Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Financial and operational progress

Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) reported a robust FY23 financial performance. Benefiting from inflation-linked rental growth and improving rent collection, DPS is once again covered on a run-rate basis, and we expect further progress. Operational initiatives included the roll-out of the new lease clause and launch of the eco-retrofit pilot project.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Q323 DPS was fully covered

With indexed rental growth continuing and rent collection recovering, Triple Point Social Housing REIT’s (SOHO’s) Q323 dividend was fully covered, and we expect this to continue. Meanwhile, while the board continues its focus on closing the share price discount to NAV, it has concluded that any further capital return is dependent on significant additional liquidity being generated through property sales.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Robust base and capital deployment options

Triple Point Social Housing (SOHO) reported solid H123 results. With borrowing costs fixed, growth in indexed rental income partly offset the impact of credit loss provisions against its two unperforming tenants. Progress is being made in resolving these issues, and as there is no read-across to the wider portfolio, we forecast full dividend cover through FY24. Meanwhile, with the demand for specialised supported housing remaining strong, SOHO has entered a partnership with one of the leading pr

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Strong rental growth mitigating challenges

Triple Point Social Housing REIT’s (SOHO’s) FY22 results were robust. Indexed rent growth compensated for higher debt costs and expected credit losses, and the DPS target was met. Income and dividends have grown each year since listing, while the company has generated strong social returns. We expect progress in FY23 despite a continuation of credit losses, for which SOHO has set out a path to recovery. Sector issues raised by the regulator continue to generate uncertainty despite a positive res

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - DPS commitment maintained despite challenges

In its trading update, Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) sets out the path to restoring rent collection from two lessees in arrears. It also underlines the quality of its portfolio, the continuing performance of most lessees and their progress with addressing regulatory concerns. Until resolved, the arrears will have an impact on earnings and valuation, but SOHO remains committed to its FY22 DPS target of 5.46p. We will revise our forecasts when the FY22 results are published in March.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Resilience based on strong fundamentals

In H122, index linked rent increases and acquisitions supported a continuation of consistent positive returns for Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO). Its borrowings are long term and at fixed rates, and provide scope for further external growth. If adopted, a cap on social housing rent increases would compound the inflationary pressures on operator lessee margins but SOHO’s revised investment policy provides it with additional flexibility to manage the effects.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Well positioned for growth

Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) delivered a strong performance in FY21 with its portfolio of long lease specialised social housing assets continuing to perform as expected. With predominantly uncapped index-linked rent uplifts and fully fixed borrowing rates it is extremely well positioned in the current inflationary environment, while capital remains available for further accretive acquisitions.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Enhancing investment flexibility

Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) will propose certain changes to its investment policy and restrictions at the next AGM to be held on 27 May 2022. The changes reflect the evolution of market practice and provide additional flexibility to pursue a strong investment pipeline, on terms compatible with SOHO’s existing return targets. We make no changes to our forecasts ahead of the release of FY21 results, expected in late March.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Financial and social returns

Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) delivered strong performance in H121. Its portfolio of long lease specialised social housing assets continues to perform as expected, delivering consistent financial returns and generating strong, externally assessed social value. Although the share price has recently weakened on a revived debate about the sustainability of the lease-based provider model, we forecast no financial impact and expect SOHO to meet its FY21 DPS target (a yield of 5.4%).

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Positive Q121 return and increased DPS target

A quarterly NAV and dividend update from Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) shows the portfolio remaining resilient, continuing to increase in value with consistent rent collection. The FY21 DPS target is increased 0.4%, in line with CPI, and we forecast full cover by adjusted cash earnings.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Delivering growth as expected

The supported housing sector has proved resilient during the pandemic, providing an essential service, complementary to the NHS. This was reflected in Triple Point Social Housing REIT’s (SOHO) strong FY20 performance. Full rent collection and continuing investment is bringing much-needed new supply to the sector. We expect acquisitions, rent indexation and development completions to drive further strong earnings growth, supporting a continuation of the progressive dividend policy.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT - Social impact returning secure income

Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) has grown its portfolio strongly since IPO, bringing a much-needed new supply of supported housing to market and building its base of secure income. We expect acquisitions, rent indexation and the completion of forward-funded developments to drive further strong earnings growth in FY20 and FY21 and, with rent collection unaffected by the COVID-19 pandemic, further growth in DPS.

Morning Note – 22 April 2024

Benefits of scale set to materialise

Frenkel Topping - Resilient with strong growth potential

FY 2023 was a challenging year for Frenkel with higher interest rates encouraging clients to place money into lower margin money market funds. Despite this, sales grew +32% (supported by recurring revenue +9% and +51% in non-recurring), EBIT margins remained strong at 22% and adj. EPS grew +17% (taking into account the higher number of shares). FY 2024 has seen a solid start to transactional business and there is a strong pipeline of new FUM opportunities both of which support further growth. Wi

S&U - PBT ahead, encouraging volume trends

S&U reported FY24 PBT of £33.6m, down from £41.4m in FY23 on higher funding and regulatory costs and higher impairments in Advantage in H2. PBT was 2% ahead of our forecast as stronger revenues – up 12% to £115.4m – and better costs offset higher-than-expected impairments. Net receivables grew to a record at both Advantage and Aspen and management noted particular strength in Q4 and a good trading environment in the current year. Having absorbed a significant rise in funding cost as well as addi

Hardman & Co Insight: 2023 was an annus horribilis for Quoted UK Infrastructure and Renewable Energy

The focus of Hardman & Co Research is on the nine quoted Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and on the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs): the stocks analysed are all members of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC). We are updating our publication of January 2023, assessing both the lacklustre share price performances during 2023 and the key issues, including interest rates, inflation and power prices. As a 31-strong group, its combined market capitalisation is no

Foresight Solar Fund - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on ABC Arbitrage (ABCA), paragon (PGN), Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL), Kendrion (KENDR), Lithium Power International (LPI), Triple Point Energy Transition (TENT), 4iG (4IG), e-therapeutics (ETX), Pharnext (ALPHA) and Shield Therapeutics (STX). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our web

LIBERUM: PayPoint: On track for £100m of EBITDA in FY 26

Regional REIT - Performing as expected ahead of refinancing

In a challenging market, Regional REIT’s (RGL’s) FY23 operational and financial performance was robust, in line with expectations and previous guidance. Investor focus remains on the company’s loan to value (LTV) reduction and bond refinancing plans, explored in detail in our previous note and RGL will provide an update on this in due course.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 22 April 2024

22nd April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi

LIBERUM: Speedy Hire: Weakness in FY 24 but recovery in FY 25

The Hardman & Co Monthly: April 2024

Feature article: Steady as she goes, but could be better: A review of investment company liquidity since 2016 Liquidity is the lifeblood of equity markets. The measurement of liquid asset availability to a market or company is a way of gauging a market’s health. This article builds on our previous work, which analysed the liquidity data for non-financial trading companies, by applying the same analytical techniques to the investment companies (IC) space. We analyse liquidity for ICs as a whol

Foxtons Group (FOXT LN) - 1Q24 IMS shows real momentum

Foxtons Group plc first quarter revenue rose 9% to £35.7m (1Q23: £32.9m) with growth delivered across all business segments. Trading is in line with management's expectations.

H&T Group (HAT): Core franchise build, short-term retail noise

In our 15 March 2023 initiation, 'Pawnbroking royalty, with strong, profitable growth', and subsequent notes, we have highlighted the strong market for pawnbroking and why H&T, as the market leader, is uniquely placed to take advantage of these opportunities. These results reconfirmed both, with the pledge book up 28% and net pawnbroking revenue up 36%. Like many in the retail space, H&T faced the challenge of customers focusing on lower-value, lower-margin items in the key run-up to Christmas 2

Morning Note – 29 February 2024

Hardman & Co Insight - Asset managers had a poor 2022

Asset managers had a poor 2022: the S&P Composite 1500 Asset Management Index was down 22% and, according to the Investment Company Institute (ICI), worldwide mutual funds fell by 20%, from $76tr to $60tr. When bond and equity markets fall, the results are unlikely to be pretty: with revenues trending down and multiples contracting, there is a double whammy to contend with. So how do valuations shape up now, after a bullish start to the new year? The first chart is my favourite chart of asset m