AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/03/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth. This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences. This compares with only 115 m of l

VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): EG unlocked

• The final documents for the Joint Operating agreement (JOA) for the Venus-Block P Plan of Development have now been signed by all the partners. The JOA has also been approved by the EG government. • The Block P PSC is for 25 years from the date of approval. • FEED is expected in 2024, FID in 2025 with installation of facilities and drilling thereafter and ultimately production. We currently carry US$0.69 per share for EG in our valuation. • There are multiple sources of potential upside on th

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 15/03/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Feasibility study as a first step to unlocking a mega green hydrogen project – The feasibility study for the green hydrogen “Project Nour” has now been presented to the government of Mauritania. Chariot holds a 50% interest in the project and TotalEnergies is a partner. Mauritania benefits from an ideal geography for wind and solar energy. The 10 GW project will be developed in sever

Raising the bar

VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Increasing reserves. Further potential upside in Gabon. EG potential to be unlocked imminently

• VAALCO’s YE23 cash position of US$121 mm and FY23 WI production of 23,946 boe/d were in line with previous indications. • The company held 77.3 mmboe WI 2P reserves at YE23 including 15.8 mmbbl in Gabon, 24.5 mmbbl in Egypt, 18.6 mmboe in Canada and 18.5 mmboe in EG. This represents a 1% increase vs YE23 as VAALCO has more than replaced its FY23 production given the strong performance of the producing assets in 2023. • The FY24 capex budget is US$70-90 mm (we forecasted US$138 mm) as only US$

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 14/03/24

Shell water down carbon emissions targets

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/03/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: High impact well spud in Austria - The Welchau-1 gas exploration well was spudded on 24 February. Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.13 per share: Completing divestment of Blackspur – Blackspur has been sold for A$81.6 mm, after tax provisions and net debt adjustments. Calima will distribute A$80 mm (~A$12.6 per share) as dividends. The distribution is well above the m

VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): New country entry with immediate production

• VAALCO is acquiring Svenska Petroleum Exploration for a headline price of US$66.5 mm. This price includes a pre-closing dividend of cash on Svenska’s balance sheet to the seller and an estimated cash payment by VAALCO of ~US$30-40 mm on closing in 2Q24. • The primary asset of Svenska is a 27.39% interest in Block CI-40, offshore Cote d'Ivoire with 1P and 2P reserves of respectively 13 mmboe (99% oil) and 21.7 mmboe (97% oil) (as at the end of 3Q23) and current WI production of 4,500 boe/d at t

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 29/02/24

European gas storage at 63% full

West Africa acquisition - a good fit at a low price

VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Potentially acquiring producing assets in Cote d’Ivoire?

• VAALCO is in discussions with Svenska Petroleum Exploration regarding a possible corporate transaction to acquire Svenska, whose primary asset is a 27.39% interest in Block CI-40, offshore Cote d'Ivoire. Current working interest production is approximately 4,500 boe/d net to Svenska. In 2022, Svenska generated after tax cashflow (before changes in working capital) of ~US$115 mm. • Block CI-40 includes the Baobab producing field with several additional prospects and the appraised Kossipo field.

Auctus on Friday - 19/01/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation. The well is currently producing 650 bbl/d of 14 deg API oil with 8% water cut. This is an important well that confirms the extension of the Llanos-34 Guadalupe play into CPO-5 and is probably derisking further prospects. This is the fifth disco

VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Good operational performance in 4Q23

• 4Q23 NRI sales were 21,725-22,125 boe/d, at the top end of expectations of 19,800-22,000 boe/d. • 4Q23 WI production of 23.1-23.5 mboe/d was comfortably within the management guidance of 22.9-24.6 mboe/d. • VAALCO held >US$120 mm in cash and cash equivalents at the end of December, up from US$103 mm at the end of September. This is after having paid >US$25 mm in dividends and bought back >US$22 mm in shares. The YE23 cash position was impacted by the fact the Egyptian sales during 4Q23 were fo

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 17/01/24

Oil down on demand concerns

Auctus on Friday - 10/11/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Rig-up at Anshof-2 – The rig-up at Anshof-2 has commenced with an expected spud date of 11 November. XST (20% WI in Anshof) will not participate in the well. ADX and MND will fund XST’s share of well costs on 50:50 basis and will in turn retain the right to 60% and 40% respectively of production from the well unless XST opts to buy back into the well at a premium of 400% to the we

Trinity Exploration and Production - Reserves Reduction but Solid Core Business

Trinity has announced a c28% reduction to its 2P reserves following a YE23 review. Despite the decrease in the Company’s 2P reserves, Trinity’s core business remains robust, with a reserves/production ratio of >12.5 years at YE23. Whilst there is significant potential for growth within the current portfolio, this will be difficult to unlock from the current balance sheet and we believe further financing will be required. We update our target price to 76p (from 202p), a c85% premium to the curren

Alien Metals - Hancock Project, Mining Lease Granted

Alien today reports intraday that the Western Australian Government has granted a mining licence for the Hancock iron ore project for a 21-year term. The granting of the mining licence is the latest milestone delivered by Alien as it advances the project towards development and production.

SP Angel Morning View: Copper prices hit $9,700/t as China smelts concentrates for zero charge Tc/Rc

SP Angel Morning View: Gold resilient as US interest rates climb on long-term inflation concerns

NextSource Materials - Initiation

NextSource is uniquely positioned to build a leading vertically integrated position, ex China, in the supply of Lithium-ion battery anode material which is essential for the Energy Transition. The company is commissioning phase 1 of its world-class Molo graphite mine in Madagascar and is in the final permitting process for its first Battery Anode Facility (BAF) to be located in Mauritius. The company is backed by Vision Blue, established by Sir Mick Davis, former CEO of Xstrata. On our calculat

Zeus Top Picks for 2024 - 2023 review and outlook for 2024

On 9 January last year, we set out our ten top stock picks for 2023, for what turned out to be another relatively poor twelve months for UK equities due to two wars, stubbornly high inflation and further tightening of monetary policy. This was even as other major markets, such as the US, largely recovered in the year. In the 2023 calendar year, the AIM All-Share index fell 8.2% and is still 42% off its 2021 high. From the release of our 2023 top picks note, the average total return (assuming div

I3 Energy (I3E LN) - Canada royalty assets sale

I3 has announced the sale of the majority of its royalty interests in Canada, for US$24.8m cash. This allows the company to fully repay amounts drawn on its debt facility and create a working capital surplus, giving I3 significant additional funding flexibility going forward

Jubilee Metals - Operational Update Q3 FY2024

Jubilee today reports its Q3 and third quarter operational results from its expanding operations in Zambia (copper) and South Africa (chrome and PGM). South Africa is on a growth trajectory with record chrome production of 409kt in the quarter (Q2 FY2024 381kt) and a monthly record in March of 145kt and production YTD of 1.13Mt (0.94Mt). Jubilee is well underway to its annual target capacity of 2,1Mt/yr especially with the new 300kt/yr chrome plant at Thutse expected to be operational in August

DEC FY23 Results Update

DEC reported FY23 results which were in line with expectations and announced the acquisition of joint venture assets from Oaktree along with an updated capital allocation framework.

Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): Initiating a strategic review of the Transitional Power business to focus on gas

• The farm-out transaction with Energean has now completed. Chariot has received the US$10 mm cash upfront payment and retains 30% of in the Lixus licence (where the Anchois project is located) and 37.5% of the Rissana licence, offshore Morocco. • A rig contract has also been signed with Stena Drilling to drill the high impact Anchois-East appraisal and development well in 3Q24. • Anchois East is a very important well that could increase the size of Anchois to >1 tcf (300 bcf net to Chariot). O

Almonty Industries Inc. (TSX: AII) – Building Global-Scale Tungsten Mine, Ensuring Critical Mineral Independence

Almonty Industries Inc. (TSX: AII, ASX: AII, OTC: ALMTF, FRA: ALI) (“Almonty” or the “Company”) is a multi-asset owner that develops and operates tungsten projects. Its assets include development projects and a producing mine. Sangdong, Global-Scale Tungsten Asset: The Company's key growth driver is the Sangdong Tungsten Project, one of the largest tungsten projects in the world and a formerly producing mine. The project has top-quartile projected grade and recovery rates, and a large resourc

LIBERUM: New Energy Nuggets: Hydrogen - the future is green

The time has come!

In the next six months, Aminex (AEX) will embark on a development programme that will see the company become a producer and free cash flow (FCF) generator. Between drilling the new Chikumbi-1 well (CH-1), re-entering the existing two wells, processing of the new 3D seismic, signing a GSA, and reaching first gas, there will be plenty of milestones in 2023 to, in our view, gradually “guide” the market towards recognising a full value for the targeted initial 60mmscf/d gross production in late 2023

Is there a “big-picture” change in the cards?

We note that this morning’s announcement by Aminex for a significant potential resource increase in the Ruvuma basin. We believe that the recent pullback in the share price (likely due to delays in the first gas production schedule) provide a good risk/reward opportunity, especially given the future potential in next 12-24 months, highlighted by today’s announcement.

Tungsten Industry Overview

Tungsten Industry Overview