DF Capital: Trading update underpins 2022 loan book forecast

Against a background of continued economic uncertainty, DF Capital has today published an encouraging trading update, demonstrating strong growth in new loan origination, loan balances and loan facilities. The company appears on course to achieve our 2022 forecast loan book growth of 80% to £449m. DF Capital will provide a full update in its interim results release scheduled for 20 September.

Poised for accelerated growth and profitability

DFCH has reported impressive results for 2021 against a challenging background of supply chain issues and macroeconomic uncertainty. The company has already updated the market on its strong start to 2022, with record originations in Q1 2022. Potential participation in the British Business Bank’s ENABLE scheme and/or the issue of Tier 2 capital should enable DFCH to achieve an £800m loan portfolio without the need for further equity issuance. We forecast substantial loan growth throughout

Capital review could create further loan book growth

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings plc (DFCH) has published a brief trading update ahead of its 2021 full-year results announcement on 13 April 2022. We summarise the key points from the trading update in this note and will review our forecasts for 2023 and 2024 following the results announcement. The company’s capital review announced today could lead to additional non-equity capital issuance that may support a loan book of up to £0.8bn.

Trading update – 2021 a transformational year

DFCH has published a trading update ahead of its December 2021 results publication in April. The update confirms that the operating model is proving highly effective. DFCH has had a record year for loan origination (£690m) and the 2021 loan book has more than doubled to around £250m, fully funded by retail deposits that stood at £295m at year-end 2021. Strong cost management and low arrears underpin our reduced pre-tax loss estimate of £4.1m. DFCH commented that whilst Covid-related supply chain

Arrowgrass sale removes stock overhang Top-4 shareholders’ stake down to 30.8% from 68.5%

Arrowgrass Master Fund Limited (AMFL) announced its intention after close of business on 9 December 2021 to sell up to 70,629,900 ordinary shares in Distribution Finance Capital Holdings plc (DFCH) at a price of 40p per placing share. The sale of AMFL’s entire stake (39.4% of DFCH’s issued share capital) was confirmed on Friday morning (10 December). The sell-down was consistent with DFCH’s announcement in October 2020 that AMFL’s investment management of DFCH would extend until year-end 2021. I

Doubling of the loan book confirmed Supply delays reduce year-end loan book estimates

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings (DFCH) announced yesterday that, due to supply chain delays, critical orders for some of its dealers will now arrive in January 2022. The loan book stood at £202m on 30 September, and DFCH has confirmed an increase to £243m as at 30 November, a doubling of the loan book since the start of the year. The company now expects the 2021 year-end loan book to be in the range of £250m to £275m, and we update our forecast to £260m. The Board expects to achieve monthl

Resumption of loan book growth

Significant opportunities ahead

Significant loan origination to continue

Net loan growth to resume as inventories rebuild

Small Cap Feast: 02/0721

CMO Group PLC, the UK's largest online-only retailer of building materials, announced its intention to seek admission to AIM. The Group currently operates seven specialist websites, Roofingsuperstore.co.uk, Drainagesuperstore.co.uk, Insulationsuperstore.co.uk, Doorsuperstore.co.uk, Tileandfloorsuperstore.co.uk, cmotrade.co.uk and Totaltiles.co.uk. Admission due early July. Seraphine Group, intends to IPO on the Premium Segment on the Main Market. Seraphine, and together with its subsidiaries, i

Small Cap Feast

Semper Fortis Esports* recently announced its intention to IPO onto the Access Segment of the Aquis Stock Exchange Growth Market. Semper is a multi-operational Esports organisation focusing on gaming technology solutions, brand enhancement and high growth team infrastructures. The company plans to raise £2.5m to develop their three core areas of establishing an esports team, forming partnerships with brands for sponsorship and B2B consultancy services. The Board are highly experienced in spor

Good momentum as FY 2021E starts strongly

Transformational FY 2020 provides solid platform

Positioned for efficient growth

DF Capital (DFC) is a specialist SME (Small and Medium sized Enterprise) lender and personal savings bank operating in the UK. It secured permission to commence deposit taking at the end of September 2020 which has allowed it to successfully replace more costly wholesale funding with retail deposits. Having navigated the impact of COVID-19 with aplomb so far, the Group’s recent capital raise doubled its lending capacity and we expect it to grow its loan book at pace. With an efficient business m

Small Cap Feast

Cellular Goods a UK-based provider of premium consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids announced its intention to join the main market (standard) this spring. Target valuation £20m raising c. £8m “to finalise the development and launch of a range of the Company's premium-quality consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids, which is fully compliant under UK law.” Kanabo Group (RTO by Spinnaker Opportunities SOP.L) on the main market (standard). Raising £6m, enlarged mkt cap £

Small Cap Feast

Caribbean Investment Holdings. Incorporated in Belize. Readmission to AIM. CIHL.L primarily operates financial services businesses through its subsidiaries The Belize Bank Limited and Belize Bank International Limited, both located in Belize and international corporate services through Belize Corporate Services Limited. CIHL shares are also traded on the Bermuda Stock Exchange. Lord Ashcroft holds 75%. No capital raise. 2019 net profit US$ 10.7m. Mkt cap £38.6m.

Small Cap Feast

Intention to float by Gemfields Group. No Capital Raise. Currently listed on JSE. (GML:JNB) at circa £122m. The Group's key producing assets, the Kagem emerald mine in Zambia (believed to be the world's single largest producing emerald mine) and the Montepuez ruby mine in Mozambique (one of the most significant recently discovered ruby deposits in the world), are both expected to have long mine-lives with potential for expansion. Also owns the Faberge brand. Due Valentines Day 2020. The Proof Of

Uncertain outlook comes as no surprise

We take a positive view of Legal & General’s FY 22 results. Despite the tough environment, the Group managed to outperform expectations – something which was hardly a given for such a large asset manager. With L&G being widely exposed to the UK economy, it might be a call one does not want to make but the firm’s business remains one of spreads – as long as a default does not occur. We remain positive but concede that L&G embeds more risk than we had assumed.

Very strong CY22 - CY23 upgraded 10%

LIBERUM: Alpha Group International* - Highly attractive global growth opportunity

Ambitious winds of change

M&G’s FY 22 results were strong. It was also the opportunity for new CEO Andrea Rossi to depict clearly his strategy for the upcoming months. While the impetus is clear and the objectives are ambitious, we rather believe in a structural improvement of the business (driven by the higher rates environment) than a commercial one.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 06 Mar 23

6 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objective

Belvoir Group - Debt free, entrepreneurial and diverse

2022 followed on from the strongest year for property in recent history, but Belvoir has, nevertheless, reported a robust set of full-year results further evidencing the power of its franchised model and strategy. FY 2022 revenue was up +14% (+2% like-for-like), gross profit up +6% and adj. PBT down -1% as the resilient Lettings income and expanding Financial Services business continued to grow (both +4% LFL), while housing Sales fell (-15% LFL) as market conditions weakened and administrative c

LIBERUM: Real Estate Investors* - Profitable sales drive valuation increase and NTA outperformance

Morning Note – 27 March 2023

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 14 Mar 23

14 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv

Critical Metals Plc - Initiating Coverage - 20th March 2023

Critical Metals is a British company that has acquired a 70% interest in a producing Molulu copper mine in the Katanga region of the DRC. The focus of the company is in the natural resources sector in Africa focused on the strategic or critical metals as defined by the United States Government Survey list in Open-File Report 2018-1021 and the Critical Raw Minerals as defined by the European Commission. The main catalysts for 2023 will be the announcement of the first sales of copper ore. This i

LIBERUM: Pollen Street * - Clear fundraising momentum

NAHL Group - Finals

NAHL generated growth in both its Personal Injury (PI) and Critical Care divisions, the former despite a continuation of subdued market conditions – hence market share gains. Results were in line with our forecasts but with a significant reduction in net debt which is especially welcome in the current high interest rate environment. Group strategy remains intact and in PI that means building the embedded value of future cash flows in NAL while flexing enquiry placements to maximise cash generati

Cenkos: Personal Group Holdings Plc -- Momentum building

Personal Group's FY22 results show good underlying growth in both API and ARR, with significant HoH EBITDA expansion also delivered in H2. The growth in its insurance book and increased levels of ARR provides high levels of visibility into 2023. Retention rates are high, the group has added 101 new clients and its expansion into the SME market is growing rapidly. Today's results demonstrate the clear benefits of the diversification of the model since 2019 and the ongoing relevance of its offerin

Positive update - EPS upgraded by 5% p.a.

Hybridan Research: 28/03/2023: TMT Investments plc: Cautious optimism and a disciplined approach in early/mid-stage tech investment

TMT Investments today announces its final results for the year ended 31 December 2022. Total NAV was US$201.7m (down 28.7% from US$283.1m as of 31 December 2021). This translates to NAV per share of US$6.41 (compared to US$9.00 as of 31 December 2021), mainly due to downward revaluations of Backblaze by 64% and Bolt by 33% as a result of stock markets sell-off leading to reduced valuations for some start-ups. Administrative expenses were US$1.4m, down 25% and reflecting a reduced level of invest