion of farm-out transactions with Africa Energy, the company will then drill a very high impact exploration well drilled in South Africa (unrisked NAV of NOK15 per share). Drilling the upside at the Greater Hibiscus area later in 2021 has an unrisked value of NOK10 per share. SDX Energy (SDX LN)C; Target price £0.40 per share: Initiating Coverage - SDX Energy is a £35 mm market cap full cycle exploration and production company with low cost (6 mboe/d) and reserves (>10 mmboe) in Egypt and Morocco. In contrast to most peers, SDX’s business is insulated from oil price moves with ~90% of the production being fixed-price gas on LT contracts. Recent drilling successes have opened up additional low risk/low cost/short cycle exploration and development upside in both countries. SDX will soon embark on a multi-year exploration programme. With infrastructure already in place, any discovery will be highly accretive and can be developed from SDX’s own source of funds. SDX shares trade at EV/DACF multiples of ~1.3x in 2020. Our 2P NAV is £0.27 per share, representing 70% upside. The prospective resources already identified have an unrisked NAV of £0.12 per share for Egypt (+75%) and £1.03 per share for Morocco (+600%). The main exploration drilling programme is restarting in 2021 but the company should test the LMS-2 well in Morocco in 4Q20, should COVID-19 restrictions be lifted. A success would derisk ~5 bcf WI resources at LMS-2 (+£0.13 per share) and a further ~20 bcf WI resources in the wider La Mimouna area (+£0.50 per share). Our target price of £0.40 per share (~ our ReNAV) represents ~150% upside. IN OTHER NEWS ________________________________________ AMERICAS Trinity Exploration and Production (TRIN LN): 1H20 results – 1H20 production in Trinidad was 3,282 bbl/d. FY20 production is still expected to be in the range of 3,100 - 3,300 bbl/d. Trinity held US$19.7 mm in cash as at 30 June 2020. EUROPE ADX Energy (ADX AU) and Reabold Resources (RBD LN): Flow test results in Romania below expectations – Following acidisation, the flow rate of the Iecea Mica-1 well was below expectations. BP (BP LN) and ENI (ENI IM): Discovery in Egypt - The Nidoco NW-1 exploratory well discovered gas-bearing sands for a total thickness of 100 m, of which 50 m is within the Pliocene sands of the Kafr-El-Sheik formations and 50 m within the Messinian age sandstone of the Abu Madi formations. The Great Nooros Area gas in place is now be estimated > 4 tcf. Deltic Energy (DELT LN): Resources update – The Cadence, Cordova, Bathurst and Basset prospects hold 597 bcf, 124 bcf, 275 bcf and 128 bcf prospective resources (P50) respectively. These licences were recently offered to Deltic and are located in the Southern North Sea. IGas Energy (IGAS LN): Acquiring Geothermal business – IGas is acquiring GT Energy, a developer of deep geothermal heat projects onshore UK. GT Energy's principal project is a 14 MW deep geothermal project in the Etruria Valley, Stoke-on-Trent. IGas will make an initial payment of £500,000 to be satisfied by the issue of 2,222,223 IGas ordinary shares. There could be further payments according to milestones associated with progress at GT Energy’s project. The maximum payable consideration is £12 mm with new ordinary shares of IGas not exceeding 29.9% of the share capital of IGas. GT Energy has entered into a term sheet with Gravis Capital Management to fund a significant proportion of the ~£20 mm project through a limited-recourse debt facility. Independent Oil & Gas (IOG LN): Potential offer to acquire Deltic Energy (DELT LN) – Independent Oil & Gas is considering a possible all-share offer for the Deltic. Premier Oil (PMO LN): Considering transaction with Chrysaor – Premier Oil is in discussions with Chrysaor as a potential alternative to the proposed equity raise. The preferred route remains the re-financing announced previously. Union Jack Oil (UJO LN): Equity raise – Union Jack is raising £7 mm of new equity at a price of £0.16 per share. The proceeds of the fundraising will be used to (1) pay the deferred cash consideration due on first oil production at the Wressle development in 4Q20, (2) drill a side-track well at the Biscathorpe discovery in 2021 and (3) ongoing investment in the other conventional onshore drill-ready projects including a proposed low-cost, side-track well at the producing Keddington oilfield and a proposed conventional well at North Kelsey. FORMER SOVIET UNION Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): 1H20 results – 1H20 production in Kazakhstan was 1,494 boe/d with production of 1,643 boe/d at the end of June. The company held US$0.2 mm in cash at the end of June. MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA Energean (ENOG LN): New gas contract in Israel– Energean has signed two new Gas Sales and Purchase Agreements which, combined, represent quantities of gas of up to 1.4 bcm/y and increase total firm contracted gas sales from the Karish project to approximately 7.0 bcm/y on plateau. SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Global Petroleum (GBP LN/AU): Raising £1.4 mm of new equity – Global is raising £1.4 mm of new equity priced at 0.75p per share. Subscribers are also being issued 1 warrant per share with a strike price of 1.5p.
Companies: BP/ CASP ENOG ENI PEN PMO RBD SDX
Caspian Sunrise announced a capital raise of £1.0M at 2.75p to accelerate the repayment of its trade creditor positions. We note the company had previously announced its relatively tight working capital position following the switch to export status at the MJF structure in 2019, the impact of the measures taken to combat the Covid-19 virus and weakness in crude oil prices. The company indicated that the capital raised allows its trade creditor position to be brought into balance and that another capital raise is not expected in the current financial year and probably not all.
Companies: Caspian Sunrise PLC
Caspian Sunrise (CASP) – Corporate – 2019 Results and Operational Update Market Cap £75.3m Share Price 4.1p Caspian Sunrise announced a 2019 loss for the year of $1.4M (-$8.5M prior year). The company indicated that with newly drilled shallow wells 150 and 151 onstream, it is currently producing circa 2,000 b/d. As the company is a producing company it has been materially affected by the recent downturn in commodity prices. The company indicated that when international oil prices are above $35/b its shallow production covers field opex, corporate general & administrative costs and modest capital expenditures. The company indicated that it intends to enforce its rights in respect of a disagreement with the Kazakh authorities in relation to payments arising from the transfer of the MJF field into a commercial field (change of licence regime).
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target: US$20 - Delivering more with less | Diversified Gas and Oil (DGOC LN): Acquisition in the US and US$87 mm equity raise | Gran Tierra Energy (GTE LN/CN): 1Q20 results| Parex Resources (PXT CN): 1Q20 results | Trinity Exploration and Production (TRIN LN): FY19 results | Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN/CN): 1Q20 results | Condor Petroleum (CPI CN): 1Q20 results | Premier Oil (PMO LN): 1Q20 update and FY20 production guidance reduction | Serinus Energy (SEN LN): 1Q20 update | Valeura Energy (VLU LN/VLE CN): 1Q20 results |Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): Production update in Kazakhstan | Genel Energy (GENL LN): 1Q20 update | Pharos Energy (PHAR LN): 1Q20 results | ShaMaran Petroleum (SNM CN/SS): 1Q20 update in Kurdistan | TransGlobe Energy (TGL LN/CN): 1Q20 results | Africa Oil (AOI SS/CN): 1Q20 results | Vaalco Energy (EGY LN/US): 1Q20 results | Kosmos Energy (KOS LN/US): 1Q20 results
Companies: KOS GPRK DGOC GTE PXT TRIN TXP PMO SEN VLE CASP GENL PHAR SNM TGL AOI EGY
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C: Initiating coverage | 88 Energy (88E LN/AU): Acquisition in Alaska | BP (BP LN): Transaction in Alaska with Hilcorp renegotiated | Columbus Energy Resources (CERP LN): Oil discovery in Trinidad | Premier Oil (PMO LN) and Rockhopper Exploration (RKH LN): Sea Lion farm out (Falklands) exclusivity period extended | BP (BP LN): 1Q20 results | Equinor (EQNR NO): Dry hole in Norway | Getech (GTC LN): Business update | Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Business update in the UK North Sea |IGas Energy (IGAS LN): Shutting some production in the UK | Lundin Energy (LUP SS): 1Q20 results | OKEA (OKEA NO): 1Q20 update in Norway | OMV (OMV AG): 1Q results | Premier Oil (PMO LN): Court approves schemes of arrangement | Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B LN): 1Q20 results and dividend reduction | RockRose Energy (RRE LN): Operational update in the UK | UK Oil & Gas (UKOG LN): £1.275 mm equity raise | Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): Operating update in Kazakhstan | Exillon Energy (EXI LN): February and March production in Russia | Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG LN): 1Q20 update in Kazakhstan | PetroNeft (PTR LN): Operations update | Genel Energy (GENL LN): Update in Kurdistan – While negotiations are ongoing the KRG will not exercise the notice of an intention to terminate the Bina Bawi PSC | ShaMaran Petroleum (SNM CN): Business update in Kurdistan | Tethys Oil (TETY SS): Production reduction in Oman | Total (FP FP): Dry hole in Lebanon | Aminex (AEX LN) and Solo Oil (SOLO LN): Licence extension in Tanzania | Far Limited (FAR AU): Update in Senegal | Lekoil (LEK LN): Final payment with Nigerian partner rescheduled | Orca Exploration (ORC.A/B CN): FY19 results | Savannah Energy (SAVE LN): Financial and operating update in Nigeria | San Leon Energy (SLE LN): Special dividend | Seplat Petroleum (SEPL LN): 1Q20 results
Companies: 88E AEX PEN BP/ CASP CERP EQNR FAR FP HUR GENL GTC IGAS LEK LUNE NOG OKEA OMV ORC/B PMO PTR RKH RDSA RRE SAVE SLE SEPL SNM TETY SCIR UKOG
Union Jack Oil* (UJO LN, STRONG BUY, 0.70p TP): Work programme at West Newton continues | Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): New well 150 ramps up to 500bopd
Companies: Union Jack Oil Plc (UJO:LON)Caspian Sunrise PLC (CASP:LON)
Caspian Sunrise announced the production rate at the recently drilled shallow 153 well at the MJF structure has experienced a production rate increase to in excess of 500 b/d from the previously announced 200 b/d flow rate.
Caspian Sunrise announced that shallow Well 153 has commenced production at a rate of approximately 200 b/d of oil. The company also indicated that the shallow Well 150 which was recently brought on production continues to produce at rates in excess of 500 b/d of oil. Total production is now approximately 1,700 b/d, with total production capacity now in excess of 2,000 b/d of oil, substantially all from the shallow MJF structure.
Caspian Sunrise has announced that Well 153 has reached its total depth, that casing has been cemented in the well and that after the cement is set, the well will be perforated and brought on production. The company expects the well to produce similarly to the Well 150, which was drilled into the same shallow MJF structure and tested at circa 500 b/d of oil. With newly drilled wells 150 and 153, on production the company expects total production to exceed 2,000 b/d.
88 Energy (88 LN/AU)/Premier Oil (PMO LN): Drilling update in Alaska | Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas (ECO LN/EOG CN): Update in Guyana | Maha Energy (MAHA-A SS): Acquisition in USA and production update | Parex Resources (PXT CN): Low capex programme and production update in Colombia | Total (FP FP): Significant discovery in Suriname | Aker BP (AKERBP NO): Small discovery on Norway | BP (BP LN): 1Q20 update and capex reduction | Providence Resources (PVR LN): US$3 mm equity raise | RockRose Energy (RRE LN): FY19 results, guidance revision | Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B LN): 1Q20 update | Valeura Energy (VLE CN/VLU LN) : Update in Turkey | Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): Production update in Kazakhstan | JKX Oil & Gas (JKX LN): FY19 results | Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG LN): Corporate update in Kazakhstan | Energean Oil & Gas (ENEOG LN): Progress at Edison E&P acquisition | Payment from Kurdistan received | TransGlobe Energy (TGL LN/CN): Operating update in Egypt | United Oil & Gas (UOG LN): Update in Egypt | Aker Energy: Postponing development in Ghana | Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL LN/XOP CN): US$63 mm legal claims by Essar against ShoreCan | Tullow Oil (TLW LN): RBL redetermination in line, no further principal repayment until 2021 and further capex reduction
Companies: 88E AKERBP BP/ CASP XOP DNO ENOG GENL GKP JKX MAHAA NOG PMO PXT PRP RDSA RRE TGL TLW UOG VLE
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Caspian Sunrise PLC. We currently have 81 research reports from 5 professional analysts.
i3 Energy has provided an interim update the highlights of which are: • Production is exceeding expectations with lower declines than modelled resulting in stable production from November 2020 to January 2021 averaging 9,150 boe/d (41% liquids) – about 1,000 boe/d greater than expected by the forecasts of the company's competent persons' reports at the time of its relisting. • Based on the futures curves for oil & gas, the company anticipates net operating income for 2021 (revenue minus royalties, operating costs, transportation and processing) of approximately CAD $35m (US $27.6m). • Maintenance capital expenditure guidance in conjunction with the net operating income amounts to CAD$3m. • i3 Energy completed an 80 hour flow-test on a horizontal Falher well located on its Noel acreage in Northeast British Columbia. The flow test ran for a sustained period at 4,200 mcf/d (700 boe/d) on a 1/4” choke. The well is expected to be brought on production at approximately 500 boepd during the second quarter of 2021, following tie-in. This well was not included in the company's 2P reserve estimates. The result represents a materially value enhancing development. Both the net income guidance and maintenance capital guidance excludes the potential contribution of the Noel acreage. • The Company continues to progress the legal process to allow it to declare a dividend in Q1 2021. As previously disclosed, the Company aims to distribute up to 30% of free cash flow as a dividend to shareholders. • The company indicated that discussions continue with a potential farm-in partner for the Serenity discovery and terms are being negotiated. The recent strengthening in commodity prices has reinvigorated activity within i3's virtual data room, and additional parties previously contacted during early 2020 have now re-engaged with the company. The company indicated that the market will be updated if and when an agreement is reached. (see Table 1 for asset scale/value estimates in relation to the company's North Sea assets).
Companies: i3 Energy Plc
Shanta Gold (AIM: SHG), the East Africa-focused gold producer has, this morning, released its full year results for 2020. The company previously announced production and operational figures for 2020 alongside group-wide reserves and resources update. As such the figures reported today are in line with our forecasts down to EBITDA level, but generally better than expected elsewhere– see Fig 1. Overall it has clearly been a strong year financially with revenue, EBITDA and EPS up by 31%, 34% and 270% respectively from the previous year. The company has also kept to its promise of a maiden dividend with 0.10p per share payable in April as part of a semi-annual programme.
Companies: Shanta Gold Limited
tinyBuild— a leading video games publisher and developer with global operations. tinyBuild's strategic focus is in creating longlasting IP by partnering with video games developers, establishing a stable platform on which to build multi-game and multimedia franchises is to join AIM. Offer details TBC. Due mid-March. AMTE Power, a developer and manufacturer of lithium-ion battery cells for specialist markets, announced its intention to seek admission to trading on AIM. Admission is expected to take place during March 2021. The Company intends to raise approximately £7m by way of a placing of new ordinary shares in the capital of the Company. Timing TBC. Samarkand Group Limited, the cross-border eCommerce technology and retail group opening up the world's largest market for brands and retailers, intends to IPO on the Apex Segment Aquis Stock Exchange Growth Market. Admission is targeted for March 2021. Cellular Goods a UK-based provider of premium consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids announced its intention to join the main market (standard). Has raised £13M in an oversubscribed placing. £25m mkt cap. Due 26 Feb. NextEnergy Renewables to launch an IPO on the Main Market. NREN is a differentiated renewables investment Company that aims to capture the most attractive private renewables and energy transition infrastructure investment opportunities globally. Targeting a £300m raise. NREN is targeting total returns of 9-11 per cent. per annum (net of all fees and expenses but including the Target Dividend and capital appreciation) . The Company's target dividend yield for the first full financial year to 31 December 2022 is 5.5 pence. Due Early March 2021. Digital 9 Infrastructure launch an initial public offering on the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, by way of an initial placing and offer for subscription for a target issue £400m. Digital 9 Infrastructure plc is a newly established, externally managed investment trust. The Company will invest in a range of digital infrastructure assets which deliver a reliable, functioning internet. The IPO Prospectus is expected to be published in March 2021. Team PLC announced their plans for an AIM IPO. Team owns Theta Enhanced Asset Management Ltd, trading as Team Asset Management. This is a Jersey-based active fund manager providing discretionary and advisory portfolio management services to private clients, trusts and charities. Assets under management were GBP291m in November, up from GBP140m in December 2019 . The Company is seeking to raise no less than £5m. The Placing will be priced on a pre-money valuation for the Company of £7m. Targeting March Admission. Virgin Wines UK Plc has out their plans for an AIM IPO. Virgin Wines is a direct-to-consumer online wine retailer that sells products to retail customers in the UK through two subscription schemes and a pay-as-you-go offering. The Group also sells a range of beers and spirits and operates a B2B sales channel for corporates. Anticipated mkt cap £110m. Raising £13m in new money and vendor sale of £34.9m . Due 2nd March. Fix Price announces its intention to float on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Fix Price is one of the leading variety value retailers globally and the largest in Russia, with more than 4,200 stores. Fix Price has revenues of RUB 190.1bn, RUB 142.9bn and RUB 108.7bn for 2020, 2019 and 2018, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA for the same years was RUB 36.8bn, RUB 27.2bn and RUB 14.2bn, respectively. The Offer would consist of an offering of GDRs by certain existing shareholders of the Company. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC announced its prospectus has been approved by the FCA. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC is a newly established, externally managed closed-ended investment company. The Company will provide project finance to content makers and commissioners in the global television and film production industry via senior loans secured against pre-sold intellectual property (IP) rights. GPEIT's investment objective is to provide Shareholders with dividend income and modest capital growth through exposure to media content finance. According to media reports, Deliveroo, are expecting to release their IPO plans on 8th March. The company raised more than $180m in January with a valuation of more than $7bn.
Companies: YEW IKA UPR WYN ENW BWNG TRAK DBOX HZM G4M
Lancaster activity update
Companies: Hurricane Energy Plc
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) BUY – H2/20 exploration work returns exciting results at Gedabek CA Bushveld Minerals* (BMN LN) - Strong Buy 31p – Vanadium prices rise as new demand meets tight supply Gemfields (GEM LN) – Resumption of operations at Kagem and Montepuez after a year of disrupted production and sales GoldStone Resources* (GRL LN) – Exercise of warrants raises £1.2m Power Metal Resources* (POW LN) – Portfolio update Strategic Minerals* (SML LN) – Continued access to Cobre confirmed while current copper prices boost Leigh Creek economic returns
Companies: GML AAZ BMN GRL POW SML
Pantheon Resources has this morning announced that the better than expected well-logs from the Kuparuk formation warranted a change in plan for the testing of that formation, namely, from an open hole test to a more rigorous cased hole test (with a 4 ½ inch liner). However, due to equipment failures and technical issues, the formation started to become damaged in its current location and as such it was not possible to set the casing string (4 ½ inch liner). Accordingly, the company has made the decision to drill a new modestly angled sidetrack in the Kuparuk formation. It is estimated that the sidetrack will take 2-3 days to drill, some 650 feet through the Kuparuk formation, which should then allow a better testing operation. As a result of the cold weather in Alaska, the drilling season may be extended into early April.
Companies: Pantheon Resources plc
AMTE Power, a developer and manufacturer of lithium-ion battery cells for specialist markets, announced its intention to seek admission to trading on AIM. Admission is expected to take place during March 2021. The Company intends to raise approximately £7m by way of a placing of new ordinary shares in the capital of the Company. Timing TBC. Samarkand Group Limited, the cross-border eCommerce technology and retail group opening up the world's largest market for brands and retailers, intends to IPO on the Apex Segment Aquis Stock Exchange Growth Market. Admission is targeted for March 2021. Cellular Goods a UK-based provider of premium consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids announced its intention to join the main market (standard) this Spring. Target valuation £20m raising c. £8m “to finalise the development and launch of a range of the Company's premium-quality consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids, which is fully compliant under UK law.” NextEnergy Renewables to launch an IPO on the Main Market. NREN is a differentiated renewables investment Company that aims to capture the most attractive private renewables and energy transition infrastructure investment opportunities globally. Targeting a £300m raise. NREN is targeting total returns of 9-11 per cent. per annum (net of all fees and expenses but including the Target Dividend and capital appreciation) . The Company's target dividend yield for the first full financial year to 31 December 2022 is 5.5 pence. Due Early March 2021. Digital 9 Infrastructure launch an initial public offering on the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, by way of an initial placing and offer for subscription for a target issue £400m. Digital 9 Infrastructure plc is a newly established, externally managed investment trust. The Company will invest in a range of digital infrastructure assets which deliver a reliable, functioning internet. The IPO Prospectus is expected to be published in March 2021. Team PLC announced their plans for an AIM IPO. Team owns Theta Enhanced Asset Management Ltd, trading as Team Asset Management. This is a Jersey-based active fund manager providing discretionary and advisory portfolio management services to private clients, trusts and charities. Assets under management were GBP291m in November, up from GBP140m in December 2019 . The Company is seeking to raise no less than £5 million. The Placing will be priced on a pre-money valuation for the Company of £7m. Targeting March Admission. Virgin Wines UK Plc recently set out their plans for an AIM IPO. Virgin Wines is a direct-to-consumer online wine retailer that sells products to retail customers in the UK through two subscription schemes and a pay-as-you-go offering. The Group also sells a range of beers and spirits and operates a B2B sales channel for corporates. Deal details TBC but media reports suggest a £100m valuation. Targeting 2nd March Admission Fix Price announces its intention to float on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Fix Price is one of the leading variety value retailers globally and the largest in Russia, with more than 4,200 stores. Fix Price has revenues of RUB 190.1bn, RUB 142.9bn and RUB 108.7bn for 2020, 2019 and 2018, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA for the same years was RUB 36.8bn, RUB 27.2bn and RUB 14.2bn, respectively. The Offer would consist of an offering of GDRs by certain existing shareholders of the Company. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC announced its prospectus has been approved by the FCA. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC is a newly established, externally managed closed-ended investment company. The Company will provide project finance to content makers and commissioners in the global television and film production industry via senior loans secured against pre-sold intellectual property (IP) rights. GPEIT's investment objective is to provide Shareholders with dividend income and modest capital growth through exposure to media content finance. According to media reports, Deliveroo, are expecting to release their IPO plans on 8th March. The company raised more than $180m in January with a valuation of more than $7bn.
Companies: CCS OKYO SML BEG SBIZ GDP SGM SEN AMO KZG
tinyBuild— a leading video games publisher and developer with global operations. tinyBuild's strategic focus is in creating longlasting IP by partnering with video games developers, establishing a stable platform on which to build multi-game and multimedia franchises is to join AIM. Offer details TBC. Due mid-March. AMTE Power, a developer and manufacturer of lithium-ion battery cells for specialist markets, announced its intention to seek admission to trading on AIM. Admission is expected to take place during March 2021. The Company intends to raise approximately £7m by way of a placing of new ordinary shares in the capital of the Company. Timing TBC. Samarkand Group Limited, the cross-border eCommerce technology and retail group opening up the world's largest market for brands and retailers, intends to IPO on the Apex Segment Aquis Stock Exchange Growth Market. Admission is targeted for March 2021. NextEnergy Renewables to launch an IPO on the Main Market. NREN is a differentiated renewables investment Company that aims to capture the most attractive private renewables and energy transition infrastructure investment opportunities globally. Targeting a £300m raise. NREN is targeting total returns of 9-11 per cent. per annum (net of all fees and expenses but including the Target Dividend and capital appreciation) . The Company's target dividend yield for the first full financial year to 31 December 2022 is 5.5 pence. Due Early March 2021. Digital 9 Infrastructure launch an initial public offering on the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, by way of an initial placing and offer for subscription for a target issue £400m. Digital 9 Infrastructure plc is a newly established, externally managed investment trust. The Company will invest in a range of digital infrastructure assets which deliver a reliable, functioning internet. The IPO Prospectus is expected to be published in March 2021. Team PLC announced their plans for an AIM IPO. Team owns Theta Enhanced Asset Management Ltd, trading as Team Asset Management. This is a Jersey-based active fund manager providing discretionary and advisory portfolio management services to private clients, trusts and charities. Assets under management were GBP291m in November, up from GBP140m in December 2019 . The Company is seeking to raise no less than £5m. The Placing will be priced on a pre-money valuation for the Company of £7m. Targeting March Admission. Virgin Wines UK Plc has out their plans for an AIM IPO. Virgin Wines is a direct-to-consumer online wine retailer that sells products to retail customers in the UK through two subscription schemes and a pay-as-you-go offering. The Group also sells a range of beers and spirits and operates a B2B sales channel for corporates. Anticipated mkt cap £110m. Raising £13m in new money and vendor sale of £34.9m . Due 2nd March. Fix Price announces its intention to float on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Fix Price is one of the leading variety value retailers globally and the largest in Russia, with more than 4,200 stores. Fix Price has revenues of RUB 190.1bn, RUB 142.9bn and RUB 108.7bn for 2020, 2019 and 2018, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA for the same years was RUB 36.8bn, RUB 27.2bn and RUB 14.2bn, respectively. The Offer would consist of an offering of GDRs by certain existing shareholders of the Company. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC announced its prospectus has been approved by the FCA. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC is a newly established, externally managed closed-ended investment company. The Company will provide project finance to content makers and commissioners in the global television and film production industry via senior loans secured against pre-sold intellectual property (IP) rights. GPEIT's investment objective is to provide Shareholders with dividend income and modest capital growth through exposure to media content finance. According to media reports, Deliveroo, are expecting to release their IPO plans on 8th March. The company raised more than $180m in January with a valuation of more than $7bn.
Companies: ARS ESC AQX ARTL KRS KBT GRP BOOM CNS ANIC
UK railway privatisation, which was launched in the mid-1990s, has finally turned full circle: the Department of Transport has recently confirmed that its controversial railway franchise system will be scrapped. In this month's feature article, Nigel Hawkins, the Infrastructure analyst at Hardman & Co, examines the 25-year history of railway privatisation and chronicles its ups and its downs. The successes of railway privatisation, such as new rolling stock, are addressed, along with the many shortcomings, which included minimal vertical integration. With the winding up of the franchise system, the UK railway sector is effectively reverting to its former status as a nationalised industry, a shift started with the renationalisation of the collapsed Railtrack – later re-badged as Network Rail – in 2001.
Companies: ARBB BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN PXC RECI SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
The Calabar power station, which accounts for the majority of Savannah’s Nigerian gas sales, has entered a new power supply agreement with the Republic of Togo, with more in discussion, raising the prospect of meaningful increases in Savannah’s gas supplies to the plant. These additional volumes will come at negligible additional cost, leveraging the bottom-line impact. The recently signed Mulak Energy gas sales agreement demonstrates this, boosting our 2022 earnings by 8% and our risked-NAV and price target by 6% to 55p/sh.
Companies: Savannah Energy Plc
Today's news & views, plus announcements from MRW, BNZL, HICL, AGK, SEPL, SEIT, SDY, BGO, SHED
Companies: BGO SEIT SEPL
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) – Termination of the proposed JV with Conroy Asiamet Resources (ARS LN) – £10m fundraising Beowulf Mining* (BEM LN) – 2020 results highlight progress in Kosovo and Sweden Cornish Metals* (CUSN LN) – Warrants exercised Phoenix Copper* (PXC LN) – Exercise of warrants follows recent economic update for Empire development project Scotgold Resources* (SGZ LN) – Production update and management/Board changes.
Companies: ARS CUSN AAZ BEM PXC SGZ
Today's news & views, plus announcements from RIO, TW, CRDA, TPK, PHP, MGGT, SHI, WHR
Companies: PHP RIO SHI TPK
Adriatic Metals* (ADT1) – Acquisition of RAS Metals Arc Minerals* (ARCM LN) – Change of accounting reference date and issue of 1.2m new shares to service provider Caledonia Mining* (CMCL LN) – Non-executive appointment Phoenix Copper* (PXC LN) – £2m debt facility to accelerate the Empire project Strategic Minerals* (SML LN) – Exploring potential to the west at Redmoor Power Metal Resources* (POW LN) – Drilling update Rainbow Rare Earths* (RBW LN) – 10,000tpa Gakara down-stream process plant feasibility confirmed Sunrise Resources (SRES LN) – Progress report on projects
Companies: CMCL ADT ARCM PXC POW RBW SML SRES
We are replacing our preliminary valuation of i3 Energy, which had been premised on the valuations of GLJ and Sproule, with our own valuation model and our own commodity price assumptions. The resource estimates assumed in our valuation remain aligned with those of i3 Energy's resource evaluators, namely, GLJ, Sproule and AGR Tracs. Our fair value amounts to 15.0p/share, which compares to our prior and preliminary valuation of 17.7p/share. Our valuation is premised on the proven and probable reserves of the company's Canadian assets; therefore, we believe that the company's current share price provides an opportunity to acquire a compelling investment at a steeply discounted entry price.
