Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on CENTRICA PLC. We currently have 9 research reports from 3 professional analysts.
|04Jan17 03:35||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|03Jan17 02:15||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|09Dec16 01:00||RNS||Holding(s) in Company|
|05Dec16 01:30||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|28Nov16 03:30||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|02Nov16 03:15||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|01Nov16 10:00||RNS||Block listing Interim Review|
Frequency of research reports
Research reports on
16 Dec 16
Investors appear to have rapidly accepted the Fed's more hawkish tone as one of the inevitable costs of participating in more expansive economic policy. Its almost 'close your eyes and trust in Trump'! Confidence in Thursday's the European session, during which the Euro hit its lowest point against the US$ since the beginning of 2003, saw the zone's main indices move sharply ahead with London itself not far behind. This spilt broadly into North American trading, seeing the Dow and other main markets recapture roughly half of Wednesday's losses. The price continued to be paid, of course, through global bond markets, whose sell-off continued on Thursday having wiped out an estimated US$1 trillion of value from international government debt since 8th November. Asian markets also rallied, reversing modestly weaker openings into small gains by the close, led by the Nikkei which continues to celebrate more than a 13% fall in the Yen versus the US$ since the presidential election. Traders appeared neither surprised nor concerned by the seemingly uneventful meeting of Leaders of the European Union in which the various institutions and national governments began to argue over their individual responsibilities during forthcoming Brexit negotiations, although the principal findings amply demonstrated just how complex the issues actually are the extended period required to reach agreement. One point of accord was found, however, regarding the new security threat posed by Trump's call for the Continent to shoulder a greater responsibility for its own military and defence duties, resulting in approval for forward planning to increase spend in these areas. Meanwhile, Greece's refusal to back down in its escalating conflict with creditors, as judges on Thursday approved annual bonuses for poorer pensioners and tax relief for the Aegean Islands that have received refugees, sparked angry exchanges with Germany and highlighted again the extent of policy disagreement between member states. Today is expected to see rather lacklustre trading in London, as investors await macro releases including the CBI Industrial Trends Survey and Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin; the Eurozone is due to publish its Harmonised CPI figures, while the EU is due to provide Housing Starts before the Fed's Jeffrey Lacker speaks. Corporates due to provide earnings or trading updates include Bilby (BILB.L), MySQUAR (MYSQ.L), Trinity Mirror (TNI.L) and United Carpets (UCG.L). The FTSE-100 is seen moving 5 points either side of unchanged in opening trade this morning.
Trading upgrade provides a guidance uplift
15 Dec 16
Centrica has published its Q3 16 trading update, raising its guidance expectations for 2016 with operating cash flows now expected in the £2.4-2.6bn range (+20%) rather than the £2bn earlier. Moreover, due to the gas assets’ better performance, benefits from the cost-cutting programme, and a strong performance in energy marketing and trading, the group expects the full-year EPS to be around 16.5p, whereas the market estimates something close to 15.4p (+7.1%). Nonetheless, the new expectations imply that EPS is expected to decrease by 4% yoy, although this is less than previously expected (-10.5%), which represents a substantial improvement.
Strong cash flow performance is reassuring
28 Jul 16
Results fell 13% yoy to £13.38bn. However, £969m from the re-measurement of energy contracts has positively affected the reported results leading to a 31.5% yoy increase in operating profit to £1.76bn and net income to have a 9.3% yoy increase to £1.15bn, translating into an EPS of 22.2p. As a result, the company has increased the interim dividend by 1% to 3.6p. Nevertheless, on an adjusted basis the results show a different story as operating profit fell 12% yoy to £853m, net income decreased 14% yoy to £507m with EPS reaching 9.8p. Although, on an adjusted basis, operating cash flows increased by 19%yoy to £1.37bn. The strong cash flow performance in the first quarter has allowed the group to increase capex by 16% yoy to £444m which, added to the £694m capital increase performed earlier in the year, has allowed the company to have a comfortable net increase in cash of £1.28bn at the half year mark. This has allowed the company to achieve a 23% yoy decrease in net debt, to reach £3.8bn. Concerning guidance, the 2016 full-year expectation on operating cash flows above £2bn is expected to be exceeded. Moreover, as strong progress has been achieved in cost-cutting measures, as £141m has been achieved in the first half, the 2016 cost cutting target has been raised to £300m. Headcounts are expected to be reduced by around 3,000 FTEs.
Trading update: customer losses accelerate, but guidance confirmed
19 Apr 16
Centrica has published an operational update with no revenue or profit numbers but confirms its full-year objectives: adjusted operating cash flows above £2bn, capex should not exceed £1bn (in which £500m would be focused on E&P) and a £200m efficiency programme is still expected to be achieved in 2016, as part of the £750m/year cost reduction programme. Moreover, the group expects to add to the direct headcount reduction expected in 2016 of 3,000 employees, of which 800 have been already been achieved in the first three months. Nevertheless, the group continues to lose clients as its home energy supply accounts have been reduced by a further 1.5% in the first quarter (an additional 224,000 customers lost, compared to 119,000 customers lost in Q1 15). Due to this, a more aggressive strategy will be applied from Q2 16 to stop the loss of customers. The negative effect may be offset by North American home accounts (although not quantified). As previously announced, the group is to close the Killingholme power station after it has served the National Grid for 2015’s winter supplemental balancing reserve.
Panmure Research - Economics Strategy 22-02-16
22 Feb 16
Uncertainty ahead of the United Kingdom's EU referendum has begun to dampen investor appetite for UK equities. However the dislocation of UK equities from their global peers are rare occurrences with the cross-correlation (100DMA) having only dropped below 0.5 on four occasions since the turn of the millennium:Dot.com bust: April 2000Foot and Mouth crisis: February 2001London terrorist attacks: July 2005Scottish Referendum: September 2014We expect a further dislocation in the run up to the referendum on June 23. In this note we use these four recent dislocation episodes, the sensitivity of UK equity valuations with sterling, and European Union revenues to establish a risk profile for the largest UK-listed companies. Based on this framework we provide our preferred picks to navigate the coming months of political uncertainty – Table 1.
16 Jan 17
We take a look at the rankings of the various countries in Africa that have a significant exposure to mining. We take the Transparency International corruption rankings as our starting point and modify these for exceptional geology and for current UK government travel warnings. Ghana, Botswana and Namibia come out as our top three, with Eritrea, Kenya and Zimbabwe at the bottom of our rankings.
Small Cap Breakfast
17 Jan 17
Global Energy Development (GED.L) — To be renamed Nautilus Marine Services. Schedule 1 from developer and seller of hydrocarbons and related products. Reverse takeover. Raising $10.5m via a convertible. Expected 9 Feb. Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas—TSX-V listed oil and gas exploration has announced its intention to float on AIM. Assets in Guyana and Namibia. Proposed £2m-£3m fundraise. Diversified Gas & Oil—According to LSE website first day of trading on AIM now expected for 30 January.
N+1 Singer - St Ives - Downgrade
19 Jan 17
Marketing activation has been impacted by further decline in grocery retail impacting profit by c£5m. Strategic The Company is also taking this opportunity to revise its guidance for Strategic Marketing as its recovery pace is not running at the planned target rate. PBT falls from N1Se £31.9m to £25m. The Company expects dividend to be held based upon lowered guidance and the implied cash flow performance. There do not appear to be any covenant issues. Forecasts and TP under review and downgrade to Hold. We expect the shares to test the 100p level.
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
19 Jan 17
Aggregated Micro Power* (AMPH): Funding for first peaking power plant project (CORP) | The Mission Marketing Group* (TMMG): Positive trading update (CORP) | Cello (CLL): Increasingly backed by, and leveraging, technology (BUY) | 4imprint (FOUR): Growth backed by strong cash flow continues (BUY) | Allergy Therapeutics (AGY): Positive trading update and market share gains drive upgrades (BUY) | Shanta Gold (SHG): Q4 operating results (BUY) | Sound Energy (SOU): Tendrara extended well test result (BUY) | Revolution Bars (RBG): Price target increase (BUY)
Trading conditions difficult but acquisitions underpin growth
23 Jan 17
FY16 revenue will be £53.7m (FY15: £44.8m), in line with ZC estimate of £53.9m, showing growth of c. 20% yoy underpinned by the three acquisitions undertaken in the year. However, due to higher costs relating to the acquisitions and, to a lesser extent, gross margin pressure, PBT will be in the region of £7.0 to £7.2m equating to growth of between 5.5% and 8.0%. As a result, FY16 ZC profit forecast is reduced by 8.0% to £7.0m. The impact in FY18 and FY19 is muted by the announcement of a further acquisition leading to an increase in revenue estimates of 8.7% whilst profit estimates fall c.4.5% in each year, respectively. Despite the decrease in forecasts the PER multiple on FY17 earnings remains single digit at just 9.1x, against a distributor average of 15.8x. With commitment to the forecast dividend increase reiterated, Flowtech offers an above average yield of 4.1%