Auctus on Friday - 06/01/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Zephyr Energy (ZPHR LN)C: Target price of £0.20 per share: Very accretive acquisitions boost production and add resources upside – Zephyr is acquiring the 25% WI across the White Sands Unit (WSU) in the Paradox it does not hold from Rockies Standard Oil (RSO). RSO could not fund its share of the capex programme. In return, Zephyr will issue US$3 mm in shares at a price of 6.05 p/sh (~11% above the share price the day prior to the annou

Challenger Energy* - Further Uruguay licence awards

Further Uruguay licence awards

Challenger Energy* - Cory Moruga asset sale

Cory Moruga asset sale

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 20/12/22

EU agrees €180/MWh cap

Auctus on Friday - 04/11/2022

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.070 per share: Anshof Reserves estimate well above expectations – RISC estimates that the Anshof field holds 5.2 mmboe of 2P gross reserves (4.2 mmboe net to ADX). This is well ahead of our expectations of ~1.8 mmboe. 85% of the previously estimated mid-case recoverable resources are now classified as 2P reserves. The 2P reserves estimate is based on an assumption of a water oil contact at 1,

Challenger Energy* - Q3 trading update

Q3 trading update

Auctus on Friday - 30/09/2022

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Challenger Energy (CEG LN): Discontinuing coverage - We are discontinuing coverage on Challenger Energy Group. Longboat Energy (LBE LN)C; Target price of £1.50 per share: 3-5 well programme in 2023. Increased resources estimate at Kveikje – There were no surprises in the 1H22 financials. The gross contingent resources estimates at Kveikje have been increased from 28-48 mmboe to 35-60 mmboe (2C-3C) based on a new CPR following post wel

Challenger Energy* - Full year 2021 and H1 2022 results

Full year 2021 and H1 2022 results

Auctus on Friday - 22/07/2022

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Challenger Energy (CEG LN); Under review : Operating update in Trinidad – Total gross oil production for 2Q22 was ~375 bbl/d, representing an approximately 6% increase over 1Q22. The quarter was adversely impacted by especially severe torrential rains in the last two weeks of June, which caused several days of downtime. GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price of US$39 per share: Strong 2Q22. Guidances reiterated – 2Q22 WI production was 38,9

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 19/07/22

Gazprom retroactively declared force majeure

Challenger Energy* - Q2 2022 trading update

Q2 2022 trading update

Auctus on Friday - 01/07/2022

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN)C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Another well delivers flow rate above expectations – The RCS-1 well was flow tested at oil rates of up 1,872 bbl/d (936 bbl/d net to Arrow) of 30 API crude from the C7B sands. The zone was tested for 33 hours at an average oil rate of 1,076 bbl/d (538 bbl/d net to Arrow) with no formation water. Production will start next week at ~1,000 bbl/d (500 bbl/d net) in order to mini

Challenger Energy* - Uruguay licence awards near Challenger acreage

Uruguay licence awards near Challenger acreage

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 16/06/2022

*A corporate client of Hybridan LLP Dish of the day Joiners: No Joiners Today. Leavers: No Leavers Today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? LifeSafe Holdings, a fire safety technology business with innovative fire safety products, intends to join AIM. LifeSafe has developed what the Directors believe to be market disrupting, eco-friendly fire safety protection products to both protect (via fire extinguishers) and detect (via carbon monoxide, smoke and heat alarms) fires. At the cent

Challenger Energy* - Up to the challenge – initiating coverage

Up to the challenge – initiating coverage

Alkaid #2 test - follow-on potential project economics

Forecast update

Diversified Energy will report a FY22 update in February and ahead of this we update our estimates for the lower gas price while also highlighting that the group's unique operating model substantially protects it from lower gas prices and higher interest rates, thereby ensuring it remains well placed to pay one of the highest dividend yields in the FTSE350.

IOG plc (IOG LN) - Southwark update – poor initial flow rate

IOG has released an update on its Southwark A2 development well. This has returned initial flow rates substantially behind expectations. The well has been stimulated in six reservoir zones, and achieved a maximum stabilised rate of 4.2mmcf/d gross. Water production was also high, at 1.6mbbl/d, leading IOG to the conclusion that one or more of the producing zones could be in communication with the aquifer. As such, IOG is now planning on carrying out operations in order to attempt to isolate the

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): High 3Q22 production in Colombia and US$4 mm free cashflow

• 3Q23 production of 1,503 boe/d was above our expectation of 1,262 boe/d on higher production at Rio Cravo (860 bbbl/d) and Ombu (215 bbl/d). This suggests a continued strong performance of the RCE-2 well. • Corporate production in November has ranged between 1,900-2,000 boe/d with current net production of 887 bbl/d at Rio Cravo (up from 760 bbl/d on 01 November). While the RCS-1 well is still cleaning up, the newly perforated C-7A zone is already adding 165 bbl/d net (330 bbl/d gross) produc

i3 Energy - Valuation Update

We are adjusting our fair value estimate for i3 Energy to align our commodity price estimates with weaker actual pricing than we had anticipated. We are lowering our 2023 WTI estimate to $84/b from $99/b and lowering our 2023 benchmark US gas price estimate to $5.50/mmbtu from $6.50/mmbtu. We have also updated our model to reflect the capex and production guidance provided by the company on 22 December 2022. Our updated 2023 cash flow from operations estimate amounts to $US109.6M, which equa

This Week's AIM Highlights 20th January 2023

IOG (IOG LN) - Trading update

IOG has released a trading update. This reports that operations at the Southwark A2 development well continue, with new plans to isolate three of the six stimulated zones, reperforate two other zones and then flow test the well again. IOG reported last week a disappointing 4.2mmcf/d maximum gross flow rate achieved at A2, and we would hope to see a much higher number, perhaps over 20mmcf/d based on original expectations, once the remediations are in place. The experience on A2 is also being used

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 11 Jan 23

11 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

Q1 2023 Operational Update

Tharisa has released its production report for Q1 2023 today. The quarter has been impacted by unprecedented rainfall at the Tharisa mine. However, the company was able to minimise the impact on production through the use of their stockpiles to maintain plant throughput. PGM and Chrome concentrate production reduced by 6% and 8% QoQ respectively. Gross and net cash have increased by 49% and 29% respectively, in part due to the successful bond raise of US$31.8m and the continued strong free cash

Q4 Production Update

Shanta Gold (AIM: SHG), the East Africa-focused gold producer today released a production and operational update for Q4 2022 which was effectively in line with expectations. The Company did just miss its 2022 guidance set 12 months ago (68-76koz) producing 65.2koz but AISC was within the range guided at US$1,270/oz. The CEO, Eric Zurrin, commented that there are numerous initiatives underway for 2023 to optimise production including more open pit mining capacity and an extra underground producti

Tungsten West: Revised plan to optimise Hemerdon for higher energy prices & other costs

Tungsten West (“TUN”) has published an updated Bankable Feasibility Study (“BFS”) post its re-optimisation of the Hemerdon project in light of higher energy prices and other key input costs. The revised plan reduces capex by ~£20m and cuts energy intensity, trading this off against slightly reduced tungsten output and lower payabilities. The completion of the BFS is a key milestone on the path to securing project financing. Site refurbishment and staff recruitment activities have continued since

i3 Energy - Historical evolution of EV/CF multiples in Canadian E&P Sector + Comps

Figure 1 provides the historical EV/CF multiples for selected high-growth peers of i3 Energy operating in Canada. Table 1 provides the EV/CF multiples for our selection of the “best of the best” of Canadian junior E&P stocks, of which i3 Energy is one. We highlight that i) the outlook for the oil price has rarely been so robustly supported into the long-term and ii) the wells being drilled systematically in Canada today are some of the most economic wells being drilled by Canadian E&P companies

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 25 Jan 23

25 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 17 Jan 23

17 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

SHORE CAPITAL - Scotgold Resources+ (SGZ, House Stock at 54.5p)