Companies: ALU AMO COG ELCO IOF TCM EVG
The group has announced an extremely positive trading update as it completes its first half. Following a positive Q1, Q2 has maintained momentum resulting in a record profit for the half year, significantly more than we had forecast for H1 and almost achieving the full-year expectation. Restructuring cost savings have also assisted gaining double-digit RoS. It also signalled a return to the group’s previous dividend policy. As a result, we upgrade our FY21 forecast with a 39% in in EPS to 19.9p. We also raise our PT from 130p to 178p, in line with the uplift in EPS, which remains a conservative target P/E of 9.0x. ALU is currently one of the lowest rated in the sector, offering a currently very attractive 4.4% dividend yield.
Companies: Alumasc Group plc
Companies: ALU QTX SDI
The group’s AGM statement reads well, with record Q1 trading and strong cash flows. Net debt now stands below £1m, with significant headroom in facilities. Previous restructuring has delivered £2.4m of efficiency gains, which particularly benefit Levolux and Gatic. The UK market has seen a strong bounce accompanied by a strong export performance and a high level of export orders recently gained. No change to trading forecasts. The shares remain at a deep discount to our 130p price target and today’s update should be taken well.
Alumasc (ALU): Corp | Bigblu Broadband (BBB): Corp | Flowtech Fluidpower (FLO): Corp | STM (STM): Corp | Synairgen (SNG): Corp
Companies: ALU FLO STM SNG BBB
Full-year results naturally show the effects of the lockdown in the final quarter, but the effects have been contained by swift management action on costs and cash preservation. The current year has started strongly, with July posting a record month and trading momentum in the building products sector showing decent recovery momentum. In addition, it has generated £2.4m of cost savings assisting profit recovery. Given the recovery in trading and profit drop through, but mindful of potential future COVID effects, we introduce reworked forecasts and a PT of 130p, with the current P/E appearing too low at 5.6x.
Alumasc (ALU): Corp FY trading statement | City of London Group (CIN): Corp Recognition of a resilient potential operating model | dotDigital (DOTD): Corp FY20 trading update | Frenkel Topping (FEN): Corp A creative, niche acquisition strategy to secure growth | NAHL (NAH): Corp Net debt reducing and cost savings identified
Companies: ALU DOTD FEN CIN
Alumasc (ALU): Corp | Byotrol (BYOT): Corp | Lok'nStore (LOK): Corp | Omega Diagnostics (ODX): Corp | Quartix (QTX): Corp
Companies: ALU BYOT LOK ODX QTX
Alumasc (ALU): Corp | Photo-Me (PHTM): Corp
Companies: Alumasc Group plc (ALU:LON)Photo-Me International plc (PHTM:LON)
Alumasc (ALU): Corp | Barkby Group (BARK): Corp | DX (DX): Corp | K3 Capital (K3C): Corp
Companies: ALU K3C BARK DX/
On lower revenue, H1 profit and dividend were both maintained. Despite a challenging H1, operations are responding to management action and despite the greater H2 weighting remains on target to achieve existing full-year expectations, with £2.0m of cost savings on track, a turnaround in Levolux performance, much lower pension deficit, reduced annual pension costs and a 10% increase in the order book. The shares have started to respond, with some improvement in post-election optimism in the construction sector. The shares remain significantly undervalued and we raise our price target from 122p to 150p, with 37% EPS recovery prospects and attractive 6.8% dividend creating a compelling mix that should produce share price outperformance.
Alumasc (ALU): Corp AGM trading update – on track with restructuring | Braemar (BMS): Corp Change and uncertainty drive value | Shoe Zone (SHOE): Corp Early signs of restored positive trading momentum | Solid State (SOLI): Corp H1 trading update – in line with stronger cash flow
Companies: ALU SHOE SOLI BMS
The group’s brief AGM trading update for its Q1 to September highlights it has generated a resilient performance against challenging UK construction market conditions. The operational improvements that will deliver £2m of cost saving are on track, with EBIT margins so far lifted by 1%. No change to forecasts. The shares remain at a very low level, offering a highly attractive secure yield of 8.9% and an unduly severe P/E discount to its peer group, trading on a P/E of 4.9x, less than half the value of many peers.
Results were slightly ahead of our forecasts, reduced earlier in the year, due to known project delays at Levolux. Management has taken action to restore profitability with the integration of Solar Shading with Roofing operations together with other actions leading to annualised cost saving of £2m, which provides a decent bounce to profits in the current year. No change to forecasts. The shares remain on a lowly P/E rating of 5.1x, dropping to 4.6x in 2021. We maintain our 122p price target, which offers upside as profit recovery occurs.
Altitude Group (ALT): Corp Trading update – growing up in public | Alumasc (ALU): Corp Full-year results in line | M.P. Evans (MPE): Corp Purchase of minorities accretive to sum of parts | Morses Club (MCL): Corp Strong position confirmed | PPHE Hotel Group (PPH): Corp Returns from investment programme growing
Companies: ALT ALU MPE
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Although 2020 will probably go down in history as one of the most challenging years experienced during our lifetime, it will also likely be chronicled as one of the best years for the recognition and appreciation of science. As we entered 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic was in its infancy. However, it rapidly evolved through the exponential rise in infections and mortality globally. Much has been achieved during the past 12 months in the fight against COVID-19, but, as we enter 2021, there are considerable concerns about the emergence of a mutant version of the virus and the second wave that we are now facing.
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN PHP RECI STX SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
Capital Limited has released its Q4 and FY2020 trading statement this morning. Overall it shows 2020 was a strong year for the company with revenue growing 18% and most other operating metrics growing positively with it – see Fig 1. We have adjusted our forecasts accordingly and also to take into account the mining services contract for the Sukari Mine which the company won late last year. The latter is a game changer for Capital and its investment case in our view; turbo charging revenue growth, enhancing margins and diversifying cashflow all of which should lead to materially higher valuation multiples. We raise our PT to 127p.
Companies: Capital Limited
2020 ended with two positive moves for carbon capture and storage (CCS) which should benefit Velocys clients. In the US, the signing of the COVID 19 stimulus bill extends and adds support for CCS in the US where the Bayou project is working with CO2 offtaker Occidental to deliver a negative emissions project. The UK government has also published guidance on CCS funding making this option an additional opportunity for the Altalto project. Velocys remains one of the very few opportunities for investors to play negative emission technology. We see both these moves improving the operating environment for the company’s clients and their projects, stimulating demand for the Velocys technology.
Companies: Velocys plc
Today’s update confirms a strong recovery in H2 FY2020E as expected and a full year adjusted PBT at least in line with FY2019, despite a material impact from Covid and the depressed oil price resulting in a decline in Augean’s North Sea Services business. The FY2020E outturn demonstrates the resilience of the Group and the strong attractions of its growing EfW activities that now account for c.70% of Group profit. Augean is very well positioned in the EfW residue market and with c.40% of the UK’s hazardous landfill capacity. We forecast Group earnings growth of 15% and 21% for FY2021E and FY2022E, and expect further strong cash generation. EV/EBITDAs for FY2021E and FY2022E are 5.7x and 4.5x respectively, substantially below sector constituents and transaction multiples.
Companies: Augean PLC
Avingtrans has announced that it has continued to perform well in H1 FY2021 and is trading in line with market expectations. Our cautiously framed forecasts anticipate adjusted EPS growth of 17% in FY2021E and 10% in FY2022E, including the benefit of cost reduction measures. The Group confirmed high levels of order cover for FY2021E at 85% at the end of September and orders taken since then will have provided further comfort. The shares have given ground YTD and now trade on a forward EV/sales multiple of 0.9x and prospective PERs of 13.8x and 12.7x for FY2021E and FY2022E respectively which are well below sector metrics. Management is also making great progress within the medical division where the potential for its small scale MRI is substantial.
Companies: Avingtrans plc
Augean has proven to be resilient throughout the pandemic. In particular, the growth in processing incinerator ash residues from energy from waste (EfW) facilities continues unabated and additional new contract wins should drive improved returns in FY21. Management expects FY20 adjusted PBT to be slightly ahead of last year and we have marginally reduced our FY20 adjusted PBT and EPS estimates by 1%. Our FY21 estimates are maintained. Cash flow has been stronger than we expected, underpinning the indication that dividends should resume in FY21.
Initiating with a Buy rating. We initiate our coverage of Proton Motor Power Systems (“Proton Motor”) with a BUY rating and a target price of 201p. Our valuation equates to a market capitalisation of £1.47bn, compared to a current share price of 65.5p and a market cap of £479m.
Companies: Proton Motor Power Systems Plc
A £10m fundraising expedites the Protos project and opens the way for the £10.2m Peel warrant exercise in the current year. The funding will also give the company additional resources to pursue international opportunities. Adjusting for the raise and some timing differences, our UK only base valuation rises from 5.0p to the raise price of 5.5p and we see existing international opportunities taking this to 7.5p (from 6.9p) and including opportunities in Europe this could rise to 12.1p (from 11.2p).
Companies: Powerhouse Energy Group PLC
Further media reports that Dr Martens, the British Boot brand is planning an IPO on the LSE. It is currently owned by PE group, Permira who is expected to sell down its stake at the IPO. March 2020 YE the group had revenues of £672m and EBITDA of £184m. Deal size TBC. Upon Admission to AIM, Nightcap will acquire The London Cocktail Club Limited (the "London Cocktail Club"), which is an award winning independent operator of ten individually themed cocktail bars in nine London locations and one location in Bristol. Offer TBC Due mid Jan. HSS Hire Group, HSS.L transfer from Main to Aim. Mkt Cap c. £70m. Recently raised £52.6m. Leading supplier of tool and equipment for hire in the United Kingdom and Ireland and has provided equipment hire services in the United Kingdom for more than 60 years, primarily focusing on the B2B market. Due 14 Jan. VH Global Sustainable Energy Opportunities plc, a closed-ended investment Company focused on making sustainable energy infrastructure investments, today announces intends to launch an initial public offering of shares on the Official List (Premium) of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Due by Early Feb.
Companies: IUG CBP KAT APP RST DIS NICL BOKU CNIC HE1
Today’s positive trading update provides further encouragement for investors. The shares have been appreciating steadily on the back of last month’s fund raise and acquisition, followed by a major contract win and the £2.5m sale of the remaining RTLS stake, which had previously been largely written off. Both FY20 revenue and adj. LBITDA are better than forecast and YE net cash is particularly healthy. The integration of OSPi is underway, with all staff already transferred. We adjust FY20 forecasts and reiterate future forecasts. Future cash expectations are lifted by the higher YE balance as well as the sale of the remaining RTLS holding.
Companies: IQGeo Group PLC
Velocys has announced a change in the partnership developing the Altalto sustainable aviation fuel project with Shell moving on and Velocys now splitting the project 50/50 with British Airways. Despite being no longer formally involved, Shell remains supportive of the project in broad terms. British Airways continues to view the project as vital to its net zero target.
XPD is a well-established pan-European freight management and logistics operator. We have selected the Group as one of our Top Picks for 20211. The Group is based in the UK and focused primarily on providing integrated supply chain solutions for customers operating in the UK and Central & Eastern Europe (“CEE”). Trading has been resilient through the Covid crisis, and the benefits of acquisition integration and recent cost reductions are now coming through. Management has guided to an 18% y-o-y improvement in profit for 2020e. The balance sheet is strong with £4.3m of net cash reported at H1.
Companies: Xpediator Plc
Seeing Machines has announced that it has licensed its Occula® Neural Processing Unit to OmniVision Technologies Inc. This advances the relationship from the MOU announced in September 2020 and builds on a relationship that is over five years old, with the two organisations having worked on multiple automotive programmes with a number of Tier 1 customers.
Companies: Seeing Machines Limited
Like many awful dreams, the Covid19 nightmare hasn’t quite finished, recently mutating into an ultracontagious super-bug. The risk being global transmission and infection rates spiral out of control, swamping healthcare systems again. However this time there is an answer. Hunker down for a few months, and inoculate as many vulnerable people as possible to reduce fatalities/hospitalisations. Plus, the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine is relatively simple to distribute (re 2°C to 8°C). Making rapid nationwide rollouts feasible, alongside ultimately bringing the curtain down on this dreadful virus.
Companies: Mpac Group PLC
AFC Energy (AFC) – Corporate – Strategic Partnership with Ricardo
Companies: AFC Energy plc