Evoko has announced the launch of its Naso panel. This is its first panel to offer a suite of SaaS software tools and these are supplied exclusively by SmartSpace. Shipments are expected to commence Monday 7th Dec and Evoko points to “amazing interest” in its new product. We believe this will represent a material revenue/GP uplift for SMART (scenarios below). SMRT also updates that SwipedOn continues to see customer and ARPU growth and that it will launch SwipedOn desks from December through early 2021. This has the potential to lead to a “step-change” in SwipeON ARPU (multiples of current ARPU) over time. Our SOTP model for SmartSpace points to a valuation of c. £40m compared to the current £28m mkt cap.
Companies: Smartspace Software Plc
SMRT has delivered a highly encouraging 1HJul21 today, with key asset SwipedOn delivering >60% revs growth, >70% ARR growth and moving to EBITDA b/e. This note reviews in detail the value proposition for both SwipedOn and Space Connect as well as the opportunities ahead. We believe that increased flexible working and contactless check-in will provide a tailwind to an already high growth business. SwipedOn is delivering best-in-class SaaS metrics, while Space Connect has inked promising reseller agreements with Softcat and Evoko. We look at scenario’s where SmartSpace could be worth almost twice the current mkt cap.
Wheaton precious Metals (TSE:WPM) - Proposed secondary listing on bringing one of the world’s largest precious metal streaming companies to the London Stock Exchange. Due Q 2020 AB Ignitis grupe—leading utility and renewable energy company in the Baltic region. Admission of its Shares to the Main Trading List of Nasdaq Vilnius and admission of its GDRs to the Official List of the FCA. Offer Price Range corresponds to a market capitalisation of approximately EUR1,691.7 - EUR2,105.2 million. Due 7 Oct. Calnex, an established provider of test and measurement solutions for the global telecommunications sector, will raise a total of £22.5 million (before expenses), comprising £6.0 million for the Company and £16.5 million for existing shareholders . Due 5 October 2020, under the ticker CLX. Based on the Placing Price, the market capitalisation of the Company will be £42.0 million on Admission. Various Eateries to float on AIM. Admission is expected to take place end of September/early October 2020. The Company intends to raise up to £25 million by way of a placing . Established platform business operating two core brands, Coppa Club & Tavolino, both positioned to benefit from the post-Covid environment. The Directors believe site availability, acquisition opportunities, reduced competition, availability of talent and changes in consumer behaviour provide opportunities to accelerate the Group's growth . Mode Global Holdings to join LSE (standard). Mode is a UK-based Fintech Group, building a modern financial services business to support an increasingly digitised economy and financial system, combining the best of banking, payments, investment, loyalty and digital assets. Targeting £7.5m raise. Guild Esports a UK-based owner and developer of esports teams, has announced its intention to seek a listing of its ordinary shares to the Standard Listing segment of the London Stock Exchange this autumn. its founding shareholders include David Beckham, former football player and captain of England, and now co-owner of new MLS team Inter Miami CF. HOME REIT intends to float to the Main Market raising up to £250m. The Company will seek to contribute to the alleviation of homelessness in the UK, whilst targeting inflation-protected income and capital returns, by investing in a diversified portfolio of assets across the UK which will be dedicated to providing accommodation to the homeless. Due Mid October Sativa Wellness Group—(Canadian Securities Exchange: STIL) renamed from Stillcanna Inc following the conditional acquisition of Sativa Group (AQSE:SATI) to list on the AQUIS Exchange. A fully integrated European seed to consumer CBD group with the pricing, products, and stability to meet the CBD market demand in the medium term. With world-class extraction and formulation experts, an agricultural team that has over 20 years’ experience farming hemp, along with laboratory testing capabilities, the group has established itself globally as a trusted source of high-grade, premium wholesale CBD brands and products. Umuthi Healthcare Solutions Plc, the technology led healthcare business focused on the distribution of pharmaceuticals and the provision of medical facilities in remote areas, seeking admission to the Standard Listing segment of the Official List Kibo Energy PLC, the multi-asset Africa focused energy company, is seeking admission for its 100% owned UK subsidiary Sloane Developments Ltd , which will be renamed Mast Energy Developments PLC (MED), to the Standard List of the London Stock Exchange plc . Targeted for Q4 2020. The MED business strategy is to acquire and develop a portfolio of flexible small-scale power generation assets, exploiting a growth niche market in the UK for Reserve Power generation to balance out the national grid at critical times.
Companies: PEG GYG VDTK SMRT ORR BIOM BLOE IXI TRR CPP
With today’s sale of Enterprise software for £5m cash, SmartSpace completes its transition to a fast growing SaaS business focused on meeting room and visitor management for the SME market. The new focused business has modest burn and is amply funded for many years to come (pro forma net cash c. £5.7m). SMRT also updates today that strong (c. 80% yoy) SwipedOn growth has continued in July and that the first SoftCat reseller Space Connect deals are coming through. We detail below our long standing belief that the constituent businesses could be worth well in excess of the current market capitalisation of £17m. We see a long runway ahead for SMRT which presents an opportunity for a stock that is still largely off the market’s radar.
Smartspace released positive news for both Space Connect and SwipedOn on Friday, sending the stock nearly 50% higher. Space Connect has signed a distribution agreement with Softcat and the SwipedOn has posted 80% yoy growth in AAR. Encouragingly too, SMRT also flagged current net cash at £1.7m (vs. £1.9m in April) demonstrating impressive reliance despite a challenging macro backdrop. In fact, SMRT has adapted quickly and is proving a ‘Covid beneficiary‘, seeing strong inbound demand as customers look for safe news ways to conduct business. Reassured by this, we continue to believe that Space Connect and SwipedOn could be worth considerably more than the current market cap.
Caribbean Investment Holdings. Incorporated in Belize. Readmission to AIM. CIHL.L primarily operates financial services businesses through its subsidiaries The Belize Bank Limited and Belize Bank International Limited, both located in Belize and international corporate services through Belize Corporate Services Limited. CIHL shares are also traded on the Bermuda Stock Exchange. Lord Ashcroft holds 75%. No capital raise. 2019 net profit US$ 10.7m. Mkt cap £38.6m.
Companies: SAR ROCK DFCH TPX FAB UKOG AEG SMRT IRR
SMRT has updated the market on current trading – the company is seeing resilience and robust trading in certain parts of the business while solutions serving meeting room and visitor management have understandably seen some disruption. With the group now capitalised at just £5m, we think the market has (wrongly) assumed fundamental challenges. From our perspective the situation and outlook are considerably more positive – we continue to see two exciting businesses (in SwipedOn and Space Connect) which could actually be long-term CV-19 beneficiaries and with little doubt, in our opinion, worth considerably in excess of the current market cap.
Evoko is today announcing the launch of its next-gen Naso meeting room panel. SmartSpace’s Space Connect is the exclusive software provider for this panel and is set to benefit from royalties and associated SaaS revenues for a product that may have a TAM of up to €30m for SmartSpace. We think the value of the Space Connect and SwipedOn acquisitions have not remotely been factored into SMRT’s mkt cap.
Intention to float by Gemfields Group. No Capital Raise. Currently listed on JSE. (GML:JNB) at circa £122m. The Group's key producing assets, the Kagem emerald mine in Zambia (believed to be the world's single largest producing emerald mine) and the Montepuez ruby mine in Mozambique (one of the most significant recently discovered ruby deposits in the world), are both expected to have long mine-lives with potential for expansion. Also owns the Faberge brand. Due Valentines Day 2020.
Companies: PHE AGL CORA GMR UFO OPG SMRT DNL PRES AFS
SMRT has today provided a year-end trading update, stating that sales and EBITDA will be below our previous expectations. We therefore revise FY20E sales from £11.4m to £6.3m and EBITDA from £-1.2m to £-6.2m. We also adjust FY21E sales from £15.9mm to £14.0m. While this is undoubtedly disappointing news, it is worth stressing three key points: 1) the downgrade has been caused by hardware supply chain constraints (rather than falling demand for SMRT’s products) 2) the impacted business has not fallen away, but is rather now expected to be delivered in H1FY21 and 3) SwipedOn – which alone could be worth more than the group’s current market cap – is said to be trading strongly.
SmartSpace has announced the acquisition of Space Connect. The £3.2m acquisition significantly enhances the group’s mid-market capability and results in substantial R&D savings going forwards. H1’20 results, published alongside the acquisition, show progress with the group’s new software led strategy, with software revenue up 53% and total revenue up 57% to £3.0m. FY’20 is now expected to be significantly second half weighted, however our full year expectations are underpinned by a qualified pipeline of nonrecurring software opportunities. We continue to believe the group is well positioned in the high growth ‘space & workplace management software’ market (15% CAGR forecast to 2022) and expect further progress through our forecast period.
Facebook has been working to develop augmented reality glasses out of its Facebook Reality Labs in Redmond, Washington, for the past couple of years, but struggles with the development of the project have led the company to seek help. Now, Facebook is hoping a partnership with RayBan parent company Luxottica will get them completed and ready for consumers between 2023 and 2025, according to people familiar. Needless to say, we highlight a potentially substantial threat to Snap Inc, and a potentially huge opportunity for developers within the Facebook ecosystem.
Companies: MVR ESYS BGO BOKU EQLS IMMO SMRT TECH VRE
SmartSpace has provided a positive update on its recently acquired subsidiary, SwipedOn. The group’s stated objectives for SwipedOn are to continue to drive new customer acquisition and increase ARPU. Management are delivering on both counts. Total customer numbers are up by 50% since acquisition to over 3,300 and additional modules and versions have been delivered as planned. We are encouraged by the progress at SwipedOn and see today’s update as a further positive signal that the group is delivering on its plan to transform the group into high quality recurring revenue business. The shares trade on just 1.3x EV/Sales, which we believe is highly attractive for a software led business with an increasing focus on high margin SaaS revenue.
Interswitch, a Nigeria-based payments firm, has hired advisers to resurrect plans for a stock-market listing in London and Lagos later this year, which may value the financial technology company at $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion. Voyager AIR The Company will focus on the acquisition, leasing and management of primarily widebody aircraft, with asset management services to be provided by Amedeo Limited the IPO will comprise a Placing and Offer for Subscription of Shares to raise up to approximately US$200m. Roxi Music UK music streaming service plans London IPO as it goes up against Spotify. They have appointed investment bank Arden Partners for an initial public offering (IPO) on the London Stock Exchange later this year.
Companies: DX/ BKS SIR SMRT DOTD SEE GAN UOG RENX CHRT
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Sumo is trading strongly, with several drivers that could lead the company to outperform 2021 earnings expectations, in our view. Even based on conservative earnings expectations, we believe shares offer attractive value to growth.
Companies: Sumo Group Plc
IQE has announced it expects FY20 revenues to be c £178m. This is ahead of our estimates, which we revised upwards in November, reflecting outperformance in both the wireless and photonics segments. We have updated our FY20 forecasts. Given IQE’s leveraged business model, this results in a 64% uplift in EPS. Noting the uncertainty about the effect of a pandemic-related recession on the rate of smartphone sales growth, we leave our FY21 estimates unchanged for the time being.
Companies: IQE plc
As a nation, we love knocking ourselves. However in truth, we’re actually a pretty pioneering bunch. For instance, the experts at Oxford University & AstraZeneca have developed one of the world’s 3 most important vaccines in double quick time. Plus, many other British firms are creating similar breakthrough Covid inventions, such as Kromek.
Companies: Kromek Group Plc
Synairgen (SNG.L): Completion of recruitment for at home trial | Sensyne Health (SENS.L): Research agreement with The Royal Wolverhampton NHS Trust
Companies: Synairgen plc (SNG:LON)Sensyne Health Plc (SENS:LON)
GB Group (GBG) has sold its marketing services business to HH Global Group for an undisclosed amount. This was not an area of focus for GBG and has been in managed decline for several years. Just before Christmas, GBG boosted its Fraud business with the acquisition of fraud investigation automation software from HooYu for £4m in equity. We have revised our forecasts to reflect the disposal and acquisition, leading to small upgrades to our EPS forecasts. Both deals emphasise the company’s strategy to focus on Identity, Location and Fraud.
Companies: GB Group PLC
The Panoply has reported a very positive trading update for the Q3 to December and indicates that full year results for the year to March will be significantly ahead of expectations. The group won £15m of new contracts in Q3, including the significant assignment from the Planning Inspectorate announced at the November interims. This further demonstrates the successful development of the group, notably its expansion into healthcare and establishment of FutureGov and Foundry4 as full-service brands. In November we raised our FY21 Revenue and PBT forecasts by +5%/+10% to £44.5m/£4.9m and we further raise by +8% to £48.0m/£5.3m this morning. We choose to leave our FY22 estimates unchanged at this stage, but clearly the group has very strong momentum and we see clear scope to raise our forecasts as we progress through the year. We continue to view The Panoply as ideally placed to benefit from the structural tailwinds in digital transformation and, underpinned by our increased forecasts, raise our target price to 235p (was 220p).
Companies: Panoply Holdings Plc
MySale has delivered a striking turnaround in profitability with H1 FY21 EBITDA of A$2.5m up an impressive A$6.1m YOY. We believe this marked turnaround validates its AZN First strategy and signals the Group now has a robust and cash generative operating platform on which it can scale.
Companies: MySale Group plc
FY20E order intake growth of 61% means Corero's revenue for last year of $16.8m will exceed our prior forecast. The trading update confirms c73% annual growth in revenues and further expansion of the annualised recurring revenue base. This performance highlights the increasing prioritisation of protecting networks against cyber and DDoS attacks. Buy.
Companies: Corero Network Security plc
EMIS saw trading gradually improve through H220 to finish the year slightly ahead of expectations. The company continued to support customers in dealing with the pandemic, with the recently acquired Pinnacle Systems’ software now being used in the nationwide vaccination programme. Progress was also made in product development with the launch of the first EMIS-X analytics product. We maintain our forecasts.
Companies: EMIS Group plc
H1A delivered a very resilient performance given the backdrop of halted deliveries and reduced manufacturing capacity. Orders and shipments are resuming and a ramp up in activity levels is expected in H2. A cash outflow in H1A has been supported by new committed facilities and gross cash levels look set to support the business successfully through the second half and beyond.
Strong Q4 performance from Audioboom plc, the leading global podcast company, as it continues to outpace the global podcasting market. Audioboom bounced back from the Q2 CV-19 lull in Q3 and growth accelerated in the final quarter. Q4 revenue of c. $8.5m was a record, up 25% on the same period last year and the previous record, and FY20 revenue of c. $26.8m (+20%) was comfortably ahead of forecast (ACLe: $25.5m). There were also record KPI performances (brand count, eCPM and available ad inventory). Coupled with continued cost control, adj. EBITDA loss fell to c. $0.2m in Q4 and c. $1.8m for FY20 (FY19: $2.9m, ACLe: $1.9m). The company has good access to capital ($6.6m at year end) and management expects to achieve a maiden positive adj. EBITDA for FY21. We introduce FY21 forecasts and set a fair value of 420p/share, equivalent to an FY20 EV/Revenue of 3.3x and 2.5x FY21. Although a premium to the current price, this still represents a significant discount to recent industry transaction multiples.
Companies: Audioboom Group PLC
Tern plc* (TERN.L, 7.1p/£23.5m) Portfolio update: Strong business momentum (12.01.21) | Audioboom plc* (BOOM.L, 276p/£43.3m) Expanded content network (15.01.21)
Companies: Tern Plc (TERN:LON)Audioboom Group PLC (BOOM:LON)
The Panoply’s update on trading for the three months ending 31 December 2020 confirms the group has enjoyed a successful third quarter and continues the trend of positive news flow from the group. Against the backdrop of COVID-19 driven macro-economic challenges, The Panoply has reported an acceleration of new business wins. In our view this further validates both the Panoply’s innovative business model and with operations now focussed on two full-stack brands, demonstrates the strategic value of the acquisitions made to date. Management has increased guidance on FY 21E performance, and we take the company’s cue and revise our revenue and adjusted EBITDA forecasts upwards by 8% and 10% respectively.
Sage Group released a good set of Q1 20/21 figures with organic recurring revenue growth of 4.7% in line with the full-year guidance (+3-5%). This performance was spread out across various cloud native software and essentially driven by the gain of new customers. Lastly, no deterioration in the churn rate is reassuring considering the continuing tough market conditions. All in all, Sage Group confirmed FY2020/21 guidance.
Companies: Sage Group plc
VR Education Holdings (VRE) expects FY20 revenue growth of around 38% to €1.42m. This was driven by substantial growth in ENGAGE revenue and its user base, with ENGAGE now accounting for over 40% of group revenue. While ENGAGE benefited from changes resulting from COVID, they also caused museum closures, which reduced Showcase Experience revenues. VRE has also outlined its medium-term outlook objectives for 2023 – 2025. Key targets include ENGAGE revenue of €10m, 500 active enterprise customers and 100K monthly users.
Companies: VR Education Holdings PLC