2019 was a tough year for President, with performance affected by extensive production outages in Argentina and the US, and the imposition of a price cap on Argentine domestic crude prices that saw the company shift its investment focus away from oil towards gas. Key items of its FY19 results had already been released, so the market shouldn’t be surprised by headline figures that show a large loss following a non-cash impairment. More important is the progress made with the balance sheet, which has seen debt more than halve. It leaves President primed to chase the considerable oil and gas growth potential still residing within its Argentine portfolio with a strong and aligned strategic partner in Trafigura.
Companies: President Energy
Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN): Cascadura-1ST1testing suggest flow rates of up to 9,700boepd | President Energy (PPC LN): Drilling to commence in Paraguay | PetroTal (PTAL): PTAL confirms oversubscribed placing ahead of reopening the Bretana oil field
Companies: TXP PPC PTAL
Bango (BGO.L): Corp | BOTB (BOTB.L): Corp | Evgen Pharma (EVG.L): Corp | Lok'nStore (LOK): Corp | Open Orphan (ORPH.L): Corp | President Energy (PPC): Corp
Companies: BOTB LOK PPC EVG BGO ORPH
Elecosoft (ELCO): Corp An impressive first four months despite lockdown | Oncimmune Holdings (ONC): Corp Trading update underlines improved momentum | Open Orphan (ORPH.L): Corp COVID-19 antibody test now launched | President Energy (PPC): Corp Trafigura taking a strategic stake
Companies: ELCO PPC ONC ORPH
President is again demonstrating its ability to adapt rapidly to extreme macro conditions to maintain the balance sheet and keep its asset portfolio intact. A further US$6m subscription from Trafigura alongside a US$4.1m debt for equity swap will reduce debt to ~US$15m. Working capital will also be boosted by up to US$3.1m from the equity placing plus £2.2m from the retail offering. These not only materially improve the balance sheet but also bring President into strategic alignment with a strong industry partner. This, together with the benefit of Argentine fixed oil prices, leaves it primed to pursue a dynamic growth plan.
PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN US)C : Corporate Update | Gran Tierra Energy (GTE LN/CN): Revised FY20 programme | President Energy (PPC LN): Update in Argentina | Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN): Another strong flow test in Trinidad | Cairn Energy (CNE LN): FY19 results | Premier Oil (PMO LN): Trading update | Valeura Energy (VLU LN/VLE CN) : 4Q19 results | JKX Oil & Gas (JKX LN): Divesting Hungary | Pharos Energy (PHAR LN): FY19 results | TransGlobe Energy (TGL LN/CN): Corporate update and FY19 results | Africa Oil (AOI SS/CN): Reiterate 2020 guidance | Tower Resources (TRP LN): Resources update in Cameroon | Tullow Oil (TLW LN): FY19 results | Vaalco Energy (EGY LN/US): FY19 results | Wentworth Resources (WEN LN): Operational update in Tanzania
Companies: PTAL GTE PPC TXP CNE PMO VLU JKX PHAR TGL AOI TRP TLW EGY WRL
President Energy (PPC): Corp
President Energy (PPC LN): Gas sales from Estancia Vieja field at a record high | Volga Gas* (VGAS LN): February production report, cash balance remains strong | 88 Energy (88E LN): Charlie-1 appraisal well has commenced drilling
Companies: PPC VGAS 88E
ANGLE (AGL): Corp | Braemar (BMS): Corp | Destiny Pharma (DEST): Corp | Gooch & Housego (GHH): Corp | President Energy (PPC): Corp | 4imprint (FOUR): Corp | DX (DX): Corp | Xeros (XSG): Corp
Companies: FOUR GHH AGL PPC DEST 8086 XSG BMS
President Energy’s (PPC) drilling activity is due to recommence in H120 and, alongside significantly increased production from Estancia Vieja, will contribute to a 2020 management estimated average production rate of over 4,000boepd, up from an average of c 2,400boepd in 2019. Following the debottlenecking of a section of the evacuation pipeline system, PPC expects to increase the share of gas in its production mix to c 30%. This comes at a time when there seems to be more clarity from the new president of Argentina, Alberto Fernández, on the importance of the country’s oil and gas industry. PPC also announced that Trafigura acquired an equity position in the company, with PPC’s debt reduced by c $6m, demonstrating confidence in its business plan. CEO Peter Levine is a 29.7% shareholder and principal funder, ensuring that interests are aligned with those of all shareholders.
Allergy Therapeutics (AGY): Corp Read-across from Aimmune’s peanut FDA approval | Avacta (AVCT): Corp Cell therapy JV update | NAHL (NAH): Corp Industry-wide uncertainty | President Energy (PPC): Corp 2019 highlights and trading update
Companies: AGY AVCT PPC NAH
President has released highlights from its FY19 unaudited Group management report. While production has come in below guidance, these results still demonstrate the robustness and flexibility of the portfolio in what was a very challenging year in Argentina. President delivered positive cash operating profit every month despite temporary pricing controls that reduced realised oil prices by almost 25% for three months. We are trimming estimates slightly for 2020, but still expect strong growth in both production (+68%) and EBITDA (+143%).
President announced a significant upgrade to its Argentinian reserve base, with net 2P reserves rising 7% to 25.9mmboe (from 25.0mmboe), after factoring in (estimated) FY19 production of 0.8mmboe. Net 2C resources are assessed at 43.0mmboe (up from 30.5mmboe in 2018). This reserve upgrade implies a reserve replacement ratio of 112% - an impressive performance given that President undertook no drilling activity last year. The driver for the reserve growth derives from uplifts associated with 2019 workovers and infrastructure upgrades. We are greatly encouraged by this news, seeing this strong reserve upgrade as demonstrative of the quality of the asset base in Argentina.
President Energy (PPC): Corp | Shield Therapeutics (STX): Corp
Companies: Shield Therapeutics President Energy
Union Jack Oil* (UJO LN), STRONG BUY – 0.70p TP: Wressle Development granted Planning Consent on appeal | Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN): High pressures encountered during Cascadura-1ST1 testing | Echo Energy (ECHO LN): High pressures encountered during Cascadura-1ST1 testing | President Energy (PPC LN): Subscription for new shares by Trafigura, conversion of debt into equity | Trinity Exploration & Production (TRIN LN): Q4 2019 Operational Update
Companies: UJO TXP ECHO PPC TRIN
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on President Energy.
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A number of REITs have the ability to thrive in current market conditions and thereafter. Not only do they hold assets that will remain in strong demand, but they have focus and transparency. The leases and underlying rents are structured in a manner to provide long visibility, growth and security. Hardman & Co defined an investment universe of REITs that we considered provided security and “safer harbours”. We introduced this universe with our report published in March 2019: “Secure income” REITs – Safe Harbour Available. Here, we take forward the investment case and story. We point to six REITs, in particular, where we believe the risk/reward is the most attractive.
Companies: AGY ARBB ARIX BUR CMH CLIG DNL HAYD NSF PCA PIN PXC PHP RE/ RECI SCE SHED VTA
Caledonia, which operates the Blanket gold mine in Zimbabwe, announces today a second dividend increase for 2020 with an increase of their dividend from 7.5c a quarter to 8.5c a quarter – an annualised 34c/yr which currently yields 2.3%. This comes on the back of a first increase in January of this year when Caledonia raised its dividend from 6.9c/quarter.
Avation is a lessor of 48 commercial aircraft to a diversified airline client base. This morning, the group has released results for the nine months to 31 March 2020, which illustrate that the business remained profitable in Q3 FY 2020.
Phoenix copper today provides the results from the initial metallurgical test work to recover precious metals from the Empire deposit. Results from leaching with non-toxic ammonium thiosulfate (ATS) resulted in high gold recoveries of nearly 98% gold, and silver recoveries of between 70% and 80%. A full metallurgical report on this new work is available on Phoenix Copper's website.
Companies: CMCL AVAP PXC
Considering the environment, this sale is positive and marks the completion of the $15bn divestment programme started after the acquisition of the shale assets from BHP in 2018. Overall, BP’s strategy in downstream is to bring stable earnings, to offset volatility in upstream. In this regard, expanding renewables activities would seem appropriate to BP. While, BP has no competitive advantage in this field, exposure to renewables will allow the oil majors to keep their oil & gas activities.
Companies: BP Plc
U.S. futures and European stocks dropped on Friday as investors mulled a reported conflict among policy makers over a stimulus package for the single-currency region, as well as political upheaval in France.
The Stoxx 600 Index fell after Bloomberg News reported the European Central Bank is facing a potential rift over how much their emergency bond-purchase program should stay weighted toward weaker countries such as Italy. The euro fluctuated following French President Emmanuel Macron's decision to name a new prime minister after asking his government to resign. Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc slumped after the British jet-engine maker said its exploring options to raise funds to strengthen its balance sheet.
The dollar was slightly down, posting its first weekly drop in a month, while American cash equity and bond markets were shut for Independence Day. President Donald Trump will attend an early July 4 celebration at Mount Rushmore with thousands of guests who won't be required to wear masks, while his U.K. counterpart Boris Johnson urged Britons to act responsibly as pubs prepare to re-open and the government lifts quarantine rules on travel for 60 countries.
The friction at the ECB highlights the risk to markets should promised stimulus measures fall short. Investors continue to weigh policy support and upbeat economic data against relentless new outbreaks of the virus. U.S payrolls figures Thursday fuelled optimism of a V-shaped recovery in the world's biggest economy, even as Florida reported that infections and hospitalizations jumped the most yet, and Houston had a surge in intensive-care patients. Emerging-market stocks posted the biggest weekly gain in a month.
Elsewhere, crude oil dipped but remained on track for a weekly gain.
Companies: TGL JSE IAE ADME BP/ DGOC ENOG NTQ NTOG PMO RBD ROSE RDSA UKOG TRIN
Acquisitions and creditors update
Companies: Premier Oil
Despite the ongoing economic headwinds, 2020 has already been a significant year for United, with the 2019-20 infill-drilling campaign at Abu Sennan exceeding expectations and delivering significant reserve and production additions. Since the Abu Sennan acquisition was announced in July 2019, net production has nearly tripled from 1,100boepd to 3,100boepd, following successful wells at ASH-2 and El Salmiya-5 and the onset of gas production from the Al Jahraa field. We value United's portfolio (minus Jamaica) at US$91.3m, c4.5x its current market cap. Unrisked, we value United's entire portfolio at US$321.7m (including Jamaica) or 34.9p per share, >16x United's current market cap. We set our target price in line with our risked valuation (minus Jamaica) at 9.5p, a 280% premium to the current share price and reiterate our BUY recommendation.
Companies: United Oil & Gas
Shearwater sells resilience and today's trading update shows us how resilient demand has been for its products and services. The Group has swung to EBITDA profitability and cash flow is well ahead of expectations. The macro themes of cyber security and remote working are supportive of robust demand levels going forward. We are maintaining our forecasts. Buy.
Companies: Shearwater Group
Petropavlovsk PLC (LSE: POG) have released their FY2019 results and Q1 trading update this morning. The company had already released production numbers for last year. Overall the numbers reflected a strong operational performance although various financial/other parameters thwarted positive changes below the EBITDA line. Conversely net cash from operations reduced by 43% due to lower cash from prepayment as part of the group’s forward sale facility with the banks, yet net debt came down to $561m. . We show the key figures in Table 1.
InfraStrata's acquisition of the iconic Harland & Wolff (H&W) shipyards in Northern Ireland has been transformational for the group, and with a carefully planned growth strategy, there is a clear route to cash breakeven in the short term. Over the medium to long term, these facilities could support a c£400m revenue business. With the company trading at a c30% discount to its H1/20A book value and c65% to its Adj NAV, we initiate with a Buy recommendation.
Oil posted its second weekly loss for the month, as a surge in US coronavirus cases clouds the demand outlook and casts doubts on the market's recovery.
Futures in New York slipped 3.2% this week. The price slump comes just days after oil closed above $40 for the first time since early March, and following a run of weekly gains that lifted oil from its historic plunge below zero in April. Texas -- the centre of the American oil industry -- halted its reopening as virus infections jumped, and Houston's intensive-care wards reached capacity. Bars in Texas and Florida were ordered to shut, and Arizona reported a surge in infections.
While massive OPEC+ output cuts and a pickup in demand have helped crude climb from its April low, price gains have slowed this month. Infections continue to soar in many parts of the world, consumption is still a long way off pre-virus levels and many refiners are struggling with low margins.
Crude stockpiles in the US are at record highs, and there's a risk that US shale producers could start bringing back output. The number of rigs drilling for oil fell by 1 to 188, the lowest since June of 2009.
West Texas Intermediate for August slid 23 cents to settle at $38.49 a barrel in New York.
Brent for August fell 3 cents to close at $41.02 a barrel.
Still, the pessimism's being tempered by huge cuts to Russia's seaborne crude exports, a development that lifted oil earlier in the session. Shipments of the flagship Urals grade from its three main western ports are set to plunge by 40% next month, according to loading programmes seen by Bloomberg. The steep reductions underscore the OPEC+ alliance's commitment to eliminate the oil glut that built up earlier this year.
Other oil news:
Exxon Mobil Corp is preparing to cut jobs in the US as the oil giant focuses on a slimmed-down and more efficient organisational structure, according to people familiar with the matter.
Four automakers backing a California effort to curb tailpipe emissions will break with some big rivals in the legal battle over the Trump administration's relaxation of fuel efficiency standards.
Companies: FOG PVR 88E DGOC EME TRIN UOG
Implications of the gold-silver metallurgy at Empire, Idaho
Yesterday, Phoenix Copper published a metallurgical report on the leaching of its gold-bearing mineralisation from the Empire resource area in Idaho. This showed high recoveries for gold and silver using standard cyanide and non-standard Ammonium Thiosulphate leaching (comparable leach times, reagent consumption and recovery). The implications of these tests may be far ranging for Phoenix as it enables it to consider bringing forward precious metals production from the area, with the following benefits: 1) quicker permitting for a non-cyanide process; 2) cheaper reagents; 3) earlier establishment of mine site infrastructure to assist ongoing economic studies and; 4) cash flow in a robust gold price environment. More test work on the gold recovery process remains to be completed to establish the optimum leaching and recovery parameters. We still see fair value at 34p/sh (see research from 12/05/2020 for full details) but note that Phoenix management is actively seeking to bring forward value in its projects. In the meantime, we have drilling results and a (potential) resource upgrade to look forward to shortly from the Red Star lead-silver project as well as a funded resource drilling program to establish a whole resource for Empire – and not just the base metal-rich zones.
Companies: Sirius Real Estate
Enteq Upstream PLC (LON:NTQ) has released full-year (FY) results for the year-end March 2020 with commentary on the ongoing trading environment. The company reported revenues of around US$10.9mln, underlying adjusted EBITDA (earnings before tax interest depreciation and amortisation) of US$3.1mln,
Companies: Enteq Upstream
Rockfire Resources, the gold and copper exploration junior with projects in northern Queensland has recently commenced a major £0.8m drilling programme on Plateau, its most advanced project. Drilling is likely to be followed by a resource update in late 2020 and a scoping study in Q1 2021. We believe that the updated resource estimate could be commercially significant. This reflects the promising drilling results post July 2019’s resource assessment and the potential for the drilling programme to expand the resource base given the analogous Mt Wright mine geology 47 km to the NE. The new drilling programme will include diamond drilling for the first time which will enable deeper higher-grade targets to be targeted. The drilling programme has been underpinned by the recently announced £1m raise. We believe the scope for positive news flow in the coming months is excellent while the gold market backdrop should be supportive for gold exploration as well as production plays over the balance of 2020.
Companies: Rockfire Resources
Over the last 18 months, Powerhouse has cemented its relationship with Peel Environmental, which is targeting the development of at least 30 distributed modular generation (DMG) plants across the UK. Each of these will potentially generate £0.5m in annual licence fees for Powerhouse. This roll-out is conditional on shareholders approving the proposed acquisition of former development partner Waste2Tricity (W2T) at the general meeting on 14 July
Companies: Powerhouse Energy Group
Solid State is a manufacturer of computing, power and communications products, and value added distributor of electronic components. This morning, the group has provided a further update on trading in light of the present COVID-19 backdrop, ahead of full year results to 31 March 2020 due to be released on 30 June.
Cadence today provides and update on the Amapá iron ore project in Brazil. The Amapá JV (EV Mineração S.A.), in which Cadence can earn an initial 20% of the project, is understood to be on track to begin shipping stockpiled iron ore from late Q2 / early Q3 2020. Finalisation of the negotiation with the secured creditors still needs to be reached, but the Amapá JV partners are engaging constructively. In preparation for shipping, a trucking contractor has been hired to move key equipment to site and a shipping manager and shipping broker have been engaged.
This morning's update from CSSG confirms the positive direction of travel highlighted when the company published H1 results in March. With comparators still challenging (because of one-off work in the prior year), and “light” Covid-19 impacts in recent months, the expected £1.6m EBITDA flagged by the company seems a creditable number, still within touching distance of historical performance in both EBITDA and PBTA terms. Net cash, moreover, even after three months of the Covid-19 crisis, is reported to still be higher than the £2.4m which the company reports it had at the start (which in turn represents an increase on the £2.3m as at 31 December 2019). Not surprisingly, having suspended payment of the dividend a couple of months ago, the Board is now proposing to have another look at this question, at least in relation to the half year dividend.
PTY's announcement this morning flags a change in the CFO role with the new appointee benefiting from extensive experience in developing digital businesses to their full potential, both in overall and in financial leadership positions. His arrival follows on from highly proactive action led by the previous finance director, delivering a platform for growth once the current uncertain circumstances have abated.
Companies: KDNC CSSG PTY SOLI