Companies: K3 Capital Group Plc (K3C:LON)Tristel Plc (TSTL:LON)
Companies: DSCV K3C ODX PHD STM TRMR CIN
K3 Capital (K3C): Corp
Companies: K3 Capital Group Plc
Cambridge Cognition (COG): Corp | Frenkel Topping (FEN): Corp | Ideagen (IDEA): Corp | Iofina (IOF): Corp | K3 Capital (K3C): Corp | NAHL (NAH): Corp | President Energy (PPC): Corp | Tremor (TRMR): Corp | Trifast (TRI): Corp
Companies: COG FEN IDEA IOF K3C TRMR PPC
Full-year results to 31 May 2020 deliver revenue of £15.0m (+10.3%) and EBITDA of £6.8m (+36.0%) as noted at the acquisition of Quantuma Advisory. We continue to believe a key value driver of owning K3 shares is an investor’s exposure to the positive disruption being wrought by the company’s model, which now has the ability to be applied to synergistic markets across the addressable professional services SME sector as a result of the two recent acquisitions. The already proven restructuring and insolvency practice specifically has the potential to deliver significant upside in the current environment. We reiterate our estimates, noting EPS growth of 63% between 2020A and 2023E. Target price remains 300p, offering 100% upside from the placing price of 150p.
Byotrol (BYOT): Corp | K3 Capital (K3C): Corp
Companies: Byotrol plc (BYOT:LON)K3 Capital Group Plc (K3C:LON)
As is characteristic of this company, management has acted swiftly to execute an additional acquisition, putting the placing proceeds to work with another immediately earnings-enhancing acquisition, creating a Group with diversified revenue and profits, significant growth potential and greater visibility in a post-COVID world. We reintroduce estimates with CAGR in revenues of 29% between FY 2021 and FY 2023 and a CAGR in EBITDA of 34%. Quantuma, an insolvency and restructuring specialist targeting SMEs, is being acquired for £26.95m from existing resources to give an EBITDA multiple of 7.47x (EBITDA March 2020: £3.6m). Our forecasts take into account the greater visibility and predictability that the recent acquisitions bring to the Group. Our new SOTP valuation arrives at a reinstated price target of 300p.
Successful K3 Capital placing to raise £30.45m (gross) at 150p to fund the £9.3m acquisition of Randd UK Ltd, an R&D tax credit specialist with an LTM EBITDA of c.£2.0m, with a margin of c.50% and revenues typically contracted for 5 tax years with many recurring thereafter, followed by future potential deals in SME exposed markets. K3 has established itself as an innovative company that is able to effectively gather, generate and mine large quantities of data in order to scale up M&A services to SMEs. Transferring these lead generation capabilities to adjacent SME markets can allow rapid growth from proven models, at scale.
Gemfields (GEM): Corp | K3 Capital (K3C): Corp
Companies: K3 Capital Group Plc (K3C:LON)Gemfields Group Limited (GML:JSE)
Alumasc (ALU): Corp | Barkby Group (BARK): Corp | DX (DX): Corp | K3 Capital (K3C): Corp
Companies: ALU K3C BARK DX/
Despite Brexit uncertainty and the calling of a general election, K3 has delivered a strong performance in a challenging environment, suggesting the company will benefit from the political stability brought about by the recent Conservative majority. Some market-wide uncertainty remains, but the board is confident that FY20 expectations will be successfully achieved. Results to 30 November are in line with our forecasts, as EBITDA is 47% of our full-year number (H1 three-year average: 55%). We also note that December alone (first month in H2) generated £2.4m of revenue and £1.3m of EBITDA (taking K3 to 57% of our revenue estimate and 64% of EBITDA with five months remaining). We increase our target price to 298p, using a 20x multiple on our 2021E EPS of 14.9p.
Intention to float by Gemfields Group. No Capital Raise. Currently listed on JSE. (GML:JNB) at circa £122m. The Group's key producing assets, the Kagem emerald mine in Zambia (believed to be the world's single largest producing emerald mine) and the Montepuez ruby mine in Mozambique (one of the most significant recently discovered ruby deposits in the world), are both expected to have long mine-lives with potential for expansion. Also owns the Faberge brand. Due Valentines Day 2020. The Proof Of Trust has announced its intention to list on the Standard Market. The Blockchain based business, owns patents to a protocol which facilitates dispute resolution based upon smart contract disputes. Transaction details TBC.Ninety One –proposed demerger and public listing of Investec’s global asset management business on LSE and JSE. 30 Sep 2019 AUM £121bn. Sale of existing shares. Expected free float of >60%. Due 16 march. Cabot Square—Closed ended investment fund focussed on alternative assets and asset manager. Looking to raise £200m. Will target investment opportunities that are expected to generate an attractive risk adjusted return and that can also make a positive ESG impact by focusing on some of the biggest challenges facing societies and economies. Due 14 Feb. Calisen Group. Potential Intention to Float. Owner and manager of essential energy infrastructure assets through its subsidiaries Calvin Capital and Lowri Beck . Consolidated FY Dec 18 revenue £162.1m and operating profit £25.4m. Raising up to £300m in primary plus partial vendor sale. Expected Admission February 2020. The Global Sustainable Farmland Income Trust will invest in a diversified portfolio of operational farmland assets located in major agricultural markets including the United States, Europe, New Zealand, Australia and certain countries within Latin and South America. Raising up to $300m. Due 28 February. Investment firm Nippon Active Value fund is seeking to raise up to £200m at an issue price of 100p per share via an IPO. The company aims to invest in a portfolio of quoted Japanese stocks with market capitalisations of up to $1bn. First day of dealings expected early February.Zapp Scooters, a developer and manufacturer of electric two-wheeled vehicles announced its intention to IPO on the NEX Exchange Growth Market. The Company intends to raise up to £3.5m. Admission is expected to occur on NEX in February 2020.
Companies: SECG MTW UPR ZYT JAY TRX GLIF BEM K3C
Anglo African Oil & Gas (AAOG): Corp Board changes | K3 Capital (K3C): Corp Impressive performance in a difficult environment | Netcall (NET): Corp Test Studio launched in Liberty Create | Wameja (WJA): Corp Third equity tranche invested in HS as expected
Companies: K3 Capital Group Plc (K3C:LON)Anglo African Oil & Gas Plc (AAOG:LON)
SulNOx Group - The Group has developed a methodology and process capable of emulsifying hydrocarbon fuels such as diesel and heavy fuel oil . By January 2014, following preliminary laboratory testing, SulNOx was in a position to suggest that its products resulted in up to a 50% reduction of Nitrogen Oxide (NOx) and a 90% reduction in particulate matter Due 17 Dec, mkt cap £42.3m.
Companies: SRES K3C SENS MSYS TAL RLD TSG FUL BHRD AUTG
Bango (BGO): Corp A wheel of fortune | K3 Capital (K3C): Corp Continuing to build a unique business model | KRM22 (KRM): Corp Interims | NAHL (NAH): Corp Transformation on track | Quixant (QXT): Corp Market share loss at key customers will leave H2 short
Companies: K3C QXT KRM
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An H1 trading update to December confirms a strong start to FY21, with sales growth accelerating to 22% y/y – a material rebound from a Covid impacted 2H20 (+9% y/y) and +15% achieved prior to this. KPI‘s are strong across the piece, for instance every Geo grew >20%, Connector revenue grew +20% (Shopify: +115%) and ‘enhanced functionality‘ revs grew +20% also. It‘s genuinely hard to find fault with this performance. To us, this evidences how DOTD is executing on its strategy (around products, partners and Geo‘s) while also benefitting from strong thematic tailwinds benefitting its sector and end-markets. We leave recently upgraded FY21 forecasts unchanged, though note the strong H1 sales performance now requires an undemanding +14% y/y growth to hit N+1 estimates, so see upgrade/ outperformance potential. As well as DOTD‘s clear organic growth opportunities, we also highlight how cash continues to accumulate (now £27.6m) and could be deployed in a number of vectors.
Companies: dotDigital Group plc
Ergomed’s H220 trading update highlights a successful end to 2020 despite the COVID-19 pandemic causing restrictions for much of the year. Total revenues were £86.4m (up 26.5%). Like-for-like revenues in the PrimeVigilance segment grew 30% (or 56% including the acquisition in January 2020). Unsurprisingly, the CRO segment was flat. However, in H220 revenues were up 11.2% over H120 and up 15.2% y-o-y. Ergomed’s key markets are the US and Europe, where vaccine deployment should be relatively efficient, so we expect the CRO segment to rebound throughout 2021. The recent MedSource acquisition will also significantly add to the 2021 top line. Because of the well-balanced pharma services offering (pharmacovigilance and CRO), Ergomed has proved to be a resilient business with further growth prospects intact, in our view. Net positive revisions to our estimates and an expansion of peer multiples have led to an upgrade of our valuation to £501m or 1,113p/share (from 845p/share previously).
Companies: Ergomed PLC
Ahead of the FY Trading Update at the end of January, we revisit RBG’s investment case, and respond to investor concerns over Convex’s M&A pipeline and the short term cash requirements of Litigation Financing. Outperformance of the UK legal industry vs UK GDP over 2020 validates RBL’s continued performance. M&A market data shows an encouraging recovery in deal completions which looks set to continue into 2021, and we anticipate Convex to be well placed to convert its pipeline of >20 deals (c.£18m) into revenues, underpinning forecasts. LionFish is now well seeded, and the Group’s early cash realisations of cases ensure cashflows for the business are broadly neutral. Whilst case outcomes are binary, the de-risked option value here is a compelling addition to the investment case. We see intrinsic value as c.100p; highlighting the breakout potential in these shares.
Companies: RBG Holdings Plc
Although 2020 will probably go down in history as one of the most challenging years experienced during our lifetime, it will also likely be chronicled as one of the best years for the recognition and appreciation of science. As we entered 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic was in its infancy. However, it rapidly evolved through the exponential rise in infections and mortality globally. Much has been achieved during the past 12 months in the fight against COVID-19, but, as we enter 2021, there are considerable concerns about the emergence of a mutant version of the virus and the second wave that we are now facing.
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN PHP RECI STX SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
Results for H1 to end Nov ‘20 show Time’s recovery is well underway from an industry-wide, Covid-induced slump in good quality lending demand and spike in bad debt provisions. This coincides with a Group rebrand, which consolidates 5 years of buy-&-build success and offers a range of new competitive advantages. The share price of 25p is 30% off pre-pandemic levels with valuation multiples suggesting Time looks significantly undervalued in relation to peers.
Companies: Time Finance plc
Success has been made in reranking three of the ten targeted websites with Google. The rationalisation of the broader estate is ongoing and 2021 should see the business lean, reranked, cash rich and solidly profitable.
Companies: XLMedia Plc
Today's news & views, plus announcements from BRBY, BHB, DPLM, IWG,GFTU, CMCX, JDW, GFRD, BGO
Companies: Bango plc (BGO:LON)Galliford Try Holdings PLC (GFRD:LON)
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) – STRONG BUY – Update on Restored Contract Areas
Chaarat Gold* (CGH LN) – Kapan production beats guidance and delivers $19m EBITDA
Sunstone Metals (STM AU) – Drilling results from the Espiritu gold-silver prospect in Ecuador
Tertiary Minerals* (TYM LN) – Sale of data on Finnish project
Versarien* (VRS LN) – Interim results
W Resources (WRES LN) – La Parilla Q4 production
Companies: AAZ CGH WRES TYM VRS STM
What’s new: SimplyBiz’s trading update gives clear guidance for their full year results due on 16 March:
- £61m revenue (3% below 2019 revenue: £63m);
- 28.3% adjusted EBITDA margin (same as 2019: 28.3%), which implies £17.4m adjusted EBITDA (i.e. 2% lower than 2019 adj EBITDA of £17.8m);
- Robust cash flow conversion (calculated as adjusted EBITDA, less working capital movements, lease payments, CAPEX, development expenditure, corporation tax paid and interest, as a percentage of Adjusted EBITDA) is expected to exceed 65% (2019: 46%);
- Net debt reduced to £19.5m (31 December 2019: £27.0m) and net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.1x (2019: 1.5x).
Companies: SimplyBiz Group plc
Anexo has announced a trading update for the year ended 31 December with adjusted PBT in line with current market expectations despite further disruption and restrictions in the UK in the latter part of the year. We believe the resilience shown by the business, investment in legal capacity and growth opportunities positions it well for 2021 and beyond. Reiterate buy rating
Companies: Anexo Group Plc
Anexo’s trading update for the year to the end of December 2020 rounds up a resilient performance from the Group in an operating environment that was influenced by COVID-19 and the associated lockdowns and restrictions. The Board expects to report adjusted PBT in line with current market expectations which we believe is around £16.0m, with our estimate at £16.1m. We make no changes to our numbers. We note the lower than expected spend on the VW emissions case in H2 and assume that other costs have increased faster than we expected in line with growth in the business. The VW case remains a potential significant positive impact on revenue and profits, although we only reflect the costs in our estimates at present. While Anexo has previously flagged cash absorption in H2, we note that cash collections rose ‘significantly’ in Q4 with a record high in December – usually a quieter month in that respect. Overall, we believe that Anexo remains well set for further growth in FY 2021.
Despite the difficulties and delays which most companies – and VDTK is no exception – are experiencing during the current Covid epoch, there are some noteworthy positives in VDTK's update this morning. In particular, it is good to know that Q4 production at the Lainate plant was ramped up effectively, in line with the company's well-established objectives, as reflected in successfully running two shifts on one line in early December – a real-time demonstration of the plant's capacity. Also, while for obvious reasons, the ambition which was previously voiced to be cashflow positive by the end of the year was not met, we may assume that funding which was put in place in October has underpinned increased financial efficiency for the business and specifically we note that the company is now debt-free. The update also looks back on a very active year, one which saw the company (1) install a new and experienced management team, (2) win contracts, and (3) successfully generate production at the Lainate plant in Northern Italy, all supported by a more robust financial structure.
Companies: Verditek Plc
Further media reports that Dr Martens, the British Boot brand is planning an IPO on the LSE. It is currently owned by PE group, Permira who is expected to sell down its stake at the IPO. March 2020 YE the group had revenues of £672m and EBITDA of £184m. Deal size TBC. Upon Admission to AIM, Nightcap will acquire The London Cocktail Club Limited (the "London Cocktail Club"), which is an award winning independent operator of ten individually themed cocktail bars in nine London locations and one location in Bristol. Offer TBC Due mid Jan. HSS Hire Group, HSS.L transfer from Main to Aim. Mkt Cap c. £70m. Recently raised £52.6m. Leading supplier of tool and equipment for hire in the United Kingdom and Ireland and has provided equipment hire services in the United Kingdom for more than 60 years, primarily focusing on the B2B market. Due 14 Jan. VH Global Sustainable Energy Opportunities plc, a closed-ended investment Company focused on making sustainable energy infrastructure investments, today announces intends to launch an initial public offering of shares on the Official List (Premium) of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Due by Early Feb.
Companies: SAG DXRX CALL BBSN ASTO DNL FIPP IIG GROW TCN
Foresight Group , the award-winning infrastructure and private equity investment manager to IPO on the Main Market (premium). The Offer will primarily comprise a sale of shares by existing shareholders (c.80% of the Offer) with a smaller offering of new shares (c.20% of the Offer) to be issued by the Company. Details TBA. Cornish Metals (TSX-V: CUSN) intends to list on AIM. The Company is proposing to raise £5 million by way of private placement of new Common Shares (the "Fundraising") to advance the United Downs copper-tin project. The Company expects that Admission will become effective in February 2021. The Company's Common Shares will continue to be listed and trade on the TSX-V in Canada. VH Global Sustainable Energy Opportunities plc, a closed-ended investment Company focused on making sustainable energy infrastructure investments, today announces intends to launch an initial public offering of shares on the Official List (Premium) of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Due by Early Feb.
Companies: TYM W7L BEG CRPR EUZ IRR CMCL FARN KETL AUG
Beldray’s strong performance and better than expected online and supermarket sales were the salient features of UPGS’s latest unscheduled trading statement. With continuing momentum in the order book and increasing resilience due to balanced distribution across its trading channels, we upgrade our full year FY2021 forecasts and argue that, at the current price of 98p, the shares would have to rise a full 50% to reach our 150p fair value.
Companies: Up Global Sourcing Holdings PLC