Equity Research, Broker Reports, and media content on Plus500

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  • 16 Mar 20
LIBERUM: Plus500* - Superior Platform in a Perfect Storm

Favourable trading conditions have led to Plus500 issuing its second trading update in less than a month. Not only has the recent surge in volatility resulted in a significant increase in client activity, the strength of the group’s platform and brand has helped it deliver stronger user growth during Q1’20. The combination of the strong financial and operational performance sees us upgrade our FY20 PBT estimate by 52%. Despite the clear opportunity for the company to continue to win market share and deliver profitable growth, the shares trade on just 6.6x CY21 earnings. As a result, we reiterate our BUY rating and increase our TP to 1450p (from 1000p).

Companies: Plus500
  • 28 Feb 20
LIBERUM: Plus500* - Trending substantially ahead

A positive trading update two months into the quarter is remarkable, but should be unsurprising given much higher volatility across so many asset classes. Customer Income is likely to be much higher than the $92m we had for Q1, on the way to $354m revenue for the full year, however for now we leave numbers unchanged.

Companies: Plus500
  • 12 Feb 20
LIBERUM: Plus500* - Q4 stronger than thought

Q4 saw $100m of revenues ex customer P+L. The company will return 100% of 2019 profits to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, has $293m net cash, and may seek targeted acquisitions, new licences and product extensions.

Companies: Plus500
  • 06 Jan 20
LIBERUM: Plus500* - H2 much stronger than H1.

Trading conditions in Q4 produced quarterly revenues in line with the average of the last 5 quarters. This still translates to approximately 29p of earnings in the period.

Companies: Plus500
  • 29 Oct 19
LIBERUM: UK Small & Mid Cap Dispatches

Plus500, Harworth Group, Science in Sport, SMID Market Highlights

Companies: PLUS HWG SIS

  • 29 Oct 19
LIBERUM: Plus500* - Q3 beats by 11%

Q3 was a significant beat, 11% above our expectation, and the company confirms it is on track for 2019. It will continue to take share and the economics remain excellent.

Companies: Plus500
  • 29 Oct 19
Small Cap Feast

African Export-Import Bank a supranational financial institution w hose purpose is to facilitate, prom ote and expand intra- and extra- African trade, of its potential intention to publish a registration document, the Bank hereby confirms its intention to proceed with an Initial Public Offering. The GDRs are expected to be admitted to the standard listing segment of the Official List of the FCA and to trading on the Main Market of the LSE. DNEG Limited intends to apply for adm ission of its Shares to the premium listing segment of the Official List of the FCA and to trading on the London Stock Exchange's main market for listed securities. The Offer will be comprised of new Shares to be issued by the Company (to raise expected gross proceeds of £150m). Admission is expected to take place in November 2019.

Companies: ECK KOOV PLUS TSI GWI ORR ANIC TCM KEFI SIS

  • 23 Aug 19
LIBERUM: Plus500* - Anticipated regulation of Australia

The Australian regulator has acted swiftly, with a package of measures not dissimilar to those adopted by ESMA and now national laws across Europe. The reduction in company revenues appears to be close to 7.5%, with 25% of Australian revenues protected by the wholesale designation and the remainder dropping by 2/3.

Companies: Plus500
  • 13 Aug 19
LIBERUM: Plus500* - 11% user growth, low churn, buyback

Full details on H1 reveal a quality Q2 with very low churn, lower customer acquisition costs as competition reduces, and strong new customer numbers even though it was hardly a high newsflow quarter. Then we have a $50m buyback and a change in policy such that half of the core 60% payout can now be buybacks.

Companies: Plus500
  • 02 Jul 19
LIBERUM: Plus500* - £1 a share (annualised) earned in Q2

Forget the forecasts - Plus500 just earned 25p a share, with our existing costs assumptions, in Q2, and it was not a high volatility quarter, containing as it did April, the lowest activity month of the year so far. More than that, the update indicates that a higher number of new customers just arrived while their average cost has declined as the competition invests less in new client acquisition.

Companies: Plus500
  • 02 Jul 19
Small Cap Feast

ReAssure Group plc - The Group is a leading closed book life insurance consolidator in the United Kingdom with 4.3m policies, £68.7 billion of assets under administration on a Post-L&G Illustrative Basis. It is considering a premium listing segment of the main market. Voyager AIR The Com pany w ill focus on the acquisition, leasing and m anagement of prim arily widebody aircraft, with asset management services to be provided by Amedeo Limited he IPO will comprise a Placing and Offer for Subscription of Shares to raise up toapproximately US$200m· IMC Exploration Group (NEX: IMCP), focused on acquiring and exploring prospecting licence areas w hich have high potential for natural resource, is looking to admit its shares to the standard list and will withdraw for the NEX Exchange. TBC Uniphar, a diversified healthcare services business w ith a workforce of over 2,000, is looking to join AIM. Raise TBC, expected mid-July 2019

Companies: JSG SXX GUN HMLH TPG APPS ARCM GRA I3E PLUS

  • 12 Apr 19
LIBERUM: Plus500* - From too much volatility to too little

A low volatility quarter combined with clients making money (pre spreads) to mean very weak Q1 revenues at a third of the level of Q4, however new customer numbers are good, and spread revenue ARPU only down 14% on Q4. The $28m of client P&L takes 6% off our revenue estimate, and then it was a very weak quarter anyway.

Companies: Plus500
  • 12 Apr 19
Small Cap Feast

Techniplas –global producer and support services company providing highly engineered and technically complex components, making the supply chain to original equipment manufacturers more efficient. FYDec17 rev $515m. Loungers plc—the operator of 146 café/bar/restaurants across England and Wales under the Lounge and Cosy Club brands, announces its intention to seek admission on AIM, offer TBC, expected late April. SDX Energy plc—a North Africa focused oil and gas company, announces its intention to complete a Canadian plan of arrangement under section 192 of the Canada Business Corporations Act and will have shares de-listed from the TSX-V and admitted to trading on AIM. Expected 28 May 2019, anticipated market cap of £76m Renold plc—a leading international supplier of industrial chains and related power transmission products, announced that it will cancel the listing of the Company from the premium segment and apply for admission on AIM. Expected 06 June 2019.

Companies: UFO PLUS CLNR ARCM PXS ARBB TAST TSTR MOS DMTR

  • 24 Feb 19
Most popular equity research this week | 18 - 22 Feb

See what's trending this week...

Companies: WJASEEEVTOMGDOTDWEYIDPPURPDUKEPLUS
  • 12 Feb 19
LIBERUM: Plus500* - Too much of a good thing

Elevated volatility is good for trading platforms, but market falls in Q4 caused significant client losses ("P&L gain”), rather than higher spread revenue. The company is choosing to subtract this gain from Q4 revenues and to base 2019 guidance on the organic growth which they have always achieved.

Companies: Plus500

Research, Charts & Company Announcements

Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Plus500. We currently have 108 research reports from 2 professional analysts.

Open
N/A
Range Today
N/A
52 Week
495/1124p
Daily Volume
N/A
# Shares
107.0m
Daily Liquidity
(0.64%)
Pension Liability
£0m
Enterprise Value
£681.3m
Market Cap
£1,190m
Latest PE (hist)
5.12
Div Yield
7.26

Latest News/RNS

(more news)
Date Source Announcement
03Apr20 07:00 RNS Transaction in Own Shares
02Apr20 07:00 RNS Transaction in Own Shares
01Apr20 07:00 RNS Transaction in Own Shares
31Mar20 07:00 RNS Transaction in Own Shares
25Mar20 07:00 RNS Holding(s) in Company
25Mar20 07:00 RNS Director/PDMR Shareholding
24Mar20 08:55 RNS Holding(s) in Company
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  • 30 Mar 20
Swift action enables us to look through a lost year

Belvoir’s FY 2019 results were strong, with adj. EPS up 13% (13.6p vs our forecast 13.0p) and strong cash generation. COVID-19 will affect property sales in FY 2020 but lettings (61% of 2019 gross profit) will be more resilient, helped by the Government’s measures to support employment and incomes. Management has reacted quickly, reducing costs and putting plans in place to support franchisees. We now forecast a ‘lost year’ in FY 2020, assuming five months of no sales activity, a significant reduction in financial services and a reduction in lettings fees, partly offset by a £1.5m cost reduction. The capital light franchise model, inherent high levels of cash generation and no final dividend for 2019 mean we forecast gross cash of £2.0m at December 2020, down from £3.6m. Belvoir is in good financial shape to weather the storm and support its franchisees before returning to normal activity. The success of the strategy was again evidenced by a strong start to 2020 prior to COVID-19.

Companies: Belvoir Lettings
  • 02 Apr 20
Cenkos: Duke Royalty Ltd -- Assessing the impact across the portfolio

The scaling of Duke's royalty portfolio was progressing as expected up to March 2020, with record cash receipts that month. Due to Covid-19 and the UK's economic shutdown, macro conditions have worsened and become highly uncertain. This is likely to see some royalty partners' future cash royalties decline, which in turn, will negatively impact FV's in the FY20E results. Duke's high margin and cash generative nature ensures it is well placed to trade through these challenges. Given the degree of uncertainty in outlook, we remove forecasts and put our recommendation Under Review and await further clarity on the portfolio.

Companies: Duke Royalty
  • 30 Mar 20
LIBERUM: Alpha FX* - Update as global trade slows

Alpha has released an update today, which highlights the impacts of the recent global lockdown and extreme FX volatility on the trading and working capital of their clients. We have reduced this year’s revenue forecast by 14% and EPS by 24%. We show the Company has sufficient capital to hit these revised forecasts and importantly has a business model, capital structure, technology platform and client proposition to continue to take share and return to high-growth when economies normalise.

Companies: Alpha Fx Group
  • 01 Apr 20
A seismic shift in the way we live and work

The Coronavirus pandemic is a human tragedy of vast proportions – as well as the terrible human toll, COVID-19 has led to economies across the globe going into physical lockdown and financial freefall. Entire populations are adapting to the “stay at home” edict, to safeguard the vulnerable – and some of these changes will lead to long-lasting or perhaps permanent changes in the way we live or work. This note describes some of our client companies whose business models are well adapted to these changes, or who might see a change in long-term structural demand.

Companies: AMO BGO FDM GAMA KAPE LOOP TERN ZOO

  • 31 Mar 20
LIBERUM: Appreciate Group* - Strong balance sheet, digital strategy accelerating

Appreciate saw trading in line with expectations until the end of February, but the closure of fulfilment locations in response to COVID-19 has seen a substantial drop in billings in the past week. Management is withdrawing its guidance, but will provide an update in the second half of April. Meanwhile, the interim dividend (£2m) will not be paid and the FY dividend will be reviewed in June (c. £4m). We see the net cash balance sheet as strong enough to weather the storm. The company’s digital first strategy will accelerate and help to mitigate the pressure on physical vouchers. We will review our estimates in April, but we think that a CY20E EV/EBIT of 3.8x on existing numbers more than reflects the downside risks.

Companies: Appreciate Group
  • 01 Apr 20
THE MONTHLY April 2020


Companies: AVO AGY ARBB ARIX BUR CMH CLIG DNL GDR HAYD PCA PIN PHP RE/ RECI RMDL STX SHED VTA

  • 27 Mar 20
LIBERUM: Non-Standard Finance - Prudent actions taken should position the business well

We believe that NSF’s response to the current pandemic is in the interests of all its stakeholders. The operational shift towards remote working helps protect its staff whilst enabling its clients to continue to access the services they need. Similarly, its decision to reduce lending and focus on its existing clients and those most in need, is the prudent thing to do. These actions, combined with the high risk-adjusted margins on its existing loan book should enable the group to generate positive cash flow, even allowing for an increase in impairment during the current period of economic uncertainty. This should leave the group in a stronger position to serve its clients and win share when the current government restrictions are lifted. As a result, of this medium-term outlook we reiterate our BUY rating.

Companies: Non-Standard Finance
  • 31 Mar 20
Cenkos: The Property Franchise Group -- 2020 trading infected by Covid-19

Covid-19's future impact is likely to overshadow FY19A results which delivered YoY growth, despite imposition of the tenant fee ban and the backdrop of a subdued lettings/sales market. With franchisee premises and the UK housing market now closed, FY20E trading will be materially affected and growth strategies (financial services, assisted acquisitions) are now on hold. The group will fall back on its recurring lettings revenue, streamlined cost base and debt-free balance sheet to seek profitable trading and positioning for a market rebound in FY21E. Given uncertainty as to Covid-19's duration and severity, we put our recommendation Under Review and withdraw forecasts awaiting further clarity.

Companies: Property Franchise Group
  • 02 Apr 20
Palace Capital*

COVID-19 and dividend update

Companies: Palace Capital
  • 02 Apr 20
LIBERUM: U+I* - Disposal of share at Harwell

U+I has confirmed the disposal of its share in the Harwell Campus, delivering development and trading gains of c.£11m. Crucially, these should fall in to FY20, subject to discussions with auditors. The >£40m cash realised from the sale compares to a £10m investment six years ago. An adjoining building on the Harwell Campus has also been sold ahead of book value, for £7.5m. We prudently leave any forecasts unchanged at this uncertain time. A post-close trading update with more detail will be given on 15 April. The shares now trade at a 72% discount to NAV, vs the UK sector at a 15% discount.

Companies: U&I Group
  • 02 Apr 20
WHI Morning Comment: DigitalBox (DBOX)

FY Results – Significant strategic progress and well positioned for 2020 Digitalbox is an AIM-quoted digital publishing company, currently owning two distinct digital media assets and with a scalable platform to grow through acquisitions. This morning's FY2019 results evidence the substantial progress the company made in 2019 at both a financial and operating level and with a very robust balance sheet to capitalise on future M&A opportunities. The company reported revenue of £2.24m and a reported adjusted EBITDA of £0.53m, which after adjusting for prepaid costs from 2018 with respect to Facebook marketing cost, yields an EBITDA of £0.63m. Whilst key operating KPI's for 2019 were very strong y-o-y, and Q1:2020 is said to have traded ‘ahead of management expectations', increased traffic to their assets will likely be offset by increased pressure in advertising spend in 2020. As such, we prudently reduce our FY2020E and FY2021E adjusted PBT estimates by 35% and 22% to £0.59m and £0.74m respectively. Revenue and profitability is H2 weighted, and thus it is possible that the company might experience positive momentum in advertising spend, but it's too early to call. Assuming a 10x FY2020E EV/EBITDA multiple, we see fair value at 9.3p.

Companies: Digitalbox
  • 03 Apr 20
Numis Corporation - Sound H120 and opportunity post Covid 19

Numis expects to report H120 revenues c 10% higher than in H119 with revenue from investment banking slightly down and equities ahead on the back of increased market volatility. Given the impact of the pandemic we have provided indicative scenarios rather than a point estimate for FY20. Numis is strongly capitalised and has net cash of over £84m. Looking beyond the current dislocation, it is well positioned to serve its corporate client base in a period in which the need for fresh equity and a revival in corporate transactions could drive a sharp recovery in activity.

Companies: Numis Corporation
  • 21 Nov 19
Interim results – first look

Gross profits up 50%: As with all litigation funders, we focus on the gross profits as this reflects the net gain on investments. Pleasingly, GP was 50% ahead of the comparable period following settlements of cases and, mainly, developments in ongoing matters (fair value uplifts). Whilst realised GP fell from c.£2.2m to c.£1.0m, Management expects increased cash realisations in H2 given the 32 live cases that are in advanced settlement stages. Indeed, Manolete has received an additional £0.8m of settlements since the period close. As at 7 November 2019, ROIC remains at a market leading 159% (last reported 180%), which could be skewed upwards in H2 should these advanced cases settle favourably.

Companies: Manolete Partners
  • 02 Mar 20
THE MONTHLY March 2020

Much of the UK’s privatisation programme took place between the early 1980s and the mid-1990s: subsequent sales have been few. Undoubtedly, privatisation attracted many private investors to the market, many for the first time.

Companies: AVO AGY ARBB ARIX BUR CLIG DNL FLTA GDR NSF PCA PIN PXC PHP RE/ RECI RMDL STX SCE SIXH TRX SHED VTA

  • 05 Mar 20
No big issues for 2020

Aviva announced an operating profit of £3,184m (up 6% yoy) and an IFRS profit after tax at £2,663m, better than expected. The main source of operating earnings improvement was the reduction in net expenses in the UK digital business by £165m regarding 2018. The cash remittance reached £2,597m, and the insurer is on the right track to deliver one of the key 2022 targets: remitting £8.5-9bn over 2019-22. We keep our positive opinion on the stock.

Companies: Aviva Plc