Hardman & Co Research: Real Estate Credit Investments (RECI) - Portfolio management to optimise risk/reward

In previous notes, we have reviewed why we believe RECI has procedures and practices that limit downside losses to help ensure the resilience of the NAV. In this note, we explore further how portfolio management helps optimise risk/reward with a dynamic approach to bond portfolio allocation, leverage, top 10 concentrations, geographical sectors, and duration. RECI’s portfolio is not a static, long-duration, totally illiquid book. It is actively managed to the latest market opportunities, with an

The Hardman & Co Monthly: November 2023

This month's feature article is entitled 'Gold and a Chinese Credit Event'. A Western phenomenon? If you own, or are considering owning, gold or gold equities, it’s likely that you’re concerned about protecting your wealth, or the performance of your fund, in the expectation of some kind of financial instability. Maybe your confidence in policymakers is ebbing, or you’ve researched debt bubbles in history and concluded that physical gold and silver have been the safest places to be invested whe

The Hardman & Co Monthly: October 2023

Feature article: Liquidity – shrinking when it’s most needed A review of liquidity in London since 2016 Summary ► Liquidity is the lifeblood of equity markets. ► Following the events at the Woodford Equity Income Fund (WEIF) in 2019, professional investors, increasingly, focus on liquidity when making investment decisions. ► However, this paper shows that liquidity declined significantly between 2016 and 2022. Our work demonstrates that, in 2016, the total value traded of trading companies lis

The Hardman & Co Monthly: September 2023

Feature article: Equity Income – UK or Global? Should investors widen their horizons? Introduction: ► The UK Equity Income sector (UKEI) is the fourth-largest investment company (IC) sector in the Association of Investment Companies’ (AIC) universe, with £12.5bn of assets (as at August 2023), and is the traditional home for investors looking for income in the equity market. ► The UKEI not only provides investors with a better dividend yield than the ge

Real Estate Credit Investments (RECI): Why CRE equity worries should not apply to RECI

RECI’s current discount to NAV (15%) suggests to us that some investors could be concerned that potential issues with commercial real estate (CRE) will dramatically affect the trust’s assets. In our view, the key reasons why they should not lie in RECI’s management of its position as a debt provider and in its asset selection. We note i) CRE equity holders take first losses (with a 60% LTV, RECI has a big cushion), ii) when accounts have got into difficulties, RECI has typically seen more funds

The Hardman & Co Monthly: August 2023

Feature article: UK interest rates and “risk-free” gilts at their peak? Infrastructure stocks struggle Executive summary Infrastructure/Renewable Energy Funds ► The share price performances of the nine Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and of the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs) have been dire over the past year. Undoubtedly, the sharp rise in interest rates has presented the sector with serious challenges, especially since the yield on “risk-free” 10-year gilts has r

The Hardman & Co Monthly: July 2022

This month, we feature a contribution by Stephen Isaacs, who is known in the hedge fund world for his, often, thought-provoking commentaries about markets, economics and politics. It goes without saying that the thoughts expressed in this article are those of Stephen, and do not necessarily reflect Hardman & Co’s views. Feature article: UK/OK – muddling through The past few years have seen previously unheard-of constitutional risks – from threats to the Union to the departure from the EU. Brit

Real Estate Credit Investments (RECI): Double tangible security

Our recent notes, in the main, have focused on why RECI should prove resilient in uncertain times, given its credit processes, high-quality security, low exposure to high-risk sectors, diversity and management of problem accounts. Market turbulence has reduced competition, and there is distinct upside, particularly in moderate-risk development loan positions. In this note, our property analyst considers the underlying real estate security, and concludes that i) potentially more difficult asset-c

LIBERUM: Real Estate Credit Investments: Sales view: A generational opportunity

The Hardman & Co Monthly: June 2023

Feature article: UK Water – making waves Over the past year, UK utility share prices have been volatile, especially within the electricity sub-sector. The combination of the war in Ukraine and the associated impact of fluctuating gas prices, along with sharply higher inflation and the consequential rise in interest rates, have destabilised much of the sector. Indeed, most sector constituents have seen their share pieces fall (although not seriously), while Centrica, the UK’s leading gas company

Hardman & Co Monthly: May 2023

Feature article: Recognising the value of Intellectual Property IP rights – always intangible, often inscrutable, but never inconsequential Intellectual Property (IP) rights protect innovation and allow companies to commercialise their endeavours. While this sounds straightforward, the challenge in raising capital to fund development has risen significantly recently as the world has responded to macro challenges and investors have become more risk averse. This has called into question the abili

Hardman & Co Monthly: March 2023

Feature article: Higher interest rates overshadow IIC/REIF prospects We focus on the nine quoted infrastructure investment companies (IICs) and on the 22 renewable energy infrastructure funds (REIFs), most of which saw their share prices fall during 2022, while the FTSE 100 rose by just 0.9%. In our ‘Quoted UK Infrastructure and Renewable Energy – Prospects for 2023’ publication, we have addressed the three key issues of recent months – higher inflation, extremely volatile power prices and risin

Real Estate Credit Investments (RECI): Looking at the current opportunities

Our recent notes have, in the main, focused on why RECI should prove resilient in uncertain times, given its credit processes, high-quality security, low exposure to high-risk sectors, diversity and management of problem accounts. In this note, we explore the upside opportunities such conditions present. In particular, we note i) improving yields on new business, helped by the relatively short contractual (and even shorter actual) duration of the loan book, and ii) improving covenants. As compet

Hardman & Co Monthly: February 2023

Feature article: Asset manager valuations Asset managers had a poor 2022: the S&P Composite 1500 Asset Management Index was down 22% and, according to the Investment Company Institute (ICI), worldwide mutual funds fell by 20%, from $76tr to $60tr. When bond and equity markets fall, the results are unlikely to be pretty: with revenues trending down and multiples contracting, there is a double whammy to contend with. So how do valuations shape up now, after a bullish start to the new year?

Hardman & Co Monthly: January 2023

Feature article: Hardman & Co Healthcare Index - Review of 2022 The main function of the HHI is to monitor the performance, and to highlight the attractiveness, of life sciences investments over the long term, and to try to identify those stocks that have disruptive technologies that consistently allow them to outperform both the index and the markets. Many of the 53 constituents of the index are high-risk, still being in the development stage, with micro-capitalisations and a long way from sal

NewRiver REIT+ (NRR, House Stock at 87p) - Credit rating update reinforces balance sheet quality

SP Angel Morning View: China lithium stocks rally on prospects for market rebound

Regional REIT - Dividend rebase pragmatic and sustainable

Regional REIT’s (RGL’s) post-pandemic recovery in new lettings paused in H123, as occupiers adopted a cautious ‘wait and see’ approach, although rents increased and the strong ‘return to the office’ supports RGL’s expectation that leasing will accelerate. With DPS lowered to match reduced income prospects, the shares have fallen sharply, maintaining a sector-high dividend yield. Including asset sales focused on low-income properties, our forecasts show the rebased dividend to be fully covered an

NFT INVESTMENTS PLC (NFT PZ) - NAV Rises to 4.3P per share

Initial Equity Trading Comments - 1 December 2023

The Joy of Techs - Cavendish Technology quarterly sector note

£23.3bn in enterprise value has been returned to AIM technology shareholders over the past six years in the form of 51 public to private takeouts, including 10 in 2023 alone with the takeovers of Smoove* and Tribal announced in early October. With UK valuations appearing cheap and looking more attractive to potential acquirers, we take a moment to reflect on the trends of corporate and private equity bidders targeting AIM-listed technology companies going back to 2017, through the uncertainties

Henderson Far East Income - Cautious of continued volatility but value on offer

In our last review of Henderson Far East Income (HFEL) in July, Attractive yield despite modest dividend increase, we drew attention to the dividend increase from what is comfortably the highest yielding fund in the AIC Asia Pacific Equity Income sector. It was pleasing to see that in the company’s published full year results to the end of August, the dividends paid by the company were covered and that over £1m was added to the revenue reserves over this period. In this note we examine the drive

Princess Private Equity Holding - Offering an attractive dividend yield

Princess Private Equity Holding (PEY) posted a year-to-date NAV total return (TR) to end-October 2023 of 4.9%, 2.4% of which was from Q323. PEY’s performance continues to be assisted by portfolio earnings, with last-twelve-month (LTM) revenue and EBITDA growth to end-September 2023 of 16% and 15%, respectively, and sustained healthy average EBITDA margin of 24%. PEY’s balance sheet remains firm with c €134m in undrawn credit facility and €3m in cash, further assisted by the Civica sale proceeds

NewRiver REIT+ (NRR, House Stock at 85p) - High quality earnings story – upgrade potential

LIBERUM: PensionBee: Hitting milestones despite headwinds

Early Mover in UK Lab-grown Meat

BSF Enterprise Plc (BSF) is a biotechnology company focused on acquiring, combining, and building businesses in the lab-grown tissue space. It aims to achieve this through an acquisition-led growth strategy and has already acquired the tissue engineering and cellular agriculture company, 3D Bio Tissues.

NextEnergy Solar Fund - H1/24 interim results and asset recycling update

NextEnergy Storage Fund now has 100 operational assets with a combined installed capacity of 933MW and exclusivity over, or ownership of the project rights for, most of its c£500m pipeline of domestic and international solar and energy storage assets. H1/24 performance was robust, with power generation in line with budget and the 36MW Whitecross solar farm energised. The first sale from the asset recycling programme has been completed post-period, with the proceeds being used to reduce short-ter

European Opportunities Trust - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on European Opportunities Trust (EOT). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our website.

R&Q Insurance Holdings - FY22 Results

R&Q reported an adjusted group pre-tax operating loss for the year to end December 2022 of US$33.3m (2021 (US$21.4m)). The results were in line with guidance from the April trading statement but represented a significant deterioration YoY as strong results from the Accredited program management business were more than offset by losses in the R&Q Legacy insurance business and higher corporate costs. On an IFRS reported basis, R&Q made a loss of US$297.0m (2021 (US$127.1m)) generating a loss per s

Jarvis Securities (JIM) - Subdued transaction volumes, Skilled Person costs take toll; Model “B”s reduced

This morning's announcement from JIM highlights a combination of factors which lead to the company trading below current market expectations. In the light of current market conditions, it will come as no surprise that trading volumes are under pressure. Beyond this, in the interests of reducing any potential risks associated with certain Model “B” clients, and with voluntary restrictions imposed on some of these, Model “B” client numbers, as disclosed in today's RNS, have seen some reduction.