First Property Group Interims

Strategic progress during the first six months was achieved despite challenging markets. The period saw disposals, at prices above carried values, release cash for investment; other assets are under offer. FPO increased its weighting to Poland for both its 3rd party managed AUM (34.2%) and directly owned portfolio (92.5%); has stabilised finances; and reduced sensitivity to interest rate rises. The investment rationale is supported by the outlook for Poland’s economy and local letting markets, w

First Property Group Initiation

We initiate at an inflection point for First Property Group (FPO). A range of external factors undermined the group’s key investment markets over the last few years, and we assume that the operating environment will remain challenging. Experience, however, shows that such cyclical low points provide rare opportunities to acquire commercial property on advantageous terms. This fits a strategy which seeks to rebuild the revenue base in both Poland and the UK and enhance returns by capitalising on

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 13/05/22

Dish of the day Joiners: GS Chain (GSC) has joined the Main Market (Standard). GS Chain intends to identify opportunities within the technology sector, to conduct the necessary due diligence and subsequently complete an Acquisition. The Company is direct listing 399,985,888 Ordinary Shares on the Official List. Market capitalisation at 1p is £3,999,858.88. Leavers: No Leavers Today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? According to CITY A.M online marketplace Beauty Bay has recruited bankers to lo

Small Cap Feast 26/01/2022

Joiners: No Joiners Today. Leavers: No Leavers Today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? Strip Tinning Holdings, an established supplier of specialist connectors to the automotive sector, intends to join AIM. Strip Tinning manufactures specialist flexible electrical connectors related primarily to heating and antennae systems embedded within automotive glazing and to the connection of the cells within electric vehicle (EV) battery packs, increasingly using flexible and lightweight printed circui

First Property (Buy, current price 33p) - Rental and Capital Value Recovery Potential

First Property announced interim results that underline the opportunity to grow rental income and capital values over the next 12 months. With cash to invest on behalf of both the Group and its fund management clients, there is scope for earnings growth. With capital values generally rising after the lockdown induced lows, we expect NAV expansion

Small Cap Feast 17/11/2021

Banquet Buffet Alumasc Group 242.5p £87.6m (ALU.L) The Alumasc Group plc, the manufacturer and supplier of sustainable building products, systems and solutions, has received London Stock Exchange's Green Economy Mark.  The Alumasc Group plc provides high-quality, low carbon, sustainable building products, systems and solutions which help manage the scarce resources of energy and water in the built environment and improve quality of life for the owner/occupier. Paul Hooper, CEO of The Alumasc G

First Property* - Final Results: A challenging period

Final Results: A challenging period

First Property* - H1 Results: Ready to reinvest

H1 Results: Ready to reinvest

First Property*

FY20 results – increased firepower to acquire

First Property*

CH8 Sale Completion Drives Market Opportunity

H1 20 interims – on track to meet FY20 earnings; small NAV increase

H1 20 interims reported group revenues of £8.1m (+9.8% y/y LFL) and adj. PBT (excl. FX, and non-recurring items) of £3.1m (vs. our FY20e estimate of £6.2m), positioning the group in good stead to meet our unchanged FY expectations. Adj. NAV rose ~4% to 59.7p from 57.5p at March 2019. The group has declared an interim dividend of 0.45p (ex-div 28 Nov, and in line with our forecasts). Operationally, AUM has decreased ~1% since Mar 19. Elsewhere, occupancy at CH8 in Warsaw now stands at 80% and neg

AGM statement - trading in line with expectations. Reiterate Buy

First Prop’s AGM statement has reported trading to be in line with management expectations, reiterating the strong AUM growth seen over the past year. We make no forecast changes at this stage and reiterate our Buy recommendation. Strong AUM growth over past year. Third party AUM as at the end of July stood at £617m (vs. £611m as at Mar 19). Total funds under management have been reported at £716m (vs. £706m as at Mar 19). Today’s statement reiterates the ~33% growth seen in 3rd party AUM over t

FY19 results; adj. PBT 4.5% ahead

First Prop’s FY19 earnings have come in marginally ahead of expectations at the PBT level (despite the 9% upgrade in May), reporting revenues of £20.4m (Arden: £20.5m) and adj. PBT of £7.8m (Arden: £7.5m, excl. non-recurring items and FX movements). Adj. NAV of 57.5p (+8.3% y/y) was below our 64.2p forecast due to FX headwinds, some revaluation reductions on investment properties and a decision to accelerate depreciation at its office block in Gydnia, Poland. The group has also declared a final

Small Cap Feast

SDX Energy plc—a North Africa focused oil and gas company, announces its intention to complete a Canadian plan of arrangement under section 192 of the Canada Business Corporations Act and will have shares de-listed from the TSX-V and admitted to trading on AIM. Expected 28 May 2019, anticipated market cap of £76m Renold plc—a leading international supplier of industrial chains and related power transmission products, announced that it will cancel the listing of the Company from the premium se

YE trading statement; FY19 earnings upgrades

First Property has released a YE trading update stating that PBT for FY19 “is likely to significantly exceed market expectations of £6.8m.” We upgrade our forecasts by 9-10% for FY19E though we leave our estimates for FY20 onwards unchanged for conservatism. At c.10x and yielding 3.6%, we see upside to the shares as the group continues to grow its earnings through a healthy combination of re-lettings, further property acquisitions and fund mandate wins.

Uncertain outlook comes as no surprise

We take a positive view of Legal & General’s FY 22 results. Despite the tough environment, the Group managed to outperform expectations – something which was hardly a given for such a large asset manager. With L&G being widely exposed to the UK economy, it might be a call one does not want to make but the firm’s business remains one of spreads – as long as a default does not occur. We remain positive but concede that L&G embeds more risk than we had assumed.

Cooled by the distribution policy

Strong FY 22 results reported by Aviva, and another layer of distribution, but doubts around the soft guidance provided. We confirm our case that Aviva is an M&A opportunity to offer scale while having a much less complex structure.

Ambitious winds of change

M&G’s FY 22 results were strong. It was also the opportunity for new CEO Andrea Rossi to depict clearly his strategy for the upcoming months. While the impetus is clear and the objectives are ambitious, we rather believe in a structural improvement of the business (driven by the higher rates environment) than a commercial one.

Sentiment is changing

Interims show continued progress, as Made Tech has built on its FY22 break-out performance (sales: +120%) by growing sales a further 75% in 1H23. An exceptional feat, achieved through a strong b/f backlog (+133% y/y) and excellent sales execution in 1H23. This second point is pertinent, as it highlights how (notwithstanding macro headwinds) Made Tech has been able to land nine new customers in H1 (and more in Q3) such achieving >£60m bookings YTD. This achievement materially de-risks FY23&24 exp

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 06 Mar 23

6 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objective

Cenkos: Time Finance plc -- A New Quarter, a New Upgrade

Time Finance has released a positive Q3/23A update for the period ending 28 February 2023. It follows a strong first half and shows continued momentum in the business. We are upgrading our FY23E revenue forecasts from £25.7m to £26m and FY23E PBT from £3.2m to £3.6m. Time's valuation looks deeply discounted on an FY24E P/E ratio of 5.8x and P/TNAV of 0.6x. We expect a material re-rating as management continue to deliver profitable growth and we believe upside risks to forecasts remain dominant.

TVL highlighted as strategic component of the UK’s critical minerals sector

Alkemy and its 100%-owned subsidiary Tees Valley Lithium (TVL) report that TVL’s planned lithium hydroxide refining facility at the Teesside Freeport, UK has been featured extensively in a new paper entitled “Midstream Processing and Refining: Unlocking Security of Supply”. The paper was published by the Critical Minerals Association United Kingdom (CMA UK) which aims to support the development of critical mineral supply chains in the UK.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 07 Mar 23

7 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objective

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 09 Mar 23

9 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objective

LIBERUM: Harworth* - Resilient performance in a rapidly changing property market

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 14 Mar 23

14 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 01 Mar 23

01 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv

PCI Pal - 1H sees accelerating revenue growth as TACV builds

The interims confirm acceleration in the already rapid revenue growth (+29% yoy in 1Q and now +33% yoy across 1H23), keeping the LBITDA in line with last year despite increased investment in product development and sales and marketing to seize new market opportunities (notably in Canada and Australia). PCIP remains on track for FY forecasts, which remain unchanged. Investment in the channel sales strategy is paying off with continued strong new customer sales; a record number of new contracts we

Oakley Capital Investments Ltd (OCI): 2022: NAV returns driven by EBITDA growth

The January trading statement announced NAV (662p per share), total NAV return (24%), NAV growth driven by EBITDA growth (65%), modest multiple expansion (35%), investments (£271m), realisations (£244m), available finance, including cash (£210m), and commitments (£929m). The detailed results announcement highlighted i) 2022 exits, on average, 70% above carrying value, ii) 22% investee company average earnings growth, iii) weighted average EV/EBITDA of 15.9x, below listed market levels, iii) a PE

FLASH: Pre-close update indicates a beat to our forecasts