Having reached a number of critical milestones throughout 2018, Epigenomics reported FY2018 product sales of 0.8m (47% YoY), highlighting the company's strong underlying growth momentum. While total sales of €1.5m (-18% YoY) were slightly below our revenue expectations, largely due to a reduction in licensing revenue associated with a one-off patent sale in Q4/2017, product sales in Q4/2018 increased by 7% YoY. We are revising our sales forecasts for FY2019E and out-years as a result of the recently announced termination of the collaboration with Chinese licensing partner BioChain and to account for the recently published 2019E revenue guidance in the range of €3.0m to €6.0m. We continue to see the positive commercial outlook of Epigenomic's liquid biopsy tests due to a differentiated profile, fast readouts, large target markets and a significant health-economic impact. We maintain and reiterate both our OUTPERFORM recommendation and €4.01 target price (“TP”).
