Wentworth Resources— oil and gas exploration and production company, with assets in the onshore Rovuma Basin of East Africa. Introduction only. Mkt Cap c £50m . Due today
Renalytix AI—developer of artificial intelligence ("AI") decision support and clinical management tools for improving early diagnosis, continual monitoring and drug development for kidney disease. incorporated in March 2018 as a subsidiary of EKF Diagnostics Holdings (AIM-EKF). Total fundraising £22.25m.. Mkt cap - c. £67.5- £71.0m. Due 6 Nov.
Finncap—proposed acquisition of M&A adviser Cavendish Corporate Finance and AIM admission. Offer TBA
Kropz PLC—an emerging plant nutrient producer with an advanced stage phosphate mining project in South Africa, a phosphate project in the Republic of Congo and exploration assets in Ghana. Looking to join AIM, offer TBC, market cap TBC.
Due Late October.
Azalea Energy—oil and gas production and development company based in Louisiana, United States. Net production of 13 MMcfe/D (2,200 boepd) and total 1P proved reserves of 91 Bcfe (15.1 mmboe), 2P reserves of 111 Bcfe (18.5 mmboe) raising up to
$38m, expected mkt cap over $100m. Due 29 Oct
Path Investments— First acquisition of a 50 per cent. participating interest in the producing Alfeld-Elze II gas field located 22 kilometres south of Hannover in Germany. Seeking £10m raise. Due late Oct
Crossword Cybersecurity PLC* (NEX:CCS)—the technology commercialisation company focusing exclusively on the cyber security sector is exploring its options in relation to a potential move to the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange which, if it were to proceed, would likely take place over the next few months.
Companies: STKR MPM PTCM ASLR AUG AFHP PANR C21 RBD SYS1
Consumer Sector Key takeaways from the Consumer reporting season | Harwood Wealth (HW LN) Acquisition of Berkshire-based IFA with £34m AuI | Porta Communications (PTCM LN) Results show progress from reorganisation | Sanderson Group (SND LN) H1 slightly ahead, no change to full year expectations | Sinclair Pharma (SPH LN) FY’17 results in line, US sales team established for Silhouette rollout
Companies: HW/ PTCM SND SPH
Brooks Macdonald Group (BRK LN) FuM -0.7% in Q3: strong net inflows sustained, unhelpful markets | dotdigital Group (DOTD LN) New feature launches highlight growth potential | Porta Communications (PTCM LN) Appointment of New Joint Chief Executive Officers
Companies: BRK DOTD PTCM
Avast, global cybersecurity provider with 435m users worldwide. In 2017, the Group's Adjusted Billings was $811 million, Adjusted Revenue was $780 million, Adjusted Cash EBITDA was $451 million. Seeking to raise $200m. Due in May | Fundamentum Supported Housing REIT. Raising £150m. Focussed on UK Social Housing assets. Due 2 May | Vivo Energy—retailer and marketer of Shell-branded fuels and lubricants in Africa, Due in May. 100% secondary sell-down of existing Shares by Selling Shareholders, No new Money. Pricing TBA | Gore Street Energy Storage Fund—Seeking to raise £100m for the purposes of investment in a diversified portfolio of utility scale energy storage projects. Due 03 May | Odyssean Investment Trust—Raising £100m at £1. Due 1 May. The Company will primarily invest in smaller company equities quoted on markets operated by the London Stock Exchange | Finablr - press reports in ‘Arabian Business’ that Money transfer firms UAE Exchange, Travelex and others under UAE billionaire Bavaguthu Raghuram Shetty’s newly formed holding company Finablr are preparing for a London IPO
Companies: AMPH BMN BOKU PTCM NEXS BPC SRES WTG SDI
The year end trading update for 2017 indicates Gross Profit of c£33m (+11%) vs £29.7m in 2016 (H1'17 £16.5m) and adjusted EBITDA of c£2.5m (+9%) vs £2.3m in 2016 (H1'17 £1.16m). This implies good progress during the year. Business reorganisation benefits seem to be flowing through with profitability increasing. As the reorganisation is completed the scope for the focus on growth to improve will rise as well.
Companies: Porta Communications
Bioquell (BQE LN) Positive trading continues | Earthport (EPO LN) Partnership with Kotak Mahindra Bank | Ground Rents Income Fund (GRIO LN) Further clarification on doubling assets | Oxford Metrics (OMG LN) Further product innovation at Vicon | Porta Communications (PTCM LN) Strategic investment and debt reorganisation | Spirent Communications (SPT LN) Still waiting on return to top line growth | StatPro Group (SOG LN) Scale and sales hires should drive organic growth | UDG Healthcare (UDG LN) Solid Q3 update overall, but Sharp weakness an irritation
Companies: BQE SPT OMG UDG PTCM GRIO EPO SOG
Phoenix Global Mining— US Brown field copper play. Expected late June. Offer TBA
Touchstone Exploration— Oil exploration and production company active in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. Interests of approximately 90,000 gross acres. Production c. 1,300 boepd. Raising £1.45m. Expected mkt cap £7.5m. Due 26 June.
I3 Energy –Schedule 1. Independent oil and gas company with assets and operations in the UK. Offer TBC, 7 June admission.
Verditek— Schedule 1 update. On Admission, the Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Issue price 10p. Admission in late June
Tiso Blackstar Group—Schedule 1 update. Media, entertainment and marketing solutions group/ £160m mkt cap. Admission only. Expected late June.
Vordere—RTO targeting German Property. Raising £9m at 17p. Readmission c. 15 June. Residential Secure Income - social housing REIT raising up to £300m Admission due c.12 July.
ScotGems—Admission due 26 June. Seeking £50-£100m. To investing in a diversified portfolio of Small Cap Companies listed on global stock markets
DP Eurasia—Intention to float from the exclusive master franchisee of the Domino's Pizza brand in Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan and Georgia . £20m primary raise plus a partial vendor sale.
Film Finances—Sky News reports that ‘movie financing company with credits including the Hollywood hits La La Land and Nocturnal Animals is plotting a blockbuster premiere on the London stock market that will value it at several hundred million pounds.’ Expected ‘during the summer’.
AIB—Intention to float from AIB, Ireland's leading retail and commercial bank . The Minister for Finance intends to sell approximately 25% of the Ordinary Shares of AIB. Valuation range €10.6-€13.3bn. Admission end June.
Curzon Energy—Report on Proactive Investors of intended LSE float this year with acquisition of coal bed methane assets in Oregon. Looking to raise £3m plus.
NLB Group—financial and banking institution based in Slovenia, with a network of 356 branches. Seeking Ljubliana Stock Exchange listing with GDRs on the LSE. Expected mid June.
Flying Brands (FBDU.L)—Prospectus approved by FCA. RTO of Stone Checker Software, supplier of technology solutions in the field of kidney stone analysis and prevention. Has raised £550k at 3p. Subject to GM on 15 Jun.
Kuwait Energy— $150m raise plus vendor offer. Admission due June. 2p reserves 810.0 mmboe
Companies: IRR MNC K3C FUM EHG ENTU PTCM WAND RHL IGAS
Touchstone Exploration— Oil exploration and production company active in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. Interests of approximately 90,000 gross acres. Production c. 1,300 boepd. Raising £1.45m. Expected mkt cap £7.5m. Due 26 June. | I3 Energy –Schedule 1. Independent oil and gas company with assets and operations in the UK. Offer TBC, 7 June
admission. | Verditek— Schedule 1 update. On Admission, the Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Issue price 10p. Admission in Early June | Tiso Blackstar Group—Schedule 1 update. Media, entertainment and marketing solutions group/ £160m mkt cap. Admission only. Expected late June. | ScotGems—Admission due 26 June. Seeking £50-£100m. To investing in a diversified portfolio of Small Cap Companies
listed on global stock markets | DP Eurasia—Intention to float from the exclusive master franchisee of the Domino's Pizza brand in Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. £20m primary raise plus a partial vendor sale. | Film Finances—Sky News reports that ‘movie financing company with credits including the Hollywood hits La La Land and Nocturnal Animals is plotting a blockbuster premiere on the London stock market that will value it at several hundred million pounds.’ Expected ‘during the summer’. | AIB—Intention to float from AIB, Ireland's leading retail and commercial bank . The Minister for Finance intends to sell approximately 25% of the Ordinary Shares of AIB. Prospectus and announcement of the price range due in mid-June 2017. | Curzon Energy—Report on Proactive Investors of intended LSE float this year with acquisition of coal bed methane assets in Oregon. Looking to raise £3m plus. | NLB Group—financial and banking institution based in Slovenia, with a network of 356 branches. Seeking Ljubliana Stock Exchange listing with GDRs on the LSE. Expected mid June. | Flying Brands (FBDU.L)—Prospectus approved by FCA. RTO of Stone Checker Software, supplier of technology solutions in the field of kidney stone analysis and prevention. Has raised £550k at 3p. Subject to GM on 15 Jun. | AEW UK Long Lease REIT—Intention to Float. Up to £150m raise. Admission early June. UK specialist and alternative property | Kuwait Energy— $150m raise plus vendor offer. Admission due June. 2p reserves 810.0 mmboe
Companies: GBP CLON BOTB MPAC SPE PTCM CRU TRB SSY CAB
PTCM shares fell c.4% early on Thursday, slightly reversing the recent 50% rally.
Cxense ASA (CXENSE NO) Q1 churn no cause for concern | Hill & Smith Holdings (HILS LN) Trading in line | Lookers (LOOK LN) Strong trading performance in Q1, especially in Used | Porta Communications (PTCM LN) 2016 final results | Rathbone Brothers (RAT LN) FuM +5% in Q1, 3.3% organic net inflows in Investment Management
Companies: HILS PTCM LOOK CXENSE RAT
Despite the BREXIT impact Porta delivered 4% LFL CER Gross Profit (essentially fee income) growth in 2016. Adjusted EBITDA edged down to £2.34m due to the BREXIT impact on PPS and investment made to strengthen the Newgate UK operation. More importantly, progress has commenced on positioning the Company for its new phase of growth and driving efficiency under the new executive team. The start to 2017 is encouraging with the Company indicating that the trading performance is substantially ahead of the prior year and budget. The combination of organic growth, some stake increases and FX tailwind implies attributable gross profit growth of c11%. We expect that cost adjustments will be made in due course to both improve overall efficiency and also optimise investment allocation to areas of growth. Hiring key staff in the strategic communications area is critical to making progress. An organisational review is also underway aimed at strengthening the finance and support functions. The Company has announced a variety of actions to improve its financing with an equity injection of up to £3m being sought from strategic investors whom the Company is having discussions with. To aid this the board is seeking shareholder approval for the authority to issue, on a pre-emptive basis, shares equivalent to c40% of the current issue capital. Discussions with senior debt providers are advanced and the current high margin will be reduced substantially if an adequate equity investment is secured. The company is engaged with several strategic investors who could provide equity investment. If Porta can grow its attributable revenues to c£24m (2016: £21.7m) and edge net debt down to c£7.5m this year then the equity would be worth between £16.5m and £28.5m assuming an EV/GP multiple range of 1.0x to 1.5x (reflecting a potential 10% to 15% margin).
Rainbow Rare Earths has published a prospectus. It has raised $8m to fast-track fully permitted high grade Gakara ‘rare earths’ project to production in Burundi. Intends to join the Standard List of the LSE.
Impact healthcare REIT— Intends to float on the main market. Seeks to raise £160m to acquire a portfolio of up to 58 care homes. Expected Admission 7 March.
Diversified Gas & Oil—According to LSE website first day of trading on AIM now expected for 30 January.
Companies: FRM ODX IQG MAB1 CEPS ESC CRU PTCM CNR RTC
Cambridge Cognition Holdings* (COG.L) | Edenville Energy (EDL.L) | Avingtrans (AVG.L) | Gaming Realms (GMR.L) | Redstone Connect (REDS.L) | Concurrent Technologies (CNC.L) | Porta Communications (PTCM.L) | Galantas Gold (GAL.L) | Range Resources (RRL.L) | Plutus Power Gen (PPG.L)
Companies: COG AVG GMR CNC PTCM GAL RRL PPG EDL SMRT
Audioboom (BOOM.L) | Cloudcall (CALL.L) | Porta Communications (PTCM.L) | S y m p h o n y E n v i r o n m e n t a l Technologies (SYM.L) | Blue Prism Group (PRSM.L) | B e n c h m a r k Holdings (BMK.L) | Bexi mco P harm a (BXP.L) | S t e r l i n g E n e r g y ( S E Y . L ) | AFC Energy (20.75.L) | PHSC (PHSC.L)
Companies: CALL PTCM SYM PRSM BMK BXP SEY AFC BOOM
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Tremor has announced in today’s trading update that its platform has continued to gather further momentum since H1 20 results on 22 September, and it now expects FY20 revenue and EBITDA to be in the range of $340-360m for revenue and $30-36m for EBITDA. This leads us to upgrade our FY20 revenue forecasts by +6% to $350m from $330m, and upgrade our FY20 EBITDA by +32% to $33m from $25m at an incremental margin of 40%. This reflects that Tremor’s platform benefits from strong operational gearing that translates to EFCF, and we increase our FY20 net cash to $79m from $71m. This strengthening momentum for Tremor’s differentiated platform reflects that it is capitalising upon a rebound and shift in advertising spend through the success of the initiatives it launched in 2019 and the successful integration of Unruly, and we explain these factors in more depth from p9 of our 22 September report. Today’s announcement also marks the second upgrade to our Tremor forecasts since COVID-19 impacted the advertising market and Tremor in Q2, and this reflects that Tremor has adopted a prudent approach to its guidance. Applying a similar approach to our estimates, we conservatively do not change our FY21 forecasts, and this means that we continue to forecast FY21 organic revenue growth to $420m or +20% YoY, with organic EBITDA growth to $55m or +67% YoY. This conservative, strong FY21 organic growth means that Tremor looks substantially undervalued on 7x FY20 EV/EBITDA or 5x NTM, and a NTM EFCF yield of 6%; vs peers on 13-19x EV/EBITDA with NTM EBITDA growth of 18-47%, and EFCF yields of 1-2%.
Companies: Tremor International Ltd.
Tremor has reported a strong set of FY19 results and announced a prudent $10m buyback. The results are in line with January’s trading update, and demonstrate strong growth in Digital Video and Connected TV (CTV) advertising. Tremor has also seen a solid start to FY20, but COVID-19 could markedly affect a number of its clients. The management and board highlight that it is too early to fully assess the impact of COVID-19 on Tremor’s FY20 outlook, and we consequently leave our FY20 estimates broadly unchanged at this point. In this report we also explain Tremor’s investment case in depth, and highlight that Tremor is excellently positioned to capitalise on the major growth in Video and CTV advertising, and can see further upside from M&A and the resolution of the Uber case.
Mirada plc* (MIRA.L, 65p/£5.8m)
Companies: Mirada PLC
We report on the performance of our momentum style screen since the last refresh three months ago and present the 25 new constituents. The screen underperformed small-cap and microcap indices modestly, though our previous focus stocks did significantly better. While momentum (as we express it) has outperformed smallcap significantly since inception of the screen in July 2016, this has arisen in shorter periods and appears to only coincide with a steadily rising small-cap index. We therefore consider this style screen to have limited predictive capability. We highlight seven stocks, which we think are interesting.
Companies: BMY CKT KEYS LGT MACF VER WYG
We are introducing our Best Ideas for 2019 and also review the performance of last year’s picks. We suggest ten solidly financed stocks with good business dynamics that ought to be considered for core portfolio holdings and six UK domestically focused stocks that our analysts believe should perform strongly in the event that uncertainties unwind. We also introduce a new style of research from N+1 Singer which presents a Company’s dynamics and metrics in a clear and concise manner and concentrates on the pivotal issues affecting that Company and an investment decision.
Companies: BCA CLIN CLG CBP DNLM EAH STU FCRM FUTR GTLY INS GLE NICL SDL SPR TRI
FY2018 results reflect a satisfactory performance, given continued softness in the book trade. Revenues fell by 2% to $149.3m but adjusted operating profit increased 43% to $10.3m. Children’s publishing increased by 2%, representing over one-third of group revenues. The group has extended its banking facilities to August 2020. Net debt fell by 6% to $60.4m. In 2018 the group implemented a cost-out programme to right-size the group. We shall look to reintroduce estimates in due course. We have the shares under review ahead of this.
Companies: Quarto Group, Inc.
The two leading adtech businesses on the AIM market – Taptica and RhythmOne – have come together, combining their programmatic advertising platforms to create a major player in the global video advertising market. Following completion of the deal, we now release preliminary forecasts for the combined entity. Taptica’s management has only just received access to a very complex and disparate organisation in RhythmOne, and there will doubtless be an evolution of expectations as understanding and integration proceeds. RhythmOne trading for the YE March 2019 was below expectation, but under Taptica’s management the combination nevertheless represents an excellent opportunity going forward.
Vela Technologies is an investing company focused on early stage and preIPO long-term disruptive technology investments. There are currently 12 investments in the portfolio which either have developed ways of utilising technology or developing technology with a view to disrupting the businesses or sector in which they operate.
Companies: Vela Technologies plc
De La Rue remains challenged. New management has to navigate a difficult Currency market and consequent concern over its finances. The swift response in terms of a turnaround programme is a positive start, accelerating cost cutting initiatives and cash management measures, including suspension of the dividend. Restoring stability and rebuilding confidence in the investment case is likely to take some time.
Companies: DLAR DELRF DL1C
Disney+ hits 22m mobile users, SoftBank backed firm downsizes IPO, German mobile carrier selects Huawei
Companies: ENET 7DIG MVR ZOO ZOO AMO BOOM MIRA MWE
Tremor has announced that it is acquiring Unruly from News Corp through the issuance of 8.5m new Tremor ordinary shares to News Corp (6.9% of Tremor’s prior shares or £14.5m), and Tremor has entered into a global partnership with News Corp for 3 years of exclusive access to outstream digital video adverts for over 50 News Corp publications, with Tremor committing to £30m of ad spend over 3 years. This indicates News Corp has considerable confidence in Tremor, and as News Corp now has a substantial interest in the Tremor investment case, it is anticipated that Rebekah Brooks (CEO of News UK) will join Tremor’s board. Tremor has also issued a short trading update, with FY19 EBITDA in line with market expectations (H2 c$39m), net cash in line except for a $5m advance, and FY19 revenue lower than expected due to Tremor focusing on its profitable, core activities and removing intercompany revenue. We consequently adjust our forecasts with a breakdown on p6. Tremor subsequently trades at a substantial discount to its peers on 12m fwd multiples of 2.4x EV/EBITDA and 5x adj P/E, and we look forward to Tremor issuing a more detailed trading update in late January.
The Coronavirus pandemic is a human tragedy of vast proportions – as well as the terrible human toll, COVID-19 has led to economies across the globe going into physical lockdown and financial freefall. Entire populations are adapting to the “stay at home” edict, to safeguard the vulnerable – and some of these changes will lead to long-lasting or perhaps permanent changes in the way we live or work. This note describes some of our client companies whose business models are well adapted to these changes, or who might see a change in long-term structural demand.
Companies: AMO BGO FDM GAMA KAPE LOOP TERN ZOO
We have knitted together the impact on the investment companies from what is now widely considered to be the most severe pandemic in a century. The collapse in asset prices over the latter part of March, brought the curtain down on an up-market that lasted more than ten years. In amongst this, there were pockets, such as the technology sector, that held up well. For many industries, the worst is still to come, as we brace ourselves for the sharpest contraction to global growth since the US great depression.
Companies: ASL SDV ASIT BGEU BRLA CCPE DPA IEM JMF JZCP JUKG EPIC PSHD CSH RIII CCPG BLP TMPL BPCR SEQI AIF SMT KKVX FAIR ICON RSE CRS GWI USF DIGS
Centaur has provided an update offering further insight into trading post-lockdown. Encouraging performance has been noted across digitally focused segments, with MiniMBA (e-learning) seeing strong demand and contract wins in Econsultancy and XEIM labs supporting clients with digital transformation projects. The Lawyer subscription renewal rate, supported by premium content, also remains healthy. As previously flagged however, Telesales has seen a sharp drop in sales as a function of disruption to customer businesses; c50% of MarketMaker staff have been furloughed to minimise impact to profits. H2 events are also at risk, although the Group is considering online formats early in order to reduce irrecoverable costs and maximise delegate and sponsorship revenues. Focus on near-term cash preservation has led to the prudent decision not to pay the final FY’19 dividend, saving £0.7m of cash. The Group held cash of £6.7m at April 3rd, with potential access to undrawn banking facilities of £25m subject to positive discussions currently being held to amend covenants should short-term liquidity be required. The range of outcomes remains wide, and we have no forecasts published at this time, however at 0.6x EV/ FY’19 sales the Group looks to be priced as a distressed asset. Given balance sheet strength, a building recurring revenue model and improving high-margin revenue mix, this valuation looks incongruous with fundamentals in all but the most extreme downside scenarios.
Companies: Centaur Media plc
Tremor’s AGM statement shows that Tremor was delivering on its strategy and on course to achieve FY20 revenue of $425m in Q1. However, the impacts of COVID-19 on the advertising industry led to a challenging Q2 20, with Tremor’s revenue falling with the market to be c40% below Tremor’s FY20 plan. In response, management have moved quickly to reduce FY20 opex by over $23m vs budget, and positioned Tremor’s platform to respond to a rebound in demand. There are encouraging signs for H2 20, but visibility continues to be low and Tremor is not giving guidance for FY20. We consequently introduce revenue and EBITDA ranges for FY20 and FY21, and place our estimates at the mid-point for FY20. To then highlight that Tremor’s platform can rapidly rebound, we move our previous FY20 forecasts to FY21. This reflects that we believe that Tremor’s investment case remains compelling, and even on our lower case FY21 EBITDA of $35m, Tremor is trading on 5x EV/EBITDA vs ad tech and AIM peers on >10x.