Since the late 17th century, when the National Debt – effectively today’s public sector net debt (PSND) – was virtually nil, it has fluctuated widely, with financing various wars being the key factor. PSND soared on the back of the Napoleonic Wars, before falling during much of the 19th century. But the onset of World War 1 (WWI) in 1914, and especially of World War 2 (WWII) in 1939, saw PSND reach record levels.
Companies: ARBB ARIX BBGI E7F0 DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN RECI STX SPO SCE TRX VTA
March 2021 annual results were ahead of our expectations; notably, rent was £17.3m vs. our estimated £16.4m. FY20 rent stood at £18.3m, excluding a lease surrender premium, and there have been net disposals (modest in quantum and at premiums to book values) since FY20, further highlighting the good rental outcome. The dividend payout was 10.5p (vs. 10.0p estimated). While we are not raising our FY22 rent or profit estimates, we raise our FY22E dividend from 11.0p to 12.0p. New leases have been s
Companies: Palace Capital plc
Palace Capital’s (PCA) FY21 results were robust, with a clear improvement in the second half. With a good level of rent collection continuing, Q421 DPS was increased by 20%, to a level that management hopes to at least maintain through FY22. Importantly, the flagship Hudson Quarter (HQ) development in York completed in April, on budget. We expect HQ to be a significant driver of forecast increasing returns and deleveraging.
Forecast beating Final Results
AVO’s goal is to deliver an affordable and novel PT system, called LIGHT, based on state-of-the-art technology developed originally at the world-renowned CERN. Over the past two years, important technical milestones have significantly derisked the project. Now, AVO is working on the verification and validation phase, prior to LIGHT being used on the first patients to support CE marking. In its recent technical update, the company highlighted progress made over the past three months towards a ful
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN RECI STX SPO SCE TRX VTA
For investors, the UK telecoms sector has presented immense challenges. Having boomed in the 1990s, mainly on the back of mobile telephony growth rates, telecom shares subsequently fell back sharply, as major debt concerns predominated. With Cable & Wireless (C & W) having exited, the UK sector now consists of little more than British Telecom (BT), privatised in 1984, and Vodafone, which was founded in the early 1980s.
Companies: ARBB BBGI CLIG FLTA OCI PCA PIN RECI SPO SCE VTA YEW
December 2020 quarter rents showed 92% received; as of the 14 April trading update, 82% of the rents due end-March under the monthly payment plans had been received – a good initial profile. Hudson Quarter (HQ) sales are progressing well into a robust market, and the leisure assets have seen several new lettings. It is also encouraging to see ongoing small, non-core disposals at above book. In addition, cash and facility headroom are more than adequate, at £14.4m, and the company’s strategy and
Ahead of results for the year ended 31 March 2021 (FY21), due in June, Palace Capital (PCA) issued a trading update on continuing robust rent collection, further disposals of non-core assets, and perhaps most important of all, the completion of the flagship Hudson Quarter (HQ) development in York, on budget, later this month. We expect HQ to be a significant driver of returns and deleveraging over the next two years.
Semper Fortis Esports* recently announced its intention to IPO onto the Access Segment of the Aquis Stock Exchange Growth Market. Semper is a multi-operational Esports organisation focusing on gaming technology solutions, brand enhancement and high growth team infrastructures. The company plans to raise £2.5m to develop their three core areas of establishing an esports team, forming partnerships with brands for sponsorship and B2B consultancy services. The Board are highly experienced in spor
Companies: KIBO ROCK VRCI K3C TOU ADT PCA ATYM IOM MJH
Q4 Trading Update
In the past few weeks, all the listed multi-national pharmaceutical companies have reported results for 2020, which has given us the opportunity to update our industry statistics and drug database. This report provides the first, snapshot publication of global and US rankings of the top 20 drug companies for 2020. Comparisons are made with historical data to show how different company strategies have evolved. In addition, summary analysis has been provided for the sales evolution of therapeutic
Companies: AVO ARIX BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN PXC RECI STX SCE TRX VTA YEW
SDLT Extension should support further sales at HQ
UK railway privatisation, which was launched in the mid-1990s, has finally turned full circle: the Department of Transport has recently confirmed that its controversial railway franchise system will be scrapped.
In this month's feature article, Nigel Hawkins, the Infrastructure analyst at Hardman & Co, examines the 25-year history of railway privatisation and chronicles its ups and its downs. The successes of railway privatisation, such as new rolling stock, are addressed, along with the ma
Companies: ARBB BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN PXC RECI SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
In the past two years, since Hardman & Co first started to target the IC sector, we have heard many managers of ICs and boards talk of the growth of the retail investor on their registers. Many have approached Hardman & Co for help in addressing this market, since we have a unique strength in this field relative to other providers.
Companies: AVO ARBB BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN PHP RECI STX TRX VTA YEW
Palace Capital reports a further positive rent collection update with 86% of Q1 2021 rents collected or expected. Excluding its two leisure assets, the main portfolio is performing well, which is testament to the group's hands on asset management and meaningful dialogue with tenants. The shares trade on a 44% discount to spot NTV, 12.5x FY21E normalised P/E and an attractive 5.3% dividend yield (1.5x covered).
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Palace Capital plc.
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Duke has today confirmed its second new royalty partner this month, through a £7.7m agreement with InTec Business Solutions (InTec). The deal, disclosed in April's placing, sees Duke re-establish exposure to the technology sector (following Welltel's earlier exit), maintains portfolio diversification and takes the current royalty portfolio to eleven partners. Should the other disclosed deal from the placing be executed as planned, we would expect to revise FY22E forecasts. The stock currently tr
Companies: Duke Royalty Limited
Duke has provided a positive Q1/21 update, confirming a record quarterly cash revenue, exceeding results seen prior to COVID-19. This evidences Duke's successful navigation of the pandemic and the strength of its portfolio, where NAV has remained above 30p p/s. Q2/22 should see cash revenues materially rise to c£3.2m given recent deployments, boding well for future DPS uplifts. Our forecasts remain unchanged, awaiting further deployments, but we see great upside potential via FV gains, as tradin
Avation is a lessor of 44 aircraft to a diversified airline client base of 19 commercial airlines across 15 countries. This morning, the group has provided a brief update as of 30 June 2021, which points to an impairment review having been completed in line with its standard accounting policies across its turboprop, narrow-body and wide-body fleet. The net impact is to reduce the book value of the fleet by c.$32m, which follows on from the H1 2021A impairment of $46.7m. Management believes that
Companies: Avation PLC
Companies: Oakley Capital Investments
Companies: Brewin Dolphin Holdings PLC
Companies: Speedy Hire Plc
Trident Royalties Plc (AIM: TRR) has, this morning, announced the appointment of Mr Peter Bacchus as Non-Executive Director with immediate effect with James Kelly stepping down to pursue other business interests. We would also like to highlight the favourable development at Thacker Pass Lithium Project, over which Trident holds a Gross Revenue Royalty (GRR), where a federal judge denied a motion from four environmental groups to stop digging at the planned lithium mine.
Companies: Trident Royalties Plc
Vp’s AGM update this morning confirms encouraging recent activity levels across the Group’s core markets, underpinning full year expectations. As we have written previously, we see scope for outperformance over the forecast period in the event of a continuing recovery in demand. In our view, Vp remains the stand out opportunity in its sector in terms of earnings recovery and re-rating potential.
Companies: Vp plc
Personal Group (PGH) has provided a trading update indicating a robust H1/21E result, in-line with our expectations. This comes despite restrictions on face to face sales of Insurance policies being in place for most of the period. Crucially, these sales have resumed from June, have shown promising early results and H2/21E is expected to see further traction towards pre-pandemic levels of sales. Given this, we view the outlook very positively, expecting a strong EPS recovery over the medium term
Companies: Personal Group Holdings Plc
AfriTin* (ATM LN) –Uis mine in Namibia aiming towards doubling monthly concentrate output
Alba Mineral Resources (ALBA LN) – Identification of new gold target close to Gwynfynydd
Altus Strategies* (ALS LN) – New silver/copper licenses secured in Morocco
Cornish Lithium (PRIVATE) – DLE technology provider selected for the Pilot Plant
Greatland Gold (GGP LN) – Additional drilling results from Havieron
Piedmont Lithium (PLL US) – A presentation delivered to Gaston County officials
Companies: PLL ATM ALBA ALS GGP SRB
Altus Strategies* (ALS LN) - La Mancha launches La Mancha Fund, a Luxembourg based long only fund dedicated primarily to gold mining.
Ariana Resources (AAU LN) – Kiziltepe production guidance maintained
Castillo Copper (CCZ LN) – Quarterly report highlights the ‘Big One' prospect
Chaarat Gold (CGH LN) – Robust Kapan production in H1/21 with Tulkubash funding completion pushed to Q3/21
Glencore (GLEN LN) – Glencore to pay $9.85m to settle zinc rigging dispute
Jervois Mining (JRV AU) – Jervoi
Companies: SO4 ALS AAU CGH GLEN POW TYM CCZ JRV LYC
What a difference a year makes - 12 months ago, the focus, quite understandably, was on the course of the pandemic and the lifting of the Lockdown (1) measures. For investors, it was the sustainability of the rally in markets seen since March 2020. Today, while we are still thinking about the lifting of lockdown measures, we are also concerned about two “old favourites” from previous decades. Inflation and the parlous state of public finances. The BoE has said that although CPI inflation rose to
Companies: AEMC BVC BAG BRSD BWNG CBOX CEG CTG CLG CML CRPR DNK EML ESC FAR FA/ GPH INSE MTW MOTR MMAG NRR NESF NMCN NSF OTMP OBD SAVE SCS STVG SNX SYS TMG TGL VLS VOG WYN
Companies: Harworth Group PLC
DSM offers a rare opportunity to gain exposure to a concentrated portfolio of UK micro-cap stocks, an area of the market which is often overlooked. The portfolio has navigated the pandemic well, with most holdings having either returned to or exceeded pre-Covid levels. The companies have also emerged from the crisis in a much stronger position with far more operationally efficient business models. A series of positive trading updates and director buying across 60% of the portfolio since the star
Companies: Downing Strategic Micro-Cap Investment Trust PLC GBP
The group made a strong start with net interest margin recovery and loan provision recoveries, thus enabling management to upgrade its guidance for the year. The £1bn tax credit expected in Q3 will be the icing on the cake. In that context, we suspect that the cautious stance on future capital distribution only aims at not upsetting the regulator.
Companies: Lloyds Banking Group plc