LIBERUM: Frontier Developments: Positive signs; new games remain key

Frontier Developments (FDEV LN) - Full year guidance confirmed

Frontier’s interims show a positive result from its back catalogue titles but disappointing performance from new releases, as already flagged in its November 2023 trading update.

LIBERUM: Frontier Developments: The change begins

Zeus: Video Games Sector Quarterly review - January 2024

Subsector price performance: In the fourth quarter to 29 December 2023 all but the AAA publishers and platform subsector saw share price declines. The UK PC and Console focused subsector was again the worst performing subsector (-26.2%) over the quarter and LTM (-70.1%).

LIBERUM: Frontier Developments: Back to basics

Initial Equity Trading Comments - 1 December 2023

Frontier Developments (FDEV LN) - Expect change

Initial sales from the launch of Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Realms of Ruin have underperformed. After several disappointing new releases, the company has decided to reverse its strategy to diversify into adjacent game genres. We believe the increased focus should improve Frontier Development’s efficiency but may also increase its revenue concentration and volatility. The update and strategic change lead us to lower FY24 Adj LBITDA to £13.6m from £9.0m. We now also forecast no revenue growth over t

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 27/11/23

27th November 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obj

LIBERUM: Frontier Developments: Warhammer: Soft trading through key period

Frontier Developments (FDEV LN) - Road to recovery

We are encouraged by Frontier Developments' announcement of an Organisational Review. We believe many video games companies inflated their expense bases during 2020 and 2021 and reduced focus on return on investment. Frontier now plans to reduce annual operating costs by up to 20% by the beginning of FY25. Frontier's Organisational Review returns the business' focus to optimising returns, leading us to forecast a recovery in adjusted EBIT margins to 5.3% in FY25 and 9.4% in FY26. We believe the

LIBERUM: Frontier Developments: Review and Realms of Ruin key to improving cash flow in FY25E

Zeus: Video Games Sector Quarterly review - October 2023

Subsector price performance: In the quarter to 30 September 2023, all four subsectors saw mean average share price declines. UK PC and Console focused subsector was again the worst performing (-20.6%).

Frontier Developments (FDEV LN) - FY23 results

Frontier Developments’ results for the year to 31 May 2023 showed a year-on-year decline in revenue of 8.3% and wider than expected operating losses due to non-cash impairment charges and accelerated amortisation of underperforming titles. The Group has tidied its balance sheet and is taking a more prudent approach to game amortisation, which lowers our near-term underlying EBIT forecasts. The company is now refocused on selecting games that better align to its previously successful strategy, wi

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 13 Sep 23

13th September 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment ob

Solid State - Anticipating record adjusted PBT in FY24

Solid State’s trading update affirms the sustained strength in demand throughout H224, resulting in record FY24 revenue and adjusted PBT ahead of prior consensus of £155m and £12.5m, respectively. This is attributable to the earlier-than-expected delivery of a NATO contract. As a result, consensus FY24 revenue and adjusted PBT estimates have been raised by c 6% and c 20%, with respective FY25 estimates declining commensurately.

Zeus Top Picks for 2024 - 2023 review and outlook for 2024

On 9 January last year, we set out our ten top stock picks for 2023, for what turned out to be another relatively poor twelve months for UK equities due to two wars, stubbornly high inflation and further tightening of monetary policy. This was even as other major markets, such as the US, largely recovered in the year. In the 2023 calendar year, the AIM All-Share index fell 8.2% and is still 42% off its 2021 high. From the release of our 2023 top picks note, the average total return (assuming div

Surface Transforms (SCE LN) - Obstacles removed for higher production

Surface has issued a brief Q1 update. Production will ramp-up this year as final new equipment is installed, and manufacturing teething problems recede.

Surface Transforms plc (SCE LN) - Forecasts and valuation withdrawn

We note the regulatory announcement this morning from Surface Transforms and withdraw our estimates and valuation, pending conversations with management.

Surface Transforms - New guidance – forecasts under review

Surface Transforms has issued new revenue guidance for FY24, with the company now expecting revenues in the range £17.5-22m. We are withdrawing our previous forecasts for FY24 and withdrawing our price target while we review the impact of the new guidance.