Hybridan Small Cap Feast 17/06/2022

*A corporate client of Hybridan LLP Dish of the day Joiners: No Joiners Today. Leavers: No Leavers Today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? Visum Technologies seeking admission to The AQSE Growth Market. The Company's business is to own and operate an "on-ride" video and photographic camera system that it sells and/or licenses to customers (being theme parks, ride manufacturers, souvenir imaging providers, and other leisure operators). Due 30 June. LifeSafe Holdings, a fire safety

Still going strong

Future today released an update highlighting FY’20E adj EBITDA which is trading towards the top-end of consensus (£86.3m-£91.0m; N1Se: £88.5m). Strong performance has been supported by acceleration of the consumer shift to digital, positive cost control and cost synergy extraction from the TI Media acquisition (c.£9m annualised savings delivered so far). Migration of TI Media sites to the Group’s Vanilla platform are underway, whilst Hawk (price comparison platform) has been successfully deploye

Digital transition accelerates

Future’s H1 results highlight the benefits of the Group’s diverse revenue model. Group sales grew 33% y/y to £144.3m (organic: +11%; N1Se: £145.0m), with AOP up 77% to £39.9m (organic: +40%; N1Se: £38.7m). Organic Media sales growth of +21% y/y reflects strong online user growth, with H1 average monthly online users up +26% to 253m, driving eCommerce sales up +68% organic. Online audience growth rapidly accelerated post lockdown (+66% y/y in March) supported by gaming and Live Sciences verticals

TI Media completion and Covid-19 update

Future has completed the acquisition of TI Media (the Group’s largest acquisition to date), following clearance from the Competition and Markets Authority (‘CMA’) and disposal of four small TI Media assets to satisfy competition remedies. The acquisition incorporates 38 new brands strengthening Future’s position in some segments whilst also helping to diversify the Group’s portfolio and offering new online audience creation avenues. Alongside the announcement the Group provides an update on Covi

H1’20 pre-close: cash ahead

Future has announced a pre-close trading update for H1’20 highlighting continued strong online audience growth which is further driving eCommerce and digital advertising revenue streams. Recent weeks have been unprecedented, however the Group continues to see limited impact to online consumer behavioural trends (Feb audience traffic: +2% month on month per ComScore), whilst in Magazine y/y growth in Grocers is partly offsetting declines in travel outlets. Key metrics are holding up well, and the

TI Media CMA update: progressing as expected

Future has announced an update regarding the acquisition of TI Media. The Competition and Markets Authority (‘CMA’) has found that the acquisition of TI Media does not raise competitive concerns subject to the sale of 3 closely competing products. The Group is now in discussions with the CMA on potential remedies to mitigate competitive issues and proceed with the transaction as soon as practicable. The update is in line with our expectations, with a prudent £10m revenue adjustment and no procee

Minimal Covid-19 impact expected

Future Group has announced the outcome of a management review into the potential impact from Covid-19 on forecasts. As we would expect, the conclusion is that there will be no impact to profits in FY’20E or FY’21E, with Covid19 not showing signs of disrupting strong Group underlying online fundamentals. The Group’s events revenue stream (6% of Group revenues, c.2% of profits) has seen two near-term events rescheduled, although these are still forecast to land in the current financial year (July

CMD flags strong near-term opportunities

We take the opportunity after last week’s Capital Markets Day to review key themes touched on by management, and the impact on likely future performance. Takeaways impacting organic growth are: 1) The speed at which migrations/ launches occur with Vanilla is faster than previously expected; 2) Video Content and Intent Marketing opportunities open up new streams; and 3) The Group has more potential to generate value from back catalogue content than previously thought. Organic Media sales growth o

Capital Markets Day – a Future view

Future’s Capital Markets Day yesterday highlighted the Group’s continued success in identifying, developing and monetising new audiences and content and driving strong organic growth. The CTO’s run through of the tech stack presented a platform in complete alignment with Group strategy, able to spin-up new sites impressively quickly, fully integrated with Ecom and Adtech back-ends. The walk-through of an example article life-cycle also shows the strength of RoI potential for individual editorial

Brave Bison - Growth Stampede Continues at Brave Bison

Brave Bison has released its FY23A results which are in-line with the upgraded expectations at the recent trading update. The acquisition of SocialChain has transformed The Group’s offering in the fast-growing social and influencer segment of the market leaving it well-positioned for the expected pick-up in marketing spend in 2024. Management have continued to drive operational efficiencies in The Group, for example rolling out an advanced resource planning tool, which has contributed to Adj EPS

Morning Note – 22 April 2024

LIBERUM: The Liberum Leisure Digest: NLW increase - pricing power is key

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 22 April 2024

22nd April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi

LBG Media (LBG LN) - Strong momentum into FY24

Resilient growth in core markets: Revenue of £67.5m is +7.5% YOY (FY22: £62.8m) and +0.7% vs. Zeus estimate of £67.0m, with growth across Direct and Indirect divisions benefitting from increased activity with new and existing clients.

S4 Capital - Extension of recovery horizon

S4 Capital had a difficult FY23, as flagged, with reduced client confidence and spend, particularly from those clients in the tech sector, and on larger transformation projects. Management is cautious in the short term, with no substantive changes likely in H124, but sees conditions likely to improve in H224 as economic pressures ease. The group’s longer-term prospects should be buoyed by its positioning across data and digital marketing and, in particular, in incorporating AI into hyper-persona

Next 15 Group PLC

While 2.5% revenue growth and 6.1% EBIT growth is relatively pedestrian by Next 15’s historic track record, we see the last year as one of the most impressive reported by Next 15. Revenue growth and margin expansion has been delivered in the face of a significant slowdown in demand from the group’s historic core technology sector clients. We believe a number of factors are in play here, not least the growing diversity of Next 15’s client and business mix as a result of M&A over the last th

LIBERUM: Time Out: Expanding the Markets pipeline

Team Internet Group - Growth and returns, acquisition bolsters outlook

Team Internet’s FY23 results exceeded our forecasts and consensus on revenue and EBITDA. Online Marketing was driven by increased consumer engagement, reflecting investment in delivering more targeted ads across a wider array of channels. The group’s latest acquisition, Shinez, strengthens Online Marketing via diversification of publishers and is earnings accretive with scope for further synergies. Online Presence returned to strong revenue growth, driven by demand for exotic domains, pricing op

Next 15 Group - Baked in AI opportunities

Next 15 Group's net revenues grew 2.5% in the year to January, despite difficult markets. Adjusted operating margin rose from 20.2% to 21.0%, helped by head office cost savings. In common with much of the sector, spending by tech clients was soft, down 17% like-for-like. The group did well, though, in growing spend from non-tech clients, up 11%, making for a strong overall performance in a market beset by ongoing macro uncertainty. Next 15 has been building its AI capabilities for some time and

STV Group+ (STVG, House Stock at 235p) - Recent news extends positive momentum

Team Internet Group (TIG LN) - Record results

Team Internet’s FY23 results confirmed another strong year of trading from its Online Marketing and Online Presence businesses. Both revenue and EBITDA growth remained in double digits, margins on net revenue continued to improve, and cash conversion remained strong. We continue to believe that the Group has substantial long-term growth opportunities including international expansion, new partner development, and vertical integration. In our view, Team Internet’s strong track record, cash genera

Brave Bison - Underlying Performance Reassuringly In-line

Brave Bison has released its interim results for the period ending June 2023. The update shows the SocialChain integration has been materially completed, with synergies mostly realised and new client wins taking place as a combined business. Gross revenue increased 15% YoY to £16.9m and net revenue increased 23% to £10m, both driven primarily by the new contribution from SocialChain. Adj EBITDA increased by 20% to £1.9m and Adj PBT increased 16% to £1.5m, both in-line with expectations. We have

Data Driven Marketing

Jaywing is a UK marketing services company with a clearly differentiated market position in data science. Core, is the delivery of behavioural insights and algorithms to enhance the roi of clients marketing and customer experience programmes and, in a highly personalised way. The acquisition of search marketing specialist Epiphany in March 2014 was strategically transformative, giving Jaywing a profitable growth platform as well as consolidating its leading position in digital data and online m

Cenkos: Brave Bison Group Plc -- The Next Link in the Chain

Brave Bison has raised £4.75m of equity capital at 2.3p, to help fund an acquisition of a complementary business, called Social Chain. The target will bring significant brand recognition and cross-selling opportunities to blue-chip clients. We forecast an increase in FY23E revenues of £12.4m to £42.9m, a £1.0m increase in Adj EBITDA to £4.1m and an 11% increase in Adj EPS from 0.22p to 0.25p. Post-acquisition, Brave Bison would trade on a discount to the peer group median across EV/Sales, EV/EBI