Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on IQE. We currently have 138 research reports from 9 professional analysts.
Yesterday’s trading update confirms that IQE’s FY19 results will be in line with the revised guidance it provided in November when the full extent of the impact of the US-China trade war became visible. We have cut our FY20 revenue estimate by 6%. In IQE’s case the impact of COVID-19 on global handset demand is likely to be softened by gaining share in both the wireless and photonics markets. However, the full effect of the pandemic on the global economy and IQE’s business remains to be seen.
The breadth of IQE’s technology portfolio and ability to serve compound semiconductor chip customers in the US and Asia puts it in a good position to benefit from rising demand for compound semiconductor applications for 5G and connected devices. The share price has been hit by the shift to Asian-centric supply chains caused by US-Chinese trade tensions, and resultant reductions to management guidance. Although the timing of a recovery is difficult to gauge, we see scope for earnings recovery as IQE secures additional contracts in Asia and leverages its IP portfolio into sustainable profit growth and cash generation.
IQE’s reduced guidance for FY19 revenues of £136–142m (vs £140–160m previously) reflects primarily the greater than anticipated disruption to its major US wireless customers as a result of the US/China trade war. There is good evidence to support a recovery in the medium term: the qualification of products and tools in the Asian supply chain for both 3D sensing and wireless RF is encouraging, while exposure to 5G remains attractive. However, the timing of a recovery is difficult to gauge and with Q120 expected to be seasonally quiet we downgrade our FY19 and FY20 revenue estimates by 5.3% and 15% respectively, with FY19 EPS reduced from a 0.5p profit to a 0.8p loss and FY20 EPS reduced from 2.3p to 0.3p.
Diploma (DPLM LN, £1.9bn) FY19 results (30/09) – u/l rev growth 5% y/y vs. +7% y/y in FY18; adj. operating margin +30bps y/y from stronger GM and cost controls; adj. PBT +14% y/y; DPS +14% y/y; outlook expects “moderately lower underlying growth” from political & economic uncertainty to be offset by strong acquisition contributions | IQE (IQE LN, £609m) FY19 trading update revises down rev guidance by ~7% (mid-point), expecting “mid-single digit adj. operating loss”; expects seasonally weak Q1 2020 but “cautiously optimistic about a return to growth” | Eddie Stobart (ESL LN, £269m) may receive £75m rescue package from former boss Andrew Tinkler, adding an alternative to last week’s Dbay offer (source: FT.com) | Pressure Technologies (PRES LN, £19m) confirms commencement of trial relating to prosecution by HSE following fatal accident in June 2015 | Chamberlin (CMH LN, £2m) H1 20 interims (30/09) reports 26% y/y fall in revenues; op. loss pre-restructuring increased from £0.4m to £1.0m; expect better H2 due to higher volumes from existing automotive customers; new contracts and higher selling prices but anticipate small loss for FY20
Companies: DPLM IQE ESL PRES CMH
Uber announced earnings Monday that beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines for its third quarter of 2019. But the stock fell as much about 5% after the company reported over $1 billion in net losses, topping its $986 million loss during the same quarter last year. The loss includes $401 million in stock-based compensation. Following the results, in an interview with CNBC’s Deirdre Bosa on Monday, Khosrowshahi (CEO) said the company is targeting adjusted EBITDA profitability in 2021. We believe Mobility companies will continue to struggle to convince the capital markets until investors see the model proven.
Companies: TRAK AMO CPX IQE MIRI QTX SEE TCM TRCS TRMR
Intel’s share price rose 7% on Friday, driving the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index to all-time highs. Intel’ stellar quarter was supplemented by improved guidance and bullish commentary from the management on the strength of demand from cloud service providers, underscoring the theme of an ‘insatiable demand for data’. The semiconductor cycle appears to be back, in spite of recent warnings from TI.
Companies: ENET CML IQE TCM
The recent run-up in semiconductor stocks hit a speed bump Tuesday afternoon that could turn into much more. Texas Instruments gave a forecast that was much worse than expected in a Tuesday earnings report, raising questions over whether the cycle is anywhere near the trough as was widely expected.
Companies: ENET TRAK BGO BOKU CAPX CML EQLS IQE SEE TCM TRCS QTX XPP FIN NETW
IQE has acquired the third-party shareholdings in its CSDC joint venture in Singapore for a nominal fee. This gives it control of the operation, which is currently loss making, enabling it to restructure the business and focus it on emerging sales opportunities in Asia for molecular beam epitaxy (MBE)-based products. Short term, the deal has a negative impact on earnings. We reduce our FY19 and FY20 EPS estimates by 8% and 5%, respectively.
Registration document approved for Helios Towers. The Group provides essential network services, flexible infrastructure solutions and reliable power supply to mobile network operators in five African growth economies. Revenue increased 7 per cent. year-on-year to US$191m (H1 2018: US$178m), with Adjusted EBITDA up 15 per cent. year-on-year at US$99m (H1 2018: US$86m) for the six months ended 30 June 2019. Pricing rumoured at 115p to 145p implying valuation of up to $1.8bn. Expected Oct 2019.
Companies: OSI CTP IQE MTFB SENS AVCT TGP PMI CMCL JLH
Arm, the British chip technology firm owned by Japan's Softbank Group, is joining with automakers General Motors Co and Toyota Motor to establish common computing systems for self-driving cars, an effort the companies hope will speed development of the technology. Arm supplies the underlying technology for the processors found in today's smart phones but does not make chips itself. Its ties to the automotive industry go back to the late 1990s, when automakers began to add computer chips to vehicles for functions like engine control and diagnostics.
Companies: ENET BIDS CML CDM FDEV GFIN IQE KWS SUMO TM17 TCM XPP
Entertainment AI (EAI) - This was an RTO into Blockchain Worldwide (BLOC), It has also transferred from the standard list to AIM. Focused on providing its global automotive and lifestyle audiences and its strategic partner audiences with real-time access, in a frictionless way, to "in the moment" opportunities from more relevant short form video content to "one-click" e-commerce, £8.6m raised. H1 2019 actuals - GTChannel subsidiary's MCN gross advertising revenue at $8.7 m, up 107%
Companies: ALT MPM PYC IQE THR CPT SOLI SAV SEE AMYT
Micron Technology forecast first-quarter profit below Wall Street targets, saying it was "Mindful" of economic and trade uncertainty even though there were signs of an uptick in memory chip demand, sending its shares down nearly 6.5%. The long-drawn U.S.-China trade war has impacted chipmakers already reeling under a saturated smartphone market, especially after the Trump administration blocked access to Huawei HWT.UL, the world's largest telecoms equipment maker and Micron's single largest customer
Companies: Amino Technologies IQE
A U.S. House panel unveiled bipartisan legislation this week that would authorize $1 billion for small and rural wireless providers to replace network equipment from companies including Huawei and ZTE that lawmakers say pose a national security risk. The top Democrats and Republicans on the House Energy and Commerce Committee said in a joint statement the bill would protect the "Nation's communications networks from foreign adversaries by helping small and rural wireless providers rootout suspect network equipment and replace it with more secure equipment."
Companies: ENET AMO BIDS CDM CML GFIN IQE FDEV KWS SUMO TM17 TCM XPP
IQE’s CFO, Tim Pullen, discusses the company’s recent interim results and explains the operational measures IQE has put in place to support growth. He also explains why it is well placed to adapt to shifts in the global electronics supply chain being brought about by US/Chinese trade sanctions. With the infrastructure phase of the capacity-expansion programme nearing completion, he explains why future investment in capacity will be much more linear and discretionary, based on anticipated demand. As a result, supported by recent cost-control measures, the company expects to generate cash in H2. With an increased debt facility in place, management is confident it will not need to raise further capital. Tim ends by discussing how management sees margins evolving and how investors should view the timing of the company’s growth opportunities across multiple different applications.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on IQE. We currently have 138 research reports from 9 professional analysts.
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|24Mar20 07:00||GNW||IQE plc: Trading Update|
|23Mar20 15:50||GNW||IQE plc: Delay to Full Year 2019 Results|
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Seeing Machines Limited has announced that it has won a pre-production license deal with a major Automotive Tier 1 partner. This has been entered into under the terms of a pre-existing non-exclusive Collaboration Agreement to provide Seeing Machine's Driver Monitoring System (DMS) technology for an ongoing Automotive programme. For this Seeing Machines will receive a non-refundable pre-production license fee of US$5m before 30 June 2020, in addition to future volume based royalty payments for the above mentioned Automotive programme. Seeing Machines will retain all intellectual property rights associated with its DMS technology licensed to the counterparty under the Agreement.
Companies: Seeing Machines
The Coronavirus pandemic is a human tragedy of vast proportions – as well as the terrible human toll, COVID-19 has led to economies across the globe going into physical lockdown and financial freefall. Entire populations are adapting to the “stay at home” edict, to safeguard the vulnerable – and some of these changes will lead to long-lasting or perhaps permanent changes in the way we live or work. This note describes some of our client companies whose business models are well adapted to these changes, or who might see a change in long-term structural demand.
Companies: AMO BGO FDM GAMA KAPE LOOP TERN ZOO
The company announced several appointments that have strengthened the management team after seven acquisitions over the past two calendar years. We believe this investment in management should form a strong foundation for the company’s next phase of growth. Alex Siffrin, the company’s largest shareholder, has stepped down from the board to focus on personal priorities
Companies: Centralnic Group
In a remarkable coup for Bango, Korean technology leader NHN Corp is taking control of the Audiens Customer Data Platform (CDP) business by investing £6.5m for a 60% stake in the holding company, Bango Deep Ltd, with a view to scaling up Audiens through support and technology into a truly world-class CDP provider. NHN is further securing and deepening its relationship with Bango itself by taking 3.5m Bango ordinary shares (4.7% of the expanded Bango) for £3.2m. This is an excellent deal for Bango, sealed at a time of restricted travel and tightened commercial prospects and possible only because Bango is already partnered, and trusted by the Korean technology giant. The deal takes a non-core, near-breakeven business off the Bango P&L and sharpens management focus, while maintaining a substantive interest in what – now backed by NHN’s cash, expertise and data technology – should become a major global player in the lucrative, high-growth CDP market. On top of this, Bango strengthens its balance sheet with a cash injection and the strategic partnership between NHN and Bango itself is substantively deepened. We adjust our FY 2020 forecast for the change in Audiens accounting status and the cash injection, and highlight the value.
A strong interim period to January 2020 delivered the expected £26m revenue as reported in the February trading update, with a 31 January net cash balance also of £26m – EBITDA of £5.6m (post IFRS16), and adjusted PBT of £4.6m highlighting a strong performance. The Group has unchanged strategic ambitions – organic growth and M&A, both in evidence in Rail Technology & Services (RT&S) with 13% organic growth and the post period end acquisition of iBlocks. We withdrew forecasts last week due to the impact of COVID-19 on the 2H-weighted Traffic & Data Services business, given the exposure to cancelled large scale summer events, and uncertainty over traffic surveys; however, the potential for the Group is unchallenged when the world normalises. New contract wins, new product launches, new acquisitions and a hearty balance sheet continued to offer significant upside in 1H and post period end. Target price 900p remains based on our FY21 forecasts, which in theory should be consistent with previous forecasts and we look forward to reinstating numbers when the virus dust settles.
Caledonia today announces that it has taken the prudent decision to defer its approval for the payment of the second quarterly dividend (7.5c/sh - $0.9m - 7% of declared Caledonia cash). The Blanket mine in Zimbabwe remains in operation (at a slightly reduced capacity to secure Covid-19 social distancing) and the mine site remains well-stocked with supplies, so despite the current difficulties getting supplies from South Africa production at the mine can continue for some time to come; 2-3 months in our opinion, if the supply chain from South Africa ceased altogether. Touchstar is a supplier of mobile data computing solutions and managed services to a variety of industrial sectors. This morning, the group has released an update in light of COVID-19. The Board reports that it has taken swift action to re-engineer processes to adhere to government guidelines, whilst maintaining client service levels. Q1 2020 trading is reported to have been ‘broadly' in line, with revenue growth of 40% from continuing operations and outstanding orders to ship to customers in the coming months. Q1 was cash neutral, which follows on from the RNS on 5 February, of a net cash position of £849k as at 31 December 2019.
Companies: Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc Com Shs Npv Touchstar
Bango has announced FY 19 results in-line with the December-19 trading statement and our forecasts. The business has grown strongly throughout the Brexit hiatus, notably FY 19 saw the key End User Spend (“EUS”) metric double once again to £1.1bn. With the global macro-economic situation continuing to be impacted by the Coronavirus, we believe market attention will focus on the outlook. The release confirms that Bango has no supply chain dependencies, its products are available without interruption. Furthermore, management has re-iterated its expectation for continuing exponential growth in EUS. We maintain FY 20E estimates following the release and will revisit as visibility on “stay at home” behaviour improves.
FIH's year end update this morning reveals an inline performance in the year to March 31st 2020, notwithstanding disruption over the past six weeks, and also updates on the respective likely effects of Covid-19 on its three business streams, with greater relative resilience seen in the Falklands business and bigger impacts already apparent on the two UK-based businesses, not surprisingly. We note that PTY, in line with requests to companies from the FCA and FRC, is formally delaying its results announcement for FY2019A (year to December), which would in the normal course of events have been published today. A new release date will be issued in due course. Re 2019, the company highlights its update from January indicating inline P&L performance in FY19A combined with good progress on cash resulting in an anticipated net positive cash situation at the year end.
Companies: FIH Group Parity Group
WANdisco recently confirmed that its Fusion product is on track for full availability with Microsoft ‘in the next few weeks’. In this audio clip CEO David Richards describes the commercial implications of this and how the business is navigating the challenges of COVID-19. WANdisco’s proprietary replication technology enables its customers to solve critical data management challenges created by the shift to cloud computing. It has established partner relationships with leading players in the cloud ecosystem including Amazon and Microsoft.
Following continued delays of a Brexit agreement, few sectors within the UK market have remained attractive to investors despite low valuations. One sector which has continued to outperform despite the political drama has been the UK video gaming sector (henceforth UK gaming), which we are fans of. We believe a combination of sector-leading growth, strong cash conversion and timely cyclical positioning support our positive view on the UK video gaming sector.
Companies: ABBY AMS ANX ARS ATYM AVON BLVN PIER BUR CGS CAML CDM CSRT TIDE CYAN DTG DEMG ELM EMR FPO FDEV GTLY GENL GHH GRI GEEC GKP HMI HAYD HEAD HILS HTG HUR IBPO IOG INDI JHD JOG KAPE KEYS KWS KCT KGH LAM LIT LOK MACF MANO MOD OXIG PCA PANR APP SRE PHC PMO RBW RMM RBGP REDD RSW RNO ROR SUS SCPA SEN SHG SOLG SOM SUMO TM17 INCE TWD TRAK TRI VNET VTC ZOO ZTF
Software stocks that enable corporates to sell more, improve quality, cut costs, save employees time and/or reduce their ‘carbon footprints’ are ideally placed in today’s tech/ESG world. Cue Elecosoft, who said this morning that 2019 PBT would be “ahead of LY” (£3.67m) and “in line with expectations” (consensus £4.1m) - despite being impacted by forex (ED est -2%, weaker SEK vs £) and macro uncertainties (eg Brexit, General Election and subdued Eurozone). We think this is a creditable outcome. Not least because it underlines the resilience of the business - while the results are actually a touch better than our previous (bottom of the range) profit & cashflow estimates, albeit with revenues a smidgeon shy.
H120 numbers show continued 15% organic revenue growth with a slight shift in the mix to direct sales from connectors and the continued themes of strong (33%) International growth, strong growth in new Functionality and rising (+14%) ARPU. At present just about 20% of group sales come from clients using more than one communications channel, giving dotDigital a considerable omni-channel cross-sell opportunity.
Companies: Dotdigital Group
The last week has seen an unprecedented change in the global transportation industry as governments and people around the world implement drastic measures to limit the impact of the Coronavirus. These measures have already permanently changed the global transportation industry and, as Seeing Machines is a transportation focused technology company, we attempt to qualify and quantify what some of this could mean to it following its COVID-19 update statement. In summary we believe Seeing Machines will be affected in the near term from this period of uncertainty, and we have rebased our forecasts to account for this, but also that Seeing Machines will be resilient to this with significant cash runway to ride out the effects of the COVID-19 outbreak fallout, based on these revised expectations and with some flexibility in its cost base. We believe these revised expectations should provide headroom for upgrades as the transportation industry eventually emerges from the crisis, adapts to a new normal and resumes its focus on improved passenger safety.
Companies: Seeing Machines