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07 Dec 2023
Bloomsbury Publishing : The flywheel keeps spinning - Buy

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Bloomsbury Publishing : The flywheel keeps spinning - Buy
Bloomsbury Publishing Plc (BMY:LON) | 474 2.4 0.1% | Mkt Cap: 387.2m
- Published:
07 Dec 2023 -
Author:
Alastair Reid | Darren Milne -
Pages:
6 -
Trading update ahead, again: Bloomsbury has today reported another impressive trading update – revenue is now expected to be comfortably ahead of market expectations, with profits materially ahead. This reflects exceptionally strong trading in the Consumer division, particularly demand for Sarah J Maas; the Non-Consumer division continues to trade in-line with expectations.
A diversifying portfolio: More broadly, Bloomsbury’s strategy to accelerate its virtuous flywheel continues to deliver – alongside Sarah J Maas, a number of other key authors have contributed to robust demand, notably titles by Tom Kerridge, Martha Mumford & Katherine Rundell (amongst others).
Fundamentally under-valued: In terms of forecasts, we increase revenues by 6% in FY24E and profits by 13%, but estimates in FY25E are more modestly changed, with revenues flat versus our previous estimate and profits up 4%. Bloomsbury currently trades at <7x CY24E EBITDA - we continue to believe this significantly undervalues the resilient revenue and profit growth the business model can deliver, augmented by accretive M&A over time.