Exactly one year ago, the FTSE 100 closed at 5,862, having fallen 100 points on the day, the lowest point since mid-May 2020, due in part, to the strength of sterling vs US$ at $1.34. One year on, the FTSE 100 has risen to 7,119, a rise of 21%, it remains 7% below the peak in January 2020. From an international viewpoint, US and European markets continue to trade at record highs. The US Federal Reserve is close to withdrawing some of its economic support this year as inflation picks up and the e
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What a difference a year makes - 12 months ago, the focus, quite understandably, was on the course of the pandemic and the lifting of the Lockdown (1) measures. For investors, it was the sustainability of the rally in markets seen since March 2020. Today, while we are still thinking about the lifting of lockdown measures, we are also concerned about two “old favourites” from previous decades. Inflation and the parlous state of public finances. The BoE has said that although CPI inflation rose to
Companies: AEMC BVC BAG BRSD BWNG CBOX CEG CTG CLG CML CRPR DNK EML ESC FAR FA/ GPH INSE MTW MOTR MMAG NRR NESF NMCN NSF OTMP OBD SAVE SCS STVG SNX SYS TMG TGL VLS VOG WYN
Non-Standard Finance (‘NSF’), a leading provider of unsecured credit to UK adults, has published full year results to 31 December 2020. These reflect a challenging year for the group, during which financial performance was heavily impacted by the coronavirus pandemic as well as a number of regulatory issues, notably in respect of the guarantor loans division which the group has now announced it is to wind down. As a result, NSF reported a substantial statutory loss before tax which reflected the
Companies: Non-Standard Finance Plc
The Budget offered a clear picture of the state of the economy. Put simply, the economy will be 3% smaller in three years’ time than it would have been without the impact of the pandemic. However, it is forecast to return to pre-pandemic levels by mid-2022, six months earlier than previously thought. The OBR forecasts that the UK economy will grow by 4.1% in 2021, (lower than the 5.5% outlined in November 2020). It has set its GDP forecasts in 2022, 2023 and 2024 at 7.3%, 1.7% and 1.6%. Positive
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Non-Standard Finance, one of the leading providers of unsecured credit to UK adults, has issued a trading update which covers performance up to the end of December 2020. This shows that lending volumes were negatively impacted by the tiered lockdowns during November and December, while collections remained robust. In addition, the group has announced plans for a substantial capital raise with the support of Alchemy, its largest shareholder, with a view to completing this during the second quarte
NSF’s 1H’20 results reflected the pain from COVID-19, with i) less volume, ii) changes to business models, and iii) higher impairment, including an increased weighting of a severe macro downside, increasing IFRS9 cyclical impairment charges. Despite these pressures, both the branch (ELD) and home collect (HCC) businesses were profitable. A young customer demographic meant the guarantor loan division (GLD) was most impacted, with COVID-19 effects compounded by the recent FCA review in 2H’20. NSF
Companies: FOUR SLP NSF
20 years ago, a young intern at a leading investment bank was asked for his views on the future of the media industry. His published thoughts included the suggestion that his generation never watched TV. This came as a complete shock to the older generation of analysts and fund managers. Could this apply to the car industry? The following article results from an interview between the Hardman & Co analyst, Derek Terrington, and his son, William (age 23). Derek is famous for his research note expo
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The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact globally in many areas. While primarily a health issue, it has had wide-ranging implications for stock markets, which have now rallied after the plunge in share prices in mid-March when the full severity of the emerging pandemic became more widely appreciated. Nonetheless, the FTSE 100 Index remains almost 20% off its late February 2020 figure.
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX CLIG DNL GDR ICGT NSF PCA PIN PXC PHP RECI STX SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
For this Monthly, we are delighted that Rooney Nimmo and 24Haymarket have allowed us to reproduce a recent report they jointly published, entitled An analysis of UK exits (2015-2019), which provides a granular analysis by sector of the activity in our dynamic private companies world. We hope you find the insights of interest.
Companies: AVO AGY ARBB ARIX CLIG ICGT NSF PCA PIN PXC PHP RECI SCE TRX SHED VTA
Non-Standard Finance (NSF) recently published full year results to 31st December 2019, which had been somewhat delayed while the auditors completed their work. The announcement noted that the group is currently facing a challenging environment caused by Covid-19 and that it was exploring various funding options which may include an equity raise. The aim of this would be to put the balance sheet on a sounder footing, improve access to debt funding and thus allow the group to take advantage of the
Key takeaways from NSF’s results and presentation were: i) solid underlying 2019 with normalised operating profits up 20% and lower impairments to revenue; ii) £60m cash now ‒ April and May cash-generative; and iii) current collections 86% of pre-lockdown levels. NSF is a going concern and is considering an equity raise to help fund additional growth. Downside includes: i) statutory loss with further goodwill impairments; ii) material uncertainty arising from COVID-19 effects and so possibly its
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Today's results include few surprises in terms of cash outcomes, which are in-line with our FY21E forecasts. These record results come despite the year being challenged by Covid-19, evidencing the resilience of Duke's operating model and royalty partners. Post-period, 4 new investments have been concluded, which should help drive cash results higher over FY22E, despite a further 2 exits from the portfolio. As the company approaches near full deployment by FY23E, we expect to see FCF p/s and DPS
Companies: Duke Royalty Limited
A disappointing earnings release coupled with low transparency on the Sandringham Financial Partners acquisition have led M&G’s share price to return to its pre-crisis level. While our valuation suggests a positive recommendation considering the low point, momentum remains uncertain.
Companies: M&G Plc
Litigation Capital Management has released its results for FY21, reflecting on a positive year for the group in very challenging market conditions. Although well flagged, these set of results highlight the strength of LCM's investment process as it's maturing balance sheet continues to deliver strong returns on capital as key cases settle.
Companies: Litigation Capital Management Ltd
NextEnergy Solar Fund’s investment in NextPower III ESG is delivering in terms of widening international exposure with NPIII following its recent project win in Spain with another in Poland. This is the first acquisition the vehicle has made in Poland and the project will be supported by a fifteen year CfD. We see NESF’s investment in NPIII ESG as delivering a diversified asset growth opportunity and so far this is proving to be the case.
Companies: Nextenergy Solar Fund
Gore Street continues to find good projects in the GB market and has today announced a 57MW project in Leicester. It is now more active in seeking projects beyond the UK and RoI in North America and Western Europe and we think there are significant opportunities in these geographies. The company now has a pipeline of 2.5GWh with 2GWh of that in new geographies and 160MWh of that under exclusivity. With these opportunities in mind the company has announced a placing at 107p.
Companies: Gore Street Energy Storage Fund PLC
Companies: Real Estate Investors plc
What’s new: Tatton has signed a 5 year distribution partnership with Fintel and agreed to acquire Fintel’s Verbatim Funds for £5.8m cash consideration of which £2.8m is on competition and £3.0m is subject to performance
Companies: Tatton Asset Management Plc
Tatton has acquired the Verbatim funds from Fintel for (up to) £5.8m adding £650m AuM – and pushing Tatton’s AuM through the £10bn milestone. A long term strategic partnership has also been formed allowing Tatton to market to Fintel’s significant intermediary client base. We upgrade our earnings forecasts by +4% for the part year contribution in FY22e and +11% FY23e (the first full year) – but make no assumption around the potentially material opportunity from the distribution partnership. Tatto
Bluejay Mining* (JAY LN) – Greenland agrees new economic aid with the US
Ariana Resources (AAU LN) – Further drilling results from Kepez North
CATL (CATL N) – CATL may be joining the bidding war for Millennial Lithium Corp. as Chinese firms battle for EV material supply
Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – Senior mining engineer appointed to advance La India feasibility study
Cora Gold* (CORA LN) – Interims
Galileo Resources (GLR LN) – Sale of Kalahari Copper Belt licences expected to complete next week
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NextEnergy’s JV with storage specialist Eelpower is an important strategic development. Storage demand is set to grow if the UK is to move towards its net zero targets and the combined attributes of the JV partners make it well suited to succeed here. For NESF it opens up a new route to asset growth in our view.
NextEnergy Solar Fund (NESF), which has the ability to invest up to 10% of its gross assets in energy storage, has announced a significant step into energy storage with the establishment of a £100m joint venture partnership with one of the leading battery storage specialists, Eelpower Limited (Eelpower). The joint venture is owned 70% by NESF and 30% by Eelpower. The partnership has also announced the signing of its maiden acquisition, a 50MW standalone battery storage project, which is ready to
Today's in-line results illustrate the financial impact from restrictions upon face-to-face Insurance sales over the past 15 months. However, they heavily mask the strategic momentum underway across the Group. Since the lifting of restrictions from June, Insurance is exhibiting a strong and accelerating rebound in demand, which should mark an inflection point for policyholder numbers and restore premium income to pre-pandemic levels over the medium-term. We expect the Group's other product lines
Companies: Personal Group Holdings Plc
Following the successful completion of the Hawthorn disposal, towards the top-end of our £180-230m range, and the transformation to a pure retail property group we update forecasts and briefly set out our investment thesis ahead of the Group’s CMD. We estimate FFO for FY22F, FY23F and FY24F of 7.2p, 8.3p and 9.4p per share respectively; a 3-year CAGR of c35% over the 3.8p generated in FY21A. Post-Hawthorn, balance sheet metrics have markedly improved, flexibility enhanced, and refinancing risk r
Companies: NewRiver REIT plc
Agronomics has announced a follow-on investment in existing portfolio company, Formo (previously LegenDairy Foods). The company has invested €3.15m in Formo's Series A funding, and now holds c5.9% of the enlarged share capital. The fundraise has generated a 7.5x uplift for Agronomics original €1m investment (Dec-19) and values Formo at c€180m (post-money) versus c€16m post-money value following the Seed round. Formo now becomes Agronomics largest holding, c9.1% and has delivered a net uplift in
Companies: Agronomics Limited
Altus has acquired an effective 0.418% NSR over the producing Caserones copper mine in Chile. Altus’ royalty interest was acquired for $34.1m in cash as part of a strategic 50:50 partnership with EMX Royalty Corp. The acquisition was part financed with a $29m loan facility from major shareholder, La Mancha. The royalty is immediately cash generative and Altus expects the NSR to generate post-tax royalty flows of US$3.2m pa. Caserones is a large open-pit copper porphyry in Chile, operated by JX N
Companies: Altus Strategies PLC