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  • 13 Aug 2025

Organic Growth Realized In 2Q:25, Despite A Largely Tax-Driven EPS Miss; Backlog Growth Merits Attention; Trim Estimates And Price Target To $31 (From $33)


FOSTER (LB) CO-A (FSTR:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Sidoti & Company
    • Julio Romero

    • 11 pages


 

We trim our price target to $31 (from $33) as we lift our tax rate assumptions and embed a more gradual sales ramp in the Rail, Technologies and Services (RTS) segment to unfold in 2026. L.B. Foster reported 2Q:25 EPS of $0.27, below our forecast of $0.45, largely due to a higher-than-anticipated tax rate that dragged EPS down by $0.15, by our model. While overall sales of $143.6 million (up 2% organically year over year) were slightly below our $144.3 million estimate, FSTR's segment performance diverged: Infrastructure Solutions segment sales rose 22%, while RTS segment sales declined 11%. Management reduced its 2025 guidance by 3% and 7% at the respective sales and profit midpoints, largely due to some pushout of Rail orders converting to revenue in 2026 rather than in 2H:25; we think the guidance reduction was prudent. Backlog of $270 million at 2Q:25 was up 14% sequentially and 8% year over year, providing optimism that underlying demand is solid. We lower our estimates, now projecting 2025 EPS of $1.19 (from $1.56) and 2026 EPS of $2.05 (from $2.20). Key estimate changes are for a more gradual RTS sales recovery in 2026 and a higher assumed tax rate for the next six quarters. FSTR ended 2Q:25 with net debt of $77 million ($7.14 per share). Our new to $31 (was $33) price target on FSTR shares is now based on a steady 15x our lowered 2026 EPS estimate of $2.05 (from $2.20). Our moderate risk rating balances FSTR's modestly leveraged balance sheet and ongoing material weakness in reporting controls, with its capital-light model and a structurally improving free cash flow profile.

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Organic Growth Realized In 2Q:25, Despite A Largely Tax-Driven EPS Miss; Backlog Growth Merits Attention; Trim Estimates And Price Target To $31 (From $33)


FOSTER (LB) CO-A (FSTR:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Published: 13 Aug 2025
  • Author: Julio Romero
  • Pages: 11
  • Sidoti & Company


We trim our price target to $31 (from $33) as we lift our tax rate assumptions and embed a more gradual sales ramp in the Rail, Technologies and Services (RTS) segment to unfold in 2026. L.B. Foster reported 2Q:25 EPS of $0.27, below our forecast of $0.45, largely due to a higher-than-anticipated tax rate that dragged EPS down by $0.15, by our model. While overall sales of $143.6 million (up 2% organically year over year) were slightly below our $144.3 million estimate, FSTR's segment performance diverged: Infrastructure Solutions segment sales rose 22%, while RTS segment sales declined 11%. Management reduced its 2025 guidance by 3% and 7% at the respective sales and profit midpoints, largely due to some pushout of Rail orders converting to revenue in 2026 rather than in 2H:25; we think the guidance reduction was prudent. Backlog of $270 million at 2Q:25 was up 14% sequentially and 8% year over year, providing optimism that underlying demand is solid. We lower our estimates, now projecting 2025 EPS of $1.19 (from $1.56) and 2026 EPS of $2.05 (from $2.20). Key estimate changes are for a more gradual RTS sales recovery in 2026 and a higher assumed tax rate for the next six quarters. FSTR ended 2Q:25 with net debt of $77 million ($7.14 per share). Our new to $31 (was $33) price target on FSTR shares is now based on a steady 15x our lowered 2026 EPS estimate of $2.05 (from $2.20). Our moderate risk rating balances FSTR's modestly leveraged balance sheet and ongoing material weakness in reporting controls, with its capital-light model and a structurally improving free cash flow profile.

More Content

More Content

We Expect FSTR's Organic Sales Growth To Accelerate In 3Q:25; Growth Platforms Will Comprise Greater Portion Of The Mix Over Time; Maintain $31 Price Target

Companies: FOSTER (LB) CO-A

Sidoti & Company

Project Timing, Product Mix Weighed On 3Q:25 Results; ROCK IS Accelerating Planned Systems Investments For Scale; Lowering Our Estimates Takes Our Price Target To $81 (From $83)

Companies: GIBRALTAR INDUSTRIES

Sidoti & Company

Takeaways From The Sidoti Conference: FSTR Views Potential Rail Industry Consolidation As A Positive For Increased Sales; Long Runway For CRISI Grant Awards; Maintain $31 Price Target

Companies: FOSTER (LB) CO-A

Sidoti & Company

15% margin target reached

Companies: Svedbergs i Dalstorp (SVED-B:STO)Svedbergs Group AB Class B (SVED.B:OME)

ABG Sundal Collier

Expect Sequential Improvement In 2Q:25; We Will Look For Updates On Customer-Driven Delays That Weighed On 1Q:25 Results; Maintain $33 Price Target

Companies: FOSTER (LB) CO-A

Sidoti & Company
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