Allenby Capital - NAHL Group plc: Update - External headwinds in PI impacting short-term outlook

National Accident Helpline (NAH), the personal injury (PI) operation, is being impacted by a reduction in panel demand for PI enquiries, at the same time the marketing costs associated with enquiry acquisitions has risen steeply. Although these issues are considered to be short-term in nature, management is at this stage cautious about the speed of recovery and the ultimate impact they will have on the outcome for the full year. Therefore, for the sake of prudence, we are moving our FY24 forecas

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 02 May 2024

2nd May 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: Smartspace Software (SMRT.L) has delisted from the AIM Market What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is pr

Allenby Capital - NAHL Group plc: Finals - Profit and cash to accelerate strongly in FY24 and FY25

FY23 adjusted profits came in slightly above our expectations with results in both divisions reflecting the investments made in the period and in previous years. Despite the continued investment in operations, net debt was reduced from £13.3m to £9.7m and is expected to have fallen to c.£1.3m by end FY25. The year has started well with a subdued market in personal injury offset by a strong start in Critical Care. Consequently, management expects to meet market expectations for the full year.

Small Cap Feast 08 Mar 24

8th March 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: Belvoir Group Plc (BLV.L) has left AIM What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: Change of Market: Banquet Buffet*** Coinsilium Group 2.9p £3m (AQSE:COIN) An investor, advisor and venture builder at the forefront

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 24 Jan 24

24th January 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obje

Allenby Capital - NAHL Group plc: Update - Statutory PBT to jump to £3.3m* in FY24 and £7.2m* in FY25

FY23 marked further substantial progress in the development of NAHL’s business strategy. At the same time the Group reported revenue growth, market share gains, cash generation and significant debt reduction ahead of expectations. Our forecasts for FY24 and FY25 call for a considerable step change in profitability, in part driven by the maturing of the NAL claims book, with statutory PBT growing to £3.3m in the current year and £7.2m in FY25. At the same time, we anticipate net debt reducing to

Allenby Capital - NAHL Group plc: Interims - Growth continues to be delivered in line with strategy

In H1, NAHL’s core strategy of processing an increasing number of personal injury claims through its own law firm, NAL while generating positive cash flow and reducing net debt met, with further success. OP in Critical Care increased by 39% yoy to £2.3m, while Consumer Legal Services (CLS) reported a 178% increase in settlements in NAL and an increase of 77% in cash received from those settlements. The increasing level of investment in NAL will translate into higher profits, enhanced margins an

NAHL Group plc: Update - Strategy on track. Full year results expected to be in line

In its first half trading update, NAHL continued to progress across all principal aspects of its strategic plan, with an encouraging 13% reduction in net debt. Although the personal injury (PI) market in the UK contracted by around 1%, NAHL’s enquiry levels were comparable with H1 22 suggesting a continuation of market share gains. Activity levels in Critical Care continued to grow with a 15% increase in expert witness reports issued and a 5% increase in initial needs assessments (INAs) complete

NAHL Group plc: AGM update: Continued progress in scaling the business for future growth

NAHL’s AGM statement released today, is encouraging as management continues to scale the businesses for further growth. As a result, the Board’s expectations for the full year remain unchanged and we make no alterations to our forecasts. As a reminder, these still call for a c.13% increase in adjusted PBT in 2023, c.170% in FY24 and a further c.70% in FY25. Our current fair value remains at 65p but this is likely to rise as the Group delivers on its significant potential.

NAHL Group plc: Sale of business aids Board’s focus on key growth areas

NAHL has announced the sale of its wholly owned subsidiary, Homeward Legal Limited, for c.£150,000 cash. A sale had been anticipated for some time and while not a game changing realisation in monetary terms, it does help the Group to focus on its key areas of opportunity in the Consumer Legal Services and Critical Care markets where it continues to grow market share.

NAHL Group - Finals

NAHL generated growth in both its Personal Injury (PI) and Critical Care divisions, the former despite a continuation of subdued market conditions – hence market share gains. Results were in line with our forecasts but with a significant reduction in net debt which is especially welcome in the current high interest rate environment. Group strategy remains intact and in PI that means building the embedded value of future cash flows in NAL while flexing enquiry placements to maximise cash generati

NAHL Group trading update

In its year end trading update, NAHL indicated that operating profit was expected to be in line with market expectations at c.£4.8m (2021: £4.2m), an uplift of more than 15% year-on-year (yoy). Strong cash generation in the period also allowed a better than anticipated reduction in net debt to £13.3m (2021: £15.5m), well ahead of our forecast. Both divisions showed growth and the Personal Injury (PI) activities returned to profit. Our forecasts remain on track, albeit higher interest rates will

NAHL Group Interims

Interim results from NAHL demonstrated substantial progress in building a successful cash generative and profitable platform for sustainable growth. Targeted investment in both divisions has resulted in market share gains in markets that otherwise remain subdued. The Board’s strategy continues to be focused on medium and long-term profitability, cash generation and debt reduction and remains on track to deliver against these aspirations. Results for the year are expected by the Board to be in li

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 01-08-2022

Dish of the day Joiners: No joiners today. Leavers: No leavers today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** Inteliqo Limited, intends to join the Aquis Growth Market. Inteliqo Limited provides sales, marketing and distribution services to technology product owners under long-term distribution agreements. The Company has agreed its first such agreement in respect of the Ipedia iQ product range. The iQ product is a smart translation earphone (earbuds) system which offers integrated real time speech

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 15/06/2022

Dish of the day Joiners: Silverwood Brands (AQSE:SLWD), has been re-admitted onto the Access Segment of the AQSE Growth Market following the acquisition of Balmonds Skincare Limited by way of a signed share purchase agreement. Leavers: River and Mercantile Group has left the Main Market following a reverse takeover by AssetCo (AIM:ASTO). Marshall Motors has left AIM. Ocean Outdoor has left the Main Market. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? LifeSafe Holdings, a fire safety technology business wi

Molten Ventures - Making progress on its realisation agenda

Molten Ventures has recently completed the exits from Perkbox, Endomag and Graphcore. This translates into more than £70m realisation proceeds, which means Molten is on track to reach the £100m that management expects for FY25. As a result, Molten has announced a £10m buyback programme (starting on 26 July), in line with its recently updated capital allocation policy of earmarking at least 10% of realisation proceeds for share repurchases. Molten has also agreed a new £180m debt facility that re

LIBERUM: Ramsdens Holdings: Solid H1 and trading conditions on an improving trend

Balancing act

Over the past three years, trusts with blended approaches rather than a strong tilt to growth or value have been at or near the top of the pack across the developed equities sectors, benefitting from their flexibility in a period of extreme style gyrations.

Jarvis Securities - In line with expectations in a challenging year; Skilled Person enquiry ongoing

Today's announcement from JIM reflects a year which saw challenges both in underlying terms and in relation to the ongoing Section 166 process. Trading volumes have remained under pressure against a choppy economic backdrop. Voluntary requirement (VREQ) restrictions placed on “Model B” clients have led to a reduction in client numbers in this category, although numbers have remained stable since the Q3 completion of assessments. The company did benefit from rising interest rates, a significant p

Ruffer Investment Company - Overview

Ruffer Investment Company (RICA) is designed to achieve positive annual total returns (after expenses) of at least twice the Bank of England base rate. The trust invests internationally across a range of asset classes, seeking to hold both growth and protective strategies in an appropriate balance with the aim of generating consistent positive returns and avoiding losses over rolling 12-month periods. RICA consists of pools of assets designed to provide different return profiles in various envir

BlackRock World Mining

BlackRock World Mining (BRWM) is a specialist trust offering exposure to mining and metals companies globally. A number of themes have coalesced in the last couple of years to provide a strong tailwind to the sector. Despite short term volatility, profitability, dividends and sentiment towards mining companies and BRWM have all improved significantly. In our recent meeting with the managers, they expressed their firm opinion that the tailwinds are still entrenched and gave a positive outlook.

CT Private Equity

CTPE’s portfolio represents a tangibly different opportunity…

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Robust base and capital deployment options

Triple Point Social Housing (SOHO) reported solid H123 results. With borrowing costs fixed, growth in indexed rental income partly offset the impact of credit loss provisions against its two unperforming tenants. Progress is being made in resolving these issues, and as there is no read-across to the wider portfolio, we forecast full dividend cover through FY24. Meanwhile, with the demand for specialised supported housing remaining strong, SOHO has entered a partnership with one of the leading pr

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 07/07/23

Joiners: No joiners today. Leavers: Medica Group plc has left the Premium Segment of the Main Market. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** Blackpoint Biotech plc, a medical cannabinoids company established to fulfil gaps in the medical cannabis market by creating products that provide fast onset of action and accurate dosing, intends to join intends to join the Access Segment of the AQSE Growth Market. Expected Admission 20 July 2023. Metals One Plc, a company focusing on acquiring natural resou

Resilient earnings

The third-quarter results showed resilient net interest margins and benign asset quality trends, thus enabling the management to target a more than decent 14% RoTE. The expected imminent recovery in house prices, if correct, is good news for the future evolution of the cost of risk.

Oakley Capital Investments – Getting down to business

In spite of what seems like an uncertain macroeconomic environment, Oakley Capital Investments’ (OCI) underlying portfolio continued to generate earnings growth in 2023 (average 14% EBITDA growth), which in turn helped drive 4% NAV growth. In addition, OCI achieved an 18% total shareholder return (TSR) during the period, extending the long run of performance delivered by the company (five-year TSR CAGR of 24%). The same macro uncertainty may also be creating opportunities. OCI’s investment mana

Bluefield Solar Income Fund – Fundamentals shine despite discount

The manger comments that, in common with the other trusts in the renewable energy sector, the last six months have continued what has been a challenging period for the Bluefield Solar Income Fund (BSIF). It adds that the trust’s ongoing fundamental performance has failed to reverse a steady slide in its share price which began back in May 2023. Despite this, it says the company has continued to deliver solid NAV growth and market-leading shareholder distributions thanks to a range of contractual

Jarvis Securities - Q1 DPS announcement pending eventual completion of Skilled Person Report

Today's RNS from JIM is brief and economical as they generally are in terms of the quarterly DPS announcement and announces what would appear to be a prudent number, 1.75p. This marks a return to payment of the DPS after Q4-2023, when no dividend was paid.

Vector Capital - Full year results illustrate challenging backdrop; dividend maintained

Vector Capital is an established commercial lending group, focused on secured short-term and bridging loans in the property sector. This morning, the group has reported full year results to 31 December 2023, illustrating the challenging market backdrop. While underlying trading was robust, with good demand being seen for new loans, provisions for bad debts relating to historical loans of £728k in the year led to a decrease in PBT to £2.1m (WHI est. £2.4m, FY22 £2.8m). Looking ahead, although VCA

Strong business momentum across portfolio

Real progress towards significant value generation