Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 14 September 23

14th September 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment ob

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 22/06/2022

Dish of the day Joiners: No Joiners Today. Leavers: No Leavers Today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? Visum Technologies seeking admission to The AQSE Growth Market. The Company's business is to own and operate an "on-ride" video and photographic camera system that it sells and/or licenses to customers (being theme parks, ride manufacturers, souvenir imaging providers, and other leisure operators). Due 30 June. LifeSafe Holdings, a fire safety technology business with innovative fire safety p

Small Cap Feast: 06/07/21

What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? Bridgepoint Group to float on the Premium Segment of the Main Market. Bridgepoint is the leader in middle market investing, with a global reach that leverages its strong pan-European footprint and Bridgepoint's ability to deploy meaningful amounts of client capital across several well established strategies. Raising £300m. Timing TBA. HydrogenOne Capital Growth to IPO on the Premium Segment of the Main Market. HGEN is targeting a raise of £250m. First London

Small Cap Feast

ReAssure Group plc - The Group is a leading closed book life insurance consolidator in the United Kingdom with 4.3m policies, £68.7 billion of assets under administration on a Post-L&G Illustrative Basis. It is considering a premium listing segment of the main market. Voyager AIR The Company will focus on the acquisition, leasing and management of primarily widebody aircraft, with asset management services to be provided by Amedeo Limited he IPO will comprise a Placing and Offer for Subscriptio

Strong H1 update helps drive further upgrades

Churchill China has had another strong trading period and this is articulated in today’s H1 trading update. The business continued to sustain good export momentum, led by Europe, whilst UK Hospitality also moved forward despite Brexit uncertainty. We are lifting our 3 year EPS forecasts by 3.5%-4.0% this morning and see the risk on the upside as the year progresses. The shares currently trade on a 2019 P/E of 20x falling to 18x. On a 12m view we see fair value >1850p (22.5x FY20 P/E). Overall, t

Small Cap Feast

Essensys plc—a provider of mission-critical SaaS platforms and on-demand cloud services to the high growth flexible workspace industry, plans to join AIM. Offer TBC, expected 29 May 2019. Induction Healthcare Group plc—a healthcare technology company focused on streamlining the delivery of care by Healthcare Professionals looking to join AIM. Expected raise of £14.58m at 115p, market cap of £34.07m. Expected 22 May 2019. SDX Energy plc—a North Africa focused oil and gas company, announces its in

AGM signals good trading momentum across the business

The company has today released a positive AGM update, signalling a good start to the year and further progress against strategic objectives. There is also favourable commentary around the recent Dudson transaction. In short, the general reassurance offered this morning reinforces the fact that Churchill has a different market and strategic positioning vs peer Portmeirion, which recently warned. Given it is difficult to second guess to what extent the strong start to the year reflects an element

A further serving of premium growth and strategic progress

Churchill has delivered an excellent outcome for 2018 of 24% PBT growth on 7% top-line progress. This implies a 4% beat at the PBT level vs our forecast. Strategically, last year once again demonstrated that management continue to deliver on the twin objectives of export sales growth and augmenting the mix towards added-value products. Momentum going into 2019 is strong and the company is on the front foot re Brexit planning. We push through EPS upgrades of 3-4% and see fair value at 1450p. We r

Strong H2 outcome prompts upgrades

A short and sweet but positive YE trading update from Churchill China this morning. The strong double-digit export sales momentum of H1 continued into H2 and UK performed in line with expectation of positive sales growth in H2. Net, management is guiding to a full year outcome ahead of market expectations. We upgrade our FY18 PBT by a meaningful 7% and outer years by 3%. Going into FY19 the business is geographically well diversified and investing appropriately to support further progress. An FY

Morning Song

Churchill China (CHH LN) Continuing to dish out premium growth | IFG Group (IFP LN) Operational progress, but still no clarity on HMRC investigation | Xaar (XAR LN) Trading below expectations; reviewing partnering options for printheads

Continuing to dish out premium growth

Churchill has reported an excellent set of interims, delivering 22% PBT growth vs a stiff 31% comp. Key tenets of this growth were geographical diversity and continued sales momentum of value-added products. Looking forward, the business is trading well, investing appropriately, strengthening the international platform and, in our view, European growth should continue to prosper under either Brexit scenario. We further nudge up our 3 year EPS forecasts by 1-4% and argue for fair value towards 12

Morning Song

Churchill China (CHH LN) Positive H1 update supports upgrades | Gresham Technologies (GHT LN) H1 trading update + earnings-enhancing acquisition

Strong performance from quality – 11 focus stocks

We have refreshed our quality style screen for the second time and report on style performance since the last refresh in October. Performance has been very strong, outperforming the small-cap index by c.1600bps (weighted basis) and c.1000bps (unweighted). There has been volatility with the market and this style has yet to be tested in a concerted down market, but in a flat or rising market quality appears to be a successful investment style in small-caps. We have highlighted 11 focus stocks in t

Revisiting the investment case

We see Churchill as a highly attractive long-term growth story. Its international dimension, NPD credentials and multi-channel customer strategy should continue to give it greater avenues for growth and investment. In this note we lay out the case for investing in this reliable small-cap stock. The company has today released a positive AGM update, highlighting a good start to the year and further progress against strategic objectives. It is too early in the year to be adjusting numbers but we fe

Surface Transforms - New guidance – forecasts under review

Surface Transforms has issued new revenue guidance for FY24, with the company now expecting revenues in the range £17.5-22m. We are withdrawing our previous forecasts for FY24 and withdrawing our price target while we review the impact of the new guidance.

Surface Transforms plc (SCE LN) - Forecasts and valuation withdrawn

We note the regulatory announcement this morning from Surface Transforms and withdraw our estimates and valuation, pending conversations with management.

Morning Note – 16 April 2024

Robust margin and cash performance

Surface Transforms (SCE LN) - Obstacles removed for higher production

Surface has issued a brief Q1 update. Production will ramp-up this year as final new equipment is installed, and manufacturing teething problems recede.

Initial Equity Trading Comments - 19 February 2024

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 16/04/2024

16th April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radical Limited for

Dowlais Group - Motoring forward

Dowlais Group’s first set of results were ahead of our expectations, with positive cash generation a highlight despite restructuring and demerger costs. Softer automotive markets will limit margin progress in FY24 towards the double-digit target. Despite this, margins of c 6.5% are still ahead of automotive peers, although the shares trade at a significant discount to our implied generic peer-based valuation.

Morning Note – 9 April 2024

Zeus Top Picks for 2024 - 2023 review and outlook for 2024

On 9 January last year, we set out our ten top stock picks for 2023, for what turned out to be another relatively poor twelve months for UK equities due to two wars, stubbornly high inflation and further tightening of monetary policy. This was even as other major markets, such as the US, largely recovered in the year. In the 2023 calendar year, the AIM All-Share index fell 8.2% and is still 42% off its 2021 high. From the release of our 2023 top picks note, the average total return (assuming div

Morning Note – 4 April 2024

LIBERUM: New Energy Nuggets: Hydrogen - the future is green

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 17 April 24

17th April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi

Nexteq - FY23 adj EBITDA +4% ahead, FY24E upgrades of +1-10%

Nexteq’s FY23 results show adjusted EBITDA +4% ahead of the +6% upgrade at the January trading update, record FY23 EFCF of $17.4m, and a confident outlook that leads us to reiterate our FY24E revenue and upgrade FY24E gross profit, adj EBITDA, and EFCF by +1-10%. The strategic focus on higher-margin products and customers reducing elevated inventory levels led FY23 group revenue -5% yoy to $114.3m, with Quixant 6% lower at $69.3m and Densitron 2% lower at $45.1m. Effective supply-chain managemen

Morning Note – 25 March 2024