ANGLE PLC | GLOBAL INVACOM GROUP LTD | MATCHTECH GROUP PLC | METMINCO LTD | MYTRAH ENERGY LTD | PORTMEIRION GROUP PLC | RENEURON GROUP PLC | SERVICEPOWER TECHNOLOGIES
Companies: MNC RAD GATC SVR MYT PMP AGL RENE
Magnolia Petroleum (MAGP.L) | Metal Tiger (MTR.L) | Metminco ( MNC.L) | ReNeuron Group (RENE.L) | Global Invacom Group (GINV.L) | Matchtech Group (MTEC.L) | ServicePower Tech (SVR.L) | Mytrah Energy (MYT) | Portmeirion Group (PMP.L) | ANGLE (AGL.L)
Companies: MAG MNC GINV GATC SVR MYT PMP AGL RENE
Turnarounds are notoriously tricky even at the best of times. Inevitably once one problem is fixed, another crops up – which is what has happened this year at ServicePower. H1 revenues at £6.8m showed impressive growth of 12.8%, after a series of blue chip contract wins. Since then, like many small caps, the going has got progressively tougher – characterised by longer sales cycles as clients have become increasingly nervous due to slower global growth, emerging market instability, terrorism, lacklustre demand in China and falling commodity/oil prices.
Companies: Servicepower Technologies
7DIG Half Yearly Reports, AVG Final Results, BMR Potential, COS Agreement, IKA Patent grant, MGR Half Yearly Report, MXO* Half Yearly Report and Update, OBT Half Yearly Report, OPTI* Completion of Study, ORM Half Yearly Report, PLI* Meeting with US FDA, SVR Interim Results, VLG Interim Results, UNG New Contract Win .
Companies: 7DIG AVG BMR IKA MXO WBI OPTI PLI SVR VLG UNG ORM PMI
Microcap software is a stock-pickers paradise par excellence. Not only is the sector poorly covered by the City, but also the returns can reach nosebleed levels. Here the technology is often niche and difficult to copy – hence creating predictable revenues, healthy margins and positive cashflows. But the really exciting bit comes when growth is added; effectively turbo-charging profits as incremental sales largely drop down to the bottom line.
AFPO Memorandum of Understanding, AAU Quarterly Newsletter, ATQT Directorate Change, COS Participation, FITB* Board Changes and Appointment of CEO, G4M Trading Update, MARL* Exercise of Warrants, Termination and CPR, MDZ* Final Results, MXO* Nigerian Update, OPTI* Half Yearly Report, PEG* Directorate Change and Half yearly Report, PLI* Expansion of Phase II, SVR Award and Patents, STEL Licence Application, ZEG Intention to Move to Official List
Companies: BLCC AAU ATQT G4M MDZ MXO OPTI SVR ZEG STEL MARL BIDS
AVN Financing, BLU Timeline and Results, ECK Contract Wins, FITB Placing, Subscription and Convertible Loan Note, HRN Admission to AIM, MARL Estimate, MMH Interim Results, MXO Mexico Update, NET Contract Win, PLI Q2 Results and Highlights, SVR Contract Win, TRCS Trading Update, UNG Launch, VENN Trading Update
Companies: AVN ECK HRN MMH MXO PLI SVR TRCS UNG ORPH NET MARL BIDS
BOOM Half Yearly Report, COG New Research, CRU Preliminary Results, FEVR Interim Results, HCM Innovation Patent, IVO Investments, JRIC Half Yearly Report, MJW Launch of Naked Wines, MARL* Resource Estimation, MXO* Drilling Commences and Director Dealing, NAK Final Results, PEG* Trading Update, SAR* CHK1 Update, SDI Final Results, SVR Trading Statement, STAF Interim Results, SNX Interim Results
Companies: COG CRU FEVR IVO WINE MXO NAK PEG SAR SDI SVR STAF SNX MARL HCM BOOM
Earnings upgrade cycles are like gold-dust. Get on board early, and the returns, especially for off-the-beaten track stocks like ServicePower, can lead to very rich-pickings for investors.
Ultra-low interest rates and improving corporate balance sheets have helped drive M&A activity to record highs – climbing 47% in 2014 to $3.5 trillion in terms of announced deals, and up another 38% to $2.2 trillion in H1’15 (source: Reuters).
C21 Contract Win, ABDP Interim Results, AFHP Acquisition, AVCT Interim Results, CDOG Final Results, CRE Trading Update and Acquisition, ECK Trading Update, FDBK Trading Update, FITB* Partnership, MARL* Trading Update, MSG* Trading Update, MPAY Preliminary Results, MXO* Update, PTSG Final Results, SVR Contract Wins, THAL New Contracts
Companies: C21 ABDP AFHP CRE ECK FDBK MPAY MXO PTSG SVR THAL MARL AVCT BIDS CTEA
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Servicepower Technologies. We currently have 22 research reports from 3 professional analysts.
As a nation, we love knocking ourselves. However in truth, we’re actually a pretty pioneering bunch. For instance, the experts at Oxford University & AstraZeneca have developed one of the world’s 3 most important vaccines in double quick time. Plus, many other British firms are creating similar breakthrough Covid inventions, such as Kromek.
Companies: Kromek Group Plc
H1A delivered a very resilient performance given the backdrop of halted deliveries and reduced manufacturing capacity. Orders and shipments are resuming and a ramp up in activity levels is expected in H2. A cash outflow in H1A has been supported by new committed facilities and gross cash levels look set to support the business successfully through the second half and beyond.
Gamesys has reported a positive pre-close trading update. Strong momentum continued into Q420 and management now expects FY20 pro forma revenue and adjusted EBITDA will be at or above the upper end of current market expectations. We increase our FY21 and FY22 adjusted EBITDA forecasts by 4–6% due to higher revenue growth from a larger active customer base, and a higher and stable EBITDA margin that reflects ongoing investment in growing a sustainable business with a focus on responsible gambling. On our new forecasts, the free cash flow (FCF) yield for FY21e is 10.1% and the dividend yield is 3.0%.
Companies: Gamesys Group PLC
WEY Educaon (WEY) – Corporate – Trading significantly ahead; strong momentum prompts new ’21/’22E forecast Touchstar (TST) – Corporate – Update points to a robust trading performance and strong cash generaon in the year
Companies: Wey Education PLC (WEY:LON)Touchstar plc (TST:LON)
A busy post-YE update reveals a strong H2 performance despite the second wave of COVID-19, and management expects to meet our FY20 forecasts of revenue and adj. earnings growth. As noted last year, there will be a £1.6m exceptional provision in FY20 for replacing its US tracking devices as 3G service ends there in 2022; it will not affect FY20 adj. earnings but will impact FY21 cashflow. YE net cash was slightly above expectations at £10.6m despite a laudable repayment of all government COVID support received. Most of that cash balance should be distributed in the return of the supplemented final dividend, subject to conditions at the time of the declaration in March. Looking ahead to FY21, management sees notable Fleet growth opportunities post-COVID and is flagging an extra c.£1m investment – mainly in sales & marketing – with a new focus on revenue expansion, and we expect to see the benefits of that in FY22. The CFO, Dan Mendis, will supervise this Fleet expansion, moving to the role of Group Commercial Director while Emily Rees joins to replace him in April. We adjust our FY21 forecasts accordingly and issue FY22 expectations for growth. With the business well on track, we raise our TP from 435p to 450p.
Companies: Quartix Holdings Plc
iEnergizer announced the proposed payment of a special dividend worth 49.4p ($0.668) per share. The group has stated the stock will go ex-div on 14th January 2021, with a pay date of 5th February 2021. At a total value of £94m ($127m), this dividend represents a significant payout for shareholders, c.13% of Group's market cap of £730m. We acknowledge this to be a clear signal of confidence in the growth trajectory and current operations.
Companies: iEnergizer Limited
Instem has delivered a positive trading update for the year to 31 December 2020 – revenue growth was “in excess of 11%”, suggesting a performance in line with our estimates, and net cash appears to have ended the year extremely strongly, with a figure of £26.7m vs our expectation of £22.4m.
Companies: Instem plc
Instem has delivered another year of double digit revenue growth, in line with expectations. Progress has been made across all three business streams, buoyed by strong demand from new and existing customers. A key highlight is cash generation, with Y/E net cash £3.2m better than expectations at £26.7m (pre-IFRS16). The outlook remains positive, with further organic growth opportunities in areas such as SEND exploitation and Informatics. The company remains in active discussions with a number of acquisition targets following the £15.0m fundraise in July. The valuation remains extremely undemanding and we continue to see significant upside potential for a business with multiple organic and acquisitive growth opportunities.
Touchstar is a supplier of mobile data computing solutions and managed services to a variety of industrial sectors. The group has this morning released a year-end update, pointing to the fact that the Board expects to report a profitable outcome for the year (H1 2020A PBT £130k, PAT £150k). Importantly, the positive cash generation seen in H1 2020A has continued into H2, with Touchstar ending the year with a net cash position of £1.6m (gross cash £1.9m), a further increase of £300k from that reported at 30th June.
Companies: Touchstar plc
Cornish Metals (TSX-V: CUSN) intends to list on AIM. The Company is proposing to raise £5 million by way of private placement of new Common Shares (the "Fundraising") to advance the United Downs copper-tin project. The Company expects that Admission will become effective in February 2021. The Company's Common Shares will continue to be listed and trade on the TSX-V in Canada. Further media reports that Dr Martens, the British Boot brand is planning an IPO on the LSE. It is currently owned by PE group, Permira who is expected to sell down its stake at the IPO. March 2020 YE the group had revenues of £672m and EBITDA of £184m. Deal size TBC. VH Global Sustainable Energy Opportunities plc, a closed-ended investment Company focused on making sustainable energy infrastructure investments, today announces intends to launch an initial public offering of shares on the Official List (Premium) of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Due by Early Feb. Moonpig, the digital greeting card company, is planning an IPO with a potential valuation of £1bln, according to multiple media reports. Further details expected to be announced over the next two weeks.
Companies: ZPHR PANR PRSM SENS CYAN G4M ITX CRCL FEN ZIN
Material acceleration of strategic plan
Companies: MelodyVR Group PLC
Crimson Tide has reported a strong set of H1 results evidencing very strong sales momentum backed by long-term contracts and cash flow. H1 sales grew by 40% and EPS by 154%. Net cash has improved to £0.8m at June 2020 from nil at December 2019. The strategic focus on transportation and supermarkets is working well, partnerships are improving routes to market, and there is growing traction from investments in innovation. We have left our forecasts unchanged for now, but recognise positive pressure and have upgraded our target price from 3.1p to 4.3p. We reiterate our view that Crimson Tide’s valuation will be dictated by its ability to convert the significant opportunity rather than short-term metrics. H1 results show the group is nicely on track to do exactly that.
Companies: Crimson Tide Plc
Following Fonix successfully raising £45m through an oversubscribed IPO on 12 October, we initiate our coverage with a target price of 150p. The investment case is focused upon Fonix leveraging its proprietary, cloud-based platform to expand with existing clients and win new clients within a robust UK phone-paid services market. The structural strength of Fonix’s platform is demonstrated by Fonix experiencing no churn from major customers in the past six years, which reflects that Fonix benefits from strategic integration and strong relationships with its clients. Fonix’s FY20 gross profit and EBITDA grew by +22% and +36% respectively, and we conservatively forecast +11-12% EBITDA and EPS growth in FY21 and FY22. On 12m forward EV/EBITDA of 10x and an EFCF yield of 7%, Fonix looks considerably undervalued compared to AIM payment and finnCap Tech 40 peers that are trading on 12m fwd EV/EBITDA of 17-20x with 7-17% EBITDA growth, and EFCF yields of 1-3%. We base our 150p target price on 15x FY22 EV/EBITDA or a 5% FY22 EFCF yield, and look forward to Fonix’s trading update in early 2021.
Companies: Fonix Mobile PLC
It’s often said that ‘Rome wasn’t built in a day’. What’s less well appreciated is that many international capitals could literally become ‘ghost towns’ overnight, if attacked by terrorists, rogue nations &/or organised criminals, who successfully detonated a ‘dirty bomb’.
It has been a year the likes of which we have never seen before, and hope never to see again. The description of the impact of the CV19 pandemic as K-shaped certainly feels accurate, with some sectors being well placed to benefit from the creative disruption that has engulfed the world, accelerating structural changes, while others through no fault of their own have been severely impacted. This has been the case for the Dowgate portfolio of corporate clients, with our quoted clients falling into three groups. The first, comprising Cambridge Cognition, GRC, The Panoply, S4 Capital and Water Intelligence have on average seen their share prices double this year as structural changes accelerated by CV19 have been accompanied by strong execution. The second, comprising Franchise Brands, OTAQ and SEEEN, have experienced share price declines averaging a third as their businesses have either been directly impacted by CV19 or their growth aspirations curtailed. The final group comprises those companies which have been bid for this year, namely Be Heard, Hunters Property, Huntsworth and Reach4Entertainment. Looking into 2021, we expect continued strong performance from the first group and a rebound in the second as the world returns to normal. Finally, having completed Series A/B rounds for a range of private companies this year, we hope to bring these entrepreneur-led, growth companies to market in 2021.
Companies: COG FRAN GRC OTAQ TPX SFOR SEEN WATR
