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  • 09 Jul 2025

Long-term potential amid short-term headwinds


System1 Group PLC (SYS1:LON) | 240 -57.6 (-10.0%) | Mkt Cap: 30.5m


  • Singer Capital Markets
    • James Musker

    • 7 pages


 

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Long-term potential amid short-term headwinds


System1 Group PLC (SYS1:LON) | 240 -57.6 (-10.0%) | Mkt Cap: 30.5m


  • Published: 09 Jul 2025
  • Author: James Musker
  • Pages: 7
  • Singer Capital Markets


FY25 results are consistent with a previous update and confirm a strong performance, as revenue and PBT grew +25% and +68% y/y. System1 has however seen trading soften in FY26 YTD (due to US tariff and USD’s depreciation against GBP) leading to sales -7% y/y in Q1 and for this reason we have trimmed our sales/EBITDA/EPS forecasts for both FY26&27. Despite this caution, we also point out encouraging progress, for example SYS1 added 80 new clients in Q1, including a top 2 ice cream company and a top 3 video gaming brand, while adjacent to this, leads grew 7x y/y, helped by a successful Cannes Advertising Festival. Stepping back, while we recognise today’s news (and its impact to forecasts) we don’t think it derails SYS1’s long-term growth potential in the US or of SYS1’s nascent Innovation Testing product (which both grew in Q1). Reflecting our downgrades, we decrease our TP to 600p (20x FY26 P/E, 14x FY27).

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Friday Take Away: 11 July 2025

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