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Companies: SEEFOGWRLNETAVOND4T4IDOXIGPIOMKCOMSDMTEPUNGIQENAUTKBTAMOLRMEOGMAIALTSRTTRAKNASAPHDBOTBZOOARTAPPCHURVIPRCNQXTKWSONEVTAXIOGCYANSYMEPMGCITYQTX7DIGFEVRTPOPSPECTPRTHMCHARSSYSIMTRMRWANDSTR932MMXDTT
Ten Lifestyle Hldgs. Technology-enabled lifestyle and travel platform providing trusted concierge services to the world's wealthy. Net revenue increased from £20 million in the year ended 31 August 2015 to £33 million in the year ended 31 August 2017, a compound annual growth rate of 29%. Offer and date TBA. AfriTin Mining—Demerger from Bushveld Minerals (BMN.L). Offer TBA. Due 6 Nov. The Uis Tin project (Namibia) is considered the flagship tin asset within the portfolio, as this was once the largest open cast tine mine of its kind in the world . Footasylum Ltd—UK-based fashion retailer focusing on the branded footwear and apparel markets announced its intention to seek admission to AIM. Expected value between £130m and £150m. Due Nov 2017. Central Asia Metals (CAML) -RTO of Lynx Resources. Anticipated market capitalisation at Admission: £404.8m. Raising £113m at 230p. Acquiring the SASA zinc-lead mine in Macedonia from Solway Industries. Due 15 Dec. OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c.£50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m. Orogen plc, to be renamed Sosandar plc on Admission. Sosandar is an online womenswear brand specifically targeted at a generation of women who have graduated from younger online and high street brands, and are looking for affordable clothing with a premium, trend-led aesthetic. Offer to raise £5.3m with market cap of £16.1m, expected 2 November 2017 OG Graphite, brownfield development-stage graphite company focused on the reactivation of its wholly-owned Kearney natural flake graphite mine and mill located 280 km north of Toronto, Canada. Offer TBA, expected mid November .
Companies: MERC EME RQIH SOLG LRM AEG BEG
Predicting the exact moment when large contracts land is never easy, but made doubly difficult if customer purchasing decisions are impacted by outside forces. This has been the case for LRM in the first half, as several chunky orders have been pushed to the right ahead of new MiFID II rules being introduced on 3 Jan’18. Not least, one significant collateral deal, worth £3.25m in license fees alone, which is now anticipated to be signed in late Q3, or early Q4.
Companies: Lombard Risk Management
Companies: CONNDSCVBOOTRNWHCMSLOKLRMCLLSTAFSXXULVRWYGUTWMVRSVCAPRSMPURPVANLWATRPPHTRMRBOOFCRM
After such an outstanding close to FY17, it was almost inevitable that Q1’18 was going to be somewhat quieter for new license orders. This happens most years (see below) as the pipeline is naturally replenished following a strong Q4. Typically leading to a 35%- 45% vs 65%-55% revenue split across H1:H2. We suspect FY18 will be no different, albeit perhaps pitched towards the bottom of the range.
‘You ain’t seen nothing yet’ was a phrase famously coined by US President Ronald Reagan back in 1984. 33 years on, it could equally apply to today’s hugely impressive FY17 prelims from Lombard Risk
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Companies: ACSOTRILRMGATCSDXGMDPEL
Many bank executives often complain about the reams of financial red-tape coming out of Brussels, London and New York. Not so Lombard Risk, which this morning delivered what can only be described as a ‘phenomenal’ set of results – reporting FY17 turnover, EBITDA and net cash all substantially above our estimates at £34.0m-£34.4m (vs ED at £31.8m), £2.4m-£2.8m (-£0.4m) and £7.0m (£1.4m) respectively.
Global Ports Holding—Intention to float on Standard List. International cruise ports operator. Seeking $250m raise including $75m primary offer. Dorcaster—Schedule One Update. Admission now expected 3 May. RTO of Escape Hunt raising £14m at 135p Verditek— Intention to float on AIM. On Admission, the Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Raising £3.5m. Admission in May. Eddie Stobart Logistics— Schedule 1. Admission expected 25 April but capital raising details TBC. ADES International Holding— Intends to join the Standard List in May raising up to $170m plus a vendor sale. Provider of offshore and onshore oil and gas drilling and production services in the Middle East and Africa. Admission expected in May. Tufton Oceanic Assets– Offer extended to 9 May to enable investors to complete further due diligence.
Companies: RBD SGI LRM VNET EMH SYS1 ALT BIRD MAGP
Investing in small caps always involves some degree of risk. Nonetheless, when it is possible to find a high tech software stock like LRM, that is expanding its top line at >2x the industry average (or >7x global GDP) – of which 40% of sales is recurring and 58% denominated in non £ currencies - yet is priced at less than a third of sector EV/revenue levels (see below), then investors should take note.
Who would want to be a City trader? One minute risking £millions on the whims of the market, while the next worrying about whether you’ve inadvertently broken any rules. Well, the good news is that there’s help at hand. Enter specialist ‘RegTech’ provider Lombard Risk Management (LRM), whose cutting edge software takes the stress and legwork out of ‘Regulatory Reporting’ and ‘Collateral Management’.
Share prices are built on expectations - expectations about all sorts of things, such as a company’s future sales growth, the trend in margins and the profits it can return. Understanding those expectations and how they move is critical to share price formation. Listing rules require quoted companies to update investors on progress relative to expectations. What managements often fail to understand is that many of their key investors do not have access to brokers’ research and, thus, cannot put management statements into context. It is these very investors that can cause shock movements in share prices on announcements in limited trading.
Companies: ABZA AGY ARBB BUR COG CLIG DNL LRM MUR ODX PPH YGEN PHP PURP RE/ RGD REDX SCLP TRX TON CHOC AVO AVCT TETY
hallenger Acquisitions* (CHAL.L) | Milestone Group * (MSG.L) | Water Intelligence (WATR.L) | Action Hotels (AHCG.L) | IXICO (IXI.L) | Aggregated Micro (AMPH.L) | REDX Pharma (REDX.L) | Lombard Risk Management (LRM.L) | Quantum Pharma (QP.L) | Solid State (SOLI.L)
Companies: AHCG AMPH REDX LRM QP/ SOLI
LRM revenues jump 40% to £15m
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Lombard Risk Management. We currently have 69 research reports from 6 professional analysts.
As a nation, we love knocking ourselves. However in truth, we’re actually a pretty pioneering bunch. For instance, the experts at Oxford University & AstraZeneca have developed one of the world’s 3 most important vaccines in double quick time. Plus, many other British firms are creating similar breakthrough Covid inventions, such as Kromek.
Companies: Kromek Group Plc
H1A delivered a very resilient performance given the backdrop of halted deliveries and reduced manufacturing capacity. Orders and shipments are resuming and a ramp up in activity levels is expected in H2. A cash outflow in H1A has been supported by new committed facilities and gross cash levels look set to support the business successfully through the second half and beyond.
Gamesys has reported a positive pre-close trading update. Strong momentum continued into Q420 and management now expects FY20 pro forma revenue and adjusted EBITDA will be at or above the upper end of current market expectations. We increase our FY21 and FY22 adjusted EBITDA forecasts by 4–6% due to higher revenue growth from a larger active customer base, and a higher and stable EBITDA margin that reflects ongoing investment in growing a sustainable business with a focus on responsible gambling. On our new forecasts, the free cash flow (FCF) yield for FY21e is 10.1% and the dividend yield is 3.0%.
Companies: Gamesys Group PLC
WEY Educaon (WEY) – Corporate – Trading significantly ahead; strong momentum prompts new ’21/’22E forecast Touchstar (TST) – Corporate – Update points to a robust trading performance and strong cash generaon in the year
Companies: Wey Education PLC (WEY:LON)Touchstar plc (TST:LON)
Instem has delivered a positive trading update for the year to 31 December 2020 – revenue growth was “in excess of 11%”, suggesting a performance in line with our estimates, and net cash appears to have ended the year extremely strongly, with a figure of £26.7m vs our expectation of £22.4m.
Companies: Instem plc
A busy post-YE update reveals a strong H2 performance despite the second wave of COVID-19, and management expects to meet our FY20 forecasts of revenue and adj. earnings growth. As noted last year, there will be a £1.6m exceptional provision in FY20 for replacing its US tracking devices as 3G service ends there in 2022; it will not affect FY20 adj. earnings but will impact FY21 cashflow. YE net cash was slightly above expectations at £10.6m despite a laudable repayment of all government COVID support received. Most of that cash balance should be distributed in the return of the supplemented final dividend, subject to conditions at the time of the declaration in March. Looking ahead to FY21, management sees notable Fleet growth opportunities post-COVID and is flagging an extra c.£1m investment – mainly in sales & marketing – with a new focus on revenue expansion, and we expect to see the benefits of that in FY22. The CFO, Dan Mendis, will supervise this Fleet expansion, moving to the role of Group Commercial Director while Emily Rees joins to replace him in April. We adjust our FY21 forecasts accordingly and issue FY22 expectations for growth. With the business well on track, we raise our TP from 435p to 450p.
Companies: Quartix Holdings Plc
iEnergizer announced the proposed payment of a special dividend worth 49.4p ($0.668) per share. The group has stated the stock will go ex-div on 14th January 2021, with a pay date of 5th February 2021. At a total value of £94m ($127m), this dividend represents a significant payout for shareholders, c.13% of Group's market cap of £730m. We acknowledge this to be a clear signal of confidence in the growth trajectory and current operations.
Companies: iEnergizer Limited
Instem has delivered another year of double digit revenue growth, in line with expectations. Progress has been made across all three business streams, buoyed by strong demand from new and existing customers. A key highlight is cash generation, with Y/E net cash £3.2m better than expectations at £26.7m (pre-IFRS16). The outlook remains positive, with further organic growth opportunities in areas such as SEND exploitation and Informatics. The company remains in active discussions with a number of acquisition targets following the £15.0m fundraise in July. The valuation remains extremely undemanding and we continue to see significant upside potential for a business with multiple organic and acquisitive growth opportunities.
Touchstar is a supplier of mobile data computing solutions and managed services to a variety of industrial sectors. The group has this morning released a year-end update, pointing to the fact that the Board expects to report a profitable outcome for the year (H1 2020A PBT £130k, PAT £150k). Importantly, the positive cash generation seen in H1 2020A has continued into H2, with Touchstar ending the year with a net cash position of £1.6m (gross cash £1.9m), a further increase of £300k from that reported at 30th June.
Companies: Touchstar plc
Following Fonix successfully raising £45m through an oversubscribed IPO on 12 October, we initiate our coverage with a target price of 150p. The investment case is focused upon Fonix leveraging its proprietary, cloud-based platform to expand with existing clients and win new clients within a robust UK phone-paid services market. The structural strength of Fonix’s platform is demonstrated by Fonix experiencing no churn from major customers in the past six years, which reflects that Fonix benefits from strategic integration and strong relationships with its clients. Fonix’s FY20 gross profit and EBITDA grew by +22% and +36% respectively, and we conservatively forecast +11-12% EBITDA and EPS growth in FY21 and FY22. On 12m forward EV/EBITDA of 10x and an EFCF yield of 7%, Fonix looks considerably undervalued compared to AIM payment and finnCap Tech 40 peers that are trading on 12m fwd EV/EBITDA of 17-20x with 7-17% EBITDA growth, and EFCF yields of 1-3%. We base our 150p target price on 15x FY22 EV/EBITDA or a 5% FY22 EFCF yield, and look forward to Fonix’s trading update in early 2021.
Companies: Fonix Mobile PLC
Cornish Metals (TSX-V: CUSN) intends to list on AIM. The Company is proposing to raise £5 million by way of private placement of new Common Shares (the "Fundraising") to advance the United Downs copper-tin project. The Company expects that Admission will become effective in February 2021. The Company's Common Shares will continue to be listed and trade on the TSX-V in Canada. Further media reports that Dr Martens, the British Boot brand is planning an IPO on the LSE. It is currently owned by PE group, Permira who is expected to sell down its stake at the IPO. March 2020 YE the group had revenues of £672m and EBITDA of £184m. Deal size TBC. VH Global Sustainable Energy Opportunities plc, a closed-ended investment Company focused on making sustainable energy infrastructure investments, today announces intends to launch an initial public offering of shares on the Official List (Premium) of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Due by Early Feb. Moonpig, the digital greeting card company, is planning an IPO with a potential valuation of £1bln, according to multiple media reports. Further details expected to be announced over the next two weeks.
Companies: ZPHR PANR PRSM SENS CYAN G4M ITX CRCL FEN ZIN
It has been a year the likes of which we have never seen before, and hope never to see again. The description of the impact of the CV19 pandemic as K-shaped certainly feels accurate, with some sectors being well placed to benefit from the creative disruption that has engulfed the world, accelerating structural changes, while others through no fault of their own have been severely impacted. This has been the case for the Dowgate portfolio of corporate clients, with our quoted clients falling into three groups. The first, comprising Cambridge Cognition, GRC, The Panoply, S4 Capital and Water Intelligence have on average seen their share prices double this year as structural changes accelerated by CV19 have been accompanied by strong execution. The second, comprising Franchise Brands, OTAQ and SEEEN, have experienced share price declines averaging a third as their businesses have either been directly impacted by CV19 or their growth aspirations curtailed. The final group comprises those companies which have been bid for this year, namely Be Heard, Hunters Property, Huntsworth and Reach4Entertainment. Looking into 2021, we expect continued strong performance from the first group and a rebound in the second as the world returns to normal. Finally, having completed Series A/B rounds for a range of private companies this year, we hope to bring these entrepreneur-led, growth companies to market in 2021.
Companies: COG FRAN GRC OTAQ TPX SFOR SEEN WATR
Tern plc* (TERN.L, 7.1p/£23.5m) Portfolio update: Strong business momentum (12.01.21) | Audioboom plc* (BOOM.L, 276p/£43.3m) Expanded content network (15.01.21)
Companies: Tern Plc (TERN:LON)Audioboom Group PLC (BOOM:LON)
Material acceleration of strategic plan
Companies: MelodyVR Group PLC
Crimson Tide has reported a strong set of H1 results evidencing very strong sales momentum backed by long-term contracts and cash flow. H1 sales grew by 40% and EPS by 154%. Net cash has improved to £0.8m at June 2020 from nil at December 2019. The strategic focus on transportation and supermarkets is working well, partnerships are improving routes to market, and there is growing traction from investments in innovation. We have left our forecasts unchanged for now, but recognise positive pressure and have upgraded our target price from 3.1p to 4.3p. We reiterate our view that Crimson Tide’s valuation will be dictated by its ability to convert the significant opportunity rather than short-term metrics. H1 results show the group is nicely on track to do exactly that.
Companies: Crimson Tide Plc
