Morning Note – 29 November 2023

Xeros - Interim results: on track

Xeros has published interim results highlighting continued commercial progress, a sharp decrease in overheads and adj. LBITDA falling from -£3.9m to -£2.6m. Cash decreased from £6.5m at the start of the period to £2.6m at the end of August with utilisation below £0.5m/month. We expect further progress in H2 supported by first sales under the Yilmak/KRM contract in Finish and further progress expected in Care, leaving Xeros on track to meet our forecasts for FY2023E. We continue to expect Filtrat

Morning Note – 23 May 2023

Morning Note – 17 May 2023

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 18 Apr 23

18 April 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 20 Mar 23

20 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv

Morning Note – 20 March 2023

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 09 Mar 23

9 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objective

Xeros - FY22 trading update

Xeros has released a trading update for FY22. The statement notes that commercial progress is continuing as expected with IFB and within its Filtration and Finish technologies. However, as a result of the timing of commercial milestone payments and minor restructuring costs incurred towards the end of the period, it now expects FY22 adj. EBITDA to be lower than previously guided. Consequently, we are reducing our FY22 revenue forecast from £0.4m to £0.2m, and our FY22 adj. EBITDA forecasts from

Morning Note – 21 December 2022

Xeros - Fund raise should allow XSG to reach profitability

Xeros has announced that it is in the process of raising £6m through a placing (and an open offer raising up to £1m). Further, the company has announced interim results highlighting a net cash position of £2.6m at the end of August. Cash burn, at £0.5m/month, is consistent with our forecasts and, coupled with the proposed fund raise, should fund the business to expected profitability in FY2024E. We adjust our forecasts for the fund raise, which includes rebasing our target price to 25p/share.

Morning Note – 27 September 2022

Morning Note – 22 June 2022

Xeros - Solving urgent water usage and pollution issues

We have taken a fresh look at the Xeros investment case, re-instated forecasts and set a new price target of 125p/share. The commercial and environmental benefits of the XOrb, XDrum and XFilter technology platforms remain as compelling as ever, while there is now real commercial momentum, especially in Domestic Laundry and XFilter. We now expect breakeven in FY2024E.

Morning Note – 14 June 2022

PROGRESSIVE: Oxford Metrics: Drivers to growth and catalysts for rerating

Oxford Metrics’ results for the year to 30 September show a business that is growing strongly, driven by long-term technology, economic and demographic trends across the life sciences, entertainment and engineering markets. The results are in line with the trading update given on 25 October (see our note) that showed revenue and adjusted PBT ahead of our, and market, expectations. With a confident management commentary on the outlook, we raise our estimates for FY24E and introduce forecasts for

ITM Power (ITM LN) - Trading update

ITM has released a trading update, providing guidance on its upcoming H1 FY 2024 results, and reiterating full year FY 2024 guidance.

Water Intelligence 10m Trading Update

Water Intelligence has reported a strong 10m Trading Update that indicates it is on track to meet expectations and we increase our FY23 estimates by +2%.

Likewise (LIKE LN) - Strong revenue growth; on track to meet FY23 estimates

Likewise has confirmed that trading has remained in line with expectations underpinning Zeus estimates of 10.5% yoy growth (to £136.6m) for FY23. Q4 remains the single most important trading period of the year. November recorded record monthly revenue of £14.0m and Group revenue for the eleven months to the end of November is up 13.3% yoy. Within this, the Likewise Floor business has increased revenue by 29% underpinning the organic growth within the Group. It is very encouraging that the busine

Water Intelligence - 10-month update paints a strong picture, PTBA +14% YoY, inline for FY23E

WATR's 10-month update published this morning reflects continuing momentum in the business, in particular pushing margins ahead while also continuing to invest for growth. WATR is a supplier of in-demand water leak detection and related services across the whole of the US, with rarity / uniqueness in being a nationwide provider of these services, while also playing in international markets including the UK, Australia and Canada. The company has typically generated double-digit CAGR over the pa

Morning Note – 5 December 2023

Norcros - UK margins up materially, South Africa stabilising

Norcros’s compelling investment case was underpinned at the half year where underlying operating profit was down less than 3% despite material revenue pressure. Group operating margins rose 60bp, the UK business reported record underlying profits and Norcros continued to take market share in both the UK and South Africa. We believe that Norcros’s key strengths are underappreciated and that legacy issues, notably the pension deficit, have been resolved. We retain our estimates and value the share

discoverIE - Efficiencies driving margin, good forward visibility

discoverIE has reported an encouraging H1 2024 showing a resilient sales performance (flat in total, +4% CER) against strong comparators (+23% CER last year) in a difficult macro environment and an impressive increase in operating margins from 11.5% to 12.9%. Underlying EPS increased +8% and gearing of 1.6x is at the lower end of the target range. There remains significant opportunity for acquisitions, which – alongside targeting continued margin increases – provides upside potential to our fore

SIMEC Atlantis Energy (SAE LN) - Uskmouth BESS lease monetised

SAE has announced an agreement for monetisation of its lease payments from the 230MW Uskmouth BESS project, helping secure cash payments for the company and further demonstrate this element of its business model. Today’s statement also reports progress on further BESS projects, and a proposed extension to SAE’s Abundance bonds.

Quadrise+ (QED, House Stock at 2.4p) - Positive test results follow strong share price momentum

SP Angel Morning View: Gold powers through $2,100/oz on outlook for Fed rate cuts

Titon Holdings+ (TON, House Stock at 80p) - Trading update

UK-Listed Energy Sector: Review of the UK oil and gas landscape – why the country needs it, current policy and tax

The front of this note takes a look at the UK oil and gas sector, why domestic production is advantageous, what the main political parties think, and what could happen going forward. The latter part contains a review of the companies in our coverage – some that are UK centric, which give exposure to the note’s wider theme, and others that are focused elsewhere.

Velocys - Recommended Offer at 0.25p

The recommended offer announced today for Velocys comes from a consortium consisting of Lightrock, Carbon Direct Capital, GenZero and Kibo Investments. At 0.25p this values Velocys at £4.1m on a fully diluted basis. Following the acquisition, the consortium will provide up to US$40m of funding to help Velocys achieve it’s medium-term growth plans as well as providing a £3.5m bridging loan until the acquisition is effective. We remain of the view that the offer is cheap relative to the long-term

PROGRESSIVE: SDI Group: Acquisition of Peak Sensors

SDI Group has announced the acquisition of Peak Sensors, a UK manufacturer of temperature sensors, for an estimated £2.4m (£2.3m less cash). The initial cash consideration is £1.58m, with a further c.£0.82m payment due shortly after completion. The deal will be funded from SDI’s revolving credit facility. As at 30 September, SDI had c.£1.78m cash, £15.1m bank debt and £9.9m undrawn bank facility excluding the accordion, providing considerable financial flexibility for the group. The acquisition