The Promised Land

Red Dwarf, the very British sci-fi comedy franchise, ran for 11 seasons – most recently in 2017; and The Promised Land is a feature-length TV movie – out this year. Yes, the programme is an acquired taste. Strangely, too, many episodes are impacted by a virus or three (physiological, not main-frame).

UK Housebuilding Sector: 2020 vision: Sharpness and clarity for industry prospects

For fighter pilots, it is a minimum requirement. But having 20/20 ‘visual acuity’ (correct term) does not necessarily mean you have perfect vision (as convention assumes); instead, it indicates sharpness and clarity of vision at a distance. It is measured by a Snellen Chart, which displays letters of progressively smaller size and whereby 20/20 means that the test subject sees the same line of letters at 20 feet that a person with normal vision sees at 20 feet (or 6 metres; but 6/6 simply didn’t

UK Housebuilding Sector in 3Q 2019: ‘And then there were 17’

Dame Agatha Christie (née Miller) published more than 80 books and plays; and the Guinness Book of World Records lists her as the best-selling novelist of all time with roughly two billion copies sold. ‘And then there were none’ was originally published in 1939, with an un-politically correct title; and it is still the world’s best-selling mystery (with more than 100 million sold). It is also number six on the list of best-selling books of all-time.

UK Housebuilding Sector in 2Q 2019

Dwight Barkley PhD is a Professor of Mathematics at the University of Warwick. He studies waves in excitable media such as the Belousov-Zhabotinsky reaction, heart tissue and neurons. In 1997, Dr Barkley and Dr Laurette Tuckerman, a Paris-based mathematical physicist, developed ‘bifurcation analysis for time steppers’, which is a technique for modifying computer codes to perform bifurcation analysis. More lyrical, perhaps, Dwight is also known for formulating an equation to estimate how long it

UK Housebuilding Sector in 1Q 2019

Y2K is a numeronym and was the common abbreviation for the year 2000 software problem; and, for the benefit of millennial readers, the abbreviation combines the letter ‘Y’ for year and ‘K’ for the SI unit prefix kilo, meaning 1000. Hence, 2K signifies 2000.

UK Housebuilding Sector in 2018

‘From the deserts of East Ham to the gardens of Cottenham’, the UK Housebuilding Sector was whacked to the tune of 27% in 2018; and not one share price (out of 18) rose on the London Stock Exchange.

UK Housebuilding Sector in 3Q 2018…

“It’s like the cow that every single day during 10 years sees the train crossing in front of it at the same time. And if you ask the cow what time is the train going to come, it’s not going to have the right answer. In football it’s the same”.

UK Housebuilding Sector

This ominous-sounding term originated from the work of famed Swedish meteorologist, Tor Bergeron (1897-1977), but it only entered popular vernacular this year – and there have been ample opportunities in 2018 to use it.

UK Housebuilding Sector in 2017

e il futuro

UK Housebuilding Sector: Q3 2017

‘The $64,000 Question’

UK Housebuilding Sector: Q2 2017

boohoo Group (BOO LN) - Building back to growth

FY23 revenue and EBITDA is a marginal beat vs. estimates with cash generation the standout beat. Market conditions are challenging, reflected in lower FY24 growth, but strategic progress is delivering improved profitability, with medium term guidance confident in a return to double-digit growth and increased profitability.

Initial Equity Trading Comments - 15 May 2023

Mixed thoughts about Imperial Brands

Despite falling short on the bottom line, the H1 23 results were in line with the street’s expectations in terms of the top-line and operating profit. The challenges posed by high comps and the effects of the COVID period significantly impacted tobacco volumes but this decline was effectively mitigated by pricing strategies. In our assessment, the market’s lukewarm response to the results can be attributed to a perceived lack of catalysts for Imperial.

LIBERUM: Ceres Power - Initiation - A Compellingly solid case

Morning Note – 11 May 2023

AGM update; benefitting from geographic diversity

Portmeirion has issued a brief AGM statement covering the traditionally quieter period of the year. Progress has been made YTD with geographical diversity and self-help being supportive features we understand. Overall, the expectation is for a flat H1 performance, which in the context of a challenging consumer backdrop would be a creditable outcome. We note USA has been singled out as showing customer caution in recent weeks re ordering and will need to be closely monitored over Q2. With c.80% o

Second half promises

No growth in sight, we cut top-line forecasts for 23/24e We have updated our forecasts for the seven European online retailers under our coverage, following the Q1 reporting season. At the start of the year, growth for online pure-plays was scarce. Current trading comments suggest this hadn''t changed in April/May. The outlook message across the sub-sector was consistent as almost all the retailers push top-line growth and profit expectations out to the second half of 23/24e. This report aligns

Portmeirion+ (PMP, House Stock, 508p) - No changes to forecasts on AGM statement

PROGRESSIVE: Watkin Jones: Investment appetite returns but rephased

Watkin Jones highlights a continued recovery in the institutional funding market in today’s interim results, which were in line with its expectations of a significant H2 weighting for FY23E. This, and attractive new land opportunities, should support its long-run target margins. However, the group has exercised caution in recognising profits on long-term contracts, leading us to cut adjusted PBT by £25m for FY23E, while leaving FY24E unchanged. Longer term, we believe the clamour for rental acco

46 stocks, 272 charts, 690 questions

Conference compendium With the summer conference season approaching, we have collated a convenient compendium of questions and performance/valuation/data screens for all the stocks within our food, household and personal care, beverages and consumer ingredients coverage universe. Stock information Within you will find 15 updated questions for management, latest company guidance, the P/E and EV/EBIT history relative to the wider sector, the P/E history relative to the relevant sub-sector, the YTD

Melrose Industries - The stars are aligned

Following the demerger of Dowlais automotive, Melrose Industries is a focused aerospace group with a retuned strategy, still with shareholder value at its core, to develop its capabilities long term as a focused entity. The flexion point in the aftermarket partnerships, benefits from the operational actions and the accelerating recovery in the aerospace market provide strong positive dynamics for Melrose. Profit is set to expand significantly, well beyond the pre-acquisition levels, fuelling a

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 25 May 23

25th May 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv

Morning Note – 9 May 2023

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 22 Feb 23

22 February 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objec

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 26 Apr 23

26th April 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object