• Research Tree
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Events
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest
  • Explore Content
    • Explore

      • Providers
        • Providers

          • Free/Commissioned
          • High Net Worth Offering
          • Institutional Offering

          Free/Commissioned

          Research that is free to access for all investors. Companies commission these providers to write research about them.

          View Research

          What is our Main Bundle Offering?

          Brokers who write research on their corporate clients and make it available through our main bundle offering.

          View Research

          What is Institutional?

          Research that is paid for directly by asset managers. Only accessible to institutional investors permissioned for access.

          View Research
      • Regions
        • Regions

          • UK
          • Rest of EMEA
          • N America
          • APAC
          • LatAm
      • Exchanges
        • Exchanges

          • Aquis Apex
          • Australian Securities Exchange
          • Canadian Securities Exchange
          • Euronext Paris
          • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
          • SIX Swiss Exchange
      • Sectors
        • Sector Coverage

          • Building & Construction
          • Discretionary Personal Goods
          • Discretionary Retail
          • Energy
          • Health
          • Investment Trusts
          • Media
          • Resources
          • Technology
      • Small / Large Cap
        • Small / Large Cap

          • UK100
          • UK250
          • UK Smallcap
          • UK Other Main Markets
          • Other
  • Login
  • Sign Up
LIVE

Event in Progress:

Join Here ×

working
  • 16 May 2022

Greggs : A reassuring Q1 update - Buy


Greggs plc (GRG:LON) | 1,569 0 0.0% | Mkt Cap: 1,604m


  • Investec Bank
    • Ben Hunt, CFA | Kate Calvert

    • 6 pages


 

This content is only available within our institutional offering.

Sign in

This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account

This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account


Sign In
Not a commercial user? Register here for our wider research bundle
See all the research we have on this company.

Greggs : A reassuring Q1 update - Buy


Greggs plc (GRG:LON) | 1,569 0 0.0% | Mkt Cap: 1,604m


  • Published: 16 May 2022
  • Author: Ben Hunt, CFA | Kate Calvert
  • Pages: 6
  • Investec Bank


Trading is in line, with LfLs up +27.4%YoY for the first 19 weeks, having been +44%YoY for the first 9 weeks, flattered by comparison with restricted trading conditions in the same period last year. In the subsequent 10-week period to 14th May, LfLs have averaged +15.8%YoY, with the exit rate approaching more normalised levels. As expected, trading in larger cities and in office locations continues to lag the performance of the rest of the estate, but transport locations have shown a marked increase in activity in recent weeks. Sales of hot food and snacks are showing particularly strong growth. Store openings are comfortably on track for a net 150 openings this year, with management having accelerated its store roll out programme - as outlined at its recent CMD. To date, openings total 49 new shops in the period, which included 18 with franchise partners. Openings include locations in a number of retail parks and new travel-based units at Birmingham and Liverpool airports. Outlook: While trading performance is in line and the pipeline for new store openings is strong, management remains mindful of market wide cost pressures, which have been increasing. By way of reference, at the Finals in March, management expected LfL costs to increase between 6% and 7% this year, while FY22 also loses the £15m benefit from business rates relief last year. Nevertheless, management has options to mitigate cost headwinds, from efficiencies and implementing price increases. We note that Q1’s price hikes have not been detrimental to demand and management remains comfortable with the overall competitive environment. Forecasts unchanged: Despite rising cost pressures we continue to expect PBT to be broadly flat this year, which assumes LfL sales growth of just 8% YoY in FY22, implying a conservative LfL growth profile for the remainder of the year. Maintain Buy.

More Content

More Content

Greggs:Weak consumer outlook prompts more caution

Companies: Greggs plc

Edison

Greggs raises full-year guidance after bumper Christmas

Companies: Greggs plc

Research Tree

PANMURE LIBERUM: Consumer: what mattered in the budget: Business rates - a small positive for retail

Companies: MOON ABF ASC NXT HFD WINE DNLM FRAS CURY GRG PETS CARD DFS JD/ THG DEBS BME WIX VIC VINO

Panmure Liberum

Greggs Reports Strong Q3 Performance and Expanding Delivery Services

Companies: Greggs plc

Vox Markets

Greggs:Improving trend through the quarter

Companies: Greggs plc

Edison
Research Tree
Useful Links
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • RNS/Newswires Feeds
  • Providers Hub
  • Company Hub
  • Stock Pick League
  • iOS and Android Apps
Account
  • Login
  • Join Now
  • Contact
  • Follow us on Linkedin
  • Follow us on X

© Research Tree 2026

  • Apple Store
  • Play Store
  • Terms of Service
  • Privacy Policy and Statement on Cookies

Research Tree will never share your details with third parties for marketing purposes. Research Tree distributes research documents that have been produced and approved by Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) Authorised & Regulated firms as well as relevant content from non-authorised sources, who are not regulated but the information is in the public domain. For the avoidance of doubt Research Tree is not giving advice, nor has Research Tree validated any of the information.

Research Tree is an Appointed Representative of Sturgeon Ventures which is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Top
  • Home
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Event Hub
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest Tracker
  • Explore Content
    • Regions
      • UK
      • Rest of EMEA
      • N America
      • APAC
      • LatAm
    • Exchanges
      • Aquis Apex
      • Australian Securities Exchange
      • Canadian Securities Exchange
      • Euronext Paris
      • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
      • SIX Swiss Exchange
    • Sectors
      • Automobile Industry
      • Banks
      • Building & Construction
      • Chemicals
      • Discretionary Personal Goods
      • Discretionary Retail
      • Energy
      • ETFs
      • Financial Services
      • Food & Drink
      • Food Production
      • Health
      • Household Goods & DIY
      • Industrial Equipment, Goods & Services
      • Insurance & Reinsurance
      • Investment Trusts
      • Leisure, Tourism & Travel
      • Media
      • Open-ended Funds
      • Other
      • Real Estate
      • Resources
      • Staple Retail
      • Technology
      • Telecoms
      • Trusts, ETFs & Funds
      • Utilities
    • Small / Large Cap
      • UK100
      • UK250
      • UK Smallcap
      • UK Other Main Markets
      • Other
    • Private/EIS
      • EIS Single Company
      • EIS/SEIS Funds
      • IHT Products
      • SEIS Single Company
      • VCT Funds
  • Providers
    • Free/Commissioned
      • Actinver
      • Actio Advisors
      • Allenby Capital
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Asset TV
      • Astris Advisory
      • Atrium Research
      • Baden Hill
      • BlytheRay
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Bondcritic
      • Bowsprit Partners Limited
      • Brand Communications
      • Brokerlink
      • BRR Media
      • Calvine Partners
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Capital Markets Brokers
      • Cavendish
      • Checkpoint Partners
      • Clear Capital Markets
      • Couloir Capital
      • Doceo
      • Edison
      • EM Spreads
      • Engage Investor
      • Equity Development
      • eResearch
      • First Equity
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • focusIR
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • goetzpartners securities Limited
      • Golden Section Capital
      • GreenSome Finance
      • GSBR Research
      • H2 Radnor
      • Hardman & Co
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hypothesis Research
      • InterAxS Global
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • London Stock Exchange
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Mello Events
      • Messari Research
      • Morphose Capital Partners
      • MUFG Corporate Markets IR
      • Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Optimo Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Paul Scott
      • Peel Hunt
      • PIWORLD / Progressive
      • Proactive
      • Progressive Equity Research
      • Quantum Research Group
      • QuotedData
      • RaaS Research Group
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Resolve Research
      • SEAL Advisors Ltd
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • StockBox
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Curious Compounder
      • The Edge Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • ThinkFront
      • Tring Triangle
      • Trinity Delta
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • UK Investor Group
      • ValueTrack
      • Vox Markets
      • VRS International S.A. - Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS)
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Yaru Investments
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
    • High Net Worth Offering
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Acquisdata
      • AlphaValue
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • Baptista Research
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Hybridan
      • ISTAR Capital
      • Kemeny Capital
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Louis Capital
      • Magnitogorsk Iron and steel works
      • Medley Global Advisors
      • Northland Capital Partners
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Shard Capital
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel FirstEnergy
      • Stockdale Securities
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • VSA Capital
      • Whitman Howard
      • xxxxxx_deleted
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zeus Capital
    • Institutional Offering
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • BNP Paribas Exane
      • Bondcritic
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • Edison
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • Golden Section Capital
      • Goodbody
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hybridan
      • InterAxS Global
      • Investec Bank
      • ISTAR Capital
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Numis
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Peel Hunt
      • QuotedData
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Shard Capital
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel
      • StockBox
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Tring Triangle
      • ValueTrack
      • Velocity Trade
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
  • Contact
  • Sign Up
  • Sign In