PPHE has accompanied news of continued strong leisure-based recovery with an EPRA NAV per share of £20.85 at June 2021, almost unchanged in H121 despite COVID-19 restrictions, highlighting the company’s resilience from a property perspective. Encouragingly, the recent joint venture on prime London assets (Riverbank and art’otel hoxton) not only endorsed this valuation (44% premium to current share price), but also released £114m for future growth to management with an impressive development reco
Companies: PPHE Hotel Group Limited
PPHE’s FY20 results demonstrate how well management has managed operating costs and cash in what is described as ‘the most testing year’. Management enters FY21 with a confident message on liquidity and its commitment to medium-term development plans. The success of vaccination roll-outs produces a more favourable outlook than for some time. Management points to an ‘encouraging early uplift’ in demand in the UK following the new timetable for easing restrictions and early signs of potential reco
PPHE’s H120 results, more notably those from Q220, reflect the full impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on demand, and the substantial progress that management has made in managing the cost base and cash burn. Demand from the leisure sector has returned relatively strongly but the rate of potential recovery in business travel remains uncertain. In recent weeks, the group’s average occupancy level of c 35% is above the 30% required for operational break-even with government support for jobs and business
Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on ADMIE Holdings (ADMIE), AJ Lucas Group (AJL), Australis Capital (AUSA), Elbit Medical Technologies (EMTC), Focusrite (TUNE) and PPHE Hotel Group (PPH). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant.
Previously published reports can still be accessed via our website.
The travel bans and quarantines due to COVID-19 have had a significant impact on PPHE since mid-March and are likely to continue to do so. We now expect a deeper and longer downturn than previously and a slower recovery, so we reduce our forecasts for occupancy for FY20, while holding our prior EBITDA margin assumptions reflecting cost cutting and a high level of government support on key costs. We downgrade FY20 revenue by c 32% and EBITDA by c 29%. The shares are trading at a c 54% discount to
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The trading update, following the update on 12 March 2020, highlights the expected drop in demand due to the COVID-19 virus, and strong actions by management to cut costs and preserve cash in the uncertain environment. We leave our forecasts unchanged following our recent downgrade of EBITDA for FY20e by 14%, but now assume no dividend payment in FY20, following the cut of the proposed final dividend for FY19 of 20p. The shares are trading at a discount of 68% to the EPRA NAV, and the majority o
PPHE’s FY19 results were in line with our expectations, with RevPAR outperformance in most markets in which it competes. FY20 looks a more challenging year due to the threats to travel from the outbreak of the coronavirus, as well as tough comparatives. The company has a history of outperforming its peers in good and tough markets and has the benefit of maturing room stock in key markets. In the long term, the development pipeline continues to look promising. We downgrade our EBITDA forecast for
PPHE’s FY19 trading update is solid, meaning that management is confident of meeting expectations. FY19 like-for-like (l-f-l) room revenue growth of 6.3% follows 6.7% growth in FY18. At this stage, typically, detailed commentary on the performance at individual country level is limited. Management has indicated that trading is benefiting from the £100m investment programme, and therefore the key drivers of growth in FY19 were London and the Netherlands. FY20 will continue to benefit from the two
Intention to float by Gemfields Group. No Capital Raise. Currently listed on JSE. (GML:JNB) at circa £122m. The Group's key producing assets, the Kagem emerald mine in Zambia (believed to be the world's single largest producing emerald mine) and the Montepuez ruby mine in Mozambique (one of the most significant recently discovered ruby deposits in the world), are both expected to have long mine-lives with potential for expansion. Also owns the Faberge brand. Due Valentines Day 2020.
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Q319 has seen PPHE deliver against a strong comparative (eg like-for-like rate-led RevPAR +4%). Unsurprisingly, given positive market reports (Q319 RevPAR +5%, per STR), London, PPHE’s largest profit source, has been the driver, boosted by maturing properties and the newly repositioned Holmes Hotel. The Netherlands has also traded well, with similar investment payoff, notably at the flagship Victoria Amsterdam. In its busiest period, Croatia defied competition to match record FY18 revenue thanks
DNEG Limited One of the world's leading digital visual effects, animation and stereo conversion companies for feature film and television.The Offer will be comprised of new Shares to be issued by the Company (to raise expected gross proceeds of £150m). Admission is expected to take place in November 2019.
Zaim Credit Systems— Zaim currently provides loans of up to Russian Roubles 30,000 (£375) to retail customers through its network of just over 95 sites predominantly in Moscow. Looking to rai
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Kaspi.kz, the largest Paym ents, Marketplace and Fintech Ecosystem in Kazakhstan w ith a leading m arket share in each of its key products and services, has postponed its Initial Public Offering due to unfavourable market conditions. Registration document approved for Helios Towers. The Group provides essential network services, flexible infrastructure solutions and reliable power supply to mobile network operators in five African growth economies. Revenue increased 7 per cent. year-on-year to U
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H119 has seen PPHE again deliver both operationally and from a property perspective. Like-for-like EBITDA increased by 6%, driven by London, its main profit source, clearly outperforming a buoyant market and benefiting from maturing room stock. Successful property development is reflected in a further rise in EPRA NAV per share, up 5% to £25.52 yoy (surplus of over £700m to book value) and confirmation that its extensive £300m investment programme is well in hand. Despite tougher H2 comparatives
In keeping with its strong record of asset development, PPHE is actively repositioning itself at the corporate level. The introduction of EPRA reporting highlights the company’s success from a property perspective (EPRA NAV per share of £24.57 at December 2018), while share liquidity and broadening of the investor base should benefit from the recent secondary placing and move to a Premium Listing. Operationally, progress is robust with resilient trading (8% gain in Q1 like-for-like RevPAR and re
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Last week Lookers announced a record set of H1 results for the six months to 30 June 2021. Underlying PBT was £50.3m, versus an underlying loss of £36.5m in H1 2020. This stronger trading, coupled with cost control and working capital initiatives, has led to substantial cash generation. Lookers has gone from net debt of £40.7m (excl. leases) at the FY20 year end to net cash of £33.0m at 30 June 2021. With legacy issues now behind them, good evidence of trading outperformance and a strong balance
Companies: Lookers plc
Exactly one year ago, the FTSE 100 closed at 5,862, having fallen 100 points on the day, the lowest point since mid-May 2020, due in part, to the strength of sterling vs US$ at $1.34. One year on, the FTSE 100 has risen to 7,119, a rise of 21%, it remains 7% below the peak in January 2020. From an international viewpoint, US and European markets continue to trade at record highs. The US Federal Reserve is close to withdrawing some of its economic support this year as inflation picks up and the e
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Pendragon has announced interim results for the six months to 30 June 2021, which are ahead of guidance and our expectations. The Group has made strong progress in terms of growth, cost efficiencies and strategic implementation to ensure further progress can be made.
Companies: Pendragon PLC
Pendragon have published a revised strategy update reaffirming the investment in its used car business and software platform to be funded through strategic disposals and lower capital commitments to the new car market. This includes the potential sale of the group’s US Motor Group. We have modelled the implications of successful implementation of this strategy which would result in a £200m swing from a net debt position to a cashrich group over coming years. Whilst the US disposal would be earni
Pendragon has communicated a clear strategy focused on investment in its used car business and software platform to be funded through ongoing cash flow, strategic disposals and lower capital commitments to the new car market. This includes the disposal of the group’s US Motor Group. We have modelled the implications of successful implementation of this strategy which would result in a £200m swing from a net debt position to a cash-rich group over coming years. Whilst the US disposal would be ear
SCS Group’s full year trading update for the 53 weeks to 31st July shows that the strong demand that has been a hallmark of post lockdown periods over the past 15 months has continued, with LFL orders through the Group’s weeks 47 to 53 up by 23.7% on pre-Covid levels. Lower costs underpin a 16% upgrade to FY21 CPTP expectations, whilst the strong order book drives a 17% upgrade to our FY22 CPTP forecast. We look for EPS of 32.2p and 30.8p for FY21 and FY22 respectively. Year end net cash of £87.
Companies: ScS Group plc
Amid a background of uneven and subdued economic growth, persistent low interest rates and choppy financial markets, we posit the idea that “dividend surprise” may be a significant contributor to outperformance in the short to medium term. We have screened for particularly well-supported dividends, which has produced a list of 71 stocks. We then considered the wider fundamentals to arrive at a focus list of 10 companies, where we believe dividend surprise has a good chance of coming into play.
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We have performed a second refresh of our consistent growth screen, first established with our research note of 17 December last year. As previously, the screen produces a basket of 25 stocks that exhibit not only good growth in EPS and sales, but also a consistency of growth in both measures each year. This basket, or style, has underperformed the small-cap benchmark by 9.1% since inception last December, and by 4.8% since the last refresh on 13 April. We highlight stocks leaving and joining t
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FY20 results – All Focus on Resuming Operations
Companies: Jet2 PLC
Dart Group has released an AGM statement this morning indicating satisfaction with load factors and financial performance achieved year-to-date in the context of the challenging operating environment. In addition, the Group has applied to change its name to Jet2 Plc in recognition of the recent sale of the Fowler Welch distribution business and the sole focus on leisure travel. We keep our forecasts withdrawn at this time.
The final results revealed adjusted PBT up 99% year-on-year, which was 10% better than forecast despite four upgrades during the financial year. This strong performance reflects the financial benefits that have accrued following the shift in the business model to online only, as well as management’s strategic decision to significantly increase marketing spend. A second special dividend for the 2020 financial year has also been announced, reflecting the strong cash flow characteristics of the bus
Companies: Best of the Best plc
Unprecedented times over the past 12 months have seen ScS Group deliver an exceptional set of H1 2021 results, dominated by the surge in orders post Lockdown 1.0. Group revenue grew 14.4%, with an incremental gross margin, tight cost control and UK government support (£6.6m) underpinning EBITDA* of £19.5m (£3.8m in H1 2020). We believe the average net cash through the period was c£97m (c£60m excluding customer balances). H2 2021 visibility remains low, with post Lockdown 3.0 demand uncertain, th
MAST Energy Developments (MED) is to IPO on the Standard List on 14th April 2021 under the ticker MAST. The company has raised £5m giving a market capitalisation on listing of c. £23m. MED is currently a 100% subsidiary company of AIM quoted, Kibo Energy*. MED was established to acquire and develop a portfolio of flexible power plants in the UK and become a multi-asset operator in the rapidly growing Reserve Power market. PensionBee has confirmed its intention to float on the High Growth Se
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Alphawave IP Group is considering an IPO on the standard listing segment of the London Stock Exchange. Alphawave IP is a leading semiconductor IP company focusing on the hardest-to-solve connectivity challenges created by the exponential growth of data. Funds and accounts managed by BlackRock, and Janus Henderson, have each entered into cornerstone agreements with the Company to subscribe for, subject to certain conditions, in aggregate, c. USD 510m of Offer Shares at an offer price representing
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Kingfisher’s Q2 FY21/22 trading update came in ahead of market expectations. Following an impressive c.64% lfl sales growth in Q1, the momentum finally receded with Q2 registering a sales decline of >1% so far, as DIY spend tailwinds unwind. On the back of the better-than-expected performance, management upgraded its sales and profitability outlook for H1 FY21/22. Although we will raise the estimates and target price, ‘Reduce’ recommendation is re-affirmed as DIY spend normalises and the limited
Companies: Kingfisher Plc