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27 Jul 2016
N+1 Singer - Burford Capital - Time to believe
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N+1 Singer - Burford Capital - Time to believe
Burford Capital Limited (BUR:LON) | 670 0 0.0% | Mkt Cap: 1,468m
- Published:
27 Jul 2016 -
Author:
Singer CM Team -
Pages:
6 -
Burford has reported very strong growth in H1 income, operating profits and new investment commitments, with PBT amounting to 94% of our previous FY2016 forecast. This was achieved despite a seasonally quiet period of case conclusions in the core litigation investment business. The key driver has been an uplift in the fair value of litigation investments, courtesy of some initial participation in the nascent secondary market. This temporary deviation between cash and accounting returns does not concern us and we have increased EPS estimates by 34%, 11% and 21% for 2016, 2017 and 2018 respectively. Our increased, but still conservative target price of 339p continues to exclude the impact of the 2 known Argentina cases, which we expect to be substantial, but incapable of assimilation into a single price target. BUY