Oil & Gas - Cavendish sector note

Diversified Energy, Touchstone Exploration, Savannah Energy, Chariot, Plexus Holdings, Energean, Gulf Keystone Petroleum, PetroTal Corp, Ithaca Energy, Pantheon Resources, Serinus Energy, Angus Energy, Aker BP, Equinor, BlueNord ASA, Invictus Energy Source: FactSet, weekly change 18/03/24-22/03/24 Oil edged lower to settle below $81 a barrel after a stronger dollar curbed investor appetite for commodities, offsetting signs of a tighter global crude market.  Refined product supplies are looking m

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 15/03/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Very high impact exploration well encounters gas and condensate in Austria – The Welchau well (ADX WI: 75%) encountered 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows in the primary target formation (Steinalm Formation) between 1452 m and 1567 m. The deepest gas shows were encountered at a depth of 1645 m. The well has reached TD at 1733 m. The Steinalm Formation intersection in the well is in l

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 19/03/24

Supply outages elevate energy prices

Morning Note – 19 March 2024

Oil & Gas - Cavendish sector note

Parkmead Group, Chariot, Jersey Oil & Gas, Falcon Oil & Gas, 88 Energy, Hartshead Resources, Empyrean Energy, Coro Energy, Baron Oil, Longboat Energy, Trinity Exploration & Production, Diversified Energy, Savannah Energy, Shell, Gulf Keystone Petroleum, Jadestone Energy, Nostrum Oil & Gas, ExxonMobil, Chevron Corporation, TotalEnergies Source: FactSet, weekly change 29/01/24-02/02/24 Oil slumped as talks to pause the Israel-Hamas war reduced crude’s geopolitical risk premium, with the decline ac

Savannah Energy+ (SAVE, Suspended, Under Review) - South Sudan acquisition update

Oil & Gas - Cavendish sector note

88 Energy, Reabold Resources, Savannah Energy, Molecular Energies, Tethys Oil, Getech Group, Occidental, Gulf Keystone, Beacon Energy, Block Energy, Neptune Energy, Zephyr Energy, Tamboran Resources Source: FactSet, weekly change 21/12/23-15/12/23 Oil eked out a small gain for the week, snapping a seven-week losing streak, as signs that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate-hiking campaign is over bolstered risk assets. West Texas Intermediate settled little changed above $71 a barrel in the aft

Savannah Energy+ (SAVE, Suspended, Under Review) - South Sudan acquisition update

Savannah Energy - Interim results

Savannah’s Nigerian business continues to deliver strong and consistent operating performance; however, the interims were heavily impacted by the Naira harmonisation since mid-June. The Petronas South Sudan RTO is progressing, although publication of the Admission Document and the resumption of trading has slipped into Q4. Our forecasts remain under review ahead of this publication. This is a very substantial transaction for Savannah, especially at US$90+/bbl oil prices, which will be transforma

Savannah Energy+ (SAVE, Suspended, Under Review) - Interim results; readmission now expected in Q4

Auctus on Friday - 29/09/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.45 per share: Transactions repriced on more attractive terms – Criterium has renegotiated the terms of the Mont d’Or (MOPL) acquisition. Criterium will now assume only ~US$25.5 mm of debt rather than ~US$37 mm previously. A US$4.8 mm payment to the lenders and the conversion of US$4.9 mm of debt into equity (US$2.5 mm on completion of the acquisition plus US$2.4 mm in 2025) reduce further

Auctus on Friday - 09/06/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: No flow from the Gacheta but overall reserves addition from CN-1 larger than initially expected – The Gacheta zones proved unproductive at the CN 1 well location. Management is investigating potential reasons for the lack of productivity and plans to re-evaluate these Gacheta zones in future wells. The Gacheta zones were located above the Ubaque that flowed at rates >1,10

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 08/06/23

US refinery at highest level since 2019

Savannah Energy+ (SAVE, Suspended, Under Review) - FY22A results; readmission expected in Q3

Savannah Energy+ (SAVE, Suspended, Under Review) - COTCo update

NextSource Materials - Initiation

NextSource is uniquely positioned to build a leading vertically integrated position, ex China, in the supply of Lithium-ion battery anode material which is essential for the Energy Transition. The company is commissioning phase 1 of its world-class Molo graphite mine in Madagascar and is in the final permitting process for its first Battery Anode Facility (BAF) to be located in Mauritius. The company is backed by Vision Blue, established by Sir Mick Davis, former CEO of Xstrata. On our calculat

Falcon Oil & Gas - Funding a Multi TCF Resource

Falcon has raised gross proceeds of US$8.9m via a placing and subscription at a price of 6p/share and the granting of overriding royalty interests. The net proceeds, together with Falcon’s existing cash resources (cUS$4.3m) will be used to fund Falcon’s net share of 2024 capex (cUS$9m) associated with the 40MMscf/d Shenandoah South Pilot Project, including the drilling, stimulation, and flow testing of two 10,000ft horizontal wells. The funds will also enable Falcon to fund its share of the cost

Initiation of Coverage - Critical raw materials for Europe’s green transition

Beowulf is advancing a portfolio of projects in Europe focussed on metals and minerals that are critical to enabling the continent’s transition to a greener economy. Awareness of Europe’s over-reliance on external supply sources for such vital raw materials is driving growing political support for ‘home-grown’ projects. Beowulf is strategically positioned to leverage this fast-evolving trend – its Kallak project in Sweden holds potential to deliver high-quality iron ore to lower the carbon-inten

Morning Note – 22 April 2024

Sintana Energy Inc. (TSX-V: SEI): Constrained test rate of 14 mboe/d at Mopane-1X. 10+ bn boe in place confirmed.

• Multiple tests over multiple zones in multiple horizons were run at the Mopane-1X exploration well. The flows achieved during the well test reached the maximum allowed limits of 14 mboe/d. The flow rate was constrained by the size of the available surface facilities. • The AVO-1 horizon encountered at Mopane-1X and Mopane-2X are in the same pressure regime, suggesting that the entire area (8 km diameter) between the two wells is connected. Overall, in the Mopane complex alone, and before dril

Touchstone Exploration+ (TXP, House Stock at 44p) - Closing of expanded bank facilities

LIBERUM: Ferrexpo: Production triples

SP Angel Morning View: Copper prices hit $9,700/t as China smelts concentrates for zero charge Tc/Rc

Jubilee Metals - Operational Update Q3 FY2024

Jubilee today reports its Q3 and third quarter operational results from its expanding operations in Zambia (copper) and South Africa (chrome and PGM). South Africa is on a growth trajectory with record chrome production of 409kt in the quarter (Q2 FY2024 381kt) and a monthly record in March of 145kt and production YTD of 1.13Mt (0.94Mt). Jubilee is well underway to its annual target capacity of 2,1Mt/yr especially with the new 300kt/yr chrome plant at Thutse expected to be operational in August

Alien Metals - Hancock Project, Mining Lease Granted

Alien today reports intraday that the Western Australian Government has granted a mining licence for the Hancock iron ore project for a 21-year term. The granting of the mining licence is the latest milestone delivered by Alien as it advances the project towards development and production.

SP Angel Morning View: Gold prices slide following profit taking as traders look to US data

Transition to Mining Operator

Adriatic Metals has announced their transition from mining contractor to mining operator at Rupice. The transition is expected to continue to benefit the development and productivity rates being achieved at Rupice mine, as well as result in cost efficiencies and improved HSE standards. The company has also announced a short-term loan facility with Orion of $25m, that is drawable at the option of the company in Q3/4 this year.

I3 Energy (I3E LN) - Canada royalty assets sale

I3 has announced the sale of the majority of its royalty interests in Canada, for US$24.8m cash. This allows the company to fully repay amounts drawn on its debt facility and create a working capital surplus, giving I3 significant additional funding flexibility going forward

Jersey Oil & Gas (JOG LN) - Share price fall creates opportunity

Since November, the JOG share price has moderated from a high of 250p to current levels of 149.5p. This is despite JOG having now made significant progress towards FID on its c.70mmboe Buchan project, with FID upcoming later this year. In our view this share price move is unjustified, with current levels further enhancing the value on offer, and making an attractive opportunity for investors.

Trinity Exploration and Production - Reserves Reduction but Solid Core Business

Trinity has announced a c28% reduction to its 2P reserves following a YE23 review. Despite the decrease in the Company’s 2P reserves, Trinity’s core business remains robust, with a reserves/production ratio of >12.5 years at YE23. Whilst there is significant potential for growth within the current portfolio, this will be difficult to unlock from the current balance sheet and we believe further financing will be required. We update our target price to 76p (from 202p), a c85% premium to the curren