Companies: K3 Capital Group Plc (K3C:LON)Tristel Plc (TSTL:LON)
Bioventix (BVXP): Corp | Elixirr (ELIX): Corp | IQGeo Group (IQG): Corp | Omega Diagnostics (ODX): Corp | Proactis (PHD): Corp | Shield Therapeutics (STX): Corp | Tristel (TSTL): Corp
Companies: BVXP ODX PHD TSTL IQG ELIX
Full-year results were 4% above expectations, with revenues and adjusted pre-tax profit rising 21% and 27%, respectively, boosted in part by acquisitions in FY 2018 and 2019 but also from COVID-19 related buying, particularly Cache surface disinfection products. We raise FY 2021 adjusted pre-tax profit by 3% to £7.2m and introduce FY 2022 forecasts, which point to c.11% EPS growth. FY 2021 growth is held back by the stated c.£0.75m commitment to developing a fuller pipeline of products to take to the FDA/EPA and Canada Health. We view this as a strong endorsement of the progress that has been made to date. We also lift our target price to 500p on the back of a small FY 2021 upgrade and outlook for growth in 2022, supported by renewed commitment and resourcing for North American regulatory approvals.
Companies: Tristel Plc
Omega Diagnostics (ODX): Corp VISITECT WHO PQ – opens the door to wider adoption | Tristel (TSTL): Corp Regulatory approvals in India
Companies: Omega Diagnostics Group PLC (ODX:LON)Tristel Plc (TSTL:LON)
Barkby Group (BARK): Corp | eve Sleep (EVE): Corp | Iofina (IOF): Corp | Quixant (QXT): Corp | Touchstone Exploration (TXP): Corp | Tristel (TSTL): Corp
Companies: IOF QXT TSTL TXP EVE BARK
A positive trading update for the year ending 30 June 2020 indicates revenues of £31.6m (+21%), some £1.6m (5%) above expectations, driven by a c.£1.5m net benefit from COVID-19 related sales and a strong international performance (+32%). Adjusted pre-tax profit is expected to be at least £6.8m (+21%), £0.3m above expectations. Although the exact path to ‘normality’ post-COVID is difficult to predict, the breadth of product range and geographic mix and the fact that hospitals should employ more rigorous disinfection regimes and product selection in the future all benefit Tristel and point to long-term sustained growth. We make upward revisions to our forecasts and increase our target price to 450p.
Altitude Group (ALT): Corp | Barkby Group (BARK): Corp | Byotrol (BYOT): Corp | Tristel (TSTL): Corp
Companies: ALT BYOT TSTL BARK
FRP Advisory Group, UK professional services firm specialising in restructuring advisory. Raising £80m (£20m primary). Expected market cap £190m. Compound annual growth of 16.4 per cent. in revenue and 10.9 per cent. in operating profit since the beginning of FY17.o Strong average EBITDA margins of 51 per cent. over FY17 to FY19, and consistently strong cash conversion Inspecs, a UK designer, manufacturer and distributor of eyewear frames to global retail chains announces its intention to IPO onto AIM raising £94m with a market cap of £138m. Admission expected 27th February. FY Dec 2018 numbers show revenue of $57m and underlying EBITDA of $11m. The Proof Of Trust has announced its intention to list on the Standard Market. The Blockchain based business, owns patents to a protocol which facilitates dispute resolution based upon smart contract disputes. Transaction details TBC. DRI Healthcare—investment company focused on investments in healthcare Royalty Assets looking to raise $350m. Due 11 Mar. Ninety One –proposed demerger and public listing of Investec’s global asset management business on LSE and JSE. 30 Sep 2019 AUM £121bn. Sale of existing shares. Expected free float of >60%. Due 16 march. Cabot Square—Closed ended investment fund focussed on alternative assets and asset manager. Looking to raise £200m. Will target investment opportunities that are expected to generate an attractive risk adjusted return and that can also make a positive ESG impact by focusing on some of the biggest challenges facing societies and economies. Due 14 Feb. The Global Sustainable Farmland Income Trust will invest in a diversified portfolio of operational farmland assets located in major agricultural markets including the United States, Europe, New Zealand, Australia and certain countries within Latin and South America. Raising up to $300m. Due 28 February. Incanthera—Specialist oncology company focused on transforming cancer treatment by creating environments in which cancer cannot survive . Due 28 Feb. Zapp Scooters, a developer and manufacturer of electric two-wheeled vehicles announced its intention to IPO on the NEX Exchange Growth Market. The Company intends to raise up to £3.5m. Admission is expected to occur on NEX in February 2020.
Companies: TSTL BOKU EQT KRS CALL CRV JAY TWD PHC ALBA
Gemfields (GEM): Corp | Quartix (QTX): Corp | Trackwise Designs (TWD): Corp | Tristel (TSTL): Corp
Companies: QTX TSTL TWD GML
Tristel reported interim results that were c.7% above the trading update at its AGM on 17 December with adjusted pre-tax profit of £3.0m (+25%) driven by a 22% (22% CER) increase in revenues. Stripping out the impact of recent acquisitions, underlying growth was still a robust 13%. Despite the strong first half and potential for a “COVID-19 bonus” in H2, we are not making any changes yet, recognising instead that current FY forecasts are underpinned. We are however, increasing our target price to 375p, cognisant of the upside potential that international growth offers as well as quality and momentum of growth. On current forecasts, this would imply a prospective 3.5% free cashflow yield.
City of London Group (CIN): Corp Ready steady go | ClearStar (CLSU): Corp Trading update | Destiny Pharma (DEST): Corp Asian Pacific guidelines support XF-73 future use | Evgen Pharma (EVG): Corp Interims – cash to Q3 2021 | SDI Group (SDI): Corp Interims on track for strong FY 2020 | Tristel (TSTL): Corp AGM and trading update
Companies: SDI TSTL DEST EVG CIN
The Pebble Group, a provider of products, services and technology to the global promotional products industry, announces its intention to seek admission of its shares to trading on the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange, which is expected to take place in early December 2019.The Group delivered revenue of £99.8 million in the year ended 31 December 2018.No mention of bottom line and a suggestion that funds raised would provide an exit to private equity shareholders and the repayment of debt. Offer TBA. Longboat Energy raising £10m. Expected admission November 2019. The company has been established by the former management team of Faroe Petroleum to create a new full-cycle North Sea oil and gas company .The strategy to achieve this will initially be through the acquisition of assets where the management team can add value through subsurface and operational improvements, follow-up deal opportunities and nearfield exploration; and by value creation through the drill bit.
Companies: TXP SHG CNIC AAU INSP TSTL ORPH RLE IQG MSMN
Destiny Pharma (DEST): Corp Reinforcing the value of XF-73 | Tristel (TSTL): Corp FY 2019 results: new three-year financial plan
Companies: Tristel Plc (TSTL:LON)Destiny Pharma Plc (DEST:LON)
Full-year results were in line with July’s trading update. Revenues grew by 18% CER, with a stronger-than-expected UK performance (+9% vs +2% in FY 2018), driven in part by the launch of new products, supporting the continued expansion in international markets (+26%) that now account for 55% of group revenues. The expected response to Tristel’s pre-submission request to the FDA, expected in December, should help determine the next steps for US registration. We maintain our FY 2020 adjusted pre-tax profit forecasts (+16%) with changes to reflect IFRS16 and introduce FY 2021 forecasts for 10% and 7% revenue and EPS growth. These are towards the bottom of Tristel’s newly set three-year financial plan, which bodes well for potential upside given the strong delivery over the past three years. Our unchanged 325p target price implies a 4% FY 2020 FCF yield.
Tristel provided a positive trading update for the year ending 30 June 2019, indicating revenues of £26m (+17%), some £0.3m above expectations, driven by a stronger UK performance, and adjusted pre-tax profit of at least £5.5m (+18%), in line with current forecasts. Tristel also announced the buy-out of its associate in Italy (80% of Tristel Italia) for c.£0.6m (3.3x EBITDA), for which it intends to invest in a sales force to drive future growth. This should be broadly neutral to FY 2020 earnings but accretive thereafter. This is a well-trodden path that Tristel has followed over the past two to three years, taking greater control of its overseas markets, and underpins the solid and sustained performance that we have seen over the past five years. We make minor changes to forecasts and increase our target price to 325p.
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Although 2020 will probably go down in history as one of the most challenging years experienced during our lifetime, it will also likely be chronicled as one of the best years for the recognition and appreciation of science. As we entered 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic was in its infancy. However, it rapidly evolved through the exponential rise in infections and mortality globally. Much has been achieved during the past 12 months in the fight against COVID-19, but, as we enter 2021, there are considerable concerns about the emergence of a mutant version of the virus and the second wave that we are now facing.
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN PHP RECI STX SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
Q4 trading has led sales to guidance being raised 8%. This has been driven by better than expected UK sales, incl. success with new customers like Wilko/Tesco. Some of the benefit is offset by a non-cash FX debit, but it still leads to an upgrade and higher net cash. As a result of successful trials in Tesco Express, W7 is also being rolled out to 469 more stores. This, and previously announced distribution gains, bodes well for incremental sales/PBT in 2021, and underlines the appeal of its value-for-money brands. On 11x 2019 cash-adjusted EV/EBITDA, valuation is undemanding, particularly with the added attraction of dividends/income.
Companies: Warpaint London PLC
Ongoing strength in the key China market has prompted a positive trading update, indicating FY21 revenues and EBITDA will be significantly ahead of (already upgraded) expectations. Demand for Aivlosin in China in particular has remained strong throughout Q3 and is expected to remain so in Q4. We upgrade our FY21 revenue forecasts by 12% to £91.9m, which flows through to a 30% PBT upgrade to £10.1m. Whilst there is some caution expressed over the sustainability of this demand, we now forecast a flat performance YoY in FY22, but this is still 10% ahead of our previous estimates at the PBT level. The shares remain suspended pending the publication of the delayed FY20 results, which will be released as soon as possible alongside the H1’21 interims.
Companies: ECO Animal Health Group plc
Foresight Group , the award-winning infrastructure and private equity investment manager to IPO on the Main Market (premium). The Offer will primarily comprise a sale of shares by existing shareholders (c.80% of the Offer) with a smaller offering of new shares (c.20% of the Offer) to be issued by the Company. Details TBA. Cornish Metals (TSX-V: CUSN) intends to list on AIM. The Company is proposing to raise £5 million by way of private placement of new Common Shares (the "Fundraising") to advance the United Downs copper-tin project. The Company expects that Admission will become effective in February 2021. The Company's Common Shares will continue to be listed and trade on the TSX-V in Canada. VH Global Sustainable Energy Opportunities plc, a closed-ended investment Company focused on making sustainable energy infrastructure investments, today announces intends to launch an initial public offering of shares on the Official List (Premium) of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Due by Early Feb.
Companies: TYM W7L BEG CRPR EUZ IRR CMCL FARN KETL AUG
Synairgen (SNG.L): Completion of recruitment for at home trial | Sensyne Health (SENS.L): Research agreement with The Royal Wolverhampton NHS Trust
Companies: Synairgen plc (SNG:LON)Sensyne Health Plc (SENS:LON)
Cambridge Cognition provided a positive FY 2020 trading update, with revenues (+34%), net losses and cash all ahead of expectations, and delivering an EBITDA-positive Q4. After a year of record order intake (£12.7m) and with a year-end order book of £11.2m (+96% on the prior year), the company is positioned to deliver another year of strong growth. This update provides further evidence of (i) the commercial focus that the CEO has instigated, (ii) the cross-selling opportunities for its newer digital solutions, and (iii) the prospect of a period of sustained strong growth in what are large (c.£1.2bn) and high growth (c.20%) addressable markets for digital solutions for clinical trials. We increase FY 2021 revenues by 18% to £8.5m, implying 26% growth and raise our target price 31% to 105p.
Companies: Cambridge Cognition Holdings Plc
Cambridge Cognition ("COG") has provided a trading update for the year ended 31 December 2020 that is ahead of our expectations. Group Revenues grew +34% to £6.7m (2019: £5.0m) and were +7% ahead of DCe of £6.3m. COG delivered significant revenue growth from digital solutions for clinical trials as it increased its focus on commercialisation. The strong beat in Revenue is due to an improved commercial execution across a wider portfolio of products as the Group has placed a key emphasis on crossselling CANTAB with newer electronic Clinical Outcome Assessment (eCOA) and digital solutions for frequent, remote testing of patients outside of the clinic setting. The Group's order intake for the year closed at a record £12.7m, up +158% on the previous year's order intake of £4.9m and maintaining the growth trajectory reported in the interim results. The Group experienced a mixed effect due to Covid-19 as some orders and revenue recognition was delayed in the year. However, the pandemic has provided an impetus for an industry shift towards evaluating virtual clinical trials, which opened new opportunities for the Group. We move our target price to 89p (from 80p).
ANGLE raised £19.6m (gross) to capitalise on the first-mover advantage that the FDA clearance for Parsortix will create, catalysing ANGLE’s ability to exploit the emerging multi-billion dollar liquid biopsy market. It will enable ANGLE to pursue multiple parallel revenue streams: (i) as a service provider to the pharma industry particularly looking to improve on immunotherapy patient outcomes (companion diagnostics) and (ii) to develop a number of specific clinical applications. Not only does it strengthen the balance sheet ahead of partner discussions but it provides the resources to develop in parallel relevant laboratory developed tests and fund the necessary clinical utility studies that will accelerate clinical adoption. We re-introduce forecasts and raise our target price to 150p (c.£310m EV), which is supported by risk-adjusted DCF and peer group analyses.
Companies: ANGLE plc
Robust FY21 performance forecast, despite pandemic
Companies: SDI Group plc
After an eventful 2020, ReNeuron released updated 12-month Phase ll data in January on its lead human retinal progenitor cell (hRPC) project. This continues to show a consistent and robust, sustained average gain in visual acuity in retinitis pigmentosa (RP). A continuation study in nine patients using two million cells is underway with three- and six-month data due over H2 CY21 and the first three patients treated. This will facilitate partnering negotiations. A pivotal hRPC study may start in 2022. Deals are possible in CY21 on the exosome genetic drug delivery platform, which could be very valuable. The valuation remains at £190m with strong cash.
Companies: ReNeuron Group plc
On 30th December 2020, RUA reported that shareholders had approved resolutions regarding the placing along with a strongly oversubscribed Open Offer. RUA now start 2021 with the resources and mandate to accelerate the development of its products, where we anticipate reports of progress during the year. We have slightly increased our R&D and CapEx spend for FY 2022 to reflect this investment and the cash utilization. RUA’s issued share capital now comprises 22,184,797 shares and the increases in FY 2022 investment in its products, modestly change our valuation by about £2.0m to £113.2m for the Company, equating to 510p per share.
Companies: RUA Life Sciences Plc
Interim results were in line with the 28 October trading update, reflecting the impact of the pandemic, with sales down 27% and LBITDA of £1.3m. However, c.10% LFL growth for Health & Nutrition (HN) in October and November is encouraging and points to long-term growth. Together with confirmation that first shipments against the initial 1m order for AbC-19 rapid antibody tests have taken place as well as first shipments of VISITECT CD4 Advanced Diseases tests to Africa, we expect a strong H2 (c.75% of FY sales), with potential upside driven by a currently poorly visible, yet anticipated long-term opportunity from its three key value drivers: Food Detective in China, VISITECT CD4 and COVID-19 lateral flow devices (LFDs). We leave our forecasts unchanged until we have further clarity on the unfolding COVID-19 opportunities. Whilst this implies c.£9.4m sales in H2, this is still eminently achievable given that supply has the ability to generate in excess of £9m of sales in Q4 FY 2021, should the demand materialise.
Companies: Omega Diagnostics Group PLC
STX is a commercial-stage company delivering specialty products that address patients’ unmet medical needs, with an initial focus on treating iron deficiency (ID). Feraccru®/Accrufer® has been approved by the regulators in both Europe and the US. For various reasons, STX has been unable to secure a commercial partner for Accrufer in the US. Consequently, the board is now considering an STX-led launch option, thereby retaining all the US profits. Financial modelling shows the logic of this option, but it would necessitate financing the working capital requirements covering the next two years in the region of £25m-£30m.
Companies: Shield Therapeutics Plc
Ongoing strong demand for EKF’s products, both in the core business and the Primestore MTM Covid-19 sample collection device, means the FY20 outturn will be “comfortably ahead” of already upgraded expectations. This pattern is expected to persist throughout Q1’21 and beyond and management is confident that the performance in Q1 will be materially ahead of expectations. Having previously left FY21 estimates untouched, we are today putting through the first in what we expect to be a series of material upgrades. Given the dynamic situation around Covid-19, we expect regular updates throughout the course of the year and will adjust our forecasts accordingly as visibility over ordering patterns increases.
Companies: EKF Diagnostics Holdings plc
Novacyt Initiation of Coverage: Through the rapid commercialisation of a COVID-19 test, Novacyt has transformed its financial position. Demand for the Group's COVID-19 test and other COVID-19 reagents are expected to make up the majority of revenue generated until FY22E, whereupon the Group is looking to drive long-term growth across its business via the development of high-margin clinical diagnostics and establish itself as a leader in infectious disease testing.
Companies: Novacyt SAS