A mixed YE trading update from the group this morning in our view. Despite a top-line miss vs consensus, the previously guided PBT expectation of a flat y-o-y outcome is expected to be met. For long term bulls this will come as a relief but from our perspective it further illustrates the ex growth nature of the group. We estimate LFL growth (adjusting for last February's Funkin deal) was -3% to Jan'16. We see no top-line respite in FY17, especially for a company like BAG which is almost 100% UK ....

29 Jan 2016
In line FY PBT guidance masks top-line difficulties

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In line FY PBT guidance masks top-line difficulties
A.G. BARR p.l.c. (BAG:LON) | 698 34.9 0.7% | Mkt Cap: 781.4m
- Published:
29 Jan 2016 -
Author:
Sahill Shan -
Pages:
4 -
A mixed YE trading update from the group this morning in our view. Despite a top-line miss vs consensus, the previously guided PBT expectation of a flat y-o-y outcome is expected to be met. For long term bulls this will come as a relief but from our perspective it further illustrates the ex growth nature of the group. We estimate LFL growth (adjusting for last February's Funkin deal) was -3% to Jan'16. We see no top-line respite in FY17, especially for a company like BAG which is almost 100% UK ....