The Group's Trading Update this morning is one of mixed results. Shares down 8%.
Companies: Provident Financial PLC
Moneybarn is now under investigation just four months since the FCA began its probe into Vanquis Bank.
The stock was up 17% on Friday, albeit off a 7-year share price low.
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The recent news stories in the sector have gradually escalated until Hurricane Harvey, now downgraded to Tropical storm Harvey, has become the big bad news.
Companies: BEZ HAT PFG RAT
The shock in yesterday’s announcement was not the CCD collections and consequent second profit warning in two months, but the disclosure that a significant product within Vanquis has been under FCA investigation for over a year. This helped explain the cessation of dividend payments at the group level and withdrawal of the declared interim payment given the BoE has barred dividends from Vanquis to the group entity.
Shares have plummeted as the Group issues its second profit warning in 3 months.
The world is increasingly full of acronyms and there is argument for worrying about each and every one of them but the real impact on Asset Managers is, we believe, simply more of the same: revenue margins erode over time, costs move higher and the only real defence is to deliver for fund investors. But we should not lose sight of the role that asset management, active and passive, can play in addressing the obvious financial needs of ageing populations. All is not lost, whatever the siren voice
Companies: ADN ASHM JUP LIO REC SDR ICP PFG CBG PAG EMG
Provident said the reorganisation of its home credit business would hit profits more than previously expected.
As usual we have reviewed our estimates across the sector at quarter end and in general the changes are reassuringly immaterial. We had written at the start of the year that we had expected an easier year for the sector and to date that has been the case. A further round of electioneering in the UK in the current quarter is unlikely to be helpful but should not per se be an insurmountable issue, either for sentiment or for trading. Generally stocks in the sector have performed well so far this y
Companies: ADN ASHM HGG JUP LIO REC SDR ICP PFG CBG PAG EMG
We have reviewed estimates across our coverage and, unlike last year, those estimates have lasted the duration of the first week of the New Year. Already it feels like an easier year than last. Our recommendations are unchanged, after all there is nothing special about a new year. Our top picks in Asset Managers are Aberdeen, Liontrust and Record. We are also still buyers of Schroders and Jupiter. Of the Specialist Lenders, Provident Financial is our nap for the year.
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Today's results include few surprises in terms of cash outcomes, which are in-line with our FY21E forecasts. These record results come despite the year being challenged by Covid-19, evidencing the resilience of Duke's operating model and royalty partners. Post-period, 4 new investments have been concluded, which should help drive cash results higher over FY22E, despite a further 2 exits from the portfolio. As the company approaches near full deployment by FY23E, we expect to see FCF p/s and DPS
Companies: Duke Royalty Limited
A disappointing earnings release coupled with low transparency on the Sandringham Financial Partners acquisition have led M&G’s share price to return to its pre-crisis level. While our valuation suggests a positive recommendation considering the low point, momentum remains uncertain.
Companies: M&G Plc
Litigation Capital Management has released its results for FY21, reflecting on a positive year for the group in very challenging market conditions. Although well flagged, these set of results highlight the strength of LCM's investment process as it's maturing balance sheet continues to deliver strong returns on capital as key cases settle.
Companies: Litigation Capital Management Ltd
NextEnergy Solar Fund’s investment in NextPower III ESG is delivering in terms of widening international exposure with NPIII following its recent project win in Spain with another in Poland. This is the first acquisition the vehicle has made in Poland and the project will be supported by a fifteen year CfD. We see NESF’s investment in NPIII ESG as delivering a diversified asset growth opportunity and so far this is proving to be the case.
Companies: Nextenergy Solar Fund
Gore Street continues to find good projects in the GB market and has today announced a 57MW project in Leicester. It is now more active in seeking projects beyond the UK and RoI in North America and Western Europe and we think there are significant opportunities in these geographies. The company now has a pipeline of 2.5GWh with 2GWh of that in new geographies and 160MWh of that under exclusivity. With these opportunities in mind the company has announced a placing at 107p.
Companies: Gore Street Energy Storage Fund PLC
Companies: Real Estate Investors plc
What’s new: Tatton has signed a 5 year distribution partnership with Fintel and agreed to acquire Fintel’s Verbatim Funds for £5.8m cash consideration of which £2.8m is on competition and £3.0m is subject to performance
Companies: Tatton Asset Management Plc
Tatton has acquired the Verbatim funds from Fintel for (up to) £5.8m adding £650m AuM – and pushing Tatton’s AuM through the £10bn milestone. A long term strategic partnership has also been formed allowing Tatton to market to Fintel’s significant intermediary client base. We upgrade our earnings forecasts by +4% for the part year contribution in FY22e and +11% FY23e (the first full year) – but make no assumption around the potentially material opportunity from the distribution partnership. Tatto
Bluejay Mining* (JAY LN) – Greenland agrees new economic aid with the US
Ariana Resources (AAU LN) – Further drilling results from Kepez North
CATL (CATL N) – CATL may be joining the bidding war for Millennial Lithium Corp. as Chinese firms battle for EV material supply
Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – Senior mining engineer appointed to advance La India feasibility study
Cora Gold* (CORA LN) – Interims
Galileo Resources (GLR LN) – Sale of Kalahari Copper Belt licences expected to complete next week
Companies: AAU JAY CNR CORA GLR GGP POW RRR VUL SSW
NextEnergy’s JV with storage specialist Eelpower is an important strategic development. Storage demand is set to grow if the UK is to move towards its net zero targets and the combined attributes of the JV partners make it well suited to succeed here. For NESF it opens up a new route to asset growth in our view.
NextEnergy Solar Fund (NESF), which has the ability to invest up to 10% of its gross assets in energy storage, has announced a significant step into energy storage with the establishment of a £100m joint venture partnership with one of the leading battery storage specialists, Eelpower Limited (Eelpower). The joint venture is owned 70% by NESF and 30% by Eelpower. The partnership has also announced the signing of its maiden acquisition, a 50MW standalone battery storage project, which is ready to
Exactly one year ago, the FTSE 100 closed at 5,862, having fallen 100 points on the day, the lowest point since mid-May 2020, due in part, to the strength of sterling vs US$ at $1.34. One year on, the FTSE 100 has risen to 7,119, a rise of 21%, it remains 7% below the peak in January 2020. From an international viewpoint, US and European markets continue to trade at record highs. The US Federal Reserve is close to withdrawing some of its economic support this year as inflation picks up and the e
Companies: AMYT BAG BVC BRSD CLG CML FBD GDWN INV MACF MNZS MIO NRR NSF NBI MATD PREM QFI RUA SCS STVG SUR SNX UPGS VAST VLS
Today's in-line results illustrate the financial impact from restrictions upon face-to-face Insurance sales over the past 15 months. However, they heavily mask the strategic momentum underway across the Group. Since the lifting of restrictions from June, Insurance is exhibiting a strong and accelerating rebound in demand, which should mark an inflection point for policyholder numbers and restore premium income to pre-pandemic levels over the medium-term. We expect the Group's other product lines
Companies: Personal Group Holdings Plc
Following the successful completion of the Hawthorn disposal, towards the top-end of our £180-230m range, and the transformation to a pure retail property group we update forecasts and briefly set out our investment thesis ahead of the Group’s CMD. We estimate FFO for FY22F, FY23F and FY24F of 7.2p, 8.3p and 9.4p per share respectively; a 3-year CAGR of c35% over the 3.8p generated in FY21A. Post-Hawthorn, balance sheet metrics have markedly improved, flexibility enhanced, and refinancing risk r
Companies: NewRiver REIT plc
Agronomics has announced a follow-on investment in existing portfolio company, Formo (previously LegenDairy Foods). The company has invested €3.15m in Formo's Series A funding, and now holds c5.9% of the enlarged share capital. The fundraise has generated a 7.5x uplift for Agronomics original €1m investment (Dec-19) and values Formo at c€180m (post-money) versus c€16m post-money value following the Seed round. Formo now becomes Agronomics largest holding, c9.1% and has delivered a net uplift in
Companies: Agronomics Limited