Avon Protection has indicated that management guidance for FY21 revenue and EBITDA margin has been achieved before an additional one-off, non-cash inventory write-down of around $4m in ballistics. Cash generation was better than anticipated after record levels of investment and order intake remained strong despite previously indicated pandemic delays. The healthy opening backlog underpins strong growth in FY22 as ballistics revenues ramp up, Team Wendy makes a full year contribution and EBITDA m
Companies: Avon Protection PLC
The impact of the pandemic on Avon Protection has intensified during H221. Despite a strong commercial performance management has lowered guidance significantly for FY21 and FY22 and we have reduced our estimates accordingly. The reduction comes on top of the previously announced deferrals to new ballistic protection contracts that remain on track for first delivery in FY22. We have lowered our FY21 and FY22 fully diluted adjusted EPS by 43% and 27% respectively to reflect the guidance. Manageme
The benefits of the three-pronged growth strategy are reflected in Avon Rubber’s H121 performance, which delivered strong overall growth in revenues and adjusted group profitability driven by a strong initial contribution from Team Wendy. The outlook for FY21 is maintained by management, which expects to meet market consensus expectations for adjusted PBT with the anticipated second-half weighting of revenues, despite the adverse impact of FX on costs. Strong order intake and backlog underpin me
This morning Avon released its post-close trading statement for H121, which shows strong top-line growth and order intake. Trading continued to show progress, in line with management expectations for Q221, continuing the Q121 performance noted at the AGM. Management expects to meet FY21 consensus expectations, with growing momentum during H221 as new contract volumes build. We trim our above-consensus FY21 EPS estimate by 4% and maintain FY22, which are reported in US$ from the current year. Avo
UK Defence Budget spend and four Small Cap players
Delays to product approvals and a protest by a competitor have led to the anticipated incremental revenue in FY21 from body armour contracts signed in FY20 being deferred to FY22. As a result, our FY21 revenue estimates are reduced by $50m, dropping through to a reduction in FY21 EPS of 19%. We expect the contracts to deliver as previously expected in FY22. The rest of Avon Rubber continues to trade as anticipated and has experienced good order intake during Q121. FY22 is currently unchanged and
FY20 has been a transformational year for Avon Rubber as it exited from dairy and recycled the proceeds into higher-return businesses with better growth prospects to further strengthen Avon Protection. The redeployment of capital to form a more focused group should enhance value creation for shareholders. The $91m acquisition of Helmets & Armor on 2 January 2020 was joined by Team Wendy from 2 November 2020. Overall, our FY21 EPS estimate falls by 2% in FY21, although this still represents stron
When the disposal of Avon’s dairy operations was announced, we assumed the proceeds would be reinvested in higher return businesses. The proposed $130m acquisition of the helmet systems activities of Team Wendy is a meaningful and strategically aligned deal, with higher returns and good organic growth prospects. Both deals should complete in Q1 FY21 and taken together should be EPS enhancing, improve value creation and leave net cash balances for further reinvestment.
Avon has announced a 10-year framework contract award from the NATO Support & Programme Agency (NSPA) for FM50 mask systems. It is a further encouraging development for Avon Protection, which will form the core of the group when the dairy disposal completes. The order secures long-term supply to NATO forces for the first time and supports the anticipated Military mask systems order intake from the Rest of the World. Avon currently trades on an FY21e P/E of 27.3x.
The announcement that Avon Rubber is to sell milkrite | InterPuls, its dairy division, to DeLaval Holding for £180m gross proceeds is strategically logical and financially compelling. The fit of dairy and defence has always looked slightly anomalous and the terms of the deal show that the opportunity to augment dairy through value-accretive deals is difficult given the scale of the business and opportunities. Management must now recycle the cash balances that will be created into Avon Protection
Avon Rubber has produced a strong set of interim results, with strong organic growth at Avon Protection and a much improved first half performance by milkrite | InterPuls in dairy. With the newly acquired Helmets & Armor line of business adding another growth stream, the outlook for the group is for the delivery of profitable growth notwithstanding the current pandemic.
Model Update – Ceradyne deal paying back
The latest body armour contract for the US Defense Logistics Agency is for up to $333m, to be delivered over 3.5 years for a legacy product. Avon had identified it as an incremental value-creating opportunity which, when won, would trigger the contingency consideration of up to $25m for the Helmets and Armor business acquired at the start of 2020. We have increased our FY21 EPS estimates by 13% following the award of the first delivery contract. Avon operates in defence and dairy markets that sh
US & German manufacturing PMI hits lowest readings since 2009, UK manufacturing PMI heads below 50, BorgWarner expects material financial impact from customer production halts
Companies: AVON CGS HAYD HEAD HILS JHD RNO SCPA TWD TRI ZTF SOM GHH
Oil price falls 30%, Chinese exports fall 17% in Jan-Feb, Japan's Q4 GDP revised down to 7% fall, Continental forecasts 2020 decline in global car production
Companies: AVON CGS HAYD HEAD HILS HTG JHD OXIG RSW RNO ROR SCPA TRI ZTF SOM GHH
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Avon Protection PLC.
We currently have 399 research reports from 7
The forthcoming UN Climate Change Conference (known as COP26) should result in an acceleration of governments’ actions to reduce CO2 emissions. This will result in an acceleration of customer end-user adoption rates which would be positive for AFC Energy which is developing zero-emission solutions for the EV-charging, construction, data centre and marine markets.
Companies: AFC Energy plc
Companies: SigmaRoc Plc
Longspur Research and Radnor Capital Partners have launched the Active Net Zero Clean Energy Index to allow investors to measure the performance of companies actively enabling climate solutions.The key emphasis is on the word “active”. This pan-European index eliminates greenwashing by penalising fossil fuel activities and focuses on actual achievement and positive contribution, rather than promises for the future. Our proprietary selection methodology is systematic, rules based and quantifiable
Companies: DRX ITM PHE SAE SIT STRLNG VLS
We see the UK Government’s Net Zero Strategy as being overall helpful but not especially definitive. Amongst our coverage group, Drax Group (DRX LN) and Velocys (VLS LN) benefit from the Humberside CCS cluster prioritisation and Velocys from SAF support. The amount of renewables is likely to boost the need for flexibility solutions where Drax, Gore Street (GSF LN) and SIMEC Atlantis (SAE LN) can benefit. Hydrogen companies ITM (ITM LN) and Powerhouse Energy (PHE LN) are likely to find support. T
Companies: ADN DRX GSF ITM NESF PHE SAE SIT STRLNG TLG VLS
Brent crude topped $85 a barrel in London for the first time since 2018, the latest milestone in a global energy crisis that has seen prices soar.
West Texas Intermediate for November settlement rose 97 cents to settle at $82.28 a barrel in New York.
Brent for December delivery added 86 cents to settle at $84.86 a barrel.
The global benchmark rose above the key level in intraday trading but did not settle above it on Friday. US crude futures posted an eighth straight weekly
Companies: FO 88E DEC EME GTC TRIN UOG WEN
The group continues to experience strong underlying market conditions, with some supply chain shortages and transport constraints causing price rises. These issues are not expected to improve in the short term, but the group is confident of progress and results are anticipated to be in line with expectations. No change to forecasts. We retain our price target of 315p, which still offers good upside despite the strong outperformance by the shares over the year. The shares remain attractive on a s
Companies: Alumasc Group plc
Tungsten West (TUN.L) has joined AIM. Tungsten West is the 100% owner and operator of the historical Hemerdon tungsten and tin mine located near Plymouth in southern Devon. Hemerdon represents the world's third largest tungsten mineral resource, with a JORC (2012) compliant Mineral Resource Estimate of approximately 325Mt at 0.12 WO3. Capital raised on Admission: £39m. Anticipated Mkt Cap: £106.2m.
Future Metals NL (ASX:FME, FME.L) (formerly named Red Emperor Resources NL) had joined AIM
Companies: SOLI RBD ALU ATQT BBI CWR DRV ORCP WATR
No Joiners Today
No Leavers Today
What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?
Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL ; TSXV: AXL) , the oil and gas exploration and production company, has conditionally raised approximately £8.8m and is due to complete its dual listing on AIM on 25 Oct. Market cap c£13.1m.
Devolver Digital to join AIM, an award-winning digital video games publisher and developer in the indie games space. Recently awarded indie 'Publisher of the Year 2021' by GamesIndustry.biz.
Companies: ZYT CIC DMTR GILD LMS MMAG PYC SMRT SBI
Companies: DeepMatter Group Plc
Oil posted the longest stretch of weekly advances since 2015 as OPEC+ producers only modestly supply the market and as US crude supplies shrink.
Crude futures rose 1.5% Friday in New York, up for a ninth straight week. President Joe Biden said Thursday night that Americans should expect high gasoline prices to continue into next year because of supply being withheld by OPEC and other foreign oil producers. Stockpiles at the biggest US storage hub are draining to levels last seen when crude pr
SIMEC Atlantis Energy have raised £2.6m at a share price of 2.5p in a fresh equity raise, representing 16% of the enlarged share capital.
Companies: SIMEC Atlantis Energy Ltd.
*A corporate client of Hybridan LLP
No joiners today.
Conduity Capital has left AIM.
What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?
Softline the global solutions and services provider in digital transformation and cybersecurity, with its headquarters in London, is considering proceeding with a potential initial public offering of global depositary receipts representing its ordinary shares. The Company is considering applying for admission of the GDRs to the standard listing segm
Companies: SEN SEMP DNORD DNORD FAB MAST SAR CZA MRL
Several stars have aligned for Brickability to flag an excellent half year's trading (to end Sep-21) in its latest update. Post-COVID recovery in housing markets, the natural seasonality of the business, favourable timing of acquisitions (notably Taylor Maxwell), output price inflation (especially in timber) and business mix all combining to drive revenue to three times the reported H1/20 level and EBITDA twofold ahead. This sets a strong foundation to ratify existing FY21 (March) forecasts with
Companies: Brickability Group PLC
ITM yesterday announced a capital raise of £250m to expand its capacities significantly. This comes sooner than we expected and seems like an opportunistic move to capture the market. The company will use the proceeds to expand its capacities to 2.5GW from 1GW by 2023 and to 5GW by 2024. The remainder of the proceeds will be used to reduce H2 production costs and to build an unparalleled support service. Overall, we are positively surprised.
Companies: ITM Power PLC