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27 Apr 2021
Xaar : FY20 beat – strategic delivery - Buy

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Xaar : FY20 beat – strategic delivery - Buy
Xaar plc (XAR:LON) | 126 0 0.0% | Mkt Cap: 100.7m
- Published:
27 Apr 2021 -
Author:
Ben Bourne | Thomas Rands, CFA -
Pages:
11 -
FY20 ahead: FY20 revenue was £48.0m, ahead of our £47.7m, driven by increasing printhead volumes as customers re-engage. Ceramics & Glass revenue increased 26% H-o-H in 2H20. Printhead gross margin was 40bps higher than we expected at 27.1%, up 500bps y-o-y and achieving 31.0% in 2H20. This run-rate into FY21E, and lower costs, drives an upgrade to our forecasts. Our adjusted LBT was £4.3m, ahead of expectations (a £9.6m loss) when adjusted for Xaar 3D moving into discontinued ops (see below). This brings a potential positive adjusted PBT inflection in FY22E a step closer (we upgrade £2.1m to a £0.4m loss). Adjusted net cash was £18.1m, as expected.
Quicker 3D sale: CV19 has impacted beta testing and machine manufacture, causing delays and a need for further cash investment. In light of this extra cash requirement, the Board is reviewing its options to accelerate the sale of the remaining shares in Xaar 3D. A sale is seen as highly probable by the Board and it has therefore been classified as a discontinued operation. We adjust our forecasts to reflect the potentially lower proceeds, but quicker payment.
Enhanced pipeline: The Xaar 3D proceeds could further accelerate the enhanced product development strategy where management now see greater growth opportunities. We add an extra £1m to our printhead R&D in FY21E.
Nitrox injection: The latest ImagineX platform product, the Xaar Nitrox printhead, has been launched today. This has a higher print frequency (48kHz) giving it a 40% faster print speed/productivity improvement for a similar price to the existing Xaar 1003, which it will replace. It is targeting Ceramics, Labels and Adv. Man applications. See figure 4 for our new product launch schedule.
43% FTR: We detail our forecast changes in Figure 1, upgrading our profit estimates and adjusting for lower Xaar 3D costs. We increase our TP by 20p to 210p reflecting our improved CY22E/23E EBITDA estimates. We reiterate Buy.