N+1 Singer - Morning Song 29-11-2017

Brewin Dolphin Holdings (BRW LN) Solid FY17 outturn, positive strategic progress | Cineworld Group (CINE LN) Joining the sector consolidation | Clinigen Group (CLIN LN) Quantum to add multiple growth opportunities | Findel (FDL LN) Digital transformation gaining momentum | Futura Medical (FUM LN) Good progress in Eroxon® licensing discussions; PK trial underway | Photo-Me International (PHTM LN) Snap it up | Raven Russia Ltd (RUS LN) Completion of Sever logistics park acquisition | Redcentric

N+1 Singer - Cineworld Group - Joining the sector consolidation

Cineworld has responded to press speculation confirming that it is in advanced discussions with Regal Entertainment Group in the USA re a possible cash offer. The proposed price is $23 implying a market cap of c.$4bn - so effectively a reverse takeover. Funding will come via a mixture of debt and a “material equity raise by way of a rights issue”, with management (who own 28% of the equity) committed to invest in the fund raise. The deal would equate to a c.9x FY18 EV/EBITDA which is a c.5% disc

N+1 Singer - Cineworld Group - On track to deliver double-digit EPS growth for the year

As anticipated an in line trading update from Cineworld this morning, which should go some way to reassuring investors about the full year outcome given weak industry data for Q3. Sales growth YTD is reported at c11%, which is marginally below our full-year working assumption of 14%. However, management, like us, expect a strong final 6 weeks of the year given weak comps and a strong film slate which includes the top blockbuster – Star Wars VIII. Accordingly, it is guiding to no change to the fu

N+1 Singer - Morning Song 20-11-2017

Bagir Group (BAGR LN) Slow Q4 but positives on costs and partnership talks | boohoo.com (BOO LN) Shares oversold – upgrade to buy | Cineworld Group (CINE LN) Shares oversold - addressing recent concerns | Xaar (XAR LN) Lowered expectations due to Ceramics & Graphics

N+1 Singer - Cineworld Group - Shares oversold - addressing recent concerns

We expect a reassuring trading update from CINE this week. Post a weak industry Q3 we anticipate a strong start to Q4. The next 6 weeks are critical to the full year out-turn but the film slate is strong (including local movies in eastern Europe). The period culminates with the blockbuster Star Wars: The Last Jedi. We feel the weak Q3 is not indicative of a structural trend and fears around competitive threats are overdone. We are buyers ahead of the update on growth and cashflow considerations.

N+1 Singer - Cineworld Group - Blockbuster interims – upgrading back to Buy

An excellent set of interims from Cineworld this morning, encapsulated by a 4% EBITDA beat vs our forecast. Overall, the Group has delivered an impressive 21% uplift in EPS on 18% (12% cc) revenue growth and rewarded investors with a 15.4% DPS hike. The general tenor of the results is positive and whilst there is nothing fundamentally new this morning, we are encouraged by reference to strong July trading. Comps admittedly are stiff for the rest of Q3, but the H1 beat and expectation of a strong

Assessing the key investment & valuation dynamics

We view XP Factory as a genuine growth stock. In this detailed note we show how it is capitalising on the secular themes driving the competitive socialising sector and generating superior site returns, organic growth and customer reviews. This is further enhanced by a strong set of interims, with an acceleration of LFL over the summer and no change to FY Dec’23 expectations. Prospects of a healthy future is backed by our base case 3-year EBITDA CAGR of 44% on steady state expansion, which rises

Kitchen-sinking forecasts…and cash is still ok

ZOO today provides an update on H1 trading and as well, the full-year outlook the result being material changes to FY24 forecasts, while we withdraw FY25 estimates. The driving force behind these changes is a combination of factors; more cautionary customer spend (as SVOD platforms are placing greater emphasis on balancing growth and profit) while more recently, protracted industrial action has introduced yet further disruption. As such, H1 revenue is set to be materially down at c.$21m vs. $51m

Morning Note – 27 September 2023

Growing up fast

Interims to June are very encouraging, with sales +12% organic (and +68% stated) to £18.1m - reflecting material market outperformance, as Zinc’s strategy and execution is clearly bearing fruit. Further, with The Edge now embedded (and performing well) the Group now also carries significant greater scale, sector and geographic diversification and better margins too (at 41% vs. 33% in 1H22). Together, these provide competitive advantages in our view. With FY23 revenue visibility now £35m (as well

Cornerstone FS+ (CSFS, House Stock at 12.5p) - Disposal of another non-trading subsidiary

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 27 Sep 23

27th September 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment ob

SP Angel Technology: Cornerstone FS (CSFS.LN) - H1 2023 Strong Performance YTD

CSFS reported its financial results for the period ended 30 June 2023 with revenue of £3.6m and Adj. EBITDA of £0.2m, and profit before tax of £0.023m, in line with the trading update provided in May 2023, but well ahead of what our full year forecasts would indicate.

Morning Note – 25 September 2023

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 15-09-2023

Dish of the day Joiners: No joiners today. Leavers: No leavers today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** Announced ITF 12 July: Substrate Artificial Intelligence, an artificial intelligence company based in Spain that creates, buys and scales companies around AI in diverse sectors such as fintech, agritech, energy, human resources, and health, intends to join the Access Segment of the AQSE Growth Market. Admission delayed. Announced ITF 6 July: Blackpoint Biotech plc, a medical cannabinoids co

Big upgrades a function of non-cash lease accounting

There were no surprises in terms of FY23 EBITDA and net cash, both pre-reported. Non-cash treatment after IFRS16 right-of-use asset impairments has led to a substantial PBT/EPS beat, though, much of which feeds into FY24/FY25 forecasts with 78%/33% upgrades. This disguises a drop in underlying DPS cover and, as part of a capital distribution policy update, the final is reduced to 1.6p. This may disappoint some but has nothing to do with confidence in future prospects, and current trading is posi

LIBERUM: Safestay: Strong organic growth, acquisitions back on the horizon

Despite decent sales performance, profit warning spooks investors!

Kingfisher’s H1 FY23/24 lfl sales was 40bp ahead of market expectations but the PBT was 5.4% weaker. Although UK&I sales remained in the black, the performances in France and Poland were the pain-points. The Q3 lfl performance (to date) of -2.4% yoy is also below market expectations. We expect the pressure on earnings to continue during H2. Management has lowered FY23/24 PBT guidance to £590m (vs £634m earlier). We will reduce the target price by 7-8% but maintain our positive recommendation.

FY23 on track with further strategic progress

Interims show DPP is in good shape and responding positively to the new CEO’s actions. Order count is up (despite a soft macro backdrop), LFLs are strong and the proportion of stores transitioning to profitability is materially higher vs 12m ago. Strong summer trading in Poland and an easing of cost pressures underpin our decision to make no forecast changes FY23 being an inflection point in terms of moving into positive EBITDA (pre-IFRS16 basis). Overall, these interims are positive and support

Robust interims - on track for FY23

Tasty - Interim Results

Well-documented cost-of-living pressures continue to have a material impact on the casual dining sector, and Tasty is no exception. LFL sales rose +1.4% YoY in H1 to £21.7m, which was offset by material cost inflation (food, labour, utilities etc), leading to Adj EBITDA reducing to £1.1m (H1/22 £2.7m). Whilst trading conditions are likely to remain challenging in the near-term, we see grounds for optimism in FY24 – inflation is falling steadily and the Bank of England recently held interest rate