Churchill China (CHH LN) Continuing to dish out premium growth | IFG Group (IFP LN) Operational progress, but still no clarity on HMRC investigation | Xaar (XAR LN) Trading below expectations; reviewing partnering options for printheads
Companies: CHH IFP XAR
Crossword Cybersecurity PLC* (NEX:CCS)—the technology commercialisation company focusing exclusively on the cyber security sector is exploring its options in relation to a potential move to the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange which, if it were to proceed, would likely take place over the next few months.
Path Investments (PATH) -RTO of a 50 per cent. participating interest in the producing Alfeld-Elze II gas field located 22 kilometres south of Hannover in Germany. Offer TBA. Due late
Companies: IFP KETL EME BBB GWMO SYM FIH CRAW RBD SSY
Cello Health (CLL LN) AGM | Gresham Technologies (GHT LN) Clareti win with global tier 1 bank | IFG Group (IFP LN) Q1 update shows some progress, cost review in progress | Microsaic Systems (MSYS LN) 3rd small molecule agreement signed this year | Renishaw (RSW LN)
Strong Q3 update with modest increase in guidance
Companies: CLL GHT IFP MSYS RSW
Team17 Group -video games label and creative partner for independent developers. Since 2014, delivered a revenue CAGR of 69% (31 December 2015 to 31 December 2017), with revenues of £29.6m and Adjusted EBITDA of £12.9m. Offer TBA
Serinus Energy -international upstream oil and gas exploration and production company. Its principal assets are located in Romania (development phase) and Tunisia (production phase). Raising c.£10m. Offer TBA. Due mid May.
Companies: IFP NMRP LME IGAS MSYS CLL GWI VLG FFHHF TYR
Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on IFG Group (IFP). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant.
Companies: IFG Group
2016 saw growth in revenues, as well as a further increase in client numbers and assets under advice and administration (AUA), both positive indicators for future performance. However, accelerated investment aimed at further enhancing IFG’s ability to serve clients and deliver further sustainable growth was a drag on earnings in addition to the well-flagged negative impact of reduced interest rates. A platform repricing initiative to be phased in will ameliorate the ongoing impact from low rates
In its trading update IFG reported that performance has been in line with management expectations. The cooling effect of market uncertainty on growth in James Hay and financial advice client numbers, together with the impact of low interest rates, remain a near-term head wind for revenues. Even so, with Saunderson House continuing to increase profits, IFG expects to match 2015 earnings. The long-term growth opportunity presented by an ageing population and pension freedoms remains in place and t
Uncertainty surrounding the EU referendum and the accompanying reduction in base rate has resulted in lower earnings estimates for IFG, although the longer-term outlook for its two businesses remains promising. Both the retirement wealth platform and financial adviser stand to benefit from an ageing population and pension freedoms. Meanwhile, IFG continues to invest to address these opportunities and has sufficient capital and net cash to support growth while maintaining a progressive dividend p
IFG’s Q1 trading update reports the group trading in line with expectations with both James Hay and Saunderson House continuing to attract new clients and assets, and maintain strong levels of retention. Revenues and profits are ahead of the same period in 2015 with a continued emphasis on margin and costs discipline. The refocused IFG is well positioned for further progress, supported by a strong and liquid balance sheet, in markets that offer good long-term growth potential and consolidation o
First Derivatives (FDP LN) No surprises expected from full year results on 17 May | IFG Group (IFP LN) Positive start to the year, 21% upside to target price
Companies: First Derivatives plc (FDP:LON)IFG Group (IFP:LON)
IFG Group released a Q1 update yesterday lunchtime which illustrated a positive start to FY16e, in-line with our current expectations. AuA grew by 2.1% in JHP whilst c.50 new clients were added in Saunderson House; both indicative of organic growth momentum. We are encouraged by reported performance but, at this early stage in the year, leave our forecasts unchanged. We retain our BUY recommendation underpinned by a 215p 12m TP, set using a SOTP using prudent divisional multiples.
A review of other platform businesses leads us to increase our valuation of JHP and drives a positive shift in our group sum-of-the-parts ‘relative’ valuation to €2.45, (was €2.15). Our DCF ‘absolute’ valuation is now €2.33. The mid-point is €2.39.
IFG Group delivered strong final results for 2015 (reported 22/3) with returns on investment beginning to become evident. Notably, the operating margin in the group’s James Hay (“JHP”) pensions business grew by 670bps leading to a 20% beat vs our EPS forecasts. Whilst maintaining some caution in our forecasts, we expect further earnings growth on an operationally geared platform. Given two distinct business units, we set our 12m Target Price at 215p using a SOTP valuation – equating to 12.7x FY1
Brewin Dolphin Holdings (BRW LN) Shares undeservedly lagging key benchmarks | First Derivatives (FDP LN) Full year comfortably ahead of expectations | IFG Group (IFP LN) Upgrading forecasts, improving returns | Instem (INS LN) SEND momentum building
Companies: BRW FDP IFP INS HYVE
IFG Group (“IFG”) has reported strong final results for FY15. Revenues were broadly in line with our forecast, however, as a result of improvement in the underlying margin performance in James Hay, IFG has delivered 8.1p adj. EPS for the period – ahead of our 6.7p forecast. The balance sheet remains strong and net cash has grown to £27.3m on strong operating cash flow and consideration from disposals. We expect IFG to continue to deliver strong shareholder returns from further growth in an opera
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Ramsdens interim results highlight the resilience of the business model. Despite the prolonged UK lockdown and international travel restrictions materially impacting the business, we believe a pre-tax loss of only £0.1m was a great result. Moreover, the balance sheet remains strong with net assets up £0.5m HoH to £35.5m and net cash at £15m. While FY2021 has been tough due to COVID-19, management remain confident and are positioning the business for growth with a pipeline of six new stores, incl
Companies: Ramsdens Holdings PLC
NextEnergy Solar Fund’s full year results announcement shows a business continuing to outperform on development, output and pricing. The portfolio now stands at 814MW and the company has already reached its targeted subsidy free capacity of 150MW. A pipeline of international and battery storage opportunities gives NESF considerable diversification potential. With a target dividend of 7.16p for FY 22, NESF continues to offer a well-supported, RPI-linked income stream.
Companies: Nextenergy Solar Fund
As midsummer’s day looms (where has this year gone?), there is greater optimism, in general, than may have been anticipated a few months ago. A post-pandemic, ‘vaccine-driven’ recovery demonstrated by increased consumer spending as lockdown measures are lifted has been one of the catalysts. The FTSE 100 has been range-bound in the last month 6,900-7,100. We have seen a combination of broadly positive company results across a range of sectors, further examples of M&A activity and a sequence of ne
Companies: AMYT ARBB ARW BAG BEG BONH BWNG CWK DNK EML EPWN FBD FA/ GPH GSF GNC HUW IGC INSE KAPE KP2 MMAG NRR NESF OTMP ROL RUA SEN SUR TON TOU TXP TGL VLS WINK
Trident has announced the appointment of a new Non-Executive Chairman. Paul Smith, an ex-Glencore senior executive will join the company on 21st June. Mr Smith has made an immediate £1m equity investment in Trident at a premium and retains the right to make a further £1m investment for a total proposed investment of £2m.
Companies: Trident Royalties Plc
What’s new: Full year results were ahead of our March 2021 forecasts, as set out in the 20 April trading update.
- AuM rose 35% over the year to £9.0bn on 31 March 2021;
- Net inflows added £755m, with 2H net inflows of £427m 30% higher than 1H net inflows of £328m; annualised growth rose from 10% to 11.4%;
- Revenue rose 9.3% to £23.35m (6% above Zeus estimate: £22.0m);
- Adj EBIT rose 25.6% to £11.4m (13% above Zeus estimate: £10.1m);
- Adj diluted EPS rose 22.8% to 14.7p (12% abov
Companies: Tatton Asset Management Plc
Palace Capital’s (PCA) FY21 results were robust, with a clear improvement in the second half. With a good level of rent collection continuing, Q421 DPS was increased by 20%, to a level that management hopes to at least maintain through FY22. Importantly, the flagship Hudson Quarter (HQ) development in York completed in April, on budget. We expect HQ to be a significant driver of forecast increasing returns and deleveraging.
Companies: Palace Capital plc
Augmentum Fintech’s (“AF”) disciplined approach and diversified portfolio has delivered value uplift. A number of follow-on rounds and a maiden exit (Dext) added 14p to the NAV – now standing at 130.4p; +12% yoy and 9% in H2 alone. £31m capital has been deployed since Mar-20, including 4 new investments. There is a significant pipeline of new opportunities (£924m) with £144m (across 24 deals) in active development. In order to pursue these, AF has announced that it is seeking to raise at least £
Companies: Augmentum Fintech
The repeal of the Berlin rent cap (the ‘Mietendeckel’), ruled unconstitutional, is a significant positive for Phoenix Spree Deutschland (PSD). It allows a resumption of its core reversionary rent strategy, providing greater flexibility in the extraction of the value embedded in the portfolio. With a continuing discount to net assets, the board has stepped up the share repurchase programme, aiming to ensure that the share price better reflects its view of intrinsic value and the improved outlook.
Companies: Phoenix Spree Deutschland Fund
Despite the turbulence in power prices triggered by the pandemic, NextEnergy Solar Fund (NESF) achieved its dividend target of 7.05p for the financial year. The 2022 dividend target was increased in line with RPI to 7.16p per ordinary share for the year ended 31 March 2022, payable quarterly. We believe given the sharp increase in power prices and the hedging strategies used by NESF, cashflow is likely to be significantly higher over the next two to three years than what is incorporated in NESF’
Trident Royalties Plc (AIM: TRR) has, this morning, announced the appointment of Paul Smith as Non-Executive Chairman. Alongside the appointment Mr Smith will invest up to £2 million into the company, of which £1 million will be an immediate subscription at 40p/ share (representing a 4% premium to the 5-day VWAP), with up to a further £1 million at the same price within 12 months. The current Chair, James Kelly, will remain on the board as a Non-Executive Director. Non-Executive Director Mark Po
Final results show impressive growth and strong operating margins; +5% ahead of our recently upgraded forecasts – with challenges posed by COVID navigated successfully. FuM is growing very strongly. Flows have recovered over the last 12m and continue to build, hitting £9.5bn post-period end already. Management has outlined an aspiration to reach £15bn FuM in 3 years. We leave headline forecasts unchanged, but see upside as FuM continues to grow. With scope to double the business in the medium te
Companies: M&G Plc
Agronomics is an investment company, making selective investments in early-stage alternative protein companies. We believe the combination of the conservative approach to calculating a reported net asset value (NAV) and growing interest in the broader alternative protein and cultured meat opportunities has resulted in Agronomics' shares trading at a c320% premium to its latest reported NAV per share value. Our analysis suggests that not only can this premium be justified but that upside exists b
Companies: Agronomics Limited
Urban Logistics REIT (“ULR”) has delivered a watershed year: doubling the portfolio with a disciplined approach focusing on value-add opportunity through reversion and regear. Finals show rental income doubling from acquired assets, with recurring EPS in line with our forecast. EPRA NAV was 6% ahead of N+1Se, as valuation yields tightened. The manager has secured a further c.£150m pipeline of similarly attractive assets. We make a modest upgrade to EPRA NAV on better valuation. We see sustained
Companies: Urban Logistics REIT plc
Tatton’s FY21 results highlight strong momentum in the business. Current AUM inflows have returned to pre-Covid levels and now average £100m per month, with the £9.0bn AUM milestone reached on 31 Mar (subsequently surpassed, reaching £9.5bn on 15 June). That translated to 35% AUM growth for FY21 (AUM 31 Mar 20: 6.7bn)