Yesterday’s shock profit warning led to a 58% fall in the share price. There is no escaping the disappointment has changed sentiment from Conviviality being regarded as a much improved business with a cogent growth and DPS angle, to one where there are now doubts. However, we feel most of the problems are self-inflicted and thus rectifiable, rather than systemic. We also feel covenant risk fears are overplayed. On our downgraded EPS and DPS forecasts the shares are trading on a FY19 P/E of 6.6x ....

09 Mar 2018
Self-inflicted woes & why we are glass half-full

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Self-inflicted woes & why we are glass half-full
Conviviality (CVR:LON) | 0 0 2.8% | Mkt Cap: 537.9m
- Published:
09 Mar 2018 -
Author:
Sahill Shan -
Pages:
6 -
Yesterday’s shock profit warning led to a 58% fall in the share price. There is no escaping the disappointment has changed sentiment from Conviviality being regarded as a much improved business with a cogent growth and DPS angle, to one where there are now doubts. However, we feel most of the problems are self-inflicted and thus rectifiable, rather than systemic. We also feel covenant risk fears are overplayed. On our downgraded EPS and DPS forecasts the shares are trading on a FY19 P/E of 6.6x ....